Localemperor:
Honestly becoming a Vice president, does not really position one for the presidency. Power is taken, you need to be in the opposition to radiate.

Kwankwaso would have lost a lot of supporters and influence if he had agree to be VP to Obi.
I still believe he made the best choice.

very correct

I rather vote for Kwankwaso or Atiku than to vote Tinubu.

Meanwhile my vote and that of my entire family is for Peter Obi.

Polchiz:

Which Okowa? I doubt Okowa will deliver Delta for PDP.
Obi will win SS states.

Why do people think so low of Okowa, He is the Governor a his State and is contesting for the Presidency and you think he will loss his state? no way

If he doesn't step down, he won't win kano

Localemperor:
Mark it, Kano is the Only State Kwankwaso will win.

Felabrity:
Kwankwaso is still young, in his 60s

And can canvass 1-4 million vote in 2023

He will work on his south vote in 2027

I'm telling you, he is a great strategist. and every thing seems to be going as planned.

ire803386:
If he doesn't step down, he won't win kano

I will remind you of this after the election in February

Localemperor:
Why do people think so low of Okowa, He is the Governor a his State and is contesting for the Presidency and you think he will loss his state? no way

Peter Obi will win Delta.Stop dreaming

kcnwaigbo:

Peter Obi will win Delta.Stop dreaming

Ok no need raising dust, The election is already here.

jumper524:
ganduje fought the emir, the ex governor and still stood a chance? If you were born in kano, you'll know he shouldnt even stand a chance by hook or by crook. Not with buhari I don't care attitude or when it's a northernern affairs. Never

what happened in that election was purely the hand of Tinubu the balangwu from the West and PMB. I learnt he was the one who sent Gawuna and Garo to tear the result sheet.

Ganduje won because of Tinubu's potential presidential bid, nothing more.
The governor has no political Base, watch as the big wigs avoid him because he already scored an owngoal

No human fights the gods without alliance with another God.
Even his deputy is avoiding to be merged into his mess

Localemperor:
This analysis is purely my opinion and what I think he is trying to do.

Kwankwaso is not contesting to win the election next year,but he is trying to use the Buhari model in the north.

Did you know how many times Buhari contested before he was able to annex the 12m northern vote? Despite being former head of state, Buhari had to rally round North 3 times before he got it right.

Buhari becoming the most powerful contender in the north was because of his consistent hunger for power. Over years, he made the people rally round him.

In 2015, Tinubu saw that the fastest way to get the presidency was to cut shot the reign of Good-luck Jonathan, because if he had allow Jonathan to rule till 2019, then power moved north, it's would take South another 8 years (2027) before power returns and by then he ( Tinubu) would have been too old to contest, so he got his calculation well by saving 4year.

When Tinubu looked North to find an alliance, he went to no other person than Buhari who already is the biggest power house in Northern Nigeria, and the rest they say is history.

Now this is exactly what Kwankwaso is trying to do in a lesser time. Kwankwaso want the presidency to go South, any body that win between Tinubu and Peter Obi is a win for him. You will also agree with me that this is Tinubu and Atiku's last chance at the golden egg and when Atiku is out of the way in the North, who do you think his supporter in the North will rally round ( Mind you, Kwankwaso already have massive cult-like followers in Northwest).

When Atiku is gone and the South has ruled and when power returns to the North, who do you think would be the most likely to succeed?

Under the Nigerian standard, he can still vie for the presidency at least twice before he retires.

What I'm trying to say is this, since Atiku has lot his block vote in Southeast and still having issues with the G5. He has no base in the South because Tinubu owns the Southwest and majority of the SS states will be fest for all.

Kwankwaso is planning to disrupt and divide the Northwest vote and with this, were will Atiku get his votes from? Northeast can not win the election for him.

Kwankwaso is a visionary and futuristic politician

What do you think..

If the above were to be Kwankwaso's intent, the only outcome that will give traction to that strategy is a Peter Obi win. Why?:

If Atiku were to prevail in February, power would go back to the north for another 8 years and the calculative date of return will be 2039. How old will he be?.

If it is Tinubu, Shettima will be a semi-incumbent when power goes back to the north in 2031. The northeast will argue that they have not had it, and it is their turn.

That said, the only scenario Kwankwaso can benefit from is an Obi win without him being seen to be an accessory. I'm not sure that we can convincingly say that Kwankwaso is actively working for LP. An Obi victory will reset the playing field in favor of the north in 2031 and present Kwankwaso with a front-row seat.

What I see is NNPP looking to ingrain itself as a regional political powerhouse in the Northwest, first by taking back the Kano government house, then looking to expand from there.

00FFT00:


If the above were to be Kwankwaso's intent, the only outcome that will give traction to that strategy is a Peter Obi win. Why?:

If Atiku were to prevail in February, power would go back to the north for another 8 years and the calculative date of return will be 2039. How old will he be at that time?.

If it is Tinubu, Shettima will be a semi-incumbent when power goes back to the north in 2031. The northeast will argue that they have not had it, and it is their turn.

That said, the only scenario Kwankwaso can benefit from is an Obi win without him being seen to be an accessory. I'm not sure that we can convincingly say that Kwankwaso is actively working for LP. An Obi victory will reset the playing field in favor of the north in 2031 and present Kwankwaso with a row seat.

At this time, what I see is NNPP looking to ingrain itself as a regional political powerhouse in the Northwest, first by taking back the Kano government house, then looking to expand from there.

his best bet is to support Lp which if his smart he should alien with

00FFT00:


If the above were to be Kwankwaso's intent, the only outcome that will give traction to that strategy is a Peter Obi win. Why?:

If Atiku were to prevail in February, power would go back to the north for another 8 years and the calculative date of return will be 2039. How old will he be at that time?.

If it is Tinubu, Shettima will be a semi-incumbent when power goes back to the north in 2031. The northeast will argue that they have not had it, and it is their turn.

That said, the only scenario Kwankwaso can benefit from is an Obi win without him being seen to be an accessory. I'm not sure that we can convincingly say that Kwankwaso is actively working for LP. An Obi victory will reset the playing field in favor of the north in 2031 and present Kwankwaso with a row seat.

At this time, what I see is NNPP looking to ingrain itself as a regional political powerhouse in the Northwest, first by taking back the Kano government house, then looking to expand from there.

his best bet is to support Lp which if his smart he should alien with him.

Localemperor:
Honestly becoming a Vice president, does not really position one for the presidency. Power is taken, you need to be in the opposition to radiate.

Kwankwaso would have lost a lot of supporters and influence if he had agree to be VP to Obi.
I still believe he made the best choice.

you think if Buhari was exceptional, Osinbajo wouldn't have succeeded him?

jumper524:
buhari had is cult like followers hip across the country. Yes few in the south but still present there. There were people who really admired his military regime and his transparency during his reign as northeast governor. Kwankwaso was just the governor of kano. His followers aren't that huge as you guys wants people to believe. They are just kano people who are very much united

Nobody admired Buhari's military regime, and he had no following in the whole of the south until Tinubu and Yoruba urchins sufferheadedly presented him the platform on a plate of amala.
Stop rewriting history!
Meanwhile, do we still thing the person in Aso Rock is still Buhari?

Localemperor:
Why do people think so low of Okowa, He is the Governor a his State and is contesting for the Presidency and you think he will loss his state? no way

General election is different from States election.
Okorocha was governor of his state but he could not deliver Imo State for APC.

Just watch out for almustapha by the time obi complete his 8 years if his vice is not showing interest then prepare for almustapha

Very wrong permutation and plan, kwankwaso would be 74years in the next 8years, trust me, Nigerians won't blindly follow any useless politician of that age again with time.

The Zombies following Tinubu who's 86years and Atiku who's 74 years would greatly regret it God forbid either of them win.

Therefore, age won't be by his side when that projected time reach.

Localemperor:
This analysis is purely my opinion and what I think he is trying to do.

Kwankwaso is not contesting to win the election next year,but he is trying to use the Buhari model in the north.

Did you know how many times Buhari contested before he was able to annex the 12m northern vote? Despite being former head of state, Buhari had to rally round North 3 times before he got it right.

Buhari becoming the most powerful contender in the north was because of his consistent hunger for power. Over years, he made the people rally round him.

In 2015, Tinubu saw that the fastest way to get the presidency was to cut shot the reign of Good-luck Jonathan, because if he had allow Jonathan to rule till 2019, then power moved north, it's would take South another 8 years (2027) before power returns and by then he ( Tinubu) would have been too old to contest, so he got his calculation well by saving 4year.

When Tinubu looked North to find an alliance, he went to no other person than Buhari who already is the biggest power house in Northern Nigeria, and the rest they say is history.

Now this is exactly what Kwankwaso is trying to do in a lesser time. Kwankwaso want the presidency to go South, any body that win between Tinubu and Peter Obi is a win for him. You will also agree with me that this is Tinubu and Atiku's last chance at the golden egg and when Atiku is out of the way in the North, who do you think his supporter in the North will rally round ( Mind you, Kwankwaso already have massive cult-like followers in Northwest).

When Atiku is gone and the South has ruled and when power returns to the North, who do you think would be the most likely to succeed?

Under the Nigerian standard, he can still vie for the presidency at least twice before he retires.

What I'm trying to say is this, since Atiku has lot his block vote in Southeast and still having issues with the G5. He has no base in the South because Tinubu owns the Southwest and majority of the SS states will be fest for all.

Kwankwaso is planning to disrupt and divide the Northwest vote and with this, were will Atiku get his votes from? Northeast can not win the election for him.

Kwankwaso is a visionary and futuristic politician

What do you think..

00FFT00:


If the above were to be Kwankwaso's intent, the only outcome that will give traction to that strategy is a Peter Obi win. Why?:

If Atiku were to prevail in February, power would go back to the north for another 8 years and the calculative date of return will be 2039. How old will he be at that time?.

If it is Tinubu, Shettima will be a semi-incumbent when power goes back to the north in 2031. The northeast will argue that they have not had it, and it is their turn.

That said, the only scenario Kwankwaso can benefit from is an Obi win without him being seen to be an accessory. I'm not sure that we can convincingly say that Kwankwaso is actively working for LP. An Obi victory will reset the playing field in favor of the north in 2031 and present Kwankwaso with a front-row seat.

At this time, what I see is NNPP looking to ingrain itself as a regional political powerhouse in the Northwest, first by taking back the Kano government house, then looking to expand from there.

For you to have said that Kwankwaso can only benefit from Obi emergence can only be termed as an oversight.

What do you thing would become of Yusuf Datti after eight years of presidency? Do you think he would still be a political novice as at then as many had portray.

Believe no were is easy, Kwankwaso don't mind who wins as long as it goes south.

Shetima will be very Old after 8 years with Tinubu.

Localemperor:
This analysis is purely my opinion and what I think he is trying to do.

Kwankwaso is not contesting to win the election next year,but he is trying to use the Buhari model in the north.

Did you know how many times Buhari contested before he was able to annex the 12m northern vote? Despite being former head of state, Buhari had to rally round North 3 times before he got it right.

Buhari becoming the most powerful contender in the north was because of his consistent hunger for power. Over years, he made the people rally round him.

In 2015, Tinubu saw that the fastest way to get the presidency was to cut shot the reign of Good-luck Jonathan, because if he had allow Jonathan to rule till 2019, then power moved north, it's would take South another 8 years (2027) before power returns and by then he ( Tinubu) would have been too old to contest, so he got his calculation well by saving 4year.

When Tinubu looked North to find an alliance, he went to no other person than Buhari who already is the biggest power house in Northern Nigeria, and the rest they say is history.

Now this is exactly what Kwankwaso is trying to do in a lesser time. Kwankwaso want the presidency to go South, any body that win between Tinubu and Peter Obi is a win for him. You will also agree with me that this is Tinubu and Atiku's last chance at the golden egg and when Atiku is out of the way in the North, who do you think his supporter in the North will rally round ( Mind you, Kwankwaso already have massive cult-like followers in Northwest).

When Atiku is gone and the South has ruled and when power returns to the North, who do you think would be the most likely to succeed?

Under the Nigerian standard, he can still vie for the presidency at least twice before he retires.

What I'm trying to say is this, since Atiku has lot his block vote in Southeast and still having issues with the G5. He has no base in the South because Tinubu owns the Southwest and majority of the SS states will be fest for all.

Kwankwaso is planning to disrupt and divide the Northwest vote and with this, were will Atiku get his votes from? Northeast can not win the election for him.

Kwankwaso is a visionary and futuristic politician

What do you think..

good analysis, but i dont agree

Localemperor:
For you to have said that Kwankwaso can only benefit from Obi emergence can only be termed as an oversight.

What do you thing would become of Yusuf Datti after eight years of presidency? Do you think he would still be a political novice as at then as many had portray.

Believe no were is easy, Kwankwaso don't mind who wins as long as it goes south.

Shetima will be very Old after 8 years with Tinubu.

Is Shetimah not younger than Kwankwaso? If he will be very old as you wrote then Kwankwaso stands no chance age wise.

a4cube:
Is Shetimah not younger than Kwankwaso? If he will be very old as you wrote then Kwankwaso stands no chance age wise.

OK aside the age. Do you think |Datti would be quiet after 8 years

Localemperor:
becoming a Vice president, does not really position one for the presidency. Power is taken, you need to be in the opposition to radiate.

Kwankwaso would have lost a lot of supporters and influence if he had agree to be VP to Obi.
I still believe he made the best choice.

You Wrote the highlighted too. So you are contradicting your earlier stand.

DLuciano:
good analysis, but i dont agree

What do you disagree on, i want to hear you

Penguin2:


You made sense.
It is in Kwankwaso’s best interest that a southerner wins the 2023 presidential election so that he can stand a very bright chance in 2031.
But he miscalculated big time by refusing to align with Obi, if not, the election would have been over.
However, you are wrong that Southsouth is a fest for all. Southsouth, like southeast, is Obi’s stronghold.

Kwankwaso got it on a platter of gold and wasted away the beautiful chance of ever becoming president. Obi offered him the chance of being his vice, but pride killed him. I learnt he later regretted. It's too late for him to redeem himself.

After Obi's 8 years, then Datti wears the crown as power must rotate. The two are the only ones capable for now to usher in a new Nigeria.

ImDStar:
Very wrong permutation and plan, kwankwaso would be 74years in the next 8years, trust me, Nigerians won't blindly follow any useless politician of that age again with time.

The Zombies following Tinubu who's 86years and Atiku who's 74 years would greatly regret it God forbid either of them win.

Therefore, age won't be by his side when that projected time reach.

Joe Biden at 80 is about to make his interest known concerning 2024. Trust me Kwankwaso won't get the Tinubu treatment when the time comes.

Heffalump:


Kwankwaso got it on a platter of gold and wasted away the beautiful chance of ever becoming president. Obi offered him the chance of being his vice, but pride killed him. I learnt he later regretted. It's too late for him to redeem himself.

After Obi's 8 years, then Datti wears the crown as power must rotate. The two are the only ones capable for now to usher in a new Nigeria.

spot on

Some nyamuri are daft,how can whole kwakwaso depitize Pandora clown? Are this people normal at all? Lastly no nyamuri will ever rule our beautiful Nigeria.

a4cube:
You Wrote the highlighted too. So you are contradicting your earlier stand.

There is no such thing as contradiction.

I drew my premise from what you said. you said Kwankwaso should not support Tinubu because Shitima will be a problem to him in the future but he should support Obi because according to you after Obi, Kwankwaso will be having a free ride down north. then i reminded you about Yusuf Datti but you never address his resurgence but went on to counter the age factor between Kwankwaso and Shitima totally ignoring the Datti factor.

now how am i contracdicting my self in all this statement from an independent state i made.

manmade:
Just watch out for almustapha by the time obi complete his four years if his vice is not showing interest then prepare for almustapha

Al-Mustapha political career is dead, the Yurobas are yet to pay him back for what he did to Kudirat Abiola.

Kwankwaso knows he needs alliance with atleast a southern region, he also knows he has great chance in 2031

Localemperor:
Honestly becoming a Vice president, does not really position one for the presidency. Power is taken, you need to be in the opposition to radiate.

Kwankwaso would have lost a lot of supporters and influence if he had agree to be VP to Obi.
I still believe he made the best choice.

You have a point.

With what he’s doing now, he’s gathering more supporters to himself which increases his popularity especially in the north.

And yes, becoming Vice President does position someone for the presidency; if anything, it brings you closest to the presidency.

Atiku would have succeeded Obasanjo if he wasn’t greedy and over ambitious.

Jonathan succeeded Yaradua; though we can argue it’s because of death. But death is part of the calculation.

Osinbajo wouldn’t have had any opposition in the race to succeed Buhari if he wasn’t a featherweight; a disadvantage Kwankwaso doesn’t have.

00FFT00:


If the above were to be Kwankwaso's intent, the only outcome that will give traction to that strategy is a Peter Obi win. Why?:

If Atiku were to prevail in February, power would go back to the north for another 8 years and the calculative date of return will be 2039. How old will he be at that time?.

If it is Tinubu, Shettima will be a semi-incumbent when power goes back to the north in 2031. The northeast will argue that they have not had it, and it is their turn.

That said, the only scenario Kwankwaso can benefit from is an Obi win without him being seen to be an accessory. I'm not sure that we can convincingly say that Kwankwaso is actively working for LP. An Obi victory will reset the playing field in favor of the north in 2031 and present Kwankwaso with a front-row seat.

At this time, what I see is NNPP looking to ingrain itself as a regional political powerhouse in the Northwest, first by taking back the Kano government house, then looking to expand from there.

You are right.

The truth is that Kwankwaso might not like or want it, but if he’s being reasonable, only an Obi victory will favour him as things stand.

No political calculation or strategy guarantees otherwise.