₦airaland Forum

My Brother,I tire ooo! The astonishing thing is that the OP actually believes what he wrote! The results of LP in Osun and Ekiti elections is not even giving them a reality check,just like their belief that Tinubu will not win APC primaries didn't make them realize how politically naive they are.

They even assume they'll win all SS states regardless of Okowa's candidature!

This is how Kwakwanso described them last month

"South-east At Bottom Line In Politics; They Need To Learn"

https://www.vanguardngr.com/2022/07/2023-south-east-at-bottom-line-in-politics-they-need-to-learn-kwankwaso/

And they expected Kwakwanso to deputise Obi not knowing that he sees them as being Politically irrelevant!

The consequences of this is that as Nigeria is presently constituted an Ibo
man cannot win presidential election! Simply because they don't even understand the game! They approach it with a high level of 'Superiority Complex' and absolute lack of tact and diplomacy and with lots of baseless emotions. Have you ever seen a presidential candidate in the history of this country begging/apologising to people up and down because of the actions of his supporters and releasing multiple public messages asking his supporters to tone it down! They call us Agbado and Cassava Republic etc and expect us to vote their son. They call us Fulani ass lickers and claim they are tired of Fulani rule but their governors voted for a Fulani Man (Atiku) while rejecting their own at PDP primary,they also forgot Obi 4 years ago was a VP pick of a Fulani Man,in fact since Obi has no realistic chance of winning this election,If Tinubu loses to Atiku,they will celebrate in the SE! Conveniently forgetting that Atiku is also a Fulani Man.

In fact,the best Obi will achieve is cause a run-off between Tinubu and Atiku!

https://www.sunnewsonline.com/2023-runoff-presidential-election-a-real-possibility-iri-ndi/

Of course,we know these people are so emotionally engaged that they don't even see the reality of the election that if Tinubu wins,Obi is the reason and if Atiku loses,Obi is the reason. This is because Obi is taking away PDPs southern votes! Votes that PDP has always obtained since 1999!
Every votes in SS and SE traditionally go to PDP! Buhari twice didn't get appreciable votes in the SS and SE, Tinubu doesn't need it too! Thankfully now,that vote will not go to Atiku but Obi who will not win a single state in the North! Also,the votes of SE and SS folks in the North that should go to Atiku will go to Obi and it's negligible! Dooming Atiku! While Obi's votes are essentially wasted!

So,keep building castle in the air.2023 election results will show you guys are Politically ignorant.

famouscargo4u:
Which weed did you smoke? Obi to win four of five states in the south west?

Sincerely,I was surprised by his intellect,his eloquence and demeanor!

A great VP pick! A kanuri man at that!

Staphylococcus:
Dude was on fire!

His brilliance is next to none!

A perfect vice for His Excellence, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu!

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ylinkcase@gmail.com, Sir

Desperados:
How do i contact you?

A 'Total' branded Petrol Filling Station is available for sale in Ado-Ekiti.

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A mini mart is inbuilt to the petrol station
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4 Units of 45,000 Litres underground tanks:
2 Units for Petrol(PMS)

1 Unit for Diesel(AGO)

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1 Pump for Kerosene
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Property Title: Certificate of Occupancy
Survey documents
DPR Permits
Agreements with Total Petroleum
Fire Services Approvals
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Price: N250M

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A 'Total' branded Petrol Filling Station is available for sale in Ado-Ekiti.

Business Attractions:

It's sited on one of the access roads to the new airport in Ado-Ekiti

It's "Total" branded and its constructed to world standard

It's sited along the road to all the new Housing estates by Real Estates companies in Ado-Ekiti,eg Adron Homes

The filling station is built on 4 plots of land while another four undeveloped plots directly behind the petrol station belongs to the owner too and is part of the sale. N.B- The undeveloped plot is fenced. It's suitable for a mini estate or to add a gas plant to the petrol station

A mini mart is inbuilt to the petrol station
It also has an Inbuilt Lube bay, Alignment services,Vehicle servicing etc

The petrol station is operational, buyer gets to start making money immediately

Technical details:

4 Units of 45,000 Litres underground tanks:
2 Units for Petrol(PMS)

1 Unit for Diesel(AGO)

1 Unit for Kerosene.

Pumps:
1 Pump for Diesel
1 Pump for Kerosene
2 'Dual' Pumps for Petrol(PMS) making 4 pumps for petrol

Plus another space for Dual PMS Pump currently uninstalled

It is free from any encumbrances or litigations or any governmental issues and it's diligently constructed with adequate setback from the road


Property Title: Certificate of Occupancy
Survey documents
DPR Permits
Agreements with Total Petroleum
Fire Services Approvals
And all other Permits,Approvals



Price: N250M

Please,only serious buyers should contact me through ylinkcase@gmail.com

A 'Total' branded Petrol Filling Station is available for sale in Ado-Ekiti.

Business Attractions:

It's sited on one of the access roads to the new airport in Ado-Ekiti

It's "Total" branded and its constructed to world standard

It's sited along the road to all the new Housing estates by Real Estates companies in Ado-Ekiti,eg Adron Homes

The filling station is built on 4 plots of land while another four undeveloped plots directly behind the petrol station belongs to the owner too and is part of the sale. N.B- The undeveloped plot is fenced. It's suitable for a mini estate or to add a gas plant to the petrol station

A mini mart is inbuilt to the petrol station
It also has an Inbuilt Lube bay, Alignment services,Vehicle servicing etc

The petrol station is operational, buyer gets to start making money immediately

Technical details:

4 Units of 45,000 Litres underground tanks:
2 Units for Petrol(PMS)

1 Unit for Diesel(AGO)

1 Unit for Kerosene.

Pumps:
1 Pump for Diesel
1 Pump for Kerosene
2 'Dual' Pumps for Petrol(PMS) making 4 pumps for petrol

Plus another space for Dual PMS Pump currently uninstalled

It is free from any encumbrances or litigations or any governmental issues and it's diligently constructed with adequate setback from the road.


Property Title: Certificate of Occupancy
Survey documents
DPR Permits
Agreements with Total Petroleum
Fire Services Approvals
And all other Permits,Approvals



Price: N250M

Please,only serious buyers should contact me through ylinkcase@gmail.com

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funkyjaay:
what a good property

I beg to differ Sir.

To begin it's clear that Obi is not affecting any of the candidates in the NORTH! That in itself has doomed any prospects of his presidency and he can't even get the constitutionally required 25% in the virtually all the Northern States! So,he is just wasting his time.

Going back to your topic, Sir PDP has traditionally won SE and SS! Buhari didn't need SE and SS votes twice to win his elections also,it was all for PDP! Tinubu also doesn't need SE and SS votes. So the SS and SE votes has traditionally been for PDP and we all agree now this is going to Peter Obi,does this not make clear that Obi is destroying PDP's chances and not APC! Very very clear! Every southern vote for Obi is a minus for Atiku. Also,Atiku has traditionally not done too well in the North! Against both Northern and Southern candidates! He depends on the bulk SE and SS votes! In fact,Obi is the reason your next president is Tinubu.

Your conclusion is patently flawed.Sir

Thanos5555:
Evryone thinks Obi would negatively affect Atiku more than BAT, in the scenario where OBI dosent narrowly wins. lets have a review again.

OBI emergence will pull SS and SE from equation, making tinubu to be left with SW against a Northerner(NE,NW,NC)

trusting Northerners to vote him. becasue of only religious extremism (MM), is not enough.
and SW(Being headquarters of christian worship centres), may not give him any hypothetical block votes of like 95% or so, and that wont defeat Northern votes.

BAT straying away from southern votes to depend on loyalty from Northerners against thier own, is a really big mistake, tinubu cant pull the ABIOLA spirit, Nigeria has gotten more complex than that.

with obi or without, I think TINUBU is really disadvantaged, depending on how strong OBI movements are, BAT may end up as a close third,(because SS and SE Votes are like 3x SW votes, with Obi strong presence amongst Christian yorubas.

what do you guys think.

Leave them,they don't know us! When they see the SW votes for Tinubu,they will faint.

In fact,when campaign starts and they see the response,dem eye go clear!

trantayo:
Please point of correction, in Yoruba land both Muslim and christian are one because we marry one another. I am a christian and my elder brother is a Muslim. Trust me, we are going to vote for Tinubu because he has capacity to deliver. When you hear we Yoruba christian would not vote for Muslim -Muslim candidate, that writer is not Yoruba person because Yorubas are too intelligent to involve in religion sentiment.

I beg to differ Sir.

To begin it's clear that Obi is not affecting any of the candidates in the NORTH! That in itself has doomed any prospects of his presidency and he can't even get the constitutionally required 25% in the virtually all the Northern States! So,he is just wasting his time.

Going back to your topic, Sir PDP has traditionally won SE and SS! Buhari didn't need SE and SS votes twice to win his elections also,it was all for PDP! Tinubu also doesn't need SE and SS votes. So the SS and SE votes has traditionally been for PDP and we all agree now this is going to Peter Obi,does this not make clear that Obi is destroying PDP's chances and not APC! Very very clear! Every southern vote for Obi is a minus for Atiku. Also,Atiku has traditionally not done too well in the North! Against both Northern and Southern candidates! He depends on the bulk SE and SS votes! In fact,Obi is the reason your next president is Tinubu.

Your conclusion is patently flawed.Sir

snapshot:
The SS and SE would have voted PDP if Obi was not in the equation,but as it stands,Obi will lock down the SE and get a substantial vote from the SS, especially if PDP is unable to resolve the Wikke and Atiku feud

The SW will give Obi some votes no doubt but BAT will win his geo political zone,the danger however is that ,the SW does not give block votes,so BAT must rely on votes from North and that is where he will have to contend with northers like Atiku and Kwankwaso who are banking on the northern votes.

Obi' emergence is affecting everything and everyone in 2023 election,it is affecting Atiku in the South,and this will make Atiku concentrate more on northern votes and unfortunately that is where BAT is also relying on,so you can see how Obi is directly and indirectly affecting BAT

Sir, your problem is not the Yorubas! It is the lack of political strategic planning on the part of the Igbos. For 22 years you gave your presidential votes to any PDP candidate eg Atiku contested under ACN you did not vote for him but when he voted under PDP,you voted emasse because all you cared about is PDP!

The question is what was in it for you guys? You failed to set parameters and define ahead how it was going to be for your benefit! You failed to be strategic but gave PDP a blank cheque,they didn't find not even Peter Obi worthy of presidency,he left when this became apparent.All your years with PDP was wasted.

The question now is, having decamped to LP just a few months ago,what strategic alliances, structure etc will win him the election when for 22 years all that structure was for the PDP!

You guys now think his Christianity will make him the president! LP lacks structure,by structure (as it's obvious many of you do not know the meaning) we mean elected public office holders who spend time and resources at the grassroots level.There are 774 LG areas in Nigeria and each further divided into wards.LP in its existence has never existed that deep enough.There are folks all over Nigeria who do not know LP logo!
And for many people in this category, unlucky for Peter Obi,the internet will not help! It cannot bridge this gap.

So,how can you achieve what you failed to actualise in 22 years in just a few weeks! Tinubu is reaping the rewards of his strategic alliances built over 30 years! Same as Atiku!

chukwukadibia20:
Indeed, you proved me right again, Yorubas vote sentimentally , like they would rather vote a dead Yoruba man than vote a living Igbo man. No doubt about that, but we have seen the new crop of yorubas saying no especially as they have mixed race in them being intermarriage, their level of tolerance and non yorubas influence among them. Their young enlightened ones are also saying no same as their religious ones in Christendom. Give me reason why a Yoruba man would vote Obi when Osibanjo is on the ballot then you would realize that Tinubu has factors against him.
Come with facts and figures not insult

I didn't know there are this many folks who actually know the true picture and reality of what it is going to be like in the 'field'. The Politically naive Obedient folks have choked the media space

Spirit04:
Tinubu will clear south west. South South, he will easily wipe the entire Edo North (Oshiomole will even be on the ballot that day) Pdp will clear Edo central which is where I'm from, they will split Edo south depending on how much oyegun and the others corporate.
PDP will clear Delta North. APC will most likely win Delta Central (Omo Agege will win governorship election and the wave will affect presidential election) Rivers all depends on where Wike sway. APC won't win Rivers but the margin could reduce. Akwa Ibom win most likely follow Pdp. I don't know of Cross Rivers.
Apc will win North West. APC will win Niger, Kwara and Kogi. Nasarawa will most likely follow Pdp. APC chairman is not a serious person.
Apc will wipe Borno and Yobe and might win Gombe. Pdp will wipe Adamawa, Taraba and Bauchi they might win Gombe.

LP and NNPP are not even in the race

Well done Sir.They need to listen to folks like you! But they won't! They are "wishing" Obi to be president forgetting he'll need to be elected!

Lyonkingpin:
You people are making baseless analysis, my state bayelsa might give its vote to pdp, because of structure, alot of persons care about interest, I for one will vote for labor party, writing episodes online doesn't win an election, statement like atiku and tinibu will not see votes in south south wouldn't work the way you analyse it, you people should do well do more campaigns, take it to the Rurals, Peter obi has a lot of work to do, you people should stop coming online and be doing baseless analysis, elections are never won on social media's, some persons don't even know Peter obi sef, go back to the drawing board and work, stop writing

LOL! I was just laughing as I was reading the really childish and wishful thinking analysis by the OP!

Some folks are really in for a big shocker,as it is obvious the OP really believes the analysis he just put forward.

His entire analysis is based on religious sentiments! Christians this, Christians that! Very shallow. He did not remember that Goodluck Jonathan a Christian, defeated Atiku(a Muslim) in the North!

In fact,it's not worth breaking down his analysis and picking holes in them,he has really built a castle in the air.He is in for a big shock!

For instance,he believes Yorubas will put religion above our Yourubaness! OP,you don't know much about us,you will find out soon when Tinubu picks 95% of votes of Yoruba people. By the time the Northern votes come in and the OP sees results for LP like that of Ekiti and Osun elections, he'll have an heart attack!

Keep dreaming,Bro!

We will quote posts like mine when the election is done. Haha! The OP believes Obi will get more votes nationally than Atiku!

Really,if wishes were horses,beggers will ride!

maasoap:
You tried for the long epistle but Obi/LP is not even in the race to begin with. People who understand politics have said that Obi will come a distant third.

Your analysis is fair enough. PO will win SE by a landslide, he'll share SS votes almost equally with PDP, he'll get appreciable number of votes in the SW though Tinubu will have the majority.

Bro,don't build castles in the air,Obi will not get more than 25% of votes in North Central! Not with all the Political Office holders belonging to APC and PDP!

You are banking on the religious factor,you are politically wrong!,it is only SE and SS folks living in this area that will vote PO!

PO will get less than 10% of votes in NE and NW, dooming his presidential aspirations. Perhaps most importantly,every vote for PO is a minus for PDP as all his votes are traditionally PDPs and is actually a plus for APC particularly in the SE and SS.PO is the reason Tinubu is your next president.

Note this,after the election when PO and Atiku's votes are tallied together,it will be more than that of Tinubu.In essence,if Obi had been patient and work again with Atiku,they would have won the presidency.

See,PDPs strategist know that they have a big problem! They realise that PO popularity is more of a problem for them than APC! While PO supporters are viciously attacking APC they don't realize PO is a blessing for Tinubu. In fact PDP votes is divided into four: Atiku,Peter Obi,Kwakwanso and the Wike faction!

kay1one:
In some parts of the east, saying you're not obidient is like saying you're a Boko Haram member...

You don turn suspect be that!

The only battleground he'll have is in SS in Delta State (okowa is running as VP with Atiku) and Rivers State if Wike doesn't throw his weight behind him.

That won't stop him tho. I know a PDP delegate who's straight up Obi for president but remains PDP in state.

As it stands: Obi is taking SE and SS (please is it Tinubu or Atiku that will win there? I'm resident there currently), steal some SW votes and some North Central votes. That's equivalent to two regions which one needs to win to be president.

Tinubu can still take SW but he can't replicate 2015 by taking North; Atiku taking North E/W. Nothing for Atiku in the whole South sef.

Devil is very very wicked! When he takes hold, there's nothing he cannot do