₦airaland Forum

Digitron:
Even though I am a stunch Obedient and a firm believer that Obi will win, this poll is faulty.

Nigeria is too diverse to relly on a 1000 response to guage the mood of the nation. Any poll that wants to be taken seriously must gather data from at least 1000 people in each LGA which is about 774,000 people.

That is the only way to have a reliable poll

Lolz.... you mean a sample size of 774,000 people?

Lolz....again.

Bros, it means you know nothing of polling then. No polling sampling size can ever get to that level i.e it is impossible to do and even negates the very essense/reason of polling. Even in the U.S. where the population is almost twice ours, the sampling size is usually between 1000-3000 persons(Gallpoll usually uses just 1000 persons).

This is statistics. As long as the sample is weighted(to mirror the voting society) so that it is representative and is RANDOM, any increase in numbers would not affect the overall polling outcome. This is statistics 101.

I am not well versed with the methodology of this particular polling, altho i see that their sampling was both random and weighted, i will accept the outcome cos it aligns with ALL other polling done by EVERY polling organisation at various times within this election campaign cycle(some even repeated more than once). It is almost impossible in statistics for you to have different outcomes if different "experiments" is done repeatedly using similar methodology.

The highly expected last NOI/ANAP poll will not be different.

From a data perspective, Obi is expected to win the coming Presidential elections. What Obi and his supporters do with that is another matter entirely

Herkim:
You are entitled to your opinion, as we speak Nigeria is bigger than peter obi in all sincerity because the position we are now, we need to fight the injustice . can peter obi fight this?

Electing Peter Obi is in itself an act of fighting injustice.

Let's start from there

lucro:
You may want to add the poll below your collection:

https://www.kwakol.com/blog/kwakol-research-forecasts-the-2023-nigeria-presidential-election

Wonderful.

Another scientific poll points to an Obi win. Again, ALL scientific poll done so far(regardless of the specific polling organisation or how many times it is repeated) points to same result.

At this point, it is fair to say with some certainty that following the principle of statistics no scientific poll will give a different result.

This is Obi's election to loss.

PS: Is there a thread on this latest poll @ OP. I personally await the last NOI poll

Peter is a Smart man.

Bring out the base. Make sure they vote on that day.

Very, very brilliant and strategic.

These people who just saw Obi in this way will not only come out to vote, they will be telling and calling a lot more people in their circle to come out and vote.

This is how you win an election.

Obi came fully prepared. Respect, Sir.

Gossiphub:
You sound daft.

I blame myself for engaging a komkom like you

Komkom??

Bwahahahahaha......

You don make me laugh i come forget wetin i be dey do before

Napata77:
This is the type of nonsense you type when you don't know your history, and think Egypt was white or Arab.

What does it matter what way or the other we originated when Egypt was a black civilization?

Heavy settlement in West Africa is comparatively RECENT. In ancient antiquity, it was virtually empty.

Majority of Africans lived in the North, the present day Sahara desert (which was fertile and inhabited thousands of years ago) North East, East, and South of the continent. What drove major groups to West Africa was fleeing from endless foreign invasions of the Nile Valley, culminating in the Arab invasion of the 700s AD, and the rapid desertification of the Sahara.

This is why ever major group in West Africa has a tradition of having migrated from 'the north' in ancient times.

Nigerians did not come from Ancient Egypt, Bros

The "similarities" you see(there are also many dissimilarities) is due to the fundamental linkages from the common origins of both Ancient Egypt and some other African civiliations/cultures( from the sahara desert).

Ancient Egypt was African in origin(from the Eastern Sahara); was fundamentally a ("Black" African culture throughout its over 4000yrs history(arising from the origin i talked about earlier); but its people were somewhat "mixed"(depending on time and place) altho the majority of them at the earlier times, esp in Upper Egypt, would have been mostly "Black".

Other African civilisations on the other hand developed on their own terms and trajectory. They didnt arise due to some migatory "super" Egyptians. The small similarities to see is from the common origins i talked about before and maybe some contacts with later civilizations in the Sudan

The majority of us are voting Obi across party, ethnic, class, religious lines.

We are taking back Nigeria NOW

lazynairalander1:
I am finally obidient. I will be voting for this man come Feb 25th

Good choice, Bros

asanausana91:
I can promise you that Peter Obi will not see second position. Atiku is a silent achiever and he will win silently. Peter greediness is what will delay Atiku winning by 10am but I believe that before 9 pm Atiku will be announced.

That is your OPINION Bros and you are compeletly entitled to it.

Like this "Study", it is just an opinion and not a poll(i.e based on well sampled data)

All the polls done so far completely disagrees with your opinion however, and I choose to believe them than yours(or the one from the OP for that matter)

Sholaco:
Hahaha hahaha 🤣😂 the last time, it was obi now Atiku. Who are those idiots doing this poll projection

This is not a poll.

Read the deceptive article in the OP

This is NOT a poll o. Talkless of it been scientific.

It is based on interviews of some political groups and organizations( I have never heard this before). It is an opinion of some persons and organizations, and not a poll of the Nigeian people

All the scientific polls done so far on the next elections(Nextier, NOI, Stears, SMI, BantuPage) have all consistently put Obi in the lead.

PDAPC should stop shopping around yeye "polls" around. If they want poll results, they should release the results of the polls they did themselves. Why are they refusing to release their own poll results except that the result was not what they both wanted

Efuaye:
Igbos just woke up to the power of their spread and cosmopolitan advantage.
Nigeria will never be the same after this election due to the Obidient movement.
I love what Obi brought into this electioneering.

Gbam!!!

This is not the debate, Olodo.

This was the Nigerian Economic summit Group Townhall, held about 2 weeks or so ago, which Obi and Atiku also attended separately.

There was no clarity in any idea of his here as expected

tinsel:
He is still in trauma after drone exposed Labour party yesterday. It was like that in Lagos, only God knows the extent they went to doctor other state rallies. Yesterday exposed labour party to be an empty party with existence only in social media.

If you urchinns just stopped at this sort of fooolishness, we will understand somewhat. It is foooolishness but at least some will also say it is politics!!

But what we will not accept or tolerate is when the idioots amongst you APC urchinns go and FORGE letters(twice in 2 days) and insult all Christians and Christianity by blatantly accusing CAN(the umbrella body of all Christains in Nigeria) of collecting bribes(when something like that never happened). It is intolerable.

You guys in APC are now so degenerate that you continue to INSULT Christains this way without any fear. You were the guys that introduced the devilish and divisive Muslim-Muslim ticket. You were the party that manufactured FAKE bishops in total jest of Christianity. And now this.

There surely will be consequences

@ seun, this is a clear refuttal of that clear fake news that, without any regards to extant NL rules of not bringing up news without a link or source, you guys rushed to frontpage (in less than 2 hrs of thread creation).

What is the consequence on the OP ( @ seunmsg) and the complicit MOD(whoever he is), again in accordance to the rules of NL?

We are all watching and waiting....

Betanaija42moro:
They can't find anything on Peter Obi.
So they now resort to lies and propaganda.

This is the tweet!!

APC and PDP have searched the whole world for dirt on Obi(even after Obi challenged them about 8 months ago) , yet Norhing.

I stan Obi gan!!!

Bwahahahahaha......

This is a joke right?

Peter Obi will win Lagos state, even before this present rally was held.

Lagos would also see not only the highest turnout in the country in this elections, but the highest in its history.

It is what it is.

Please i agree with what the Prof is saying here: the policy should be immediately reversed if sufficient new naira notes are not put into circulation.

Thw thing is that i hate the guts of Tinubu and all our legacy politicians, and i completely believe that Tinubu and APC(esp) are fighting this currency thing cos they have stock piled the old currencies for vote buying, but i hate incompetence and unnecessary collateral suffering too.

If Buhari and his cohorts wanted to cleanly cut Tinubu voting buying tendencies to size, then they should have impressed it on CBN to do it competently, ala ensure enough new naira notes in circulation.

Plus, people are suffering. Massively and that should be stopped.

So the FG should ensure sufficient new naira to circulate or bring back some of the old naira notes. Other means should be found to stop Tinubu, APC and other legacy politicians.

garfield1:
Mostly conducted in urban areas.once you get to the rural areas,you hardly find obi fans.the apc structure will supprws his votes

You know this how?

You have started again o, garfield my good fwend.

By the way, this is just an example of the unscientific polls i was talking about. Again, and again, Obi is doing very well in SE, SS, SW and NC(even when villagers are sampled in NC)

HeRulesMen:
Count me in in the Obidient movement. We want to rewrite the history of Nigeria.

You are highly welcomed, Bros

Please also spread the word and follow up

IbileIfe:
Which people.
Bloomberg surveys done online for those online.
Majority of the registered voters with PVCs are northern Nigeria and Bloomberg never spoke to them.
Keep deceiving yourselves following neocolonial misinformation on the state of affairs in Nigeria.

Yea...thanks

But the thing is that ALL the ones done offline(face to face, questionaires or phones), including the ones done by APC and PDP, is showing the same thing.

I wonder why?

PS: i am even removing those done unscientific e.g the plenty videos(more than 50) you can find now on youtube, which also mostly tilt towards Obi.
Dey play

PHIPEX:
APC will release a rejection memo of this soon. They have not been able to conduct their own poll but the first to reject every other poll

They have conducted their own polling, in fact more than one, including one recently.

You know why they cant release it to the public na? Election go end before e even begin be dat!!

Another fresh one.

And is Peter Obi as usual.

Not sure if this one was a scientific poll tho as i cant find the data or the methodology used.

Anyways, waiting for the final NOI/ANAP poll

PS: ALL scientific and most unscientific poll done so far has CONSISTENTLY put Obi in the lead. It is difficult now to envisage any other outcome except say turnout is very low for all the shenanigans that would ordinarily be attempted to have some significance

senatordave1:
.he will win edo north.he has been campaigning ward for ward.did you see them chase him!?

Tinubu cannot win Edo North.

How? You think cos od Oshiomole? Didnt this same Oshio lose Edo North in tbe last governorship elections in Edo state?

Do you know Edo North sef?

See i will not argue this with you. It is pointless

Chekwume16:
Even at that benin will surely go to obi en mass. The only part of edo tinubu can win is edo North.

He cannot even win Edo North.

Some of the most fervent obedients, right from the start, are from Edo North. Why do you think Oshiomole stopped attacking Obi?

Lipscomb:
So igbos traders in Edo can be bullying a whole former governor in his state. Same thing they did in 2016 against our oba can a Edo person live in east talking to their governor this way?

The the dirty thing we called civilization in Benin seems like a stupidity to me.

Some of una go just open mouth and allow anything to just gush out. No involvement of the brain or pulse at all.

Na wa

Which Atiku?

I am from the SS. I dont know a single person who says they will vote for Atiku. Not a single person.

APC may even do better than PDP in SS as some of the polls are indicating (and we are talking about not more than 10-15% here)

PS: There is nothing like PDP or APC stronghold in this elections. There is no more writing of reasons. Moreover, most of those persons i talked about would normally have voted for PDP in the last elections(which is another thing: most are 1st time voters)

michlins:
CBN, DSS, these institutions only answer to the president of Nigeria.

You people should know where your strength starts and end.

People are still accepting old notes sha but real trouble will start on Monday when they realise that they can not deposit said notes to bamk

The CBN must obey valid judgements from the Supreme court of Nigeria. The SC must be respected at all times.

The judgement tho is that the old notes remain legal tender until at least Feb 15 when the substantive suit is taken at the SC, however CBN has already mopped up the old naira notes (and destroyed them?) so in a way nothing will really change until Feb 15 at least as the SC never asked the CBN to bring the old notes back.

Only the huge old notes stocked by politicians(APC and PDP) can be used bw now and Feb 15. By Feb 15, the case will be dismissed or taken to Federal high court where it ordinarily should have gone to 1st

Aiel123:
Garfield1

senatordave