yarimo:
The same dogara labour party miscreants think he is one of them. Hehehe

Nobody thought Dogara was part of us.

Dogara only came out to say recently that the election was between Obi and Atiku (meaning him no gbado Tinubu).

He is an Atiku man, but the reason he said the elections was between Obi and Atiku is cos his own people(Christain Northerners including in his Bauchi homestate) are massively supporting Obi.

Adaisback:
pls how do I check my polling unit online

Use this INEC link:

https:///4Y6KJbndLP

Just insert your name, date of birth and state and you would see your PU

vicdom:


Atiku will thrash Obi ooo... No even go there. SW won't vote Obi massively as North would vote for Atiku. Obi can only win Atiku is sw will give Obi at least 60%, but it's not going to happen.

Why do you think so?

Are you saying that SW will vote Atiku over Obi? That is very unlikely. Think 2011 Bros.

If there is a runoff(and that is a likelihood), it will be easier for Obi to win Atiku than Tinubu.

I think that Obi will win any runoff

Please where is the thread on the new Stears polls that was on frontpage earlier today

I cant find it either on my likes or mentions again.

Has it been deleted?

@seun

garfield1:


He laid the foundation for the successes of his successors

He used 8 years to laid the "foundation " abi garfield1



Let me hear any of you use Tinubu "performance" in Lagos as a campaign material ever again!!

@ OP, thanks for your questions. Plzz ask more questions like this

garfield1:


Can't recall now but tinubu is a planner.he has several innovations

Planner??

Hehehehehe

Hmmm... na wa o

I patiently went through this thread o but i havent seen anybody answer OP's simple question: what "world class" project was executed by the so-called creator of Modern Lagos in 8 years as Gov?

No answer yet o.

Where are all those high falutin urchinns we have on NL. Your Lord and master is on trial o

Biodun556:
💥💥💥💥💥
Counsels to Ademola Adeleke has submitted his appeal letter last week Tuesday and was rejected by the appeal court. They said he can't appeal without the consent of INEC, that the judgement is not directly against himbut INEC. That INEC is the only one that can answer the questions of over voting and they must approve his appeal letter before submission. He has been begging INEC Since then, but say they'll not follow him to appeal court. Which means he may leave office in 12 days time if INEC refuse finally to follow him.

Waiting for more details

Olodo!!!

Is Adeleke and even PDP not a party to the case? Does a party to a case need th consent of another party in order to file an appeal?

What is wrong with some of you guys here on NL sef

garfield1:


Forget about the high undecided and undisclosed.you know not everyone votes.highest turnout is 60%.

Your point??

garfield1:


That is unrealistic.obi cannot take 2nd in kogi.watch Bantu videos on YouTube and you will see something different

I just checked Bantupage data again, Obi actually was 2nd at 17%.

There was a high "undecides " and "undisclosed" tho

Ezeama400:
OBIDIENTS PLEASE ENDEAVOUR TO TURN OUT THAT DAY.. A SINGLE VOTE MATTERS.. TELL YOUR FAMILY, FRIENDS AND COLLEAGUES

This is it.

This is really what matters.

If this happens, Obi wins easily

OnyeAshuaUru:


Read the notes below the charts, Chief. The stated difference between Low and High turnout scenario s in their confusing predictive model is that, whereas respondents in the Low turnout prediction have their pvc and are certain of who they are going to vote out, respondents in the high turnout scenario includes all eligible voters who are not even sure if they are going to vote.
The so-called predictive model is deceptive, or it's meant to dilute the impulse of the losers in this poll.

I know.

Predictive Modelling using some Assumptions, which may or may not pan out.

I am just saying that in an election, low turnout favours rigging, vote buying and other things that some persons have termed "structure ". People should come out and vote. This is the surest way of ensuring Obi's win.

This is the point

garfield1:


Me and you know he cannot do well from kogi.benue,plateau do not give bloc votes.kwara,niger, gives.I believe the last Bantu poll was the closest

Hope you know that the last Bantupage poll gave NC to Obi too.

Obi was 2nd in Kogi state also(if i am not mistaken)

garfield1:


The first poll by anap said obi will tie nc with tinubu.but how will obi win nc? He is only sure of benue,plateau and fct.tinubu has kwara kogi and will best him in niger.obi won't do well in kwara, nger but tinubu will do well in benue,plateau

Yea, the 1st NOI poll was a tie. But all other polls(including subsequent NOI polls) have given him a slight lead.

I think it is cos Obi will do very well in Benue and Plateau, which are the 2 most populated states in the NC.

He will also win FCT of course. Of course will also do well in Nasawara.

Then he seems to be doing well in Kogi, Niger and even Kwara. He will not win in these states but his chances seem to be increasing , esp for Kogi

Like i said previously, it is what it is. This is what the data from various polling companies done scientifically are saying

lhordspy:
There is nothing like 'never produced PVCs' . please get your fact right.

You people clamour for free and fair election, but always quick to start attacking INEC when things are not going to your favour. Your mischievous plan turned into a miscalculation. A dumb one.

Some South-easterners were imported from across the 5 Southeastern states into Lagos, most especially Anambra ; during the Endears protest and during the supposedly '3 million march for Obi' at the beginning of political campaign. In a bid to teach Tinubu some lesson in Lagos and take over Lagos. They re-registered in Lagos instead of changing their voting unit to Lagos.

Most of this registration were flagged as doubles registration and deleted from INEC database. Now those people are stuck. No money to go back to their states and they can't vote in Lagos too. Double wahala. They now resorts to blackmailing INEC.


Shiiiiiooooor.

If their names were flagged as double registrants and srruck out of INEC database, why are their names still on INEC site as valid registrants?

Oponu, hope you know that was what the OP was asking about: those whose names are in INEC database as registrants but INEC could not find their PVCs

PrinceOfLagos:
God bless the next President of Nigeria, Mr Peter Obi

Amen

Another one!!


The poll results is very similar to other scientific poll results: Obi wins the SE(by a mile), SS(significantly), NC(slightly) and comes out 2nd in SW(behind Tinubu of course). Whilst Tinubu and Atiku drags the NW(here Kwankwaso is also strong) and NE.

Obi, tho still polling behind the field, also seems to be increasing his shares from parts of the NE(likely due to.Christain and minority voters there).

I am almost certain as someone who understands statistics that this is what the long expected 3rd NOI/ANAP poll will show later this week when it comes out. It is also what most other unsceintific polls have been showing.

Peter Obi is clearly the Leading candidate in this coming Presidential elections( and the worst case scenario for him is to get the elections to a 2nd round).

I big take away from this poll result from Stears is that the only scenario where another candidate(Tinubu in this case) beats Obi is if the voter turnout is low(about 35%). Altho this is from their Predictive Model, I hope LP supporters do not play with this info. I beleive it myself. The only way "structure" can be crucial in an election is if the voter tunrout is low cos then party members, candidate loyalist(family members, villagers, members of ethnic or religious groups) as well as those that can be bribed, will be the majority of the voters in the elections. That is when "structure" will matter.

See link to the report:

https://www.stears.co/premium/article/stears-poll-predicts-nigerias-next-president/

OnyeAshuaUru:
Stears is confused.
Give us the percentage of poll respondents that said they will vote the presidential candidates and leave prediction for Nairaland resident urchins like Garfield.
A new Nigeria is POssible
Vote LP

The percentage of who the respondents will vote(sample size of about 6500) is in their report. It is Obi of course.

Only when they did their Predictive Model of the data that Tinubu slightly wins in one scenario(Low.voters turnout). Obi wins their Predictive Model if voters turnout is high

garfield1:


Obi can't win nc.it also predicts tinubu winner in a low turnout scenario

Lolz... garfield

Every single sceintific poll has said Obi will.win the NC.

They all cannot be making up this same shitt every single time. This is statistics and data science, guy. It is not dependent on one's "feelings" Bros.

It is what it is. Whether you or any other person like it or not

PS: See my modified comment (in my 1st comment) on the turnout scenario

Where is my good friend @garfield1.

Food don come

Another pool from a highly reputable company that predicts an Obi's win, in almost the same scenario most other polls have also predicted: Obi wins SE, SS and NC. And does well in SW and some other minority parts of the NE/NW.

Link: https://www.stears.co/premium/article/stears-poll-predicts-nigerias-next-president/

Another one.

This is Stears o. Abi na Obi friends still be this

I am coming, let me read through the report.


Modified: The poll results is very similar to other scientific poll results: Obi wins the SE(by a mile), SS(significantly), NC(slightly) and comes out 2nd in SW(behind Tinubu of course). Whilst Tinubu and Atiku drags the NW(here Kwankwaso is also strong) and NE.

Obi, tho still polling behind the field, also seems to be increasing his shares from parts of the NE(likely due to.Christain and minority voters there).

I am almost certain as someone who understands statistics that this is what the long expected 3rd NOI/ANAP poll will show later this week when it comes out. It is also what most other unsceintific polls have been showing.

Peter Obi is clearly the Leading candidate in this coming Presidential elections( and the worst case scenario for him is to get the elections to a 2nd round).

I big take away from this poll result from Stears is that the only scenario where another candidate(Tinubu in this case) beats Obi is if the voter turnout is low(about 35%). Altho this is from their Predictive Model, I hope LP supporters do not play with this info. I beleive it myself. The only way "structure" can be crucial in an election is if the voter tunrout is low cos then party members, candidate loyalist(family members, villagers, members of ethnic or religious groups) as well as those that can be bribed, will be the majority of the voters in the elections. That is when "structure" will matter.

See link to the report:

https://www.stears.co/premium/article/stears-poll-predicts-nigerias-next-president/

Mynd44:

If you do not understand, appreciate and welcome dissenting views, you are not fit to have conversations with others.

This is a character trait of a lot of labor party supporters

You are actually not supposed to be a MOD here. You are compromised. You always have been tho.

A lot of us, who are even old timers here, hold that view.

Seun should continue running (down) this place the way he wants.

masinga07:
I have a lot of respect for Peter Obi and his supporters and wish Peter Obi well. Realistically, there's no way Peter Obi can win this election unfortunately. I just laughed when I see Obi supporters allocating and projecting votes. It only shows most of you guys don't know how elections are lost and won in Nigeria. After Feb 25th, most of you will be surprised.

Sharrap, abeg!!

Obi is winning this elections. The worst case scenario is that the election will go to a 2nd round, and then Obi will certainly win as there will be no more 25% in 67% states requirement to win in the 2nd round.

Every thing points to Obi been in the lead in this elections. His base constitute the majority of the key demography needed to win elections in Nigeria today

Mynd44:
Party structure are party menbers, the people who are available and willing to stay at each polling unit, people who are willing to go canvass on election morning, people who will take lunch to agents and canvassers, people who community members respect their opinions and will likely vote for candidates they endorse, local politicians who want to win their PUs and wards for bragging rights.

And people who have experience in elections and collations.

I like when people shout first time voters as though the old voters suddenly lost their PVCs or the new voters want be split amongst the parties

Dey play oooo
Just dey play

APC Mod,

The Obedient movement have various groups who are willing to stay in every polling booth across Nigeria; who are willing and are already canvassing for votes in the morning, noon and night across the lenghth and breath of Nigeria; who are going back to their villages, offices, churches, mosques, markets, friends etc with the message of a new Nigeria; who are spending their own money and resources(unlike those party members who wait for money/mobilization from the candidates).

And these groups are organic and everywhere. In fact, some of the party members of the other political parties are even part of these organic Obdient groups.

Obi also has the majority support of theze groups in Nigeria as it stands: Christains, Igbos, Young people and those persons who want a total change in Nigeria.

This is one of the reasons he is the Leading candidate today in next Presidential elections

Tinubu should step down for Obi now before t is too late

Ist, Atiku will not and cannot win NC. Even Tinubu will do better in NC than Atiku. Obi will win NC.

Atiku might likely win NE and NW but the net votes will be meaningless cos Tinubu and Kwankawaso, as well as even Obi, will drag and share the votes from those 2 zones together.

Obi will clear the SE with block votes; he will win the clear majority in the SS; and come out a clear 2nd in the SW in addition to likely winning Lagos slightly, a state that is almost 40% of the entire SW(Tinubu will win this zone tho). Obi will also FCT.

Obi is the man with the clearest chance of getting the highest number of votes in this election. The only thing left is to get the required 25% in 24 states(and the momentum towards that is currently satisfactory).

Edo in the south;

Plateau in the North.

Other states of course come very close, but Obi is like a religion in the 2 states mentioned above.

God bless all supporters of a new Nigeria

APC has failed Nigeria in every imaginably possible way.

I agree with the man that said that APC should be apologising to Nigerians rather than asking us for votes.

You can imagine that from this article NONE of the 21 NNPC depots is working. Similarly, NONE of our refineries are working, almost 8 years after this same APC campaigned with it. These are some of the reasons fuel scarcity has persisted for at least 4 months now.

They should be rejected- top to bottom and everywhere