Ositadima1's Posts
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yMcy56: Streetinvestor2:I talked about Tantalizer here. I talked about Champion, which is getting ready to rally. I talked about Oando here. I talked about DangSugar. Keep track and go figure. Or do you want me to spoon-feed you all? |
My forefathers said, "If a lizard falls from a high tree and no one praises it, it will nod its head to congratulate itself." These wise men (forefathers) saw things clearly, and we should take their words seriously. ![]() |
So my TA is actually working kind of, lol ![]() |
Shalom428:Hahaha! I don’t understand why you people are attacking Agba. Is it by force to give out tips? Agba has mastered the art of bad news—he’s here to tell us when the bear will come. Whether the bear actually comes or not is a discussion for another day. |
Tantalizer still has fire in its belly, but trade cautiously. ![]() |
From a TA perspective (Not shown here for proprietary reasons ) and based on probabilistic analysis of past performance, Champion appears to be a good bet. If you can acquire it below 4—or ideally much below 4—there is an 18% chance of a 50% upward move, compared to a 19% chance of a 20% downward move over the next three months. In conclusion, it is likely to move upward. ![]() |
Streetinvestor2:You know say na fun we dey catch for here, you dey quick vex o, but you too dey whine people too. Oga Street, nothing do you. ![]() |
Dangpte dey play with una sense, walai ![]() |
DeRuggedProf:When a self-proclaimed judge does not understand his subject, can we say that his judgment is null and void? Look at the financial notes on page 58—they clearly state that the revaluation includes physical assets, from land to computers and even furniture (even aircraft ), adding up to over ₦400 billion. This matches what is reported on the income statement.So, I was correct—any other company could revalue its furniture and add billions.
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This is an ambush judgment—you only picked the parts that suited you. Did you check my other posts? Those were the basis of my exchange with "Guy Street." It seems like you’re also heavily invested in DangSugar. |
DeRuggedProf:Does it look to you like the naira will reverse? From where I stand, it’s becoming increasingly unlikely. I once thought ₦1,000 was possible, but that no longer seems realistic given both our economic performance as a country and the price of crude. Like I said, even at below ₦30, the stock is very risky. Street is basing his hopes on a stronger naira, but the outlook doesn’t look promising. That said, we’ll see—anything can happen. I might even hit that ₦1 billion mark this year and retire peacefully. ![]() Another thing—when will the loss be realized? DangoteSugar is a company that continuously buys raw materials, so how long will it take before its obligations to creditors must be honored? This situation is different from when banks recorded forex profits, as those were based on when they chose to convert to naira. In this case, there is a limited window—you can’t owe indefinitely, especially when you constantly need more goods. |
Streetinvestor2:Is that how income tax is reported—on a separate line outside profit from operations? Where is the income tax deducted from, if I may ask? They only confused you to prevent a price crash. If your so-called revaluation was factored in, why is the EPS still negative? And why are we even discussing it? What truly matters is the money generated from operations—Dangote Sugar’s core business—not revaluation gains. As for the banks, I still stand to be corrected. The CBN ordered banks to raise capital as a buffer so they have reserves to stabilize in case of any issues. Common sense should tell you that such funds are not meant for investment; otherwise, it defeats the purpose. |
Streetinvestor2:Emotions are clouding your judgment. Where was the revaluation taxed, if I may ask? Look carefully—it is below the profit for the year. That’s why the EPS is negative. If you add back the revaluation, the EPS will turn positive. They simply played on your intelligence. Did you notice the interest expense? Isn’t it higher than the actual profit from operations? And did you read where I mentioned that even if you remove the ₦208 billion, the company would still be in losses? Can you provide your own summary of the financials—just the raw figures? I want to see your calculations. Like I said before, don’t let stubbornness and emotions cloud your judgment. In one of Trump's interviews, the interviewer asked him, "What if Russia breaks the proposed ceasefire?" Trump replied, "Too many what-ifs. What if a bomb falls on your head right now?" LOL. Are you really going to base your investment thesis on the Naira strengthening back to below ₦1,000? I thought you were a street guy—maybe I was wrong. One more thing—if the losses are unrealized, why did they include them there instead of below the profit for the year? Everything that contributes to the profit for the year has already been accounted for. |
They used asset revaluation to mislead people—lol, very clever gimmicks. Any company on the NGX could add extra billions just by revaluing its assets, not just DangSugar. My plot of land, which was worth ₦2 million before Tinubu, is now valued at over ₦6 million. Does that mean I’m actually richer? ![]() |
crownprince2017:Are we looking at the same document? It’s really strange how far our minds can go in twisting evidence once we are invested in a stock. Even with the ₦208 billion unrealized FX loss—if we exclude that figure—DangSugar would still have recorded a significant loss. Finance costs ballooned from ₦29 billion to ₦53 billion, which is far above the gross profit of ₦31 billion. And this isn’t even considering operating profit, which is even lower at ₦12.7 billion. Did you notice that performance is worse than the previous year? Gross profit dropped from ₦86 billion to ₦31 billion, while operating profit fell from ₦72.7 billion to ₦12.7 billion. My friend, even at below ₦30 per share, this stock is very risky. They haven't found a solution to their problems yet. The only possible fix I see is raising product prices—but how will customers react to that? I don’t know. To newbies like me, please take the time to examine the financials. Don’t just accept what this guy, me, or anyone else here says as fact. Some people distort reality for personal interests.
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Before you attack me, the posts are here—I can pull them up for you. ![]() |
pluto09:LOL, I said it here—DangSugar would post bad results. I also analyzed it as my reason for entering Presco. I discussed the issues: you can't just buy land and generate enough sugarcane in a short time. Land is capital-intensive, yet some people were busy quoting back integration. Look at the gross profit, and you'll understand better—raw sugar is still being imported in large quantities, and with this unfavorable exchange rate, it's a major challenge. I also mentioned that rising interest rates on loans would be a problem. Again, look at the expenses going toward interest—did you see how it wiped out the already small operational profit? Additionally, I discussed asset revaluation separately. I said here that balance sheets would see boosts due to asset revaluation as the naira lost significant value. I am vindicated—that's all I can say. Me I no know book oo, na just manage I dey use the reason things. |
RodgersAkpafu:Can you please post pictures of their streets—the worst ones—and compare them with the average or best streets in Nigeria? Forget GDP; like StreetInvestor2, I judge a country based on what I see on the streets. |
RodgersAkpafu:Lol, you do—no matter how much you try to hide it by changing your tone. We all do it, but a native speaker can always tell the difference, 100%. I just got a little annoyed that you're calling countries far better than your mother country a "shithole." |
RodgersAkpafu:Do you think you’ve become American or British just because you migrated there? Suddenly, you disrespect nations that are far ahead of your mother country simply because you left. Let me assure you—you are not one of them. Maybe your children will be, depending on the country you’re in, but you, my friend, with your Naija accent and mannerisms, will never fully blend in. You will always be that "strange and exotic" fellow, so don’t kid yourself. These days, I see a lot of people like you—living a lie. |
RodgersAkpafu:Have you been to Belarus and Maldova? I don't think you have. Can you compare any of those places with best cities in Nigeria, cities like Lagos, Abuja or even Portharcourt? You are calling a country that is far better than yours a shithole, that says a lot about you and your lever of brainwash. |
RodgersAkpafu:What about all the places NATO has invaded? When it's NATO, is it acceptable to attack? Your comment about "shithole" is myopic; you don't even know where I am right now or whom I associate with. What other news sources do you follow besides Western media? Do you try to source your news from different, conflicting outlets and then make an informed decision? Let's start with your news sources—that will tell me how far gone you are. |
GeeKudi:My brother, both sides have lost many lives. Russia has suffered heavy losses, but they had to fight for their future. If NATO fully enters Ukraine, Russia will be within a short distance of enemy fire. Any minor conflict could escalate into a NATO attack—just as NATO and the USA, without solid proof, attacked Iraq and slaughtered Saddam like a chicken. Later, we learned that Iraq never possessed weapons of mass destruction. In this world, you must establish boundaries and demonstrate strength; otherwise, others will walk over you like a child. Russia’s war on Ukraine was a necessary evil. |
RodgersAkpafu:I know it can be very difficult to understand these things. Once you’ve been brainwashed, seeking the truth becomes even harder. Why should NATO be expanding right up to Russia’s borders—a country they’ve been in low-key conflict with for decades? Does that seem right to you, or are you only looking at things superficially? I support Russia. If I had the resources to preempt a greater threat, I would use them. It’s unfortunate that Ukraine is caught in the middle, but Russia has to do what it must. This is not just a war against Ukraine—it’s a war against NATO and a fight for Russia’s right to exist as a superpower. Core European nations are far removed from this conflict. If Russia were expanding near the UK, France, or even the USA, would those countries accept it? Please be fair in your thinking and judgment. |
RodgersAkpafu:I don't want to live in a unipolar world, just as I don't want a monopoly or a single-bank system on the NGX. NATO's objective is to enforce unipolarity. If you don’t agree to their terms, they either impose heavy sanctions or resort to direct attacks. We need China and Russia to maintain balance. |
RodgersAkpafu:You must first understand history—without understanding the past, you can never truly judge a situation. The USSR encompassed Russia and several other states. During the Cold War, due to the weaknesses of Gorbachev, the then-leader of the USSR, and sabotage by the USA, the Soviet Union eventually split into the various states we see today. The Cold War still lingers to this day. There was an agreement that NATO would not expand, yet NATO continued to expand, incorporating former USSR countries into its coalition and installing missile systems along the way. These missile systems can be used for both defense and offense. For whatever reason, Ukraine began making plans to join NATO. Russia made it clear that it did not want NATO at its borders, as it posed a security risk. However, Ukraine insisted on joining as a sovereign nation. In response, Russia decided to attack Ukraine—at this point, Ukraine has been left to fight alone, and NATO missiles have not yet been installed. I don't blame Russia. A rational person must anticipate greater threats before they materialize. If NATO had already installed its missile systems, Russia would have been forced into a defensive position. As I understand it, this is a fight for Russia’s right to exist as an independent power rather than a mere puppet. Regarding the annexed territories, Russia has lost soldiers in this war, so any land it captures is now theirs—just as Israel has been capturing Palestinian land, yet there has been no widespread condemnation. |
RodgersAkpafu:
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ojeysky:Ok nah. ![]() |
safepaulooo:Let's see how it goes. In the meantime, all sanctions on Russia will be lifted as the USA has sided with Russia. If Ukraine can indeed strike inside Russian territory, how far do you think those homemade drones can reach? We are talking about a country the size of a continent, with oil fields spread across it. Now, Russia can start launching missiles freely without fear. I don't see how Ukraine will last—Europe is already spent. The USA has contributed over $250 billion, while Europe has provided around $100 billion, yet here we are. Is it now, after the USA has changed its policy, that Ukraine will suddenly be able to show strength? This is why I dislike wishful thinking—it makes a person sound childish. |
Streetinvestor2:This is not TA or FA, just my personal experience. Banks are very liquid. In fact, if you want ₦300 million worth of Zenith Bank shares, you will likely get it within a day or two. Because of this liquidity, prices don’t tend to rise sharply. Remember, the higher the trading volume, the greater the market efficiency. As far as I know, banks have historically traded at a 12–15% dividend yield. So, if we expect a ₦4 dividend, a price of ₦33 is possible. One factor that can impact yield is interest rates. If treasury bill rates fall to around 6–8%, I expect bank dividend yields to decline as well, which would mean higher share prices. |
Nigerialabalaba:Which news outlet is Defense Express? Please stop quoting blogs. I have already told you what is likely to happen. Today, Friday, Zelensky is in the USA deliberating on the Ukraine-USA deal, which would grant the USA about 50% of Ukraine's mineral resources and put the USA in charge of reconstruction. The war is over. If Ukraine chooses to continue without the USA, Russia will enter a different phase of the war. So far, Russia has been relatively restrained, but you will see what Russia can do once the USA is out of the way. I don’t follow blogs. |
Oando—my TA is hinting at a reversal downwards around 62.2 or 71. I believe those who bought at higher prices are averaging down. Investors who bought at 75 and above—amounting to several billion—would logically want to lower their average buy price. The same happened with DangSugar and MTN. Whenever you see a sharp price drop, it quickly recovers as those who bought high try to bring down their average cost. The price never falls in a straight line. This is where some traders who can time the waves make money. Oando needs to prove itself with a strong Q1 result; otherwise, we could see prices drop below 47 the next time it dips. I’m not advising anyone to buy or sell. |
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