₦airaland Forum

The global population is likely to shrink after the middle of this century, triggering shifts in economic power, a new report suggests.



There will be around 9.7 billion people on the planet by 2064, but that number will decrease to 8.8 billion by the year 2100, according to a new report in medical journal The Lancet.

The analysis says that improvements to modern contraceptive methods and the increasingly widespread education of women could be a catalyst for a decline in global fertility rates.

That, according to the report, means that populations will not be sustained at current levels without a more liberal immigration approach.

Populations in 23 countries, including Japan, Spain and Italy, are forecast to decline by more than half, according to the research, with another 34 countries, including China, seeing a drop of more than 25%. However, sub-Saharan Africa will buck the trend, and is set to see growth of more than three times its current population, thanks to falling death rates in the region and the rising number of women reaching child-bearing age.

Across the world, over-80s are set to outnumber under-fives by a factor of two-to-one by 2100, marking a shift in the working age population.

Countries such as China, Spain, the UK and Germany are all expected to see a dramatic drop in the size of their workforce, resulting in a slowing of economic growth that will open the way for African and Arab countries to take the lead economically.

"It offers a vision for radical shifts in geopolitical power, challenges myths about immigration, and underlines the importance of protecting and strengthening the sexual and reproductive rights of women. The 21st century will see a revolution in the story of our human civilisation.

Dr Richard Horton, editor in chief of The Lancet, said: "This important research charts a future we need to be planning for urgently.

Africa and the Arab World will shape our future, while Europe and Asia will recede in their influence. By the end of the century, the world will be multipolar, with India, Nigeria, China, and the US the dominant powers.

"This will truly be a new world, one we should be preparing for today."

African nations will lead the way in terms of total population growth.

Niger's population is forecast to grow by 765% by 2100, Chad's by 710%, South Sudan's by 594% and Mali's by 321%.

Meanwhile, Latvia is predicted to see the biggest fall in population, by 78%, with El Salvador's population forecast to drop by 77%.

As a result, it means that south and southeast Asia will concede their positions as the most populated regions of the world to Sub-Saharan Africa, which is projected to see an explosion in growth in the middle of the century.

Central Europe will move to the bottom of the table, with North America overtaking the region.

India, which currently has the second-highest population in the world, will rise to the number one spot by the year 2100, despite a fall in population of around 300 million people.

China will fall from top to third place in the table, with its population set to fall by more than 25%.

Nigeria, which currently has the seventh-highest population in the world, will rocket up to second place by 2100, while the Japanese population will plummet from the 10th to 38th.

The Lancet study also predicts a major shift in the way age is distributed throughout the global population.

By and large, age is currently structured as a pyramid with more young people than older people, with people in their mid-20s being an outlier.

However, the journal predicts that the population will become more middle-aged by 2100.

The Lancet report suggests that immigration could be a way to offset population decline.

Western countries that will have a lower birth rate by 2100, such as the US, Australia and Canada, will likely be able to maintain a working age population by liberalising their stance on immigration.

The report warns, however, that population decline should not compromise global progress made on women's rights and reproductive health.

Professor Ibrahim Abubakar, from University College London and the chair of Lancet Migration, said that if the predictions made in the Lancet "are even half accurate", then "migration will become a necessity for all nations and not an option".

He added: "The positive impacts of migration on health and economies are known globally. The choice that we face is whether we improve health and wealth by allowing planned population movement or if we end up with an underclass of imported labour and unstable societies."

Cc: Lalasticlala



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See what corona caused. There use to be a long traffic of people going to Knowsley, quite noticeable from Warrington towards the M57. But from those pictures you can actually count the cars on the road and the people in the safari park.

This is really bad but do they have to retract the seat backward, then push him over to the passenger side just to take pictures?

Glad they're protected. I lost hope thinking they've all been eaten

A network of giant internet-enabled balloons from Google's sister firm Loon is to provide internet access to remote areas of Kenya.

It will provide 4G coverage so people can make voice and video calls, browse the web, email, text and stream videos.

The project was announced two years ago but final sign-off from the Kenyan government has only just been given.

It is now being fast-tracked to help improve communications during the coronavirus pandemic.

The balloons' 4G internet service has been tested with 35,000 customers and will initially cover a region spanning 50,000 sq km (31,000 sq miles).

Eventually 35 solar-powered balloons will be in constant motion in the stratosphere above eastern Africa. They are launched in the US and make their way to Kenya using wind currents.

One field test of the service showed download speeds of 18.9Mbps (megabits per second) and upload speeds of 4.7Mbps.
Loon began as one of Google's so-called ''moonshot projects" in 2011.

In 2018, it teamed up with Telkom Kenya to provide a commercial service.
According to Loon's chief executive Alastair Westgarth, the spread of Covid-19 has meant both are "working as fast as we can to realise service deployment".

He added: "This is the culmination of years of work and collaboration between Loon, Telkom and the government."
Telkom Kenya's chief executive Mugo Kibati said it was "an exciting milestone for internet service provision in Africa".

"The internet-enabled balloons will be able to offer connectivity to the many Kenyans who live in remote regions that are underserved or totally unserved, and as such remain disadvantaged," he said.

Some critics said it would have been better in another African country because Kenya already has an estimated 39 million out of a population of 48 million people online.

Previously balloons from Loon have been used during an earthquake in Peru.

Source

Skymoore1004:
Change your second name to sorry if you want to study business in U.K.

It depends largely on what sphere of business related course. To illustrate, compare a Business analytics degree to Human Resource Management degree. Both a business related course but one will give you a competitive edge in a job market while the other is fast becoming obsolete even if you're a first class Phd holder in the subject. It's all about thinking strategically. Think of the relevance of the degree in the next 10 years and beyond, think of the digital and big data age we're in. I am currently writing my Msc dissertation in a business related course and there's absolutely no reason not to.

So I have a bit of time and I feel I should drop a point or two. As Nigerians, we have a problem that needs to be addressed, that problem is the sense of entitlement. When you apply for your UK visa in Nigeria, there’s a clear immigration rules pertaining to what your rights are as an international student visa. Reading some comments here, I’m disgusted by the number of Nigerians who believe that just by having a student visa and finishing a degree here, everything should be handed over to you on a silver platter; job, residence permit and whatnot. Making a transition from student visa to being able to get work placement, blend into the society and hopefully get a permanent residency might be a farfetched dream because they don’t expect you to stay here after your graduation. But we have this problem of thinking we have a degree, then UK should provide a job after spending a fortune in tuition fees, NO they won’t! Infact your student visa is like a contractual agreement between two parties. In this scenario, yourself and the British consular in Nigeria who you convinced to give you a visa.

You are allowed to work maybe 10 or 20 hours per week and it is no brainer that the UK put this filtering system in place to prevent the influx of international students in their labour market, they will give jobs to their citizens first and I will tell you this for free, international students will be at the very bottom end of the spectrum unless you have a desirable skillset or a STEM degree, a job you will be lucky to get anyway because work experience will probably be required which boils down to the main point that as soon as you finish your studies, UK expect you to get on the plane and jet back to Nigeria.

Don’t get me wrong I’m not trying to knock anyone for wanting to get a better life and try their luck in the UK, but that sense of entitlement needs to stop. If you want to come to the UK, you’re within your right to do that but get your fact right, educate yourself, ignorance is not an excuse because otherwise you will be slapped in the face with reality when you get here without planning and weighing your pros and cons. On the issue of getting a permanent residence in the UK, I guess there are different ways to skin a cat but I can’t stress it enough, get rid of that sense of entitlement because UK don’t owe you anything, not a job after your degree, not a residence permit. Nothing!

justwise:
You are sending money to your friends and relatives living in the UK? Tell that to a day old baby

When you pay tax in the UK you pay for your health care, good road, police services, free education, child care, disability allowances, job seekers allownce... the list goes on.. even if you don't work you still get all i listed above as long as you are a citizen or a permanent resident.

I'm surprised you're giving this kids attention. They obviously don't know who you are and how you've helped people on this forum with your UK immigration knowledge.

When you die of Covid-19 and reborn thinking Corona would be over by now, then you hear bubonic plague has resurfaced and just about to kill millions of people.

Obviously he's a trump supporter. Hypothesis here is that he's trying to take African American's vote to give Trump the win come November.

My only regret was taking my fresher year for granted. I (and majority of freshers) believed in the myth that the first year in uni is a walk in the park and I was under that illusion for a long time. Club every other weekends with friends, booze is cheap as chips for students as long as you have your student ID. No chance I'll be on campus on Mondays because of weekend hangover, started missing uni to catch up on uni work.
Cracks started showing in the wall in my second year, failed two courses and had return to uni for summer resit twice while most students are home or on holiday enjoying summer worry free. I only managed to pass one of them which means my course mates will be in their third year while I spend that year resitting a single module. I adjusted my lifestyle for good in my resit year and it paid off. First year was great, full of fun but there's a lot I would've done differently.

Would love to visit Akwa Ibom some day. Hopefully soon

CrazyOptimist:
It's not about eating animals, majority of Nigerians have been infected with Strep pyogenes, but most people just have the mild sore throat. The guy must have been exposed to a more virulent strain.

Yes surely, animals can possibly be host of these bacteria

Looks like necrotising fasciitis. Stop killing and eating every animals on sight, but no they won't listen. RIP

Profprom:
Why blow your trumpet before leaving? Whether you leave or stay we have been surviving in this country and we will still survive with or without you. Better luck else where

I can't fathom why or how people think in a linear way like this. From a basic humane perspective, have you thought about the Nigerians who their means of livelihood depends on that company's branch in Nigeria? They will lose their job, that means more people looking for jobs that aren't there in the first place. Then from a broader outlook, if it takes a rocket scientist to convince you that international trade contributes to economic growth, then you my friend, have a real problem.

Isn't it nice to think tomorrow is a new day?

At 19 or 20 I think

Metrix147:
A Nigerian man has shockingly discovered a live python rolled around his motorcycle engine after a journey from Nnewi to Aguleri in Anambra State.

He expressed surprise that despite the long-distance journey, the dangerous snake could still survive the heat emissions from the engine.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1_uyG7PcFX8
The civil engineer who could not reveal his name in a viral video alleged that there are plans to kill him mysteriously, adding that there are people who do not want him to complete a construction contract he is carrying out.

Source: https://abntv.ng/2020/06/shocking-man-discovers-mysterious-live-snake-in-motorcycle-engine-in-anambra-photosvideo/

The snake located your motorcycle because it needed heat to regulate body temperature, and the part of your motorcycle where you found it is the best place to absorb that heat comfortably from the motorcycle engine. The snake is not out to kill you, it is not a poisonous snake for a start and trust me, that snake doesn't give a FÜck about your construction contract. It just needed heat! It is as simple and logical as that. Not everything should be ascribed to "village people". If your "village people" wanted to kill you, I think they would have sent a lethal assassin like a mamba instead.

You go go virus

Resisting the urge to shalaye

Crime doesn't pay

Donbabaj:
Just today, we were playing with each other on the bed, touching each other (not sensitive part) and she wanted me to kiss her. So I told her jokingly that "but you know this is not biblical" as an advocate of no sex until after marriage. I have never had sex with her either. The next thing she said, "why are you talking like this" she stood up, went straight to the sitting room and slept there. I went to meet her there to pacify her again but she wouldn't listen.

Please advice. This is happening right now.

You weren't kissing or touching sensitive part. Wait...when you said you were touching each other, what in particular were you touching? Her nose and ears?

God gave you a gaboon viper to eat? He should have at least provided you a more hygienic pan to cook it in. Algae everywhere eww

Move back to do what exactly?

A forest cobra

They're sclater monkeys, mainly found in Akwa Ibom, Ebonyi, Anambra, Enugu, Imo, Rivers and some part of the Niger Delta region. They are endangered and population is fast decreasing. You won't find this species anywhere else in the world and some hungry primate just killed them for food.

Jessy and Zeva don't really get along. They just tolerate each other. Jessy is a bossy girl and Zeva is a jealous girl.

And this is Jessy. 10 year old Golden Retriever, though I have known her for about 7 years. She's not mine and technically not a pet per se. She's a working dog due to retire next year and I'm currently looking after her till her owner recovers from an illness.

This is Zeva. She's a Staffordshire Bull Terrier cross Mastiff and just clocked 4

These hoes ain't loyal

Mikespecialone:
Very early this morning, this monkey came out of the bush into my house. I spotted it, called two guys to kill it......

God self know, I never chop meat for long and he sent me this....Front page please

You killed a monkey that will not do anything to hurt you? an upright human should be scared of you!

Edit: You're not very far off from a wild animal yourself if a wild animal casually stroll into your house.

Isobug:
He may have survived the disease if he had channeled sometime for physical exercise and avoided some voracious eating habits.

Obsessed People are more vulnerable to die of the disease

Not true. A close relative and her husband are currently recovering from Covid-19 after two weeks at the hospital. She is obese and as a matter of fact, battling diabetes as well. She's also in her 60s, so all odds were against her. I thought she ain't gonna make it and had to go get their dog just in case the unexpected happens. Now they're both back home recovering. You're more likely to die of covid-19 due to lifestyle choices like your diet, smoking habit etc., than your body weight. Prevention is the only cure that works 100% because I've seen old people with underlying health condition make full recovery and on the flip side, I've seen young, agile and healthy people die of the virus, you just never know, that virus is nasty. And by the way, it's obese, not obsessed.