₦airaland Forum

Agbaletu:
Just 4 people with no electoral values?

Try get small sense. Who dey follow you go your farm?

How long did it take Kwankwaso’s godsons and associates to join him in PDP?

Only Buhari can boast of the crowd I saw at Akpabio’s defection rally yesterday.

Age,enormous wealth,implications of zoning and desperation will make nobody among them agree to a consensus.

The primary season,late September to first week of October, will usher us to the second and final burial of the PDP.

julitoch:
Where are we meeting on 29th for the rich meal, i'm interested

I am just playing. But,I am coming into Abuja on the day and can buy you some drinks or something,if you are free to join me when I get in. Send me a message.

Yes,Bank,Caribbean,Storms and Cubana night clubs.

Jabi Lake Mall and Dunes Centre.

Jevinik in Wuse 2 and Garki 2. Then the KFC area in Wuse 2.

Please quote me if you are adding more.

All slay queens in Abuja,make we meet on 29th for a rich meal.

Flets:
With South South, South East and North Central gone to anyone but Buhari, PDP only needs an average northerner to share the spoils with Buhari in the North East and North West and a SW VP to share the southwest votes.

There is no way Buhari will win 2019 elections. Either Tambuwal, kwankwaso or Atiku will kick Buhari out of office.

Buhari's supposed cult following in the North is a farce, it did not save him in 2003, 2007 and 2011 until N-PDP and Tinubu saved him in 2015. It's now much a tougher sale after exposing him for the bigot and closet terrorist he is.

Anyone with superior analysis should bring it forward.

Some tips:
His 2015 NE & NW votes were intact cos he was up against a southern minority
His 2015 NC votes was prior to his open affinity and protection for fulani terrorist in the middle belt
His 2015 SW votes were driven by Tinubu and perceived fight against corruption; it's a different story now he has been exposed for the bigot and terrorist he is

Ignorant and just blind to the realities and trends of the world you want to speak about. Shut up!

@op, stop being dubious. This is an APC solidarity rally for Buhari organised by APC leaders leaders led by Senator Wamakko in Sokoto.

Correct the topic appropriately.

Carmal90:
Kindly disprove my analysis..
Thanks

Already did severally,can’t repeat myself. Just don’t forget all I said and watch the events of sept.ending to October 8th.

Carmal90:
Let me start from the bolded, Buhari was picked or elected as APC candidate in December of 2014,goole is still alive, who told you bought South South and West won't be compensated??
Where in my submission did I mention defeat for Buhari in the north, he might win but there won't be any 1.9million votes again, keep my word,
So from your assumption everybody knew buhari was the candidate to beat in 2014 and still decided to waste money?
Nobody will b happy if he or she lost an election, reason I said they will manage themselves till probably after election, or do you expect any of them after losing the primary to go to apc? Stop the joke bro..
Did you noticed the recently conducted election in kaduna? Tell me how apc will have a landslide in kaduna, and kano.
FYI...KWANKWASSIYA movement are up to 400k alone, shekarau and the rest..
See the game is there, reason buhari is very afraid

You are sleeping and picking half-truths. You mean you are so ignorant about politics that you don’t know how APC was formed and for what purpose?

Let me let time educate you.

PrecisionFx:
"" The potential PDP flagbearers have ran against him severally and lost.""


None of the PDP flag bearers have contested any election against Buhari.


"" Yar’adua himself acknowledged he was rigged in during the 2007 election and the Supreme Court largely said that.""

Blatant n very stupid Yoruba lies.

"" Yar’adua got some states and largely the entire South.
""

Yaradua beat Buhari blue black in the north, Yaradua dusted Buhari in the caliphate HQ Sokwoto.


""How did Kwankwaso lose his re-election bid in 2003? What did he get for PDP as a sitting governor in 2012?""


As a sitting governor Kwakwanso got 440,666 votes for PDP.


"" Have you checked how Tambuwal got to the House of Reps and even became speaker?Have you checked how he came Governor?
""

Tambuwal is a popular politician and won elections under PDP without buharis help so stop being unnecessarily silly.


""Forget the noise, all those guys put together can’t even make a dent on his base.
""

Yaradua beat buhari blue black in the north.

"" Also, Tambuwal joined PDP because Wike wants to impose him as presidential candidate ""

14 senators, 36 house of reps, senate president n 3 governors, kano state deputy governor from northern nigeria were also dragged into PDP by wike to all become presidents abi


""Buhari has an increased base, has the SW and quietly eating into the SE and SS ""

In the last election, SW broke even 57% vs 43% against GEJ, He doesn't have the SW.

Eating into the SE n SS as in igbos now love Buhari and want to come out n vote him?

You are deluded and quite silly.

Carmal90:
Pdp is a national party, the earlier you know this the better,
There won't be anything like imposition, wike will have his candidate, if he happen to win, that will be fine.
There is nothing that scatter this pdp at least before election, did you know Kwankwaso, atiku were unhappy when buhari won the primary in 2014?every aspirant that lose an election wil be aggrieved, the permutations is favouring the north and they won't want to miss the opportunity..
The north would have spent just 7 years from the possibility years of 20,and they want a person that will be able to do 8 good years for them, they are aware that tinubu supporting buhari was for selfish interest and they are ready to outsmart him

You are assuming that the South East and South South are so determined to give the north 12 years in all?

In all presidential elections,even in those high rigging years,nobody has defeated Buhari in the north. Is it now that he is in power and controls the architecture of security,electoral management and all? You are dreaming too high.

APC primary of 2015 was free and fair, it was difficult for them to quarrel with the process and outcome.

Even, from 2013, the key opposition leaders knew Buhari was the candidate in waiting.

Will Atiku,Kwankwaso,Makarfi and co be so happy if Tambuwal emerges?

You are forgetting that these men see 2019 as their last outing because of age and all.

Buhari,if healthy, is the candidate of APC. PDP which is dead and desperate does not have a candidate 2 months to the end of presidential primaries.

I like your dream for the PDP, but it is an impossible one.

This meeting kept him from leaving the APC. Wise man.

Carmal90:
He might win in North West ND North East, that is expected, but with pdp springing up northerner as their candidate, the margin will be slim if not matched,
The battle spot will be North Central, South West.. As it is assumed pdp is strong in South South and South East..

In rejecting the South West for the Chairmanship of PDP because of the now defeated Fayose, what hold has the PDP anywhere in the South West?Is it Koro who has joined the APC or Omisore now aggrieved and in the SDP? Obasanjo who has never won his polling unit? Or Ebenezer Babatope who is only a politician on Tribune pages?

The viable prospects of Osinbajo succeeding Buhari in death, due to his ailment, and even if alive in 2023 has kept the South West glued to him.

Secondly, there is no Jonathan running in the SS and SE. Pay attention to what is happening in elite circles in Delta, Rivers, Ebonyi, Akwa Ibom, Cross River and Enugu, you will be shocked as the PDP hold is not that strong.

Woke wants to impose Tambuwal as PDP presidential candidate, that he will make him his running mate. This will shock and scatter the commitment of the Atikus and Kwankwasos of this world and upset Igbo elites. Let PDP starts its primary season first and we will know whether it will be a party before the elections. Bookmark this post.

seanswitch:
He is loosing grounds on terrains that brought him to power. APC got Ekiti and lost Kwara, Sokoto, Benue. And we know he ain't getting any state from south east and south south.

You will be shocked by the results by God’s grace. Tambuwal was made Governor by Forces led by Senator Wamakko after serious pleading by Asiwaju. Go and read what Wamakko has been saying since yesterday.

Secondly, Buhari has always won Sokoto state and the entire north.

Despite all you read on paper, Benue is intact as the godfather, George Akume, who has huge political hold on the communities and Catholic Church since 1999 was the one who gave Ortom red card and remains the leader of APC.

Buhari will win in some states in the SE and SS. Remember there is no Jonathan running.

Bigger problem for the PDP is producing a candidate. Wike wants to impose Tambuwal on them so that he can become his running mate. This will scatter the party, shock the SE elites and lead to mass exodus by Atiku and others. Bookmark this post.

PrecisionFx:
Against southerners, the north gives only Buhari their votes, especially NE n NW. Northerners only vote northerners, That has been the teaching over there since the days of Ahmadu Bello

But against a fellow northerner, The result is shared. Yaradua a popular fulani from a powerful family contested against buhari in 2007 n he beat Buhari blue black in the north. Northerners sabi do cult followership very well and they don't do it only for buhari.

APC n Buhari knows that there's a huge problem since the day PDP zoned presidency to the north. So u think APC is stupid for pleading with igbos to vote buhari in 2019 so that Buhari will handover to an Igbo man in 2023.
They know northern votes will be shared.
SW votes will be shared.
And only SE n SS will bring in block votes in this election.

Let me educate you a little.

The potential PDP flagbearers have ran against him severally and lost.

Atiku in 2007 and 2015, what did he get from the north?

How did Makarfi lose his senate bid in 2015 in the Kaduna his base of over 15 years?

Yar’adua himself acknowledged he was rigged in during the 2007 election and the Supreme Court largely said that. Yet,what did he get against Buhari? He won because Buhari got the north and nowhere else, Yar’adua got some states and largely the entire South.

How did Kwankwaso lose his re-election bid in 2003? What did he get for PDP as a sitting governor in 2012?

Despite his reputed visionary leadership in Jigawa, what defeated Lamido and his choices in 2015 like in 1999?

Have you checked how Tambuwal got to the House of Reps and even became speaker?Have you checked how he came Governor?

Forget the noise, all those guys put together can’t even make a dent on his base.

Also, Tambuwal joined PDP because Wike wants to impose him as presidential candidate and become his running mate. You will see how these guys will fight to finish.

Buhari has an increased base, has the SW and quietly eating into the SE and SS. Bookmark this.

codedguy1:
How come he lost elections against obasanjo, yaradua and GEJ? The dynamics this time is changing. He might still win but Dont assume pix like these makes it impossible for him to lose.

Because he had no effective support from the south. Now he has huge support from the SW, parts of SS and SE.

chriskosherbal:
Am not taking any side and am not a politician but one thing I know is that people will always come out to see a president ..they did that to Goodluck Ebel Jonathan but we all know what happened. ..just saying tho ...


See signature

They have always come out for Buhari this way since 2002 that he joined politics. It is the same everywhere in the north.

Go and look at his performances in Bauchi and other states in the north since 2003.

Truth is that nobody can defeat this guy unless he dies or withdraws due to health challenges.

excel101:
Try and read it again, its not just about salutation, Suswan was in PDP's NEC meeting,

Is attending the NEC enough evidence of reconciliation and happiness with Ortom?Did Kwankwaso and Saraki’s meeting with the president stop them from defecting less than 24 hours later?

Gemade was backed by Akume to defeat Suswam in the Benue senatorial race in 2015. Suswam is still interested in the seat,yet PDP is offering same seat to Gemade automatically.

Also,Terzoor, Suswam’s anointed successor for the governorship in 2015 is hoping to run in 2019 as PDP’s flagbearer. However,Ortom is now to be given same ticket.

What will the Suswam who is standing trial in the name of the PDP be left with?

Do you now see what I am saying?

You are naive,salutation is not love.

Buhari has always won in Sokoto. Now Tambuwal left for the PDP after disagreeing with Wammakko who was aggressively pressured by Tinubu to give him governorship ticket in 2015.

Ordinarily, if Wammakko left with Tambuwal,it would have made modest sense. But he is staying with the APC to produce another governor backed by Buhari. That is easy victory.

Tambuwal’s reliance on presidential ticket assurance by Wike to join the PDP has ended his political carer.

PDP will witness its second and final burial in September when the primaries start. Bookmark this post.

adexoramo:
APC will win SW and NW

PDP will win SS and SE

NC and NE remain the battle field.

Do you know that the votes from NW alone cover the votes from both SS and SE?Do you know the NE is the bastion of Buhari even more than the NW? Do you know the votes from the SW exceed the votes from both SS and SE?

If you don’t, please go and check.

senatordave1:
Plateau:buhari has never won there but had his best showing last year garnering over 40% of the votes.i see the same thing happening or with buhari getting close to 50% since the governor is apc and plateau hasnt recorded violence like the pdp days.again,senator jang who rigs for pdp has been heavily demoralized by the government.
Benue:Benue has certainly been won over by the pdp due to the fulani herdsmen killing spree which has made the people detest apc.apc will likely win benue zone b where akume rules,get some reasonable votes from zone a.apc should get over 30% of the votes.but ortom will likely not be returned as the governor.
Niger: it is heavily dominated by buhari and apc since 2011.buhari should win here heavily polling close to a milion votes.
Kwara:saraki will likely win it for pdp but the fulanis plus the growing opposition to the saraki dynasty should give apc more than 30% of votes.
Kogi:although majority of kogites hate yahaya,his ebira people are solidly behind him.they will deliver bloc votes to buhari like never before.since kogi guber polls wont hold in february,the governor will relocate to kogi west to frustrate melaye,canvass votes for adeyemi and buhari.the okun people are not against buhari but bello.many of them will vots buhari.again,faleke will influence votes for buhari.the igala people are also against bello but a lot of them especially the muslims will vote buhari.buhari should get between 55 to 65 percent of the votes.
Nasarawa:buhari has never won here but loses marginally to pdp.pdp has gotten weaker here l.buhari will marginally win here for the first time.
Abuja:buhari always loses here marginally but with apc controling the local councils,he will likely win here marginally.
In conclusion,buhari may still lose marginally here but but the loss will be neutralized by the south west votes.the northwest will take care of the ss/se while the north east votes like in 2015 will crown buhari as the winner...

All on the money except that Buhari will win Benue and Kogi states. I am an Igala from Kogi. The reasons are the very reasons you gave, plus Bello’s deputy is popular in Ibaji LGA and Echocho, his candidate for the East senatorial district is quite popular in the Dekina axis aided by Baiwa and the aggressive family of the current caretaker of the LGA. Iyale May go for APC if IJN joins too,just like Ankpa always supports him.

In Benue, Emmanuel Jime aggressively backed by Akume who retains huge influence on the Tivs and Catholic Church because of ‘generosity’, will emerge governor. Ogbe, Waku, Onoja and co will help, just as Unongo and Steve Ugbah will add some value.

Let’s watch.

tuniski:
PDP won benue he was only the candidate in 1999 to 2007. Since he joined ACN, why hasn't he won Benue till 2015?

By and large Benue is a PDP state just like Plateau and Nassarawa the govs there today are beneficiaries of internal wrangling of the past within the PDP.


PDP will reclaim the governorship of plateau,Kogi and nassarawa whlle retaining benue and kwara. Even Niger governorship is a PDP thing.

Why didn't PDP win Benue in 2015? I am from Benue, so just keep quiet.

Bookmark this post.

tuniski:
Why wasn't he winning benue till only 2015? Those 10 were already in court before the defection.

Benue is lockdown PDP!

He won Benue from 1999 until 2007, then installed Suswam. You don't know politics.

Only 13 out of 23 following a sitting governor to PDP?

Those of you commenting ignorantly here don’t know the politics and power of Dr George Akume in Benue State.

APC will win Benue with a very decent margin. Just bookmark this.

It may be be Kabiru Marafa!

Stop shouting Shehu Sanni up and down!

Escort services is disallowed in many apartments!

madridguy:
I remain the last man standing. Sai Baba till I die.

You are not alone. I am as hardcore Buharist as they come. I started supporting him since he entered politics in 2002 and will do so until he dies.

Forget the noise and emotional social media rants, the next few weeks will educate these kids about real politics. Buhari will win the 2019 elections with the widest margin in our political history.

It is all fumes no fire. Outside Saraki and Kwankwaso, none of those guys can get 10k votes on a good political day.

Akume runs the political show in Benue state, he has positioned Emmanuel Jime as the next governor. Just bookmark this post. Suswam will likely join APC to defeat Gemade for the senate seat he currently holds.

PDP will implode in the biggest possible way in the next 4-6 weeks.

By the way, lest I am labelled a Hausa man, I am Emmanuel and a Kogite.

So, relax my friend. The game is just starting, the man with 12m votes despite rigging against him can't be troubled by political flies.

Have a good day.

KenOne:
APC shouldn't worry after PDP primaries then they'll know that they fetched an infested fire wood. Atiku, Shekarau,Lamido,Kwankwaso,Saraki,Bafarawa, Tambuwal, Tanimu Tukur, Dankwambo and Markarfi all in one party seeking for one ticket.

Oshiomhole should be mindful with his choice of word to avoid more problem in APC especially the beef with Ngige is uncalled for, Oshiomhole has an ego problem as a matter of urgency he should enrol on a diplomacy course.

My exact sentiments. You know this game well. Well done and much love.

Brilliant and product of deep knowledge of realpolitik. You are 100 percent correct. Time will teach those too ignorant and emotional to insult and mock you.