₦airaland Forum

God1000:
we're talking about presidential election, people vote differently for different candidates

The governorship candidate in Osun state for labour party was not even popular

Yusuf Lasun is not popular?

Tinubuadvocate:
Obi can't get 25% in lagos know this and have peace.

Garfield1 is very generous to LP , i use to read his analysis, very very off. He will recieve the shock of his life with the result. In Lagos

garfield1:
Tinubu will do better in iboland than obi in yorubaland bar lagos

Which nar lagos? Tinubu will either win Imo and Ebonyi or will grt at least 35% upwards in those states. Peter Obi will not get 25% in Lagos

garfield1:
IMO presidential results

Lp 350,00
Apc 200,000
Pdp 150,000

There wont be up to 500k total vote cast in imo.

ChristineC:
the issue is people select players to microwatch while ignoring other surrounding factors.
I have always told my folks that there's absolutely nothing KDB edges Bruno at, even the so-called KDB "consistency" is an environmental factor.
all things being equal for both, Bruno will always register better output.

Which consistency? KDB ghosts a lot of matches in City. Bjt hypocritical folks will ignore it. There is this season it was Gundogan who wss carrying City, where ws KDB? Last season for long spells it was Bernado silva. Consistency ko, Emi lo kan ni

Expert17:
Ndi keep it simple like De Bruyne.

The albino played rubbish throughout but since it's not Bruno, no problem, no alert. Thanks to Man City and Pep for saving/decorating his club career.

The most useless talk i jave seen a united fan make is . " Keep it Simple" very useless assertion.

I keep saying it that KDB is overated he never performed when it matters, Since he joined City, the following teams have knocked out City in UCL, Monaco, 4th Placed Liverpool, Spurs, Lyon, 4th Place Chelsea, only last year a respectable team beat them.

Me i still maintain Bruno Fernandes >> KDB if he like play everything using pep pattern in City

David

garfield1:
Why

The make up of this election is almost similar to that of 2019. Its either you are Anti government/like PDP or you like the government/APC. Majority of those that like voted PDP in Taraba will most likely repeat it again, and 80% of those that voted for APC in 2019 will still vote them again. PDP's probem is Labour party in taraba because of the huge Christian population there

garfield1:
Apart from taraba and Adamawa,atiku can't score 55% anywhere

Atiku will not secure 55% in Taraba

Vote4Obi:
You really must be the most deluded nairalander for writing such trash. Don't worry, una eyes go soon open!

Who are you supporting Obi or Atiku? Or you are simply a bitter, sad Tinubu hater?

muykem:
Peter Obi will not win a single state outside South east.

They dont know this. And he wont even win all the Southeast states

Kagd10:
SE and SS won't support Tinubu with Muslim Muslim ticket. Tinubu has to change his Vp to Lalong.

You are talking trash. You dont know politics. Tinubu will score huge votes in Bayelsa, Delta, Edo, Rivers and CRS. Wetin concern rural dwellers with muslim/Muslim ticket. Open your eyes clearly

donphilopus:
Bro, he's right. There's no way Atiku would get 25% in states like Borno, Yobe and Zamfara. They don't condone PDP in those areas. You can check 2015 and 2019 Presidential election results.

I am surprised someone is doubting Borno. Shettima and Zulum have Borno on lockdown. Even more than Buhari will get there

Ttalk:
I don't understand this your Atiku won't get 25% in Borno. Borno has substantial concentration f enlighten people with divergent view, just like we have in Kano, Lagos, no matter the states political leaning, there would always be chunks of opposition.

That is too bogus and doesn't reflect the permutation of a realistic Tinubu fan.

Though am a Tinubu fan I disagree with you on this

Atiku wont get 25% in Borno know this and know peace. In the last election he got 7% , how will he improve this time that Zulum performed excellently and Shettima is in the ballot? Borno will the the most one sided state in this election followed by Zamfara.

garfield1:
How? In se,he will get 95% in anambra,60% in ebonyi,50% in IMO,50% in Enugu and 40% in abia...

In ss,highest he will get is 40% thats 60% in edo,50% in rivers,30% in delta,25% in aks,30% In crs and 15% in bayelsa

garfield1, 60% in Edo? How? Nawao. So PDP and APC will share just 40% of Edo votes. Wow!!! I bow for you oo.
50% in Rivers? With none of Amaechi, Magnus Abe or Wike supporting him? Kai.

Obi will not see 25% in Rivers, the only state he might get 25% is in Edo.

Kagd10:
If Obi sweep the whole South East and South South.

And pick some major votes from Northern region. He can get a upper hand.

He wont win any state outside SE, and he wont win all southeast states. Eg Ebonyi

kettykin:
. your analysis was good at his weak points in the middle belt ,as for south south, peter obi is taken them with minimum of 69%

Peter Obi will not win any state in the SS.

Svoboda:
Apc is taboo in a state it won senatorial seats in 2015?

Bro, stop listening to all these ethnic and religious bigots who judge elections from their sentimental point of view.

They will tell you APC is a taboo in places like Imo, yet like 4 past bye elections held in Imo State. APC have won all of them. Most of these people you see talking here are just consumating their wishful thinkings

Penguin2:
Lol!

So, according to you, Obi is winning only Edo and Rivers in Southsouth?

So who will win Delta, Akwa Ibom, Cross River and Bayelsa?

Obi willl not win any state in the SS. Wonder why Garfield1 is trying to patronise these obidenses. Which Edo is LP winning? Lol

garfield1:
True but bwacha is popular.he is the most popular politician in taraba south alongside danjuma shiddi who is apc senate candidate.Darius was booed last week in wukari.what is keeping pdp in taraba is t.y.apc has a lot of topshots in taraba.

Thats why i said your 25% for Tinubu in Taraba is very Laughable. The reason why Atiku will win Taraba very narrowly is because Obi will not eat into his traditional votes like the way he will do in places like Benue, Nassarawa and Plateau

Bragalane:
Peter Obi will not see 2M across the length n breath of Nigeria talk more of any part. He won't even see 2M in the East. You de follow noise.

Not only Peter Obi. All SE states will not get up to 2M Total vote cast.

garfield1:
Did you hear t.y danjuma speaking against bandits? They are tired of fulani menace.even if more Christians vote atiku,it won't be like 2019.gej and obj won Adamawa and taraba..
Can davematics defeat engr sule

A. A Sule will Flog Ombugadu blue black

ufuosman:
kaduna, kano, zamfara, sokoto, Bauchi and borno atiku percentage will be more than dat

Ob.diiots will always want Atiku to win incase their lying machine fails to win. Keep decieving yourself

kcnwaigbo:
Oga stop writing rubbish especially when there is no basis for this rating.You didn't carry out any polling in any of these states but rather you lie on your bed and starts concocting figures.

I hope you know with the BVAS and the new electoral law rigging will be greatly minimized if not completely contained?

What is the basis on which you always allocate your figures?

Chinedu is Pained because it is clear that both his darling parties PDP and PDP lite will be floored in the north. Brace yourself up for premium tears

lhordspy:
Fair assumptions.

Except the Taraba, jigawa and Adamawa.

PDP will win taraba for sure. But you giving Kwankwaso 15% is over-rating. Kwankwaso has little to few followers in taraba. I think we should be having Atiku 50% , Tinubu 30% , Obi 15% , Kwankwaso 5%

Then in adamawa the percentage spacing between the candidate is unreaslistic. Atiku will win the state for sure too. But not on 60-20 scale.
Atiku will have 50% , Tinubu(taking in consideration the in fighting between the Aisha buhari influenced camp vs Nuhu ribadu, but Tinubu will still manage 35% , kwankwso will take 10%, then other parties 5% - Labour party is non-existence there too.

Jigawa will be tight. I think a winner will only emerge here depending on where kwankwanso eventually swings. The thing is kwankwaso may even win the state. Very possible.
But as it stands now. Tinubu 45, kwankwaso 35, Atiku 28% ... Other parties 2% ... labour party is non existence here too, the 2% will be shared between Al-mustapha and other small parties will Northern candidate.

Atiku will not have a 20% margin over Tinubu in Taraba, Haba na. Most of PDP votes are ussually the Christian votes in Taraba, Obi will get some of it. I see Taraba being Atiku 42%, Tinubu 38%. Obi/Kwankwaso/ Others sharing the remaining 20%

garfield1:
Adamawa
Atiku 50% tinubu 25% obi 20% rabiu 5%

Taraba
Atiku 40% tinubu 25% obi 20% rabiu 15%

Gombe
Atiku 30% tinubu 40% obi 15% rabiu 15%

Bauchi
Atiku 33% tinubu 33% obi 1% rabiu 33%

Yobe
Atiku 15% tinubu 80% obi 1% rabiu 4%

Borno
Atiku 8% tinubu 90% obi 0% rabiu 2%

Sokoto
Atiku 40% tinubu 40% obi 1% rabiu 19%

Kebbi
Atiku 35% tinubu 45% obi 5% rabiu 15%

Zamfara
Atiku 20% tinubu 60% obi 0% rabiu 20%

Katsina
Atiku 30% tinubu 50% obi 0% rabiu 20%

Kano
Atiku 20% tinubu 30% obi 5% rabiu 45%

Kaduna
Atiku 20% tinubu 35% obi 25% rabiu 20%

Jigawa
Atiku 30% tinubu 43% obi 2% rabiu 25%


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Mukina2
Omenka
Kyase
Seunmsg
Majole
Svoboda
Smart politician
Drlateef

Tinubu will score at least 35% in Taraba and Adamawa. How will obi be able to score 20% in both states?

Wait again obi 25% in Elrufai' s kaduna? Lol. Kwankwaso will also not get 20% in Kaduna. Atiku will get up to 35% Tinubu 50%. Others will share 15%

Tk4all:
Yes, obi will win benue state. e get why

Talk about your state and leave benue alone cos you are not here.

Oga Obi no go win Benue, he will just divide the supposed Atiku votes. You guys just stay online and be yarning Opata. Obi will struggle to get 25% in both Plateau and Benue. You think elections is by social media emotions?

garfield1:
Kwara
Tinubu 65% atiku 25% obi 5% nnpp 5%

Niger
Tinubu 50% atiku 40% rabiu 8% obi 2%

Kogi
Tinubu 45% atiku 35% obi 20%

Nasarawa
Tinubu 30% atiku 25% obi 30% rabiu 15%

Plateau
Tinubu 30% atiku 25% obi 40% rabiu 5%

Benue
Tinubu 28% atiku 22% obi 50%

Fct
Tinubu 35% 25% obi 35% rabiu 5%


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Nplfmod
Fergie001
Kahal
Quotasystem
Benuejosh
Gavelslam
Omenka
Ngeneukwenu
Saraki
Seunmsg
Passing shot
Pachukwudi
Gamelnasser
Esseite
Efewestern
Majole
Olatuns
Osunorigin
Muykem2
Blackpanda
Ebubu

Please who wan give Obi 5% for kwara bikonu? Haba nau garfield1. Where Obi wan take get votes for kwara. BAT is scoring 70% in Kwara.

Obi 20% in Kogi kwa? Kai, na social media noise i blame. Tinubu is scoring 60%+ in Kogi. Atiku 25-30%.

Exchange Atiku with Obi in Nassarawa and you are close.

Obi will win Benue and Plateau? Hahahahahahahahahaa. You need to change your supplier bro.

Abdu81:
Your madness is just starting.

Tinubu will get16 million votes?
Atiku 9 million ?
Kwankwaso 2.5 million?
Obi's should be like 100 votes.


The Yoruba will vote tinubu because of tribe? Good,but the north will vote for party not tribe, thanks, please tell more of madness, fools parading.

This is the tinubu that everyone in Nigeria will vote for,this man?

Who in the north or south do not know that tinubu is very corrupt and seriously sick,who?
Delusional soul.

When illerates voters forgets tinubu's name they describe him as the sick candidate, this I have seen in many occasions, and you are here dreaming rubbish.

You must be a steewpeed id.eeot. so if you have sencse you will know that Yobe and Borno are predominantly Kanuris, People from Nassarawa, Kogi, Kwara, and Niger are they fulani too? You speak like and IPi.iob miscreant.

raumdeuter:
Between SE, SS and NC Obi will get more than 3.5M

Atiku is stronger than you are giving him credit for, He is in PDP the oldest party in Nigeria at the moment with deep roots all over Nigeria. Every corner of Nigeria PDP has a ward leader and structure. Buhari with all his popularity and incumbency barely beat Atiku by 4m votes in 2019

Obi will not score more than 500k votes in NC. Where will he get the votes? He cant muster 50k votes from Kogi/Niger /Kwara combined. He wont score more than 100k in any of each of Benue, Plateau and Nassarawa. He wont score more 1million votes in the SS. The total vote cast in the SE will not exceed 1.5m votes. 500k per state is a big big stretch in the SE.
So where is the more than 3.5m going to come from.

Infact Note this, peter will not score up to 100k votes in the entire NE/NW.

raumdeuter:
Atiku will clear the entire NE minus Borno and Yobe

Atiku has a good chance in all NW and NC states

Atiku will only win Taraba and Adamawa very Narrowly, he will lose very woefully in Borno and yobe, the 2 states can give APC up to 1.5m votes margin. Bauchi and Gombe will be a toss up. Atiku will lose NE in general.

APC will win Katsina, Kano and Zamfara sure banker. Atiku will win Kebbi and Sokoto. Jigawa and Kaduna are toss up. Even if Atiku wins NW he cant come out with any good margin. I see Tinibu Narrowly edging NE/NW.

In Northcentral. Obi's candidacy is doing a lot of damage to Atiku. APC will win Niger, Kwara and Kogi on a landslide. Nassarawa will be very very Narrow for any winner. Plateaue and Benue will be narrow as well due to Peter Obi. Overall Tinubu will win NC.

Tinubu will score like. 13.5m- 16.5m. Atiku 9-12m. Peter Obi 2.5-3.5m. Kwankwaso 2.5- 3.0m.

garfield1:
I believe bago and kantigi are Nupes

Senatorial zones are different. Garfield1. APC will sweep Niger, together with Kogi and Kwara in the Northcentral.

Borno, Yobe and Zamfara are block votes for APC. I dont know for other Northern States.