Okowa will lose Delta state oga

Localemperor:
You do have a point on paper .... Governors lost elections they are not directly involved in, it is very hard for an incumbent Governor who is on a ballot either as a Senator, VP and seeking reelection to loss. This senerio happens in 1- 100 cases.

The latest one in Osun is an example. Go and Google governors that lost reelection! Jonathan post election as a sitting president and it's ordinary governor that doesn't control nothing that cannot lose election! You are a joker!

Penguin2:


Lol!

That’s what they don’t realize.

If a sitting governor can lose his re-election bid, then Okowa can lose Delta in the presidential election and he would.

But you won’t blame them because they have never left their region to understand what is on ground in other places.

The problem with all this Tinubu and Atiku supporters is that they forgot it's not an era of ballot box snatching.

Obidient4life2:


The problem with all this Tinubu and Atiku supporters is that they forgot it's not an era of ballot box snatching.

Same era of no ballot box snatching was used in ekiti and Osun State where APC won ekiti and had over 320k votes in Osun State with just 20k different to PDP

LP struggled to get 1k votes in Ekiti and Osun State governorship election

February no far again

VTJN:
Same era of no ballot box snatching was used in ekiti and Osun State where APC won ekiti and had over 320k votes in Osun State with just 20k different to PDP

LP struggled to get 1k votes in Ekiti and Osun State governorship election

February no far again

Your tiny brain is too weak to understand politics. Who are mentioning Labour party as if the individual doesn't matter! Because Peter Obi came into Labour party few months to that election every body contesting under Labour party should win.

Come February we will retire Tinubu and his likes forever! You can go and cry till tomorrow. Who fuckuing cares about governorship election? World cup and champions League no be mate!

PureMe01:


Exactly what's happening

Which makes it easier for Tinubu to win the upcoming election. I legit feel like he’s working for Tinubu on the low.

Localemperor:
Its would have bring him closer to the Presidency no doubt. But it is also a sacrilege for Kwankwaso to be Obi Vice, that is how Northerns sees it. He can be vice to Orji Kalu or Tinubu but not Obi.

He has this feelings that he is bigger than Obi.

Sacrilege?

I don’t think I’m comfortable with your choice of words.

When Joe Biden became running mate to Obama who was Obama?

PureMe01:


Lol fake hopes of agbado dogs

1st, if you’ve seen my posts you know I don’t support any of the 3 front runners.

2nd, whoever raised you are definitely dogs! Cos you obviously lack manners. And just to call people names in the name of politics.

Localemperor:
This analysis is purely my opinion and what I think he is trying to do.

Kwankwaso is not contesting to win the election next year,but he is trying to use the Buhari model in the north.

Did you know how many times Buhari contested before he was able to annex the 12m northern vote? Despite being former head of state, Buhari had to rally round North 3 times before he got it right.

Buhari becoming the most powerful contender in the north was because of his consistent hunger for power. Over years, he made the people rally round him.

In 2015, Tinubu saw that the fastest way to get the presidency was to cut shot the reign of Good-luck Jonathan, because if he had allow Jonathan to rule till 2019, then power moved north, it's would take South another 8 years (2027) before power returns and by then he ( Tinubu) would have been too old to contest, so he got his calculation well by saving 4year.

When Tinubu looked North to find an alliance, he went to no other person than Buhari who already is the biggest power house in Northern Nigeria, and the rest they say is history.

Now this is exactly what Kwankwaso is trying to do in a lesser time. Kwankwaso want the presidency to go South, any body that win between Tinubu and Peter Obi is a win for him. You will also agree with me that this is Tinubu and Atiku's last chance at the golden egg and when Atiku is out of the way in the North, who do you think his supporter in the North will rally round ( Mind you, Kwankwaso already have massive cult-like followers in Northwest).

When Atiku is gone and the South has ruled and when power returns to the North, who do you think would be the most likely to succeed?

Under the Nigerian standard, he can still vie for the presidency at least twice before he retires.

What I'm trying to say is this, since Atiku has lot his block vote in Southeast and still having issues with the G5. He has no base in the South because Tinubu owns the Southwest and majority of the SS states will be fest for all.

Kwankwaso is planning to disrupt and divide the Northwest vote and with this, were will Atiku get his votes from? Northeast can not win the election for him.

Kwankwaso is a visionary and futuristic politician

What do you think..

I agree with this analysis. Another angle I see it from is that Madugu would also use this as a bargaining chip if he returns to PDP. If, hypothetically, he comes third in this election with say 7 million votes.

When he decamps back to PDP before 2027 or 2031, he can easily claim that he has 7 million votes in the bag and that will be a nice bargaining point to give him the presidency. But the future is going to be interesting to watch.

Penguin2:


Sacrilege?

I don’t think I’m comfortable with your choice of words.

When Joe Biden became running mate to Obama who was Obama?

You always compare orange and cassava/agbado ALL the time!

LegalWolf:


You always compare orange and cassava/agbado ALL the time!

Lol!

It’s because I really want to have a sneak peek into their brain to see how they reason and what always makes them think Kwankwaso is too big to deputize Obi.

Obidient4life2:

Your tiny brain is too weak to understand politics. Who are mentioning Labour party as if the individual doesn't matter! Because Peter Obi came into Labour party few months to that election every body contesting under Labour party should win.

Come February we will retire Tinubu and his likes forever! You can go and cry till tomorrow. Who fuckuing cares about governorship election? World cup and champions League no be mate!

You go wail for another 8 years beginning from next year


This is a known fact

VTJN:
You go wail for another 8 years beginning from next year


This is a known fact

We know the regions that their wailing have gotten to high heavens. They will remain the ones to wail in any bad Government because they survive on minimum wage!

Obidient4life2:


We know the regions that their wailing have gotten to high heavens. They will remain the ones to wail in any bad Government because they survive on minimum wage!

Lol

Which region which bubu dead?
Which region cry for Biafra?
Which region wail for marginalization?
Which region burn her state to spite bubu?
Which region feel inferior and has victimhood mentality?
Which region bubu referred to as dot in a circle?
Which region is known as AfghanEastern?
Which region keep clamouring for no erection no referendum?
Which region is 5% and doesn't have the voting strength?
Which region is killing their kinsmen to spite bubu?
Which region whose kinsmen doesn't like themselves?
Which region is known for Nzogbu Nzogbu politics?
Which region always follow the wrong candidate?

Nwanne, February no far again

VTJN:
Lol

Which region which bubu dead?
Which region cry for Biafra?
Which region wail for marginalization?
Which region burn her state to spite bubu?
Which region feel inferior and has victimhood mentality?
Which region bubu referred to as dot in a circle?
Which region is known as AfghanEastern?
Which region keep clamouring for no erection no referendum?
Which region is 5% and doesn't have the voting strength?
Which region is killing their kinsmen to spite bubu?
Which region whose kinsmen doesn't like themselves?
Which region is known for Nzogbu Nzogbu politics?
Which region always follow the wrong candidate?

Nwanne, February no far again

With all the long epistle, we know who depends on minimum wage that cannot buy a bag of rice. We know who can't farm, we know who is at home playing draft and ludo!
A dot that dictates how much the circle spends on commodities. That's a wonderful dot!

Obidient4life2:


With all the long epistle, we know who depends on minimum wage that cannot buy a bag of rice. We know who can't farm, we know who is at home playing draft and ludo!
A dot that dictates how much the circle spends on commodities. That's a wonderful dot!

We know the region who always wish the next president dead

They are super good at spotting the next president

VTJN:
We know the region who always wish the next president dead

They are super good at spotting the next president

Hahahaha... You can't wish a dead man death! Maybe he can be President in the grave because that's where he fits.

Obidient4life2:


Hahahaha... You can't wish a dead man death! Maybe he can be President in the grave because that's where he fits.

just as jubril of Sudan will give una free and fair election

Wahala

So he has this influence like this in kano state he couldn't win his senatorial seat in kano,Abi you guys forgot that he was a PDP senatorial aspirant in 2019

Penguin2:


Sacrilege?

I don’t think I’m comfortable with your choice of words.

When Joe Biden became running mate to Obama who was Obama?

My bad if the word sacrilege offends you. The US politics is different from how Nigerians play their politics.

Obidient4life2:


The latest one in Osun is an example. Go and Google governors that lost reelection! Jonathan post election as a sitting president and it's ordinary governor that doesn't control nothing that cannot lose election! You are a joker!

Don't worry, the election is already by the corner.

Localemperor:
My bad if the word sacrilege offends you. The US politics is different from how Nigerians play their politics.

There’s no difference per se.

Those differences exist only in our minds.

Nothing at all should make Kwankwaso feel he’s too big to deputize someone who has been a governor for 8 years and an accomplished businessman.

Is it because Kwankwaso was a Minister? Well, Obi was chairman of SEC.

Or is it because Kwankwaso was a senator? Does it look to you like Obi wouldn’t have won a senatorial election in Anambra if he wanted to go to the senate?

Dmano:
So he has this influence like this in kano state he couldn't win his senatorial seat in kano,Abi you guys forgot that he was a PDP senatorial aspirant in 2019

That was because Buhari was contesting in 2019. No matter how influential Kwankwaso can be in the north, it is not to the level of Buhari; at least for now.

But the projections people are making now is because Buhari will no longer be on the ballot in 2023.

jumper524:
ganduje fought the emir, the ex governor and still stood a chance? If you were born in kano, you'll know he shouldnt even stand a chance by hook or by crook. Not with buhari I don't care attitude or when it's a northernern affairs. Never

Buhari installed Ganduje, Op is right. Ganduje lost, but Buhari's men installed him just like they installed Hope Uzodinma in Imo State.



Op is right with Kwankwaso's political calculations too; he is not contesting to win in 2023, in fact Kwankwaso wishes Peter Obi wins because Peter Obi winning gives him a brighter chance of becoming next President when power returns to the North and it will be for the North and for the Muslims.



Tinubu winning will not brighten Kwankwaso's chances because Tinubu is a Muslim, running with a strong Northern Muslim Mafia.


If Tinubu wins, Shettima will be as powerful and popular as Atiku during Obasanjo's tenure because Tinubu is not well and won't be fully in charge, it will be Tinubu's wife, Tinubu's son and GAC boys to be headed by Femi Gbajabiamila and co vs Shettima Northern alliance which will make Shettima very strong, popular and powerful that may outshine Kwankwaso's popularity in the North, which will further reduce Kwankwaso's chance of emerging in future presidential elections.



But if Obi wins, Datti won't be that powerful and popular to outshine Kwankwaso's popularity in the North unlike Shettima and El Rufai if Tinubu wins.

jumper524:
His followers aren't that huge as you guys wants people to believe. They are just kano people who are very much united

This is false. The Kwankwasiyya political movement is spread across NE and NW Nigeria.

The OP has a valid point.

aieromon:


This is false. The Kwankwasiyya political movement is spread across NE and NW Nigeria.

The OP has a valid point.

northeast kwankwasiya? E no get that level else he'll have been a serious contender.

jumper524:
northeast kwankwasiya? E no get that level else he'll have been a serious contender.

He is not contending to win. He is simply following a blueprint and building a political structure.

Yar'Adua's PDM
Buhari movement

When the time is right, he will align forces.

Penguin2:


There’s no difference per se.

Those differences exist only in our minds.

Nothing at all should make Kwankwaso feel he’s too big to deputize someone who has been a governor for 8 years and an accomplished businessman.

Is it because Kwankwaso was a Minister? Well, Obi was chairman of SEC.

Or is it because Kwankwaso was a senator? Does it look to you like Obi wouldn’t have won a senatorial election in Anambra if he wanted to go to the senate?

Honestly, You people from the Southern part of the country think so highly of your self. What stops Obi from been a Vice to Kwankwaso?

The Sensation around Obi just began this year but that of Kwankwaso has been there for years.

Kwankwaso has a better portfolio than Obi

Localemperor:
Honestly, You people from the Southern part of the country think so highly of your self. What stops Obi from been a Vice to Kwankwaso?

The Sensation around Obi just began this year but that of Kwankwaso has been there for years.

Kwankwaso has a better portfolio than Obi

So you think it’s right for Kwankwaso from Kano to succeed Buhari from Katsina in the same Northwest region of the country?

Localemperor:
He might Win, Edo, and Rivers. He would loss Dalta ( Okowa ).

Bayalsa, Cross river and Akwa ibom I can't tell.

He might make a significant headway but he certainly won't win in AkwaIbom (Udom factor)

Penguin2:


So you think it’s right for Kwankwaso from Kano to succeed Buhari from Katsina in the same Northwest region of the country?

There is no more zoning, it is now free for all.