Rvp2018's Posts
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Ghana base rate is 25% - somethings are hard to believe In August, Ghana's consumer price inflation reached its highest level since 2001, accelerating to 33.9% year-on-year from 31.7% in July. Cedis has depreciated by 40% against the dollar - that mean nominal GDP has almost halved to 40B DOLLARS and GDP per capita is now on verge of going to LDC ![]() Ghana Hikes Rates to Highest Level Since 2017 on Inflation Risks Bank raises rate by 250 bps to 24.5%; survey est. was 23.5% Inflation in Ghana accelerating at fastest pace in two decades And they havent revolted ![]() These Ghanians are the most resilient human on earth - suffering and smillings. |
This was 1999 - you were 30 percent dependant on Aid. I bet nothing much has change. Only Rwanda after it was frozen from donor funding few years ago have agressively improve domestic revenue generation and are now self -sufficent. Ghana the IMF colony with George Walker Bush I bet still budget donor funding. Just40:
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Foreign aid - grants - should be 1% or less. I hope you're not confusing it with A-I-A (Appropriation in Aid). You see kenya is very progressive country - when we face problem - we reform and fix them. In 1990s Foreign Aid was almost 60% of our budget - some countries were doing 99%. It was also main source of forex So in 1993s all the donors met and decided to cut Aid - on the same day - because Moi mass human right violation (ethnic killings, torture) So immediately our economy crashed - we had our only first and only hyper-inflation - Kshs dropped from 20 to dollar to 60 to a dollar. Bread moved from being 2shs to 10shs. Everything went haywire. People savings were wipped out. Suffice to say some countries like Ghana and Nigeria such nightmares are normal. 1993 was first and last hyperinflation in kenya - we lost a decade - though the hyperinflation lasted six months. Ghana and Nigeria ohoo boy - right now Ghana is in hyperinflation already. Anyway we had start-stop donor aid flow and cut - as western nations - pushed Moi to accept democracy But out of it - we started dealing seriously with donor dependence. We formed KRA - we started to aggressively collect taxes - and by time Moi was leaving donor dependence had dropped from 60% to 10%. Kibaki regime took from 10% to 2%. Now it's less than 1 percent. We collect taxes plus A-I-A - and finance our development, social investment and are doing way better than Nigeria the zoo can imagine. obaaderemi: |
Obaboon, we refinanced our debt - we borrow a 10 billion - we repay 10billion. The more than 20 billion revenues (ordinary+AIA) is what we use for development+recurrent expenditure. obaaderemi: |
Ruto was engine of Jubilee 1.0 that delivered SGR in record time, delivered almost 10K rural roads, delivered world fastest electrification and were reward with second term with 5% more votes. Ruto delivered on technical education. Ruto also was behind Big 4. Ruto opposed Uhuru attempt to amend constitution in BBI and to divert from Big 4 - launching crazy unbudgeted projects like Mashujaa thing in Langata. Ruto is manifesto is BIg 4 plus MSME. Ruto has been consistent, and Uhuru tried to play political games to extend his term. If Uhuru had allowed Ruto to oversee Big 4 - we would be very far. Uhuru was punished by votes together with his project for wasting kenya money and time in useless political projects. We are back to big 4 - Housing for all - 1 million units from 0.5m that Jubilee had promised - Ruto has committed to double the efforts to compensate for waste of entire 5yr tenure spent on BBI and other shenanigans. Manufacturing, Food security and Healthcare. The only addition is Hustler Fund - to inject money to the informal sector. Wuoche: |
Wuoche:
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Yes - that will save you lots of forex - and you can hopefully fix forex policy mess. Fourpockets: |
And yet we are able to finance an almost 35B dollars budget. You're a cartoon. obaaderemi: |
Why are you importing oil when you have it. That is possibly single hemorrhage of forex. Fourpockets: |
Delta Airline recently made 12B dollars loss and US gave US airline COVID-19 package of $25 billion. Let just say Airline business is beyond Nigeria abilities. KQ carries millions of passengers. samorobo: |
He is right on money. This has nothing to do with import restriction on say rice. Trade policies. It's about Naira-Dollar - Moniteray policy. Nigeria should restrict import of rice/etc without using dollars. It should do that by simply raising the import duties for foreign rice. The Zoo moniterary policy is crazy. Last happened in Kenya in 1990s. What Obi is seeking to do - Kenya did in early 1990s. Fourpockets: |
How do you propose to tax flea markets. Understand difference btw taxes and revenues from market licenses, fees and others. Those are not taxes. You cannot run a country by chasing traders in Balogun market ![]() Quickest way to tax is to go for transanctions. You say Nigeria makes 3.7 billion transactions annual through the payment system. If you tax - 1 dollar per transaction - you're talking 3.7Billion dollars. This will affect everyone and widen the tax net. To chase informal traders across Nigeria will just result in broken limbs and zero tax collection. GeneralDae: |
Actually I checked again. He negotiated for M-pesa licenses. That is key for Safaricom. Big positive rapid changes happening in #Ethiopia’s telecom & financial services sectors. Safaricom granted license to offer mobile money (Mpesa) services (video). It’ll compete with EthioTelecom’s new Telebirr which signed 23 million+ subscribers in less than 1 year. Wuoche: |
Ethiopia forex regulation is the albatross to investing there. Kenya flower companies saw dust. You can invest but dont hope to take money out soon. https://twitter.com/PatrickHeinisc1/status/1577706825226457088/photo/1 I see @flyethiopian already points out new forex regulations. The laws of #Ethiopia must be respected, but if a gov. cannot afford the exchange rate and forces people to exchange $1 for 52 birr while any trader on the street would give 100, it is kind of stealing from the people. |
I dont see how Ruto has contributed to this. But yes he did manage to get wheat deal. Ethiopia are doing great stuff in agri sector - they will move to wheat surplus - from producing 1.5M tonnes to 2.5M tonnes. Ruto secured a deal to import Ethiopia wheat. There is a lot we can import from Ethiopia...though getting dollars out of Ethiopia is akin to pulling your teeth...so you have to invest for long term...you aint repatriating profit any time soon. Kenya we are stuck at 0.35M tonnes of wheat. Shma2022: |
Some of those stats people just quote out of thin air. Yes there is corruption but 50% sounds way too high. Wage bill alone is almost 50% (way above the recommended 35%) with teachers taking the lion share. You cannot steal wage bill (unless you have that many ghost workers). That leave the 50% to be split btw recurrent expenditures (office supplies) and development vote. I am assuming debt is being refinanced. So essentially a percentage of recurrent expenditure is stolen (inflated tissue paper) and of course development (10-20 percent rent seeking of any contract). So I'd say max being stolen would be 10-20% of the budget. tylann:
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Last year it was 2.03 trillion kshs that almost 20b in ordinary taxes alone..this year it's up 20 percent almost....and we have not added non tax revenues.Ruto gov intends to move it 30B ordinary revenues in next year https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&cd=&ved=2ahUKEwjp36DHvM36AhUMw4UKHTynCiYQFnoECBMQBQ&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.kra.go.ke%2Fnews-center%2Fpress-release%2F1752-kra-exceeds-revised-target%2C-records-highest-revenue-growth-in-history%23%3A~%3Atext%3D2.031%2520Trillion%2520for%2520the%2520Financial%2C(FY%25202020%252F2021).&usg=AOvVaw0sd9dUqbuXGoYGG1AYy2oq |
obaaderemi:Kenya ordinary taxes are approaching 20b..total revenue are more than 20b.Your zoo has a long way to go |
Airlines are strategic assets for a functioning country. Besides GoK spend billions in travel - as civil servants have to travel - so that kind of cost - aint going away. What is percentage of Ghana gov money that goes to foreign airlines alone. Just40: |
So there is nothing wrong with Nigeria economy. It doesn't need to diversify anymore. The generator powered manufacturing is doing great. The hoe powered agricluture is doing wonders. Nigeria economy remain OIl and nothing. That is why since Oil had issues in 2010 or around - it's been under recession. If Oil wasnt an issue - you wont be getting sick with oil prices. obaaderemi: |
Few airlines make profit. KQ is flying. Nigeria Airways has been bitting the dust since most of you were not yet born. KQ generates more than a billion in revenues annually. It own subsidiaries that make money like JamboJet, Precision Air,. It transport more than 2 million passengers annually and tonnes of cargo. 10yrs ago - Ethiopia Airline was not making profit - KQ was making profit. 68816419: |
Sounds like bla de bla of a goat. Get us proper stats. My 4B estimate is based on top formal retailers. Biggest in Kenya is Naivas - with 84 stores - they gross about a billion dollars in revenue annually. I am not interested in make belief figures. Jumia entire global operation total sales is less than that...their revenues not even 200m dollars. GeneralDae2: |
Again Jumia wont be struggling if Nigeria did e-commerce. Konga is dead. Those gov of Nigeria stats are not worth a warm spite of saliva. GeneralDae2: |
US doesnt even do that much online shopping. GeneralDae2: |
Usual Nigeria gov wild guestimates. Find us something credible. GeneralDae2: |
What is wrong with an empty account. It just a RECORD IN A DATABASE. It cost almost nothing for banks to create bank account in this 21st era. Everyone deserves to have bank account, ATM cards and name it. Even if they receive money once a month. obaaderemi: |
Once Equity get done with DRC and Eth - they will go and take that 100M pie from right under their nose. They will put the first branch in Makoko slums. It will world first floating bank branch . The amount of money in those mega slums is huge - and competition is under the matress.Wuoche: |
They have innovative Fintech but their banks I bet spend half their time buying fuel for generators to run ATM and other critical servies. Must be hell of on earth. I guess every bank has Chief Petrol Buyer, Chief Generator Operator and entire department to just run power backup services. How do you innovative when half the time 1) You're worried about Generator running out of fuel 2) Thugs Wuoche: |
You're funny. Do you know why Kenya local banks routed big banks like Barclays and Standard. The had been in Africa for 100yrs but only banking 5% of the population. When Nigeria banks went to DRC - you followed the same model. Heck concentrate on Nigeria - you have 100M people there who need banking services. Now with Equity and KCB in DRC - in 2-3 yrs - everyone in DRC will have a bank account - even if they live in the slums of Kinshasa. They will be give small loans. obaaderemi: |
And General DOE will claim Nigeria made 13B dollars of e-commerce through the dead Konga and dying Jumia. Wuoche: |
Why are they even expanding when they have close to 100M - another Ethiopia to be banked. Wuoche: |
Your expansion strategy is bone-headed. You go everywhere and buy the cheapest smallest struggling bank you can get - spend years cleaning their balance sheet. You give South Africa competition in burning capital. Kenya expansion is well thought out - and strategic - with intention to turn profitable in 3yrs or bow out. This cut across most kenya companies. The only place kenya companies have got burnt so far is South Sudan - another Zoo like Zoogeria - with currency like Ghana Cedis and Zambia Kwacha. DRC and Ethiopia represent the last frontier of banking in Africa - combined market of 200M - with almost 90% unbanked. Kenya banks are the trailblazers in banking the unbanked - and these are the models that is seen them overrun DRC. Equity was tiny banks 10yrs ago - but now it behemooth - it was not even a bank 20yrs ago - it was building cooperative society. This is why Equity is studied in Harvard Business school - for banking the unbankable and making serious money. obaaderemi: |
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. U.S did 811.6 billion dollars as at 2020.