₦airaland Forum

Ekez:
The way nyash take full everywhere,.
If na dis tym jesus come him no-go make heaven.

Which kind nyash be dis .?

You're crazy

Hotfreezer:
Which Shagari and Ekwueme? Igbo votes were insignificant in that election and it took a court judgment of the indivisibility of twelve two thirds people for Shagari to win.

SW voted for GEJ in 2011 and he won.
SW voted against GEJ in 2015 and he lost.

There is a reason GEJ camped in the SW 2 weeks before the 2015 elections. No need to say more.

North-Central voted for GEJ in 2011 and he won.
North-Central voted against GEJ in 2015 and he lost.

This is not exclusive to the SW.
Even if the entire SW had voted GEJ in 2015, he still would have lost....Do the mathematics

So, it's not all about SW.

donphilopus:
Why not give the late Atiku 100% in all the North Central States? Very funny set of people.

Buhari is getting nothing less than 65% of Niger State votes. Seems you guys don't know Presidential election is scheduled to hold the same day nationwide? Atiku to get 60% of votes in Kogi? You don't know who Yahaya Bello is. Have you heard of the Chief of Staff to the Governor of Kogi State, Onoja? If you know him, you won't sleep this gibberish up there. Atiku should thank his starts if he gets 40% of Kogi votes.. Wada was still the Governor when Buhari won Kogi in 2015.

Plateau 70% votes for Atiku? He might secure 65% no doubt! You think most Benue people are happy with the renowned failure called Ortom? Orton would cost Atiku Benue block votes so he should he glad if he secures 60% of votes there.

Are you expecting Saraki to deliver Kwara for Atiku? Then you're in for a shocker. Buhari is winning Kwara no doubt about that. It's gonna be 55:45. Nasarawa that has the former and the incumbent Governors of the State as APC Senatorial candidates in two out of the three districts would give PDP 60% of the votes? You're a novice.!

A govt at the centre would lose FCT to the opposition? You're so funny. Even if it would involve rigging just like the PDP rigged FCT Presidential election in 2015, APC would win.

PDP should thank their stars if they are able to win three States including the FCT in the North Central come next year.

Only people who do not know about North-central's politics will think you are saying something reasonable.

You just shot yourself in the foot by doubting that Atiku will win Nasarawa.
GEJ won Nasarawa state in 2015 even though Al-Makura (Buhari's boy whom the people voted under Buhari's own party CPC) was the governor.

If you don't know something, can you just shut up?

Even when Buhari lost elections in Nasarawa in 2011, Almakura his CPC candidate won governorship, Buhari lost Nasarawa again in 2015 but APC still won in Nasarawa governorship. Same thing with Plateau.
Can you explain the reason for that? Or forever keep silent.

chrisooblog:
hi chief fan of your write ups especially on the kenya vs naija thread.

from observing your previous posts can see you are a big fan of atiku. yes i expect him to win the north central region but i think it's overly optimistic to think it will be a landslide. apart from niger buhari has huge followers in kogi and nassarawa. plateau yes buhari will loss handsomely (not sure about lalong though his opponent is general useni) but i expect the fulani muslim settlers to guarantee him the minimum 25%. benue buhari has not done good by them. will be surprised if he gets up to 10% there but you cannot underestimate the akume factor. kwara is abit unpredictable yes saraki has the structures to carry kwara state but a lot of people in the state are not enamoured with him. i expect some shock votes in that regard.

even though i personally think atiku's chances of winning the whole election are slim he still has good odds. he needs to get good number of votes in the NE i.e adamawa (son of the soil factor?), taraba, bauchi (christian minorities) and gombe (also christian minority and dakwambo factor.) he also has to win or at worst split SW votes. if he can't do the aforementioned then it could be curtains for turaki cos buhari has heavy hitters to nab votes in traditional pdp strongholds like akpabio, uduaghan, ogboru, oshiomole and ameachi for SS while rochas, ngige and a possible alliance with apga's obiana could dent the almost impregnable SE vote.

I never knew I had a follower like you, thank you.

Of course Buhari still has supporters in the North-Central. But these supporters will barely give him 25% votes in the region.
Benue and Plateau have the highest number of registered voters in the region and both states vehemently oppose him.
If Hausa-fulani settlers in Plateau were up to 25%, then they would have been more powerful politically than they currently are.
Most muslims in Plateau are indigenous muslims and they and the Hausa fulanis in the state combined are not up to 25%.

Buhari's stronghold in Kogi are the Ebiras, they are the only ones who give him their votes overwhelmingly no matter what. They voted him in 2011 for instance even when Bello was not at stake. The higest Ebiras can deliever is 25% of Kogi state votes. Okuns and Igalas who have 75% of the state's votes have no reason to vote Buhari, if you doubt me, go to The middlebelt region forum and check for all the Igala names and their comments.
Bello has made Igalas hate APC. Okuns have never loved APC to start with and Buhari has never won elections there.

At the height of Buhari's change slogan in 2015 and the fact that Buhari's opponent was GEJ a christian, Buhari could still not win in Nasarawa state, even when the governor was his loyal boy.
Now, Buhari has failed the masses and his opponent is still a muslim from the same north. If you think Buhari will still get the same votes he got in 2015 in that state, then you are seriously miscalculating.

Yes, your last paragraph is true. Atiku has to meet up expectation in the North-east.
With only the votes of the christian minorities of the North-east, Atiku is assured 25-30%. If he can pull some additional muslim votes and get as high as 40% in the NE, then get as high as 40% in the South-west, then forget it. He will definitely win. I'm not banking on the North-west unless Tambuwal and Kwankwaso helps him work on Sokoto and Kano, otherwise 15% would be the highest Atiku gets in the North-west, courtesy [Southern Kaduna people and other christian minorities in the zone. Let's not also forget that Kano state have over a million Southernerns (Igbos, SS, Middlbelters)].

All in all, the margin win or loss in next year's election would most likely be a close one.

Interesting.

oodualover:
You also forgot to mention that Atiku is a Muslim just like Buhari and that religion will be useless in 2019

Religion will not be useless in much of the north.

Hausa fulanis know or think Buhari is a better muslim who is heavily pro-Arewa.
Northern Christians know Atiku is more of a liberal muslim and will definitely be a better leader to them.

Liberal northern muslims like those of Kogi, Kwara and to an extent Niger & Nasarawa are the only ones I can really say religion is useless to here.

QuotaSystem:
It is very valid to permute that the votes from the 4 excluded northern states (Benue, Plateau, Nassarawa, Taraba) will be shared by both candidates as federal might will play out (both parties will rig anyway). With 19 million registered voters in the North West and 10 million in the North East which are largely homogenic, it is safe to say anyone who loses these key regions has lost the 2019 elections. With another 14 million registered voters in the SW which is APC's stronghold and Atiku's slant towards choosing a SE VP, his campaign team should be very worried.

Note that this is not to say Atiku will not record a sizable number of votes from the Northern States, but the ratio will pale in significance to Buhari's potential landslide victory in the region. - Q.S

You have a fairly good Analysis, but your mistake is failing to analyse the large population Northern Christians and Liberal non-Hausa fulani muslims all over the 19 northern states posses.

Northern christians which form not less than 30% of the population of the 19 northern states are all going to vote Atiku.
Apart from Benue, Taraba, Plateau & Nasarawa which you hinted, Atiku will also win Kwara, Kogi, FCT and Adamawa.

Do you know that Kaduna state which has the 2nd highest registered voters in the North and 3rd highest voters in the entire Nigeria will be heavily divided by Atiku? You forgot the Southern Kaduna factor, perhaps you think all NorthWestern states are Hausa-fulani states and will all give 100% of their votes to Buhari.

Only Ebira people support Buhari in Kogi state because of Yahaya Bello. Their votes are not enough for Buhari to win Kogi.
Saraki factor will play out in Kwara.

Atiku has always been a godfather in Adamawa politics right from the days of old Gongola state (Taraba & Adamawa) where he won the governorship elections.

In 2011 when Buhari won all Hausa fulani states, He lost Adamawa.

As for the North-central, check this link to a thread below and see the ass whooping Atiku is giving to Buhari in the largest North-central forum online.

https://www.nairaland.com/4778327/picture-proofs-atiku-sweeping-votes

arewaboy01:
someone should tell all these myopic minds that election is not won online... most of y'all are online noise makers ...

Facebook is not faceless like Nairaland where people like you use multiple monikers to comment rubbish all over.
You can see the names of the people commenting, you can search for them and check their profiles, check their family members. There is no way many of them will not be voting.

slyfoxxjoe:
exactly what I have been wondering. You never hear any news about Cameroon on CNN or other Western media networks despite the civil war that's been happening there for months. But yeah, I think it's because it's in fact a puppet state of France.

This is very terrible. Westernerns are just filled with so much evil.
I knew there was trouble in Cameroon (Anglophone part), but never guessed it has escalated to the level of a civil war.

RevenGeMission:
hahahahahaha


Fakebook comments from mostly Biafraudenese commenters is your proof ??

Brain is paining you aswear

Why don't you go on facebook and check the group to see if it is true or false? Or continue enjoying your self delusion.
I am an admin of the group.
So far so good, I have not seen the names of any Igbo persons on the lists of names.

If you are mistaking Igala, Igede & Idoma names for Igbo names, then that is your ignorance. Many Igalas, Igedes and Idomas answer names that seem Igbo. They are direct neighbors of Igbos.

Atiku2019:
Middlebelt 65% votes locked down for Atiku

This is not true!
Only massive rigging by the APC governors in the zone will stop Atiku from getting 80% of the middlebelt.

cc Afamed, sangresan, sokera, pivotal, BabaRamota1980, PassingShot

The only state Buhari can win in the middlebelt is Niger state, and unfortunately for Buhari supporters, Niger state had the lowest eligible voters in the North-central, Plateau state had the highest.

After all the fulani herdsmen killings in Plateau state, some zombies still expect votes for Buhari from Plateau and all over the North central?
They're not called Zombies for nothing.

Governor Lalong, you are packing your bags back to Shendam next year, Plateau people voted you by mistake because Jang forced his cousin on the state.

APC is leaving the entire North-central next year.

If you are Atikulated, please help me tag those who have been arguing here on Nairaland that Buhari will sweep the entire North.

Let them know that the North-central is not for sale.

I pity for those who think that most middlebelters will vote for Buhari because he is from the North and we are called North-central.

Where are those who have been arguing here that Buhari will divide the North-central's votes with Atiku?

Pls come and see for yourself. Live screenshots

'The Middlebelt region' is the largest online regional forum of the people of the North-central geopolitcal zone, currently with almost 350 thousand members.

There was a poll since on sunday who to vote between
A (Buhari)
B (Atiku).
Watch who has been leading for yourself. You can join the forum on facebook to see for yourself.

Afamed:
I Will take you serious only when you have ever visited NE and NW to have known the kind of political control PMB commands over there.
Adamawa and Taraba are just the 2 states in the NE Atiku could be bold enough to win. Gombe, Bauchi, Yobe, and Borno are not ready to give Atiku 1% of their votes. Come to NW, Jigawa, Kano, Kaduna, Zamfara, Katsina, Sokoto,Zamfara and Kebbi. it will take a special grace of God for Atiku to get 10% votes in all those states.My write ups ain't about sentiment, but basically of what I have seen while I stayed in the North for close to 10yrs.

You have a fairly true analysis, but you fk'ed up where you said Gombe, Bauchi, Borno will not give Atiku 1% of their votes. Have you really lived in these states to know the existence of the strong christian minority populations? Do you know that Gombe and Borno south senatorial districts are dominated by Christians?
Unfortunately religions plays a very big role here.

Even in 2015 when many northern christians voted Buhari because of the Change slogan, Buhari still did not get 90% votes in any state of the North-east except Yobe.

It will not take a special grace for Atiku to get 10% in Kaduna. This shows that you don't know Kaduna state well, cos even in 2015 when many Southern Kaduna people voted Buhari, Buhari still got only 70% of Kaduna's votes. This time around, Kaduna will almost be divided 50/50 by Southern Kaduna people.

Nwaohafia1:
The 19 people that voted for Jonah Jang are the problem of Nigeria

Lol, abeg leave my former governor alone oh

Pivotal:
This is the kind of analysis that led Ojukwu to declare Biafra, the same kind of analysis led some bandit in military uniform to orchestrate the first coup in Nigeria. Your wailing will be renews 2019.



NC my ass, make I pai if this clown is not Igbo. No one radiates chronic irredeemable hate like them.

Click on my profile and check the threads I've been creating since 2013 when I joined this forum, then tell if I am Igbo or from the middlebelt.

I wonder why many Buhari supporters think Buhari can win in the middlebelt. Do they think middlebelt people reason like Hausa-fulanis or play the kind of politics that they play?

sangresan:
Kindergarten political analysis. Now, let me bust your bubble...Saraki won't win any Yoruba state...He isn't a Yoruba man as he and his family have repeated over the years...Only, misinformed dudes like you peddle such a false tale that he is Yoruba..When the time comes, I pray it does, we will educate all of you ill-informed Yorubas properly.....Again, he will lose massively in the North West and East where the bulk of voters are...Those core Northerners don't see him as one of them......NW votes alone will be almost equal to SS and SE votes combined...In the NC, he is only likely to get votes in Kwara, Kogi, and probably Benue...

In all, the margin of defeat will be higher than 7 million votes...

You called someone's analysis Kindergarten analysis, yet you also faulted in your analysis.
You said Saraki will only win Kwara, Kogi & Benue in the North-central? Then, who will win Nasarawa & Plateau? Buhari has never won elections in Plateau or Nasarawa or Abuja before, he cannot win now after all the herdsmen killings in the zone and now that our own from the North-central is coming out.

The South-east, SS and NC is locked down for Saraki, so forget it.

Yoruba votes are always divided, you guys hardly give bloc votes to one candidate.

On a Nigerian and West African forum, East Africans now dominate the discussion. Smh

Why does Nigeria always have to play the role of a big brother to unite Africans?

Bifwoli:
That's just so arrogant of you to think you know what is best for these people.These are nomadic people they don't roll like you their wealth is herding cows so money/cities are a distant thought to them .Its akin to going to Fulani herdsmen and telling them to move into Jos, Abuja or Ibadan to be modern yet that is not what Fulanis value.Go see the kind of bloody tribal wars they fight over cattle rustling then you'll know where their values are.Stop being so presumptuous about people you know so little about.

That's no excuse. Many fulani herdsmen in Nigeria leave the nomadic life and acculturate into villages and towns to settle, while still tending their cows.
Also, they wear clothes like modern humans.

Turkanas and Samburus still live like they are in the stone age. They wear rags to no clothes. They starve. They are an eye sore.

mtisTheQubit:
Dont throw stones while living in a glass house..

Northern Nigeria

You are comparing refugee victims of a war to normal Kenyan citizens who starve for no just cause?

Mind you, Abuja, the capital of Nigeria is in the north-central zone and not in the south.

Kano & Kaduna cities are among the top 5 largest and richest cities in Nigeria and they are in the core-north, so try something else.

Nigeria can never be like Kenya where some citizens are used for tourist attractions while others are left to rot and starve to death without any reason.

mtisTheQubit:
Northern kenya

And what is this? How are the lives of these northern Kenyans like?

I have seen the kind of lives most Turkanas, Samburus, Somalis and other northern Kenyans live, believe me, I was ashamed to be an African when I saw what their lives were like.
One or two isolated projects don't mean anything.

There is no single city or viable commercial centre in the entire northern Kenya. That is what I call real marginalization.

CyynthiaKiss:
The person you quoted is from North Central.

Don't mind the Zlantanfan or whatever he calls himself.

Only muslim extremists in the North-central will vote Buhari come next year. And Niger state is the only state in the North-central where muslim extremists dominate.

The remaining 5 states and Abuja are dominated by Christians and Liberal muslims. Our voting pattern willl be just like 2011 when PDP won 70% of our votes.
In fact it will be higher this time, because 99% of Benue will vote PDP, likewise Kwara, through Saraki factor.
In 2011, half of Tiv population voted APC and APC got 1/3 of the state, but now APC has completely lost support in Tiv land. Ortom has decamped.

Only massive rigging will make Buhari get 30% in the North-central. His best bet should be 25%.

North-central will neutralize the support of Buhari in the North-east and there will be extra votes because North-central outnumbers North-east in population.

SE/SS will neutralize North-west votes. Buhari may only win depending on how Yorubas vote.

If Buhari does not win in South-west with a wide margin, the extra votes from the North-central will cover this up.

Any candidate that wins next year will only win with a very thin margin.

zlantanfan:
Anything that makes you happy, I see why some certain persons can never move on after the eventual reality of an election, this is because they have conditioned themselves to believe only what makes them happy, as always when reality strikes its too depressing to accept that they agitate a new country

I am from the North-central bro. You can check my threads to confirm this.

You guys have been so conditioned to think that anyone who opposes Buhari is from the South-east.

People like you will receive a shock from the North-central next year. Go back to 2011 and check how we rejected Buhari all over the North-central, except Niger state.

kikuyu1:
Yes,Boranas,Gabbras,Burjis and Ormas are considered Kenyan. Unlike Somalis they've no grudges and/or complexes. Tbh,they live far away in the N in Marsabit and Moyale and are below 300 k therefore politically insignificant nationally.

Why are some Kenyans isolated and neglected by the center?
Northern Kenyans seem like they are in a country of their own.

Is this not a form racism/discrimination?

alhassanyusuf29:
Buhari shall clear the whole states of NW and NE(apart from taraba)

will win NC states of Niger, kogi and nassarawa and lose slightly in kwara and platue

Buhari should defeat Saraki in SW with the support of Tinubu and APC governors

Stop saying what you don't know. Buhari has never won elections in Nasarawa state before and can never win it now.
Igalas are the majority in Kogi and most of them now hate APC because of that Ebira governor, Yahaya Bello. Only Ebira votes cannot make Buhari win Kogi. Buhari has never won in Kogi west and will not win now.

Buhari will loose Plateau & Benue with a very wide margin, which people do you expect to vote Buhari in these 2 states after all the herdsmen killings?

Saraki owns Kwara and decides what happens there. Kwara would be a landslide for PDP.

Niger state is the only state in the North-central where Buhari can win.

In the North-east, Buhari is not only going to loose Taraba. Adamawa & Gombe will also be very challenging for him.

Kaduna will be challenging for Buhari. Southern Kaduna people will divide the votes of that state.

TrueNigerian300:
As it is now I strongly believe the ticket is between Atiku and Bukola as these two have more supporters in the south than the rest and they are also the two most influential.Rumors have it that Tambuwal is Wike's favorite which I believe due to his body language.Here comes the problem I dont think Wike wields such influence to influence the choice of Tambuwal among all the delegates. I am not underestimating his power right now as far as PDP is concerned but how much can he spend? Just so we know Bukola and Atiku are moneybags as well so also as many of the aspirants.

Only one thing can save Tambuwal here today and it is rigging and not just rigging but the one that is yet to be seen in politics anywhere in the world.Dude it wont be easy to rig this trust me. Again if Wike has been able to choose the delegates particularly from the southern parts then there is likely that Tambuwal will emerge.

Today, if Bukola wins, Atiku will curse the day he advised his father(Olusola) to make him the governor of kwara state as he might not have been a politician talk more of vying for the presidency. If Atiku wins then he can tell Bukola that I am your father anytime anyday as far as politics is concerned.


Lastly, Atiku looks more like someone that will decamp if not given the ticket. Bukola wont decamp as you can see he has the senate to fall back on. For Atiku this is his last chance and he knows this.

Whoever wins is not non of my business I just wish them all well.But the aftermaths of this will be interesting many secrets will be uncovered.Many believe the party will scatter and all but it might not PDP might get it right this time.

I dont care about whoever gets the ticket but in all honesty PDP will be a joke if Atiku or Saraki didnt get the ticket. Infact APC and Buhari should go and sleep once they give it outside the two said people.

To all PDP supporters I wish your party well.

You have hit the nail on the head with your analysis bro. I wish I could re-like your comment.

NAIRALLANDER:
Thanks.
Mine doesn't bring out pus, so I can't actually pop it out or something. But I really suffered from acne back then, only that the spots are gone now. If I may ask, what did you use for yours, and are your scars completely gone?

Yes, my scars are completely gone.

I used a face peel. It was sold to me by nikkysavy skincare. It's an organic product that peels away the surface skin of the face and helps generate a new one.

I'm not sure if it would work for your swollen scars.
Perhaps you can contact her and show her and she might have a recommendation for you.

She literally saved my life with that face peel.
You can pm me if you want her number or better still check her website with that name.

NAIRALLANDER:
If water is the cure, it would have disappeared long ago.
I love swimming, I drink water a lot, I bath thrice a day and I also wash my face multiple times a day.

Hmm, I had something similar years ago. But I don't know if the name was keloid. Sometimes my acnes got so big and then becomes like a boil with pus. After all the pus comes out, it sometimes never flatten out. It remains like that and sometimes one or more join together to make it as wide as that.

Sometimes another boil springs up from those swollen scars and gets burst again.
If this was what happened to you there, I think you'll have to see a dermatologist. Mine wasn't as worse as this, but was something close. I usually wait when fresh boils come back on those swollen scars, then I use the opportunity to press out and completely flatten those scars.
In my case, those scars were there because there were still some accumulated 'thickened pus' or whatever that was there, I'm not sure of yours.

Do you still have regular breakouts (acnes) on those scars?

Don't listen to anyone who tells you to calm down, that the stuffs will go naturally. Just keep on searching, you will find a cure. It took me 7-8 years to find a lasting cure to my acne, blackheads, scars etc. After spending hundreds of thousands of naira. Only those with the condition know what they go through. Others will never understand.
Mine were more of black scars that had eaten deep into my skin tissue and it was now as if the face was rotting and developing holes. I would have told you what helped me out, but yours is more of swollen scars.

Those swollen scars must be softened and pus must gather which you must burst out, before those scars will ever leave, don't let anyone deceive you, there is nothing you can ever apply on those swollen scarss that will make them disappear, they can be there just like that for so many years. They're just like blackheads. They just never come off until they're extracted.

I strongly recommend you get something that will soften the tissues of those scars and make them gather pus like a boil.
It seems like you never completely press out the pus when you had cystic acnes (pimples that get big and turn into a boil), cos for one who has battled with acne in the past, you have little to no spots to show for it.

I wish you success in your journey to find the cure, with patience you'll get it soon.