Judging from the trend so far, the 2023 election is a 3 horse race between Atiku Abubakar, Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Peter Obi. I used the political developments in all 36 states including the FCT, people's opinion and news developments. Atiku was second to Buhari in 2019 and so far will inherit the votes of nothern youths.
Asiwaju will sweep the southwest and garner votes in the north but won't do well in the south/south and south/east.
Peter Obi will sweep the south/east and south/south, put up a fight in the north central.
The result below is in percentage.

NORTHWEST: PDP-45. APC-25. LP-10. NNPP-25.
NORTH/EAST: PDP-50. APC-30. LP-10. NNPP-10.
NORTH/CENTRAL: PDP-35. APC-30. LP-30. NNPP-5.
SOUTH/WEST: PDP-20. APC-55. LP-23. NNPP-2.
SOUTH/SOUTH: PDP-30. APC-17. LP-50. NNPP-3.
SOUTH/EAST: PDP-20. APC-8. LP-70. NNPP-2.


Obi will do well in the north central because of christians in plateau, benue, nasarawa and fct, while kwara and kogi are for Tinubu.
By Shascky33

mynd44
seunmsg
front page

I think the analysis is a bit objective.

But I think LP will get up to 85% in SE and 65% in SS and 25% in SW.

Clap for your self

I agree

Lol

APC no Go get 5% in SS/SE. In all middle belt na at most 20%. They still will not get more than 55% west votes. The north votes will be fairly split among kwankwaso/atiku, obi and one drug dealer peepoo. Poorly researched analysis from op. Too much of this stuff this early morning

APC will get more than 25% from SS and more than 30% in the NE

Its btw APC and PDP anyway.

Wike will be a determinant factor in this election.

If Wike, Makinde, Otom and Ikpezu decide to work for APC then I see APC coasting to victory with easy

Creamypie:
APC no Go get 5% in SS/SE. In middle belt na at most 25%

Wake up from your delusional negativity and pessimism.

Underestimate power of APC states governors in the SE/SS at your own peril


We moveeee. Cityboy

KingKO22:
APC will get more than 25% from SS and more than 30% in the NE

Its btw APC and PDP anyway.

Wike will be a determinant factor in this election.

If Wike, Makinde, Otom and Ikpezu decide to work for APC then I see APC coasting to victory with easy

All APC 21 Governors worked with Oyetola, a sitting Governor and he still lost to Adeleke who has few PDP governors working for him.

The BVAS has taken away the Governors rigging power. The masses now have the power not over-rated governors.

Tell me how Ikpeazu working for Tinubu will make APC win? Will he tell Abians to vote for APC and they will follow him foolishly?

If Tinubu who just won APC presidential ticket couldn't convince his own people to vote Oyetola, his core loyalist, is it a Wike, Ikpeazu or Ortoms that will tell their people to vote for a Moslem Moslem ticket?

Like Reno said, nobody campaigns for Tinubu without sounding stupid.

KingKO22:


Wake up from your delusional negativity and pessimism.

Underestimate power of APC states governors in the SE/SS at your own peril


We moveeee. Cityboy

APC governors in the SE, this is what you have been shouting up and down all over threads

Only one man have been duly elected governor under APC since the history of SE, and that was Rochas Okorocha. He couldn't even deliver Imo State to APC.
Umahi never ran on APC ticket he decamped from PDP
Hope never won the election, he was installed by SC. Imolites are waiting patiently to vote him out, and he knows that.

Your myopism is parallel to none on this forum.
APC brought retrogression and blood shed in the Land. Na so una make mouth finish for Anambra State. I even chop one guy 10k bet for Benin, he was telling me APC will win Anambra, I told him, you don't even know South East...we bet money 10k.
APC is dead in South East...by 2023 Hope is returning back to PDP.

South East is 80% LP, 19% PDP, APC 1% (Hope, Umahi, OUK and their families votes)


I want us to bet 100k APC will not get 10% in any state in SE and SS apart from Edo State

Creamypie:
APC no Go get 5% in SS/SE. In middle belt na at most 25%

YOU CANNOT SILENCE ME WITH TRIBALISM OR NEPOTISM!!!

REPACKAGING PETER OBI?

If no be say person get strong mind na so dem wan repackage Obi give person.

Obi of 13months doctors strike in Anambra. 13!
Obi of Akwuzu SARS. Unalloyed ter**rorism
Obi that did not employ teachers in Anambra for 8years
Obi that did not develope Awka in 8 years
Obi that did not employ civil servants in Anambra for 8years
Obi that his driver was caught with 250m cash in Lagos
Obi that does not own any investment in Anambra, no supermarket, no warehouse

Obi of massive kid*napping.
Obi that ordered the ma*ssacre of arm*less MASSOB protesters in 2006 & 2013 and had their dead bodies thrown into the Ezu River.
Obi of 6months Anambra State Univ strike.
Obi of 7 years unpaid salaries for State Water Board workers. 7years. 260 of them died.

Obi of Pandora papers. Opening secret businesses abroad with his kid's name while he was governor. Dem catch am red handed

Obi of 7years no LGA election. 7years!
Obi of no IGR growth.
Obi of no signature infrastructure. Non!
Obi anti-infrastructure.
Obi wey carry state money put for family business.

Obi importer of groceries for over 30years driving down naira value. He Couldn't metamorphose into production like Dangote , BUA, Adeleke etc
Revd Barr Christian Nwachukwu

- Asari Dokubo

Millimann:
I think the analysis is a bit objective.

But I think LP will get up to 85% in SE and 65% in SS and 25% in SW.

40% north central

Faber:


APC governors in the SE, this is what you have been shouting up and down all over threads

Only one man have been duly elected governor under APC since the history of SE, and that was Rochas Okorocha. He couldn't even deliver Imo State to APC.
Umahi never ran on APC ticket he decamped from PDP
Hope never won the election, he was installed by SC. Imolites are waiting patiently to vote him out, and he knows that.

Your myopism is parallel to none on this forum.
APC brought retrogression and blood shed in the Land. Na so una make mouth finish for Anambra State. I even chop one guy 10k bet for Benin, he was telling me APC will win Anambra, I told him, you don't even know South East...we bet money 10k.
APC is dead in South East...by 2023 Hope is returning back to PDP.

South East is 80% LP, 19% PDP, APC 1% (Hope, Umahi, OUK and their families votes)


I want us to bet 100k APC will not get 10% in any state in SE and SS apart from Edo State

You got it right bro

seunmsg:
Lol

Seun ahbeg push am go front page na. Please.

WonderManly:
Clap for your self

A sound clap (pap), another one (pap), another bigger one (pap pap pap pa pa pa pap).

lawalosky:
I agree

Arigato! Nagode!

IamAtikulate:

All APC 21 Governors worked with Oyetola, a sitting Governor and he still lost to Adeleke who has few PDP governors working for him.

The BVAS has taken away the Governors rigging power. The masses now have the power not over-rated governors.

Tell me how Ikpeazu working for Tinubu will make APC win? Will he tell Abians to vote for APC and they will follow him foolishly?

If Tinubu who just won APC presidential ticket couldn't convince his own people to vote Oyetola, his core loyalist, is it a Wike, Ikpeazu or Ortoms that will tell their people to vote for a Moslem Moslem ticket?

Like Reno said, nobody campaigns for Tinubu without sounding stupid.

I thought we Atikulate comrades agreed their won't be any vawulence? Lol

Faber:


APC governors in the SE, this is what you have been shouting up and down all over threads

Only one man have been duly elected governor under APC since the history of SE, and that was Rochas Okorocha. He couldn't even deliver Imo State to APC.
Umahi never ran on APC ticket he decamped from PDP
Hope never won the election, he was installed by SC. Imolites are waiting patiently to vote him out, and he knows that.

Your myopism is parallel to none on this forum.
APC brought retrogression and blood shed in the Land. Na so una make mouth finish for Anambra State. I even chop one guy 10k bet for Benin, he was telling me APC will win Anambra, I told him, you don't even know South East...we bet money 10k.
APC is dead in South East...by 2023 Hope is returning back to PDP.

South East is 80% LP, 19% PDP, APC 1% (Hope, Umahi, OUK and their families votes)


I want us to bet 100k APC will not get 10% in any state in SE and SS apart from Edo State

you dey vex o!

Shascky33:
Judging from the trend so far, the 2023 election is a 3 horse race between Atiku Abubakar, Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Peter Obi. I used the political developments in all 36 states including the FCT, people's opinion and news developments. Atiku was second to Buhari in 2019 and so far will inherit the votes of nothern youths.
Asiwaju will sweep the southwest and garner votes in the north but won't do well in the south/south and south/east.
Peter Obi will sweep the south/east and south/south, put up a fight in the north central.
The result below is in percentage.

NORTHWEST: PDP-45. APC-25. LP-10. NNPP-25.
NORTH/EAST: PDP-50. APC-30. LP-10. NNPP-10.
NORTH/CENTRAL: PDP-35. APC-30. LP-30. NNPP-5.
SOUTH/WEST: PDP-20. APC-55. LP-23. NNPP-2.
SOUTH/SOUTH: PDP-30. APC-17. LP-50. NNPP-3.
SOUTH/EAST: PDP-20. APC-8. LP-70. NNPP-2.


Obi will do well in the north central because of christians in plateau, benue, nasarawa and fct, while kwara and kogi are for Tinubu.
By Shascky33

mynd44
seunmsg
front page

A quite dispassionate analysis but I doubt your projection for Kogi. The West and Central Senatorial Districts are at the moment completely out of Tinubu’s reach.

seunmsg:
Lol

Mega Looollllllzz. Not worth a response TBH.

Abdu81:


40% north central

Not every christian in the north central will vote for obi. I am a christian and neither me nor anyone in my house will vote for obi. PDP all the way.

Shascky33:
Judging from the trend so far, the 2023 election is a 3 horse race between Atiku Abubakar, Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Peter Obi. I used the political developments in all 36 states including the FCT, people's opinion and news developments. Atiku was second to Buhari in 2019 and so far will inherit the votes of nothern youths.
Asiwaju will sweep the southwest and garner votes in the north but won't do well in the south/south and south/east.
Peter Obi will sweep the south/east and south/south, put up a fight in the north central.
The result below is in percentage.

NORTHWEST: PDP-45. APC-25. LP-10. NNPP-25.
NORTH/EAST: PDP-50. APC-30. LP-10. NNPP-10.
NORTH/CENTRAL: PDP-35. APC-30. LP-30. NNPP-5.
SOUTH/WEST: PDP-20. APC-55. LP-23. NNPP-2.
SOUTH/SOUTH: PDP-30. APC-17. LP-50. NNPP-3.
SOUTH/EAST: PDP-20. APC-8. LP-70. NNPP-2.


Obi will do well in the north central because of christians in plateau, benue, nasarawa and fct, while kwara and kogi are for Tinubu.
By Shascky33

mynd44
seunmsg
front page

This your analysis is inaccurately flawed.
Tinubu can't floor his own zone.
Lagos, oyo, osun will have at least 50% of obi
South east and south south will be a landslide for obi at 80%
NC will be 50% for obi because of the Mumu-mumu ticket.
What obi needs now is 25% from the NW & NE.

what happened in 2011 when the whole north voted Buhari and still lost will definitely happen again. If they(North) vote Tinubu, it won't give any assurance or guarantee he wins the elections....that is why Tinubu is moving left, right and Centre, talking to kwankwanso, shekarau and Wike.
He knows the herculean task in front of him.
His health won't permit him to continue. Something is telling me with everything that is happening....they will tell Tinubu to step down. There is a reason why they had a presidential aspirants' meeting yesterday.

AntonVince:


A quite dispassionate analysis but I doubt your projection for Kogi. The West and Central Senatorial Districts are at the moment completely out of Tinubu’s reach.

Wow, thanks for the update. Noted!

Dsalvo:

Mega Looollllllzz. Not worth a response TBH.

A typical obidient

Shascky33:
Judging from the trend so far, the 2023 election is a 3 horse race between Atiku Abubakar, Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Peter Obi. I used the political developments in all 36 states including the FCT, people's opinion and news developments. Atiku was second to Buhari in 2019 and so far will inherit the votes of nothern youths.
Asiwaju will sweep the southwest and garner votes in the north but won't do well in the south/south and south/east.
Peter Obi will sweep the south/east and south/south, put up a fight in the north central.
The result below is in percentage.

NORTHWEST: PDP-45. APC-25. LP-10. NNPP-25.
NORTH/EAST: PDP-50. APC-30. LP-10. NNPP-10.
NORTH/CENTRAL: PDP-35. APC-30. LP-30. NNPP-5.
SOUTH/WEST: PDP-20. APC-55. LP-23. NNPP-2.
SOUTH/SOUTH: PDP-30. APC-17. LP-50. NNPP-3.
SOUTH/EAST: PDP-20. APC-8. LP-70. NNPP-2.


Obi will do well in the north central because of christians in plateau, benue, nasarawa and fct, while kwara and kogi are for Tinubu.
By Shascky33

mynd44
seunmsg
front page

Lazy party will win 90% if South West vote,when we tell you to stop taking Mkpurumiri you won't listen

JoeNL22:


This your analysis is inaccurately flawed.
Tinubu can't floor his own zone.
Lagos, oyo, osun will have at least 50% of obi
South east and south south will be a landslide for obi at 80%
NC will be 50% for obi because of the Mumu-mumu ticket.
What obi needs now is 25% from the NW & NE.

what happened in 2011 when the whole north voted Buhari and still lost will definitely happen again. If they(North) vote Tinubu, it won't give any assurance or guarantee he wins the elections....that is why Tinubu is moving left, right and Centre, talking to kwankwanso, shekarau and Wike.
He knows the herculean task in front of him.
His health won't permit him to continue. Something is telling me with everything that is happening....they will tell Tinubu to step down. There is a reason why they had a presidential aspirants' meeting yesterday.

Typing trash from afaraukwu as usual

Millimann:
I think the analysis is a bit objective.

But I think LP will get up to 85% in SE and 65% in SS and 25% in SW.

You are right. People don't know how deep LP have eaten into SS. Am in Rivers and l belong to a support group

KingKO22:
APC will get more than 25% from SS and more than 30% in the NE

Its btw APC and PDP anyway.

Wike will be a determinant factor in this election.

If Wike, Makinde, Otom and Ikpezu decide to work for APC then I see APC coasting to victory with easy

Why will they work for apc after choosing their successors. The more all these southerner govs team up with wike the more likely the north will interpret this as a gang up by southerners against a northern politician

Shascky33:

A sound clap (pap), another one (pap), another bigger one (pap pap pap pa pa pa pap).

Good of you...

Pragmatic analysis.

Have you given this a thought?

You buy fuel #500 or more daily. For 100 days (about 3 months) you have spent (#500×100) #50,000 on fuel, if you add money you spent on oil(5K), T-fare (#100 × 100 days = 10K) and servicing your Gen(5K) for that 3 months, it should amount to about #70,000. Wow 70K just for about 6 hours light daily for just 3 months.

Are you thinking what I'm thinking?

It's time you stop stressing yourself and GO SOLAR! Check my signature

You tried in this your analysis. Our only hopes for now is Obi

JoeNL22:


This your analysis is inaccurately flawed.
Tinubu can't floor his own zone.
Lagos, oyo, osun will have at least 50% of obi
South east and south south will be a landslide for obi at 80%
NC will be 50% for obi because of the Mumu-mumu ticket.
What obi needs now is 25% from the NW & NE.

what happened in 2011 when the whole north voted Buhari and still lost will definitely happen again. If they(North) vote Tinubu, it won't give any assurance or guarantee he wins the elections....that is why Tinubu is moving left, right and Centre, talking to kwankwanso, shekarau and Wike.
He knows the herculean task in front of him.
His health won't permit him to continue. Something is telling me with everything that is happening....they will tell Tinubu to step down. There is a reason why they had a presidential aspirants' meeting yesterday.

Obi is no doubt a popular candidate, He will floor tinubu in the south but Atiku has the north in the bag, Numbers favour him.