₦airaland Forum

benson81:
It is obvious a lot of Nairalanders don't know that the electoral act says for you to be declared as winner of a presidential election the candidate must win 25% of 36 states + Abuja which is 26.6% say 27 states.south south plus south east states equals 11 states.if you include any other 2 states it will equal 13 states.37 minus 13 equals 24 so I don't know why some APC members are celebrating .The bible say get knowledge and in all get understanding!

Wrong. To be declare the winner, the candidate must must the most plurality of the vote, and 25% of the vote in 2/3 of the 36 states. The problem with this set up is I can not see how GEJ can get 25% of the votes in 24 states. He can win the pluarlity of the votes because he is going to win the SS, and SE in a landslide. It is getting 25% in 24 states that is going to be his waterloo. He has to get 25% of the votes in 7 northern states. That ain't gonna happen. GMB on the other hand if go by the numbers is already winning in Oyo. Ogun, Lagos, Osun, and 25% of the votes in Ekiti. Add those states to the 19 northern states, You can see the writing on the wall.

Eruditor:
GMB didn't win a single SW state in 2011. He didn't even get more than 400k votes in the whole region. In 2015, he won Lagos, Ogun, Osun, Ondo, Oyo...only Ekiti was marginally left out- a number which he easily covered in his LGA at Daura.

Talk about the NC states he had a decent showing last time even though GEJ won there in 2011. Today, Benue and Kogi are foregone conclusions for GMB. Kwara was a mauling. We don't need to remind anyone of what will happen in the NW. The SS and SE are inconsequential.

Thank you for pointing this out. People can pray all they want, but when reality hits, ain't nothing you can do about it. GEJ made a bad bet by ignoring the SW in the make up of his administration, and that's coming back to haunt him now. SW gave him a mandate last time and this time they can see that with BUhari the number two spot his theirs, they don't even need to work for it. What I fear must with this election is that from now on the SW, and the North will form a permanent alliance that will leave SS, and SE in political wilderness for a long time

It should have been clear to anyone that knows anything about numbers. You have 36 states, 19 in the North and 17 in the South. Right from the go GMB has an inside track to winning. To get to 2/3 numbers, all he has to do to win is to gainer 5 more states, along with the 19 northern states, and he is a winner. He is going to win Lagos, Oyo, Osun,and Ogun. That will take him to 24, and by having gained more than 25% of the vote in Ekiti, like we say in vegas he has a flush. The South West gave GEJ last election in 2011, now the south west appeared to be making him the loser. Buhari can dismissed the whole SS and SE, and he will still win. For GEJ to win, he has to win the whole southern states, and still win 25% in 7 states in the North. That ain't happening.

badesco:
Landslide victory for GEJ

I got news for you. Nigeria is made up of 36 states. Depending on how you count it. 17 states in the North, and 19 states in the South. In 2011, GEJ carried all the states in the South, and 2 in the Middle Belt. This time around the man is behind the eight ball. Out of the 7 states that make up the South West, he is only competitive in 2 states (Ekiti/Ondo). That means he is losing 5 states. Add the 5 to the 17 states in the North, you can see that the numbers just ain't coming up right. Even if GEJ wins Ondo, and Ekiti, he is still going to lose. Because 22 out of 36 is flush, GEJ is done, you can stick a fork in him. Trust me he knows it too. I know FACTS ARE STUBBORN THINGS.

Samirana360:
Story 4 d gods...all those tinz doesn't count....d fact dat buhari is a northerner(boko haram) does nt mean dat he wil win all d states in d north....it was lik dis in 2011!! Let's watch and see...quote me after march 28....after ELECTION what u will c is SELECTION....

It was not like this in 2011. The South west were with GEJ in 2011. Like I have been saying for a while, after the last election GEJ made a bad move by siding and trying to appeased the North. He forgot the regions that voted for him now he is paying the price for that action. Just look at the makeup his administration, look at the list of the people he had put in power from the 1st to the 20th position of power in his administration, you will be hard press to see someone from the South West. Now he wants the people from the South West to vote for him again by making promises. The South West people are not that stupid, they can see that with Buhari, the number two slot is theirs. That is politics for you. nothing personal.

Obalende:
lets get this straight. there is a diff between sexual attactiveness and marriage.

Men are primally interested in the former ONLY.

What is the legal age of consent in Nigeria.

Over 50 yrs ago, girls got married at 18-22 in nigeria.

What is happening now is girls do shakara until they are past do, the men do a marriage of situation/ convenience but their eyes are still set on the young. so they get married then cheat with students.

the onus is on the young girls to get steady boyfriends at their young age and set out their hearts to marry them.

Joor man mi O serious sha !!!

ignis:
Shameless married man. ...
This is one of the reasons why women cut off the d1ck of their husband.

I was with you until that second sentence. That is cruel and extreme punishment.

franzis:
i guess Most men would do this not minding what it causes them just to get abroad and make money

I got news for you. Underneath all that fat is good punana if you can find it. lol

In as much as I have serious reservation regarding the way GEJ has run his administration. I thought it is normal protocol for an ex president not to make bad comment about the current president. Is Obasanjo the only living ex-president we have. How come he thinks his opinion is all that important so much so that that every week he always has something to say. Why is this old man hell bent on saying outlandish things about this current administration. He has lost all the little respect I have for him. GEJ is the president, either we like or not. That much he deserve some respect. I am not a GEJ supporter, I think we need a change. I am saying this as a Nigerian, that want and dream of the best for our collective goods.

agabaI23:
Yesterday evening I went to swim and I met a government contractor lodged in the same hotel.

He does not want GEJ back. His grouse with GEJ is that since he came, he is no longer making money the way he was making from contracts. He confirmed that though his money now comes straight into his account without interference, that he preferred the pre-Jonathan era when things were not as tight. That now, they check the validity of any contract before money is paid out and the guy dey fall hand for business.

Then I asked him what do you think in his performance in Agriculture(Adesina), he said he has done well
I mentioned Aganga(Trade and investment) he said very well. he said NOI has done well too and went ahead to add the minister for works mike Onolememen. He said the man has done well too. Transport, he is impressed

And I asked, why won't you vote for him since you know all these? He said, he is not feeling him in his business. He wants things to go back to easier ways.

I told him about Sam Ohuabunwa's opening statement in his article where he said that good performance means different things to different people. He was a typical example of people who want him out because his reforms have reduced undue profit.

GEJ is fighting a hydraheaded monster. God is his strength

You kidding me right. The fact that this post has 119 likes is mind bugling. Let me tell how corrupt this administration is. If Jesus H. Christ flight into Nigeria arrive at 6 am in the morning, I can assure you his Holiness by 6pm that same day will be taking settlement for any miracle he performs. That is how contagious the corruption is with this administration.

BabaO2:
Heaven knows the postponement was not because of security but for Pdp/Jonathan to tie their loose ends. If they can postpone the election and get away with it, they will do everything possible like fayose to remain in power. They are afraid of loosing their stolen wealths.

News Flash "President sack Jega for Postponement". Any day from now that is what is going to happen.

saintandsinnerz:
Why do yorubas hate gej so much? Almost all the yorubas I know hate gej and when you ask them why, some will say he marginalized the yorubas, some will say he is corrupt! While Some are just buying into the gej-hate bandwagon just for d sake of it. No tangible reason!

Forgot to ask you. Why do Igbo people like Jonathan so much. Since you appeared to be an expert on this subject matter regarding the Yoruba. might as well ask you about the Igbo people.

saintandsinnerz:
Why do yorubas hate gej so much? Almost all the yorubas I know hate gej and when you ask them why, some will say he marginalized the yorubas, some will say he is corrupt! While Some are just buying into the gej-hate bandwagon just for d sake of it. No tangible reason!

The question should have been why do you think GEJ deserve reelection?

Macelliot:
Please, did you graduated from Primary school?
Ignoramus Yoruba?
Is Ilorin part of south-west? Is the yoruba (Okun people of kogi) part of South west?
Are they not yorubas?
You are really Ignorant.

Ilorin is in Kwara last time I check. Just because there are some Yoruba that happen to be in Kwara does not make Kwara part of the South West. Kwara is not in South West. You don't see people from the South West claiming Kwara as part of the South West. By the way never assume I am a Yoruba man. I am a Nigerian first and foremost that just happen to be from a state within this territory we all call Nigeria.

uyplus:
Deceive yourself. Which south-south go join ibo? In your dreams man!!! The south can never and will never live with you ibos. You have nothing to offer. No resources, nothing!!

Preach my Brother. Let me the first to say AMEN.

Macelliot:
Who taught you this!
The only Igbo state without Oil is Ebonyi state.
Enugu, Delta, Anambra, Imo, Abia, Rivers, all have oils....
Even Imo and Abia are part of Niger-Delta.
Please do google research and Spare me that your propaganda.

Told ya !!! They ain't nothing but greedy bastard

So Delta. and Rivers are all Igbo Land using your Google Apps. And Niger-Delta is part of Abia or Imo. OMO OLE

Macelliot:
Larger percentage of yorubas and Hausas are against Break-up, but the Igbos fully supports breakup. We the Igbos and S-south are tired of Nothern born to rule mentality and as for the yorubas, there are deceivers. The North is really afraid... Northern Nigeria will be like Niger republic.... If Nigeria breakup, Biafra will out-grow Oduduwa & Arewa republic put together....
In Biafra we Stand. https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/8/82/Flag_of_Biafra.svg/600px-Flag_of_Biafra.svg.png

Never knew the Igbo and the South South are one and the same. Before you make a statement like this you need to check two things out. 1. Ask the South South people if they want to come in with the Igbos. 2. Ask all the Igbos in Lagos if they are all the agreement to pack up and go back home. I think you might be in for a lot of surprises.

Bright4:
Elder pls tell me or mention anyone with colorless past and I will show a new born baby in our country...

All we re askin is CHANGE!!!

CHANGE !!!!! since 1999 one party rule, GOT TO STOP THE MADNESS.

kendrick9:
i won't be suprised tbh.. he is even from yorubba which makes every thing clear

How does him being a Yoruba makes everything clear. I am curious.

notoriousbabe:
YES, BUHARI IS SICK; AND SO AM I

Nigerians and their infinite capacity for facile propaganda. I wake up this morning and what I see all over social media is some poor taste, childish diagnosis of Major General Buhari as being sick.

Well, I agree. I agree that Buhari is sick. I am sick, too. Any Nigerian who is not sick is not sick because he or she is incurably sick. We are all sick. And we should be sick. So, yes,...

...Buhari is sick of the monumental corruption that has become institutionalized in Nigeria;

...Buhari is sick of the incompetence of a government that cannot protect the lives and properties of its citizens;

...Buhari is sick of the lack of a sense of urgency in the circles of government in Nigeria;

...Buhari is sick of a country that has placed itself on permanent reverse gear;

...Buhari is sick of a country that has left itself naked as it is raped dry by vagabonds in power;

...Buhari is sick of a youth population without jobs;

...Buhari is sick of a country where university education has become comparable to 8th grade competence in advanced civilizations;

...Buhari is sick of a country where roads are death traps;

...Buhari is sick of a country where people go into political offices near poor, but turn stupendously wealthy overnight;

...Buhari is sick of a country where education is priced beyond the reach of the common masses;

...Buhari is sick of a country where $20 Billion (possibly $40 Billion) of public fund develops legs and walks away, its whereabouts knowingly unknown;

...Buhari is sick of watching the country he loves ranked at the bottom of corruption index by Transparency International

Buhari is sick of a country that earns billions of dollars in oil revenue, yet has not a single functional oil refinery;

...Buhari is sick of a country where government has bowed to the dictates of power generator cabals in a conspiracy that ensures perpetual darkness;

...Buhari is sick of a country where senators and congressmen earn more than the president of the United States of America;

...Buhari is sick of a country where soldiers are so demoralized to confront a ragtag Boko Haram terror sect;

...Buhari is sick of a country where convicted looters are pardoned and fast tracked for senate positions;

...Buhari is sick of a country where life expectancy is among the lowest in the world;

...Buhari is sick of a country that is on international news for all the wrong reasons;

So, yes, Buhari is sick; and so am I.

Question is why is Jonathan not sick as well? Why has Jonathan remained healthy in the face of all the above-listed filth and diseases? Question is why is not every Nigerian sick of all the social maladies and existential outbreaks? It is a time to be sick, my friends. Buhari is; I am. Are you?

Let's all get sick of where and how Nigeria is. Let's get real sick. And the sicker we are, the healthier we are going to be. Let's schedule a doctor's visit on February 14. Let's not forget our health insurance card (voter card) as we go for this February appointment. We need to feel better. But until February 14, let's feel sick...

...Real sick!..............VITUS OZOKE is resident in the US and a Proff.. @ Salisbury University.

Say ain't so Joe !!!!

barcanista:
Kick out the government of thieves led by Jonathan. Support Buhari

Who is stealing what !!!. Let me let you in what I consider stealing. Can someone explain to be how 90% of oil leases are own by people from the North. These are the same people Tinubu is now in bed with. So if you really talking about stealing please include that in the overrall discussion. Before I forget don't forget to include Tinubu's own company Oando in the discussuin. How many barrels is Oando stealing.

BlackTechnology:
Can a man steal his own property


Tinubu should focus on how to revive the cocoa , gold, bauxite etc of SW Nigeria than bothering himself with SS oil.

The days when SS and SE feed Nigeria with their oil wealth is fast going.

I will advice every region to rebuild their exportable and local products if they seek to survive in the event of ............

I know there is oil in the SS, and some part of Ondo, but is there oil in the SE?

Personally, I going for Buhari not because I think he is better or anything like that. I just want a change. Since 1999 PDP have been in power, that is 16 yrs folks !!!. That is enough time in my book to produce result. Can anyone without any malice or prejudice say that things have been better. Insanity is doing the same thing every time, and expecting different result. Hey, why not try something else. Change might not be all that bad.

arabbunkum:
Surely, the North will boil but the South will be calm. God bless Nigeria.

And what made you say that !!!

bebe2:
hahahaha, why na??

if e too much British govt go send in ship to collect briticos.

u no see as dem dey do am for middle east?

Even the good book says "Heaven helps those who help themselves". I just dey help myself oooo.

bebe2:
dats why am postponing my trip to naija to april,

alot of pple i know are doing the same,

one can never be sure of wat will happen after the elections.

make e no go be say before foreign govt carry ship come to collect
their citizens person go don lose e life

You are brave my sister . I just cancelled mine. lol

stebell:
Oby, tell yourself the truth, cos I kno the truth, Buhari cannot get 2% of total votes cast come 14th Feb., in Abia. yu kno that.

In SS, SE, SW n MB, GEJ will coast smoothly.

Sai GEJ

SS, SE yes i agree but everywhere else. your man is toast. Trust he knows it too. This election is in the bag for Buhari. Election is all about dynamics your man GEJ was misguided from the get go. He made a bad move by trying to appeased the north at the beginning of his administration. You never try to appease people that wants what you have. He tried to freeze out the SW people, and tried to build a coalition consisting of the SS, SE, the North that was his plan. Had he read the return when he got elected he would have known that was a bad move. The North were never with him. Now he is seeing the returns on his investment, and it ain't looking good. The man is toast.

lalasticlala:
Check out the hot gist that came with this photo, guys! Baba T, for his big wedding that brought the big stars - Davido, Patoranking, Big Brother Tayo Faniran and Lilian Afegbai to Warri today rocked a 3 piece suit that was hand made by Ermenegildo Zegna and worth £17000 (N4,930,000).

Pictured below is him and his beautiful bride and Warri billionaire Ayiri Emami who was his best man. N4.9m for just the suit! That's some people's entire wedding budget!!

http://www.lailasblog.com/2015/01/photo-warri-mogul-baba-t-rocked-n49m.html?m=1

The man never heard of the $100 drive through wedding in Vegas. That would have save him a lot of money. For $100 you don't even have to come out of your car to be pronounce Husband and wife. God Bless USA.

kilokeys:
#yinmu is their lifestyle..

the most faithful yoruba friends i have dont have yorubas as friends..

beautiful girls though.

Very judgmental people. They are the one that say Adegun and at the same time will say Adeogun.

arsetalks:
Educate me please. Why exactly should the fuel subsidy be removed.

Let's do this please.


Edited - I mean why should it be removed. Oya educate me.

Oya Je kin educate e: Removing the subsidy will really let the market decide the actual cost of the product. Right now nobody really know the true cost of bringing the product into the country. I am a firm believer in free market system. This current set up allows for corruption because there is no transparency. The importer operates in an environment where there are no risk involve in what they are doing, because the subsidy automatically guarantees them huge returns on their investment. The essence of a free market economy is base solely on risk and reward. Why should the government intervene in the en devour.