₦airaland Forum

Abeg make these Qatar people buy us, we need to offload a lot of people

We need to bring in Mctom for this game ooo, Fred and Stabilizer weak for this midfield I swear

senatordave1:
Obi is not my problem.I really fear atiku in the core north

Ofcourse, I dont waste my Time with Obi, Moreover he wont get 25% in All SW states maybe apart from Lagos, and all northern states apart from Benue and Plateau. So he has no path to Victory.

Now going to Atiku. He has a very very big problem in his hands. First Peter Obi have striped him of about 50% of his votes in SS and SE, the remaining votes which the PDP structure would have delivered for him, Wike still no wan give am that one. PDP is greatly divided in Imo, CrossRivers, Edo, Delta, Rivers and Abia,. In Anambra, Obi will sweep every single votes there and PDP is non-existent in Ebonyi, In Enugu the PDP structure there have decided not to vote him. So he is in real trouble.
Now going to SW, This naira redesign saga have seriously dealt Atiku a huge blow in the SW, the concensus is that Buhari is suffering the people so that Asiwaju will lose and pave way for Atiku, SWesterners are really agitated now they feel there is a northern aganda against Asiwaju. Asiwaju would have won SW comfortably normally but now, the margin will be very high now, look at the ibadan rally. The few Igbo+SS votes he used to get in Lagos, is now taken by Obi.
ATIKU'S problem in the South were he use to get good numbers before, have 2 formidable candidates this time and Buhari a fulani man just finished an 8 year tenure, the sentiments will be for a power shift, any protest vote against the APC will not go to Atiku.


Coming to the core north. Atiku never Envisaged that Obi and Wike factor will come up this strong, in the South, he was banking on the votes from SS and SE. So his northern base is weak, PDP is normally not a strong party in the core north so no matter who they present, they will struggle. Now unlike what many PDP supporters and members were hoping for that northern governors will betray Tinubu, that didnt happen, All the governors are infact very determined to deliver Tinubu because most of them want to still remain relevant after this election, and they want to do that through the APC, which is a strong core northern party. Again Buhari's body language might not look too impressive in support of Tinubu, but he has endorsed and raise his hands in public, most of his followers will vote for Tinubu, I have made my research recently and discovered that at least 60% of those that voted for Buhari in 2015 and 2019 in the north are still loyal to APC and will vote Tinubu. The core north will be very tight but I tip APC to edge it overall.
Now the naira redesign issues have agitated the APC base in the north, and Atiku's stands and posture on the issue have angered the APC governors and structure in the north who are looking to turn the narrative that its done to make them fail, they are the ones speaking for the masses, saying what the masses want to hear, although there is this Buhari die hards that wont like any criticism of him, those one wont necessarily vote Atiku, majority will follow whoever Buhari endorses. With this Those APC governors who Atiku was depending on to betray Tinubu are now incensed with him and are determined desperately to deliver tinibu to prove a point that they are nkt betrayals.

We have 13 NW/NE states, First Atiku will lose Zamfara, Borno and Yobe with huge margin, come distant 3rd in Kano. The few Christian minorities that would have given him their mergre votes will be divided with Obi. In Every other states Any state he wins he wont win with a good margin. APC for example is very very strong in Jigawa, Katsina, Kaduna and Kebbi. So states done finish na.

Another thing people are not remembering is that in NC Tinubu has a clear edge against Atiku, with Kogi, Niger and Kwara firmly in the bag for Tinubu, the other states Obi will scatter his strongholds for him.

So generally given Asiwaju strength in SW, Obi and Wike factor in SE and SS, Atiku needs Buhari-like huge numbers in the core north to stand any chance, and its clear he cant get.

senatordave1:
I'll say he will get 2.5 mil in se,1.5 mil in ss,500k in sw,1 mil in nc.he will get up tp 500k in ne nw.I see him beating atiku

Thats 6m, so how will he get the highest votes with 6m? And he will get about half of that max.

There are things you are yet to understand. This election will reveal a lot of things and everybody will be shocked, forget all these noise on social media. PDP and APC have some group of mature die hard party members, that will give them significant votes in strategic states.

1. SE will not produce more than 2m total votes cast.
In Ebonyi state for example, Dave Umahi will deliver and Upward of 35% of the votes for APC, Ebonyi state people dont think like most of the SE state, and most places there are rural, PDP is dead in Ebonyi but they will scrap traditional votes leaving LP with about 40% max which will be about 100-150k votes. Abia state same thing with OUK clearly delivering 25% through Abia north(i am 100% sure of this), PDP is very strong in Abia, Abia wont have more than 400k total votes, same with Enugu, so in those 2 states Obi will be having like 150-200k votes. In Anambra and Imo the total will not exceed 500k each. So generally his total votes in SE will revolves round 1million.

In the SS, I just laff when i see random people come on social media, shouting down everybody saying PDP/APC will not get 5%, 10% etc in some states in SS, i just laff at their ignorance.

About 70% of the votes in SS, are locked down in the hands of politicians, interest groups & and associations and these people dont come online to argue with people about their choice. The ones you see making noise everywhere are the remainants found mostly in urban areas and majority of them will not vote.

In Rivers state, Virtually all strong political parties and major interest groups are on the same page of supporting Tinubu, including the sentiments in the creeks and many riverine communities. There is a residual PDP group supporting Atiku and the street credibility in Urban areas majority backing Obi, followed by PDP. Do the maths yourself. Obi will not score more than 200k in Rivers, Same with delta state.
In Edo, Akwaibom and Crossrivers Obi will not score more than 100k votes in each, he wont get up to 50k in Bayelsa.

Apart from Lagos, where he will score like 300-400k votes originally coming from former PDP stronghold, He will not get up to 100k combined in the other SW states.

In the NE/NE, you must be having a laugh to think Obi will get half a million votes, in states like Kebbi, Zamfara, Borno, Katsina,Jigawa, Gombe, Yobe, Sokoto, Bauchi and Kano, Obi will not get a total of 50k votes combined. In Kaduna, he might get like 100k from Southern Kaduna finish, 50k from Taraba then like 20-30k in Adamawa.

1m in Northcentral 😆😆😆😆😆😆😆😆 just de play bro, de play. In Niger and Kwara, LP cant get more than 10k votes each. They will do well in Benue and Plateau but not as much as people are thinking. These 2 states will almost be evenly shared anong the 3 major parties. Kogi Is strictly between PDP and APC, LP wont see 50k there. FCT total votes cast will be about 400k so do the maths.

For me, in the South LP will get between 2m to 2.2m, in the North his total votes wont exceed 1m.

Bookmark this analysis and refer in 1 week time

senatordave1:
Dont rule out anything.but the chances of ss sw turning out is very low.this sbm analysis is the best

Guy Obi will come distant 3rd. I know exactly what I am saying. He will get between 1m to 1.2m votes in the SE. About 800k in the SS, 300k in the SW and same in NC finish. In NE/NW Obi will not see more than 200k votes. You guys just overblow things due to noise on social media by those who live Abroad or dont have PVC. Didnt you see the turn out during Obi's rally?

MrEverest:
Are you man enough to bet on this? Or you're just another urchin spewing garbage as usual?

So, according to you, Obi won't get 25% in Delta? You really must have sawdust mixed with palm oil for brain.

FYI, Obi is winning Delta with wide margins. It's Atiku that will struggle to get 25% here. Tinubu is not even in contention here!

Obidients you have to insult to make your point

senatordave1:
Very possible if ss se records high turnout

Just de play

Aiel123:
PDP got 40% in Ogun in 2019, not 34%.

Please check again

Hopium:
I don't know how strong APC is in Delta, all I know was that PDP will win.

My projection was to counter the dude that said LP will get 94%.

Ok bro dont listen to all these online people most of them dont know what is on ground. PDP would have gotten 60-65%% of Delta state. But PDP is divided, Ibori camp of the PDP that is a very strong base is not supporting Atiku/Okowa, we dont know where their support will go to but it aint LP definitely. APC has gotten stronger in Delta state, and some of grassroot guys in the creeks are loyal to Tinubu. LP will not get 25% in Delta dont listen to all these online newbies in politics

Hopium:
So what's your projection?

PDP 45% , APC 35%, LP 20%.

Aiel123:
At the peak of Change mantra in 2015,PDP recorded about 40% in Ogun... even last election it still reached 40% but you think getting 25% now is out of place.

PDP got 34% in Ogun state the last time, and that was against Buhari. Not its Asiwaju, he will struggle to get 25% now, remember the igbos and SS that voted him in 2019 have now gone to Obi

Hopium:
Delta: PDP: 55%, LP: 25%, APC: 20%

Guy you must be joking to think PDP+LP will score 80% in Delta. Lol

senatordave1:
Very possible.tinubu will meet the spread while obi meets the highest votes

Obi will get the highest votes cast ? As in the highest votes in this election? SMH

Parrot69:
Yes.
I'm obidient but I know he isn't winning Kogi but be rest assured he's getting 25% on lock down!!

Obi wont get 25% anywhere in the north except Benue and Plateau

Parrot69:
All those States you said Obi isn't winning maybe be correct, but be rest assured he's getting 25% or above in all those states except for Kastina and Kebbi.
He will win Delta state. Takes this to the bank!

You mean Obi will get 25% in Oyo, Ogun, Borno, Yobe and Niger

Eboski:
Don’t mind them, My polling unit is at UCTH front gate , University of calabar teaching hospital front gate, come 25th I will upload my polling unit result , he go shock them. Tinubu can’t win CRS , even Ayade will not win cross river north…..make we they play

.

This Haaland is just Lukaku with better finishing

main24:
Those hailing him failed to take into account that he did back pass today instead of running forward, his goal was a run against someone with lower pace. If he takes that into account before running forward, his conversion rate will increase.

The criticism was fantastic for his growth, unfortunately his fan boys don't understand that.

Baba rest. He is still very young. It will take him few more years to reach first team level. Mkreover no be your criticism here go make am improve, you are not the coach. Pikin wey just comot from feeders team una don go carry pressure full him body.

Make u a free am abeg

senatordave1:
Pure rubbish...

Adamawa Christians 50% Muslims 50%

Taraba Christian 55% Muslims 45%

Gombe Christians 30% muslims 70%

Bauchi Christians 10% muslims 90%

Yobe Christians 5% muslims 95%

Borno Christians 8% muslims 92%

Kaduna Christian 48% muslims 52%

Katsina Christians 3% muslims 97%

Jigawa Christian 4% Muslims 96%

Kano Christian 10% Muslims 90%

Kebbi Christian 25% muslims 75%

Sokoto Christian 9% Muslims 91%

Zamfara Christians 1% muslims 99%

Kwara Christians 30% muslims 70%

Niger Christian 27% muslims 73%

Kogi Christian 49% muslims 51%

Nasarawa Christians 54% muslims 46%

Plateau Christians 75% muslims 25%

Benue Christians 93% Muslims 3%

Fct Christians 50% Muslims

Christians are not more tgan Muslims in Nassarawa

IgOga:
APC target is one sate in the SS....it may end up becoming 3- Cross River, Rivers and Edo State

Add Bayelsa

N3TRAL:
One candidate is sure of having 25% votes cast in :

1. LAGOS STATE
2. OGUN STATE
3. OSUN STATE
4. OYO STATE
5. ONDO STATE
6. EKITI STATE
7. KWARA STATE
8. KOGI STATE
9. BORNO STATE
10. YOBE STATE
11. ZAMFARA STATE
12. KANO STATE
13. KATSINA STATE
14. KADUNA STATE
15. NASARAWA STATE
16. SOKOTO STATE
17. KEBBI STATE
18. NIGER STATE
19. JIGAWA STATE
20. TARABA STATE
21. BAUCHI STATE
22. PLATEAU STATE
23. BENUE STATE
24. ADAMAWA STATE
25. CROSS RIVER STATE
26. RIVERS STATE
27. AKWA IBOM STATE
28. BAYELSA STATE
29. EDO STATE
30. ABUJA

So you think APC cannot get 25% in Abia,Imo and Ebonyi? I just de laff you

Digitron:
Adeleke will do all in his power to deliver Osun.

In Lagos, it will be a huge miracle if APC with Tinubu wins.

Aside APC members and a few who are benefiting directly from him, he has no supporters

Tinubu has no supporters in Lagos Lol. Just de play.

garfield1:
I am talking of sw,you are talking of acn,CPC...you hardly find obidients outside Lagos,Ibadan...

As for CPC and npdp,adamu,ouk,akpabio,ayade,lalong,bagudu,wamakko,goje,inuwa yahaya,sani bello etc are npdp...
El rufai,malami,bago,wase,abubakar yusuf,al makura,sani musa etc are CPC.should I mention anpp?

Anpp. Geidam, Modu sherriff, Yari, Sani Yerima, Shettima, Ogbonnia Onu,

Wait is Trevor12 hating on ETH Wow!!!.

Hate on Bruno, Hate on ETH,
Likes Ole, likes Maguire

The guy no get sense i swear

Elock1:
trust me, I am here it's massive no doubt.... But me and my guys are just waiting to be paid our balance.. So we can get the fvck outta here.

No sane person will vote Tinubu
When there is an OBI

Na lie . You are not there. Liar

Leyqute:
Don’t join the bandwagon. He never got a decent chance. The only chance he could’ve gotten, McTomminay decided to pass behind him.

I watched the full game, he did nothing of note. He is simply not good enough. No wonder he plays for Besiktas. ETH only bought him because he is dutch

odizeey:
What was De Gea supposed to do in this game that he did not?

Many times back passes given to him,, he was panicking. At the end he just lunches ball inwards under pressure. Same thing on several occasions against Palace. We have to starting playing proper goal kicks and place someone there to contest the balls or find a proper ball playing GK.

eph12:
You're throwing tantrums. You have a midfield that was very useless, what did you expect from the striker?

We are missing Casemero so we knew what happened to midfield. But the few balls threaded to him he misused. Rashford was the only player causing any kind of issues to Arsenal defence.

olabode89:
KDB, Bruno and co also make loose passes and poorly control passes sometimes. Make una just relax. No be McT make us lose this game.

He, AWB and ETH are the cause

Expert17:
We need Kane this summer, who ghost is Fellaini 2.0

I swear Felliani will be better than This one for striker

olabode89:
Wetin Osimhen for do in this game with the service provided??

I saw many balls threaded to Werghosrt he was there like a statue. We didnt stretch the defence allowing Zinchenko and co to keep coming at us. If we had someone like Osihmen and Garnacho we would have won the game.

Our Midfield was bad today with Mctominay and AWB was at his elements, and our attack was horrible

olabode89:
Apart from a poorly controllled pass and a couple loose passes, he did his job. We lost the game because Arsenal effectively isolated/doubled up on our fullbacks and we had no answer to it.

A midfielder with a poorly controlled pass and couple of loss passes. Playing for Manchester United. Ok oo