₦airaland Forum

Obiano13:
Proper poll by Centre for African Progress. Remember they predicted the 2017 election to the dot. Odinga leading at 52 %, the new opposition candidate trailing at 45%.
https://www.capitalfm.co.ke/news/2022/07/centre-for-african-progress-poll-projects-raila-win-with-52pc-votes/

What make it proper..and who are they.

kikuyu1:
2 Kaos this past week have told its either 60-40 or straight 50-50 RAO Ruto-a lot of them are DONE with Kalonzo and his endless journey nowhere with RAO. We srsly need to examine opinion poll ops in this nation in the post election period! They KEEP doing this ishyt-inventing complete BS at the behest of their owners indirectly creating issues when their stats are blown away by election time reality! IIRC it was suggested they list methodology incl sampling methods a decade ago but it never went beyond Parliamentary talking stage.

I have always beaten them with my tribal models but they know how reinvent themselves after getting wrong every election..Tom Wolf is an expert in this and has survived these years.They have a week until Thursday next week which is deadline for opinion polls

NTSA:
.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VSPbv22lY5I
Rutos campaign advert

Tuju I hear has joined Nancy Gitau in exile.He run away with Azimio agent money.He was Azimio executive director.Kenyans are going through revolution against economic and political dynasties who have choked the economy through state capture.Prepare for more of them to flee Kenya as they know Ruto is bad bad news

Kenya politics..I am hearing sonko has joined hustlers nation..the revolution is on.

SUFFERInSMILIIN:
Is scavenger is better than suffering and suffering. Nigerian naira collapses to all-time hi against US dollar 700 naira to a dollar

What official rate

jl115:
naaahhh I think Shma realised that one can't argue with a simpleton like rvp

I know coming from the most racist and unequal conclave you don't believe there are black folks better than you.I have worked with creme de la creme of white society from best universities none of them was fat racist christian bimbo who enjoyed macabre murder of animals...they won't even kill a fly because their IQ told them it wasn't necessary or moral...and worse none of them would get schooled in economics and finance by software engineer like I do to you always.Youre a racist simpleton who is dreaming of the return of the glorious past of the Afrikaans.It won't happen.What will happen is a Zimbabwe when you'll be eliminated from the cape of good hope

Obiano13:
He has lost votes. His supporters were promised a lion only to be handed a thin kitten.

Nope.He actually got a golden opportunity to clear his name from all the negative propaganda from Muteshi,Arror,kimwarere,Galana and he nailed it.Now I don't know what new propaganda Azimio will invent in two weeks because their journalist underrated Ruto brilliance and he destroyed them.It would have been better if they had left the cloud of suspicion hanging on some of these things.I pity you guys...Ruto right now is heading for huge win...I will revise my numbers upward..look likely 56-57 percent with Raila at 40 percent.Its been terrible July for Raila.

Here goes..it affected my rural home...we have no load shedding in Kenya since 29yrs ago

jl115:
lol.....its just a blackout bru not something uncommon in your country

we are not south Africa..we don't have load shedding since 2001.look for Nigeria for electricity misery company

The journalist from dynasties are giving up..Ruto brain is exceptional. Raila must be very glad he never turned up. Ruto has Meles Zenawi brain... incredibly sharp.Gov has turned off electricity to stop 45 millions of kenya from watching

Azimio shutdown the national grid to stop Kenyans from watching presidential debate

MzeeMwenyewe1:
This gabage can only be tolerated in KASS Fm, Raila and Martha Karua have never been found guilty of any corruption charges. They dont even have active cases.
If i were to pick all the corruption scandals associated to Ruto we will be here the whole night.
Ruto cant fight corruption because he will be attacking himself and all his crownies. Its like Al shabaab declaring war on terrorism LOL! How else do you explain a first term MP worth billions and tons of active corruption charges huh

bla bla Raila has be jailed for 9yrs. listen to Ruto and realizes your brain dead old dude best days are gone
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PIrcaoZZH8M

Shma:
JKUAT is the best engineering & IT school in Kenya.
UoN is the best in medicine courses.
UoN goes hand in hand with Jkuat on complex courses. I would rather do Actuarial science in JkUAT than doing it in UON.

I can see you just highlighted my course. But I don't want to give more details about myself. People will easily trace me.

Prof Cheruiyot is my drinking buddy and clansman...he was dean of jkuat IT until last month...he told me something along those lines.I have no clue but I think uon still carries the prestige but to honest it's teaching is crap...it just that it attracted best brains..I will definitely never go back to uon.. education was underwhelming and lectures lazy corrupt & useless.I am told the so called mulot boys are jkuat graduates..not far from my home but I heard they mostly illeterate..not really hackers..just fraudsters like Nigerians engaged in mobile money and now Bitcoin scam.

Kenya election shenanigans are really funny as the gov project loses.Turns out the Venezuelan they picked is a logistics manager..a store keeper basically coming to assist with deployment of KIEMS kits and had bag seals.He is not IT guy.Then Kinoti goes on to raid what he thought is Ruto office only to find old desktop owned by a small business.What next for desperate Azimio and their cartoon of criminal investigation director.Time is running out.

Shma:
From this time, only 9th will tell.

Count yourself lucky because I am sharing lol top secret stuff to you.Ruto doesn't play to lose..his plan B if uhuru refuse is for Uganda and south Sudan to provide arms..kunuke kiasi...power is taken by real brave men.Kenyatta and Moi messed with wrong guy and they are getting liquidated of their 50yrs grand looting in two weeks.

Shma:
Makes more sense! That's why he's masquerading around with Abi Mohammed's profile? Seems like you guys are dangerous. You don't deserve that seat.

Ruto is the the engine... everyone's else is a cog.Ruto doesn't sleep dude.Your guy has no escape route.Rigging is done years before election by ensuring you got key guys in critical areas.Ruto was engine of moi rigging.Uhuru was drunk and woke up to find he won. Ruto is a system in itself... works extremely hard scheming, planning and executing.. changing plans.That is why Uhuru is having loose bowels movements . Today DCI were carting pentium 2 running windows 98 from Ruto old office..Ruto has three parallel systems working..you have to disable all..but ultimate this will be won at the field

Shma:
Lies.

biometric voter recognition kits and electronic results transmission system are all elecronic systems which are in public. EVI system can be used by IEBC to secretly manipulate votes - and that is what we used to in 2017.

Don't go far with your examples, in Africa,
For instance; Ghana, had a strong digital component while Namibia held the continent's first ever completely digital election, or "e-vote" in 2014... Kenya has the same but only used by a secrete entity.

On manual process, we have already seen duplicated IEBC copies from the goons side. You manage to rig both electronically and manually cos we have the best IT brains in our team.
This guy has a pHD in IT from North Korea university. He's working with Azimio.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0qO04KKMBEM

That Ghanian kid from usiu..But why we have many brilliant Kenyans..at uon we had top grade brains..we could hack anything because we had exceptional minds..we had top brains who had all pure As from alliance, strathmore, lenana, mangu,st Patrick's iten, kapsabet, kanga,kabarak....USIU seriously...Kenya election is manual..what chirchir does is to provide real time information to aid manual rigging.We don't have electronic rigging..you cast you ballot into a box..counted manually..pinned on the wall..copies to agents..taken all the way Nairobi .Those guys Azimio have hired are snake oil salesman..they will cry real tears

jl115:
this oak is fvcked

I exposed their cock n bull story.The prosecutor tried to look for me but come the d-day his witness refused to testify .The Argentinian lost.

NTSA:
@ RVP2018 someone in the gvt circles tells me that the "system" is seriously onto postponement of election ...how true is this?

I see that as there as their last card... sabotage election to cause iebc to postpone..they know they are losing..they want to negotiate with Ruto but have no leverage so muddying the waters can give them leverage.Ruto need to give jail free card to uhuru..they are scared because they know Ruto is lethal and they can't beat him... Kenyatta family are scared because Ruto is determined to liquidate them in shortest possible time.They will play dirty but so far iebc and Ruto are ahead of them.Two critical weeks

Shma:
I would rather vote for that old man than giving a perpetual liar, unrelenting thief, incompetent leader, and worse of it all, a leader filled with cold blood murderers and uneducated barons.

Your team leader had already set up a complete hacking center - where 54% -44% algorithms were to be pioneered. But luckily enough, we still have the government. The DCI and intelligence team are in our hands. We will keep an eye on all illegal activity perpetuated by those goons.

Kenya election is manual.Hacking is bullshiet.I know chirchir as family friend.If there was any hacking I would be involved.I hacked into ICC fake witnesses as my own pet project to expose the fakery and Itumbi came looking for information.You cannot hack manual election..you'd reverse engineer many manual processes.Rigging will happen manually..don't waste time on servers in manual election.We don't have electronic election like US or Europe where you press a button and vote.George Njoronge the conman of East Africa data handling is taking Azimio to cleaners.Election is manual..focus on the manual processes.. because votes will be counted manually..forms signed manually..tabulated manually ..to rig you focus on people systems..not technology that is there to aid identification and provisional transmission while the core is manual . Electronic in Kenya is add on or nice to have.. biometric helpful only to reduce stronghold and remote mass rigging... everything else is a human being

NTSA:
I think Kenyans on this thread should call a Temporary truce.

I don't see that happening until 9th august.Kenya politics is one most competitive in Africa

Today Ruto was 15kms from my home...the rally was full by 6 am because he inspire people by his track record of delivering on his promises and democratic credentials of never interfering in local elections
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3F8AAVMNYMk

Shma:
I'm picturing your submission from the perspective of primitivism. Education in Moi's era was the best in the Paleolithic age... I mean, for people like you whose brains have expired already. You need to update it and reduce the shenanigans you were fed with in pre-independence. Unlike you, I received a modern education - education that fits the modern world.

Now we can move on.

Raila is old.I am not.When your hero was overthrowing moi or attempting I was few months old.Now I am at 40yrs and your old dude is still trying to become pork..In two weeks you might become clinically depressed � when your half dead candidate is knocked out.He can't even show up in a debate.Funny thing he was challenging old Kibaki for debate in 2007. Now after seeing the more nimble Martha knocked out senselessly by the rookie Gachagua..he can't dare Ruto.. a supremely gifted political giant at 55yrs.

Shma:
Densest! Most dense is the Gamburo education you received in pre moi era. Learn!
Take a pressure pill and calm your titties cos we have just started. I don't want you to die of a heart attack!

Kenya education under Moi was best in Africa. Kibaki went for free primary without capacity compromising the education standards as average student in class went to ,
100 and the ict advancement made it easy to leak exams in mid 2000s until Matiangi happened in 2015.Youre definitely a product of the lost generation education wise.I think we are back on track now ..

Shma:
The only epitome of stupidity is you. A zombie who can't tell you from your. and don't blame it on typo, that is basically Alzheimer syndrome that hits old men like you. it's a sheer embarrassment to all the Kenya fraternity for the kind of nonsense and unfathomable disability you display here on simple logic.

When did you sit for you exam kid. You basically need to enrol in adult education or Gumbaro. You're the most dense of Kenyans here and by a mile

Shma:
Your brain is overheating, that's why it's acting up.

lemme take you slowly, old man.

We have 22m registered voters. 10m are women. By Martha joining Azimio, she already secured women's cornerstones.

Of all the female registered voters, 60% will vote for Azimio.

This time around things has changed. Women will vote for their fellow woman, who is the only sure second in command candidate.

Your are a national embarrassment.Kenyans were never this stupid.You sound like a Tanzanian.Obtuse.You must be product of 10yrs btw 2005 to 2015 when Kenya education went to dogs with mass leakages that produced the most idiotic generation of Kenyans ever before Matiangi rescued and now kids learn critical thinking skills like we did. Do you actually reason? Or you just here to heckle

MzeeMwenyewe1:
In counties like garissa and wajir its 55% to 40% in favour of raila. What i'm focusing on is Mandera and Marsabit which Uhuru got 83% but this time Ruto will get 30%.

They were actually rigged but Raila is clueless.98 percent of voters were identified biometrically nationally except in border const of Mandera, Marsabit,Wajir and Garissa were only 40-50 percent were identified by the KIEMS kit..meaning half were rigged.Once the clan consensus is done by Somalis elders the rest is details...This time there has been total chaos as you have seen clans fight each other and chebukati is determined to stop such mass rigging hence manual register will only be used as last of last resort . Turnout may go back to historical average of 40 percent before the mass rigging in NEP started in 2007 with Kibaki

Shma:
Read properly. I said Martha's effect will pull 60% of women votes to Azimio. Uhuru kenyatta was voted by kikuyus is 2012 & 2017, those figures remain solid as rock.

I think you're losing it or you have extremely low IQ

MzeeMwenyewe1:
Moving swiftly to Mandera and Marsabit counties. In 2017 Uhuru got 83% translating to 200k votes while raila got 13% - 30k votes. Today as things stand both Counties have been Azimionated, you can tell this by the in-fighting that was witnessed when Baba visited them.. I foresee raila getting 70% against 25% by ruto.

All opinions polls data I have seen in northern Kenya or somalis indicate 50-50 or Ruto even leading.Somalis will vote Ruto for president due pastoralists fraternity. Local seats will have their dynamic but the presidential race is different ballgame

MzeeMwenyewe1:
In 2017 Uhuru got 3M plus votes from Mt. Kenya region, raila only managed 200k. The total gap between them was 1.4M, this time round raila will get 1M votes from the region.

My guy Rvp says the in roads will be neutralized by the swing in western and Coast. What he doesnt know is that those counties were penetrated very well by Jubilee and theres no improvement Ruto will make. Hes numbers will be lower than jubilee who were the incumbent during that time.

Get an excel of 47 counties and show Raila path to victory.It doesn't exist

Shma:
The 'big five’ tribes have influenced who is elected, owing to their numerical advantage. the largest native ethnic groups are the Kikuyu (6,622,576), the Luhya (5,338,666), the Kalenjin (4,967,328), the Luo (4,044,440) and the Kamba (3,893,157) - this is according to Kenya's National Bureau of Statistics.

The majority of Luos - like 90% will support Raila Odinga, the Kambas are behind Kalonzo Musyoka. The Kalenjins back Deputy President William Ruto, while the Kikuyus support President Uhuru Kenyatta and women in majority supports Martha. Assume out of 52m Kenyan population, 27m are women. Out of 27m - let's assume 10m are female registered voters. Martha's effect will pull 60% of women - that is like 6m votes( without considering her male support ). We currently have more or less 22m registered voters - remove Kalenjins, and 40% of kikuyus. The majority left will all vote for azimio. In a nutshell, RARUA will garner more than 53% votes. Ruto will shed real tears for Kikuyus's betrayal. He's so certain that he has the full support of Kikuyus & luhyas. That will come as a shock on 10th - when he will be patched by betrayal straight on his face. The only hope for kalenjins, maybe in the future will be gideon. But I don't see that mathing.

The point I'm trying to put across is that... there is little to no hope for Ruto & kalenjins now and in future.

Very funny � Martha has 60 percent women support and uhuru have Kikuyu vote where do you live ? Martha when she run as president scored less that Abuda Dida..she got 43k..went for governor..got a dog beating.Ruto will win in her own village of Gichugu and in Uhuru village of Ichaweri

Obiano13:
My fren, you are mere pawns. You have two weeks to reckon. Kikuyus use you whenever there is dirty work to be done and throw you away like tissue paper. FYI, KADU championed the interests of white settlers in contrast with KANU. Kenyatta went for Moi due to his low IQ. Luos were too smart, the likes of Tom Mboya and Obama snr. I shudder at what Kalenjin power was upset in 2007 as you claim. Kikuyus combined with Luos to kick Moi and his project out in 2003. From 2003 Kalenjins stuck to their villages. In 2007 you were supporting Odinga to kick Kikuyu out, what power was upset for you? You only returned to power in 2013 after Uhuru handpicked Ruto, a nobody in kenyan politics and made him deputy to win Kalenjin votes, which is all the Kikuyu needed to win the election. I wonder where you live. You say you have the best land yet you are the most dispossessed by kikuyus to the extent that you have been pushed to the far north of the rift which is stilla continuing process to this day. Eldoret your only city will soon be taken away. They fool you that you are comrades and you take the bait like the kalejingas you are. You talk of kalenjin militia as if they can match the kikuyu mungiki that almost send you to Sudan in 2007 PEV. My fren. You are mere pawns. You'd be typing from Juba right now if Raila and Kibaki had not formed a coalition govt. The people who give Kikuyu nightmares are Luos due to their presence in Nairobi and heavy engagement in politics and acitivism. The riots forced Kibaki to shake hands with Raila. The same forced Uhuru to shake hands with Raila after 2017. All becaue of Luos. If it was just between Kales and Kikuyus they would opt to obliterate you or atleast limit your violence to your few counties in the north rift.

Nonsense on steroids