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Politics / Failed State 2030: Nigeria - A Case Study by Kobojunkie: 9:41pm On Sep 16 |
This monograph describes how a failed state in 2030 may impact the United States and the global economy. It also identifies critical capabilities and technologies the US Air Force should have to respond to a failed state, especially one of vital interest to the United States and one on the cusp of a civil war. Nation-states can fail for a myriad of reasons: cultural or religious conflict, a broken social contract between the government and the governed, a catastrophic natural disaster, financial collapse, war, and so forth. Nigeria with its vast oil wealth, large population, and strategic position in Africa and the global economy can, if it fails disproportionately affect the United States and the global economy. Nigeria, like many nations in Africa, gained independence from the United Kingdom in 1960. It is the most populous country in Africa and will have nearly 250 million people by 2030. In its relatively short modern history, Nigeria has survived five military coups as well as separatist and religious wars, is mired in an active armed insurgency, is suffering from disastrous ecological conditions in its Niger Delta region, and is fighting one of the modern world?s worst legacies of political and economic corruption. A nation with more than 350 ethnic groups, 250 languages, and three distinct religious affiliations? Christian, Islamic, and animist Nigeria?s 135 million people today are anything but homogenous. Of Nigeria's 36 states, 12 are Islamic and under the strong and growing influence of the Sokoto caliphate. While religious and ethnic violence is commonplace, the federal government has managed to strike a tenuous balance among the disparate religious and ethnic factions. With such demographics, Nigeria's failure would be akin to a piece of fine china dropped on a tile floor. it would simply shatter into potentially hundreds of pieces. Poor investment in the nation's critical infrastructure and underinvestment in health care, education, science, and technology are all leading to a brain drain. in which Nigeria's most talented and educated citizens are leaving the country. This will leave a future Nigeria even poorer. Nascent attempts to address electoral and governmental corruption are meeting with some success and hold promise for the future. Recent meetings between the president and insurgent groups may, over time, help resolve some of Nigeria's most intractable and dangerous internal conflicts. The population's disappointment in its government has not appreciably shaken its faith in democracy. Elections are and will likely remain an important part of Nigerian life as they, despite the odds, provide the people hope that they can make a difference in Nigeria struggles to succeed. Nigeria becoming a failed state is not a foregone conclusion. However, should the oil-rich state of Nigeria, a nation likely to provide up to 25 or 25 percent of US light, sweet crude oil imports by 2030, fail, then the effect on the United States and the world economy would be too great to ignore. The threat that failure poses to a quarter billion Nigerians in terms of livelihood, security, and general way of life could quickly spread and cause a humanitarian disaster of previously unimagined proportions. Regardless of the extent of the humanitarian crisis unfolding in the wake of failure, the hard work to repair the damage could take two generations to make Nigeria viable again. This failed-state scenario is one of four that comprised the Blue Horizons study in 2008. It explores the implications of what it would mean for the US Air Force to respond to a failed state in 2030, one with a large population that has resources vital to the Western world. The capabilities necessary to detect threats, characterize the environment, rapidly deploy and protect responders, and sustain operations long enough to create conditions for the indigenous people to resurrect their fallen nation are all issues that need to be explored. From these, this monograph helps the study team understand what types of technologies the US Air Force should pursue to enable it to lead and prevail against the challenges and surprises posed by future failed states. https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/citations/ADA543719 3 Likes 1 Share |
Politics / Re: Don't Be Lazy, Start Farming Petrol And Gas - Opinion by Kobojunkie: 9:26pm On Sep 16 |
jesmond3945:Yes, why not? Let every house in Nigeria set up its own food garden and its own illegal refinery. Why not?
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Politics / Re: Enugu To Assemble 1,000 Tractors Locally By 2025, 300 Ready In 2024 – Mbah by Kobojunkie: 9:00pm On Sep 16 |
vikstandon:WOW... I guess the state is really a construction site. |
Religion / Re: Pastor Mouka Buries 2nd Wife, Joy Years After Burying 1st Wife In 2010 by Kobojunkie: 8:50pm On Sep 16 |
Exousiang01:🤣🤣🤣🤣Na you talk am ooo! |
Politics / Re: Enugu To Assemble 1,000 Tractors Locally By 2025, 300 Ready In 2024 – Mbah by Kobojunkie: 8:31pm On Sep 16 |
Localemperor:Can you please include information about these "smart schools", "advance health centers", and "international conference centers"? It would be right to investigate it all to understand what is real from what is the usual propaganda and lies that are typical of Nigeria. |
Politics / Re: RCCG Collects 1million Naira To Bury Their Pastor On Rccg Burial Ground by Kobojunkie: 8:26pm On Sep 16 |
MorataFC:1. 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 We can't ask non-existent questions but somehow you can answer non-existent questions? 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 2. If Jesus Christ never attended any burials nor charged anyone for burials and Jesus Christ also never charged anyone for food.... how then do you even begin connecting your churches which charge people for burials or food to Jesus Christ? What the heck have your churches which are glorified business centers — they pretty much charge for everything from their members — to do with Jesus Christ who never charged His followers for anything? 3. Jesus Christ is famous for saying, "Let the dead bury their dead." Your burial ground rituals which apply only to the dead — those who do not belong to Jesus Christ since His followers are instead referred to as the living — have nothing to do with Jesus Christ but your church business enterprises and their bottom line. 4. Your reasoning is severely destroyed from the roots which is why you can't even see the obvious disconnect between your belief and the reality of this man who you pretend your belief associates with. This inability to critically process logic is typical of people under religious delusion, mind you. |
Politics / Re: Newly Graduated Medical Doctors Appreciate Ex Gov Yahaya Bello For Scholarship by Kobojunkie: 7:48pm On Sep 16 |
danladi02:Is this not evidence of African numu-ism? |
Politics / Re: #fearlessinoctober: With Or Without Me Protest Will Go On- Sowore Vow by Kobojunkie: 7:38pm On Sep 16 |
Okoroawusa:Before you go out to protest, please go on the INEC website and fill out the form to have your underperforming Senator and Representative recalled both at the state and National Level. Tell your friends and family in Nigeria to do the same in preparation for the revolution to come.
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Politics / Re: Don't Be Lazy, Start Farming Petrol And Gas - Opinion by Kobojunkie: 7:25pm On Sep 16 |
89green:Stand up and take back your mandate! if more Nigerians would do this, these arseholes would not be up there sucking the life and destinies of over 200 million Nigerians.
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Politics / Re: Nigeria’s Inflation Rate Falls To 33.15% by Kobojunkie: 7:20pm On Sep 16 |
voiceoftheupcom:Inflation is bound to experience a fall when the demand for goods falls. With many Nigerians no longer able to afford many of the essentials, there is bound to be a fall in the price of goods. Given the state of the economy, I don't believe it is something that we ought to celebrate. |
Politics / Re: #fearlessinoctober: With Or Without Me Protest Will Go On- Sowore Vow by Kobojunkie: 7:14pm On Sep 16 |
Melagros:Peaceful protest ke? Any protest that does not include a divisive move by the electorates to fire — recall members of National Senators and Reps and have them prosecuted immediately afterward — is likely not going to achieve much more than the other protest was able to. Nigerians are already more than aware that these thieves in power are not going to listen to them. So, going out to do more of the same is likely not going to lead anywhere. 1 Like
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Politics / Re: Enugu To Assemble 1,000 Tractors Locally By 2025, 300 Ready In 2024 – Mbah by Kobojunkie: 7:12pm On Sep 16 |
SmartPolician:You wey you pretend to live there, how is he benefiting the people in terms of development that benefits the majority and not a minority? Construction of roads and overhead bridges? |
Politics / Re: Enugu To Assemble 1,000 Tractors Locally By 2025, 300 Ready In 2024 – Mbah by Kobojunkie: 7:11pm On Sep 16 |
phr0nesis:How? |
Politics / Re: #fearlessinoctober: With Or Without Me Protest Will Go On- Sowore Vow by Kobojunkie: 7:07pm On Sep 16 |
FourQu:Are you ok in the head at all? Or comprehension problems dey plague you. Kobojunkie: |
Politics / Re: Sense Gradually Returning But The Harm Has Already Been Done by Kobojunkie: 7:06pm On Sep 16 |
coolitempa:This coming from a sponsored online tout is hilarious! 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 |
Politics / Re: #fearlessinoctober: With Or Without Me Protest Will Go On- Sowore Vow by Kobojunkie: 6:54pm On Sep 16 |
FourQu:Yes, pretty much almost all of those on that list are either proven elements of corruption or have track records that scream ineptitude. Prove otherwise if you can or waka pass me with whatever is your brand of lunacy! |
Politics / Re: #fearlessinoctober: With Or Without Me Protest Will Go On- Sowore Vow by Kobojunkie: 6:41pm On Sep 16 |
FourQu:Given that his name stands out on a list comprised mostly of proven criminals and inept politicians, I should have to answer to you or something? Am I somehow to blame for why there were no better Nigerians on the list of candidates back in 2023 or something?
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Politics / Re: Sense Gradually Returning But The Harm Has Already Been Done by Kobojunkie: 6:38pm On Sep 16 |
coolitempa:
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Religion / Re: Pastor Mouka Buries 2nd Wife, Joy Years After Burying 1st Wife In 2010 by Kobojunkie: 6:33pm On Sep 16 |
asangoli:Dem no dey do autopsy for Nigeria be the thing. |
Politics / Re: Chicken Worth Millions Lost To Lagos Floods, Poultry In Ruins (pictures) by Kobojunkie: 6:19pm On Sep 16 |
Marel3d:Home and business owners should also endeavor to protect their properties from damage as well. Clearly, the government ain't ready to in fact tackle the problem. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p51btvregMw?si=A8q8DWeMbjP_CwFn |
Politics / Re: Drainages In Lagos That Lead Nowhere, But Goverment Wants To Demolish Homes by Kobojunkie: 6:17pm On Sep 16 |
VaselineCrew:Lagos Drainages can and should be reengineered. Of course, if drainage leads nowhere it defeats the purpose. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p51btvregMw?si=A8q8DWeMbjP_CwFn |
Politics / Re: Don't Be Lazy, Start Farming Petrol And Gas - Opinion by Kobojunkie: 6:11pm On Sep 16 |
89green:A people dedicated to suffering and smiling for life! 😂😂😂😂😂😂 You go farm your food, drill for your crude, refine your petrol, gas, and diesel, source and purify your own water, provide your own electricity, build your own school...all while paying taxes to a government that does not mean or care anything for your lot. Una no dey tire? 5 Likes |
Politics / Re: Enugu To Assemble 1,000 Tractors Locally By 2025, 300 Ready In 2024 – Mbah by Kobojunkie: 6:01pm On Sep 16 |
Faber:LOL... I instead heard he made the state a "construction site". 3 Likes 1 Share |
Politics / Re: Tackling Lagos Flood Crisis by Kobojunkie: 5:52pm On Sep 16 |
johnca:Here's a technology I came upon that could greatly reduce the time of building the needed drainage in Lagos, at the same time helping in directing waste from the drainages to a receiving point where much of it can be processed or at least captured before the water is then directed back into the capture zones. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p51btvregMw?si=8teEBW7xE_YEAweG |
Politics / Re: Tinubu Visits Maiduguri Over Flooding Disaster by Kobojunkie: 5:46pm On Sep 16 |
Urgent1Million:Lagos flood no be problem of broken down dam though. Also, I read there was a flood in the same Maiduguri as a result of the same dam breaking, just two years ago. https://humanglemedia.com/maiduguri-floods-the-unfortunate-series-of-events-that-led-to-the-breakdown-of-alau-dam. |
Politics / Re: RCCG Collects Almost 1million Naira To Bury Their Pastor On Their Bury Ground- by Kobojunkie: 5:41pm On Sep 16 |
BreconHills:That is exactly the major reason you lot flood to religious halls and into the hands of these scammers-in-the-lords. Unresolved childhood trauma and issues from those formatives years, coupled with indoctrination is a major reason why so many run into the hands of these fraudsters who hide their brand of lies behind the mentions of a divine all so as to milk their gullible followers without consequence. |
Politics / Re: NNPC Fixes Pump Price For Dangote Refinery, Sells Petrol ₦950 Lagos, ₦992 Abuja by Kobojunkie: 5:40pm On Sep 16 |
bdon123:Decided when? For all you and I know, Dangote's agreement with the Federal government may have always been to have NNPC as the primary buyer for the product. I mean how else would you explain Dangote not already having a list of local buyers for the product all before all of this? An interview on the news a couple of days ago had one particular marketer insisting that many marketers would have loved to have had the chance to negotiate their own price deal directly with Dangote, something they had no chance to do given that NNPCL was named the primary buyer of Dangote PMS. |
Politics / Re: Sense Gradually Returning But The Harm Has Already Been Done by Kobojunkie: 5:19pm On Sep 16 |
coolitempa:Are you just plain daft or something?
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Politics / Re: RCCG Collects Almost 1million Naira To Bury Their Pastor On Their Bury Ground- by Kobojunkie: 5:16pm On Sep 16 |
Oluyole74:Exactly! That is the scam. The whole idea is to mine all of the successes of their gullible sheeple —under their control —as their own; the failures are blamed on the individual, of course, who is cleverly accused of not having enough faith juice. |
Politics / Re: RCCG Collects Almost 1million Naira To Bury Their Pastor On Their Bury Ground- by Kobojunkie: 5:11pm On Sep 16 |
Seyitosino:You are saying that his revealing that the anointing oil Adeboye gave them his brother turned out no better than the usual snake oil scam and that Adeboye charged a million to have the man buried in the kingdom of Adeboye is an attempt at painting Adeboye black? You would rather he make up a lie than reveal his truth? Meaning that you are aware that when the truth is revealed Adeboye fails and as such the truth does no, in fact, set Adeboye free. |
Politics / Re: RCCG Collects Almost 1million Naira To Bury Their Pastor On Their Bury Ground- by Kobojunkie: 5:06pm On Sep 16 |
Major7:You claim this deity of yours is God of all flesh yet you hesitate to speak his name to separate from the rest. How come? 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 Again, I keep asking you which god but none of you are ever able to answer, how come? There are over 4000 known deities; several known in Nigeria. So, which of them in particular do you threaten me with? |
Politics / Re: RCCG Collects 1million Naira To Bury Their Pastor On Rccg Burial Ground by Kobojunkie: 5:00pm On Sep 16 |
MorataFC:This is a disconnected and pretty much stewpid comeback rant! He asked if Jesus Christ or His disciples charged people money for burials. …. Is there anywhere Jesus Christ or his disciples asked anyone for money for burial?? There are times when we still need to ask ourselves what will JESUS DO?Jesus Christ never charged any human for food, healings, or even burials. |
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