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Casualobserver's Posts

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Politics › Re: Eba Island: Ogun And Ondo Battle Over Ownership Of Oil Rich Island by casualobserver: 1:28pm On Feb 02
All I want to know is when Ogunstate and Ondo state swapped geographical locations. All my life ogun has always been west of Ondo state.

Politics › Re: Deziani, The £2 Million Question: What Really Happened At Harrods? - Opukiri by casualobserver: 7:52pm On Jan 29
What a load of *******. Utter nonsense!! You steal or you no steal?
Politics › Re: Update: Calabar-Ebonyi-Abuja Trans-Sahara Superhighway Construction by casualobserver: 5:54pm On Jan 29
WhizdomXX:
Great work. Where is the source of the funding from?
Renewed hope infrastructure fund.


https://www.rhidf.gov.ng/
Politics › Re: Nigeria Earns N55.5 Trillion From Crude Oil Sales In 2025 by casualobserver:
saintopus:
This is a whooping amount of money. So what did they do with so much money and still borrowing?
Cc:dre11

This is the kind of lazy journalism that spreads misinformation amongst the populace.

1: this figure is total sales. When a car dealer sells a car, the price of the car is not his profit or earnings. When the restaurant sells you a plate of Amala and EWEDU, the price is not her profit .
2: cost of production is between $30 and $40
3: our crude oil production occurs under JV arrangements. The most Nigeria has in any production is 60%

So if you want to know how much we truly earned from crude, deduct cost of production and multiply by our average share in the production wells.

E.G for every barrel of oil sold at $65

What comes to the govt is sale price - production cost x equity stake in JV. ($65-$35) x 60% = approx $18

So when they tell you Nigeria earned N55trillion, the true figure is more like N15Trillion. Now let’s not forget that a significant portion of our current and future production has been forward sold, meaning the last administration has already collected money in advance for some of our current and future crude, so the reality is what Nigeria truly earned in 2025 is probably closer to N10Trillion
Politics › Re: US Exports To Nigeria Jump 60% Amid Trump's Tariff by casualobserver: 2:40pm On Jan 27
its likely largely due to Dangote importing US crude.
Politics › Re: US State, Georgia Grants Nnamdi Kanu Honorary Citizenship by casualobserver:
Watcharena:
as a US citizen they can negotiate his release through prisoners exchange may be Nigeria will release him for hush puppy to be released or any other Nigerian serving US prison term
Ignorance is a terrible disease. If you knew how meaningless and easy it is to become a honorary citizen you wouldn’t type what you did.

Honorary citizen of the state of…..in the US is like governor for a day they do in Lagos. It is a meaningless piece of paper. My father was a honorary citizen of a state in the USA. When I was young I used to think it meant as his son, I was also an American citizen. It turns out it means nothing even for him. He was there as a group of student tourists and they visited the government offices as par to of their tourism and were made honorary citizens on the spot.

It is a meaningless piece of paper. It is like certificate of attendance for tourists. Like Monopoly money, governor for a day etc. it is not real!
Family › Re: Man Lures Wife Back To Nigeria, Returns Her Dowry And Fly Back To Australia by casualobserver: 4:43pm On Jan 22
Namaster:
SMART MAN!

A divorce in Australia would have WRECKED him for life.

Imagine the NONSENSE!

Someone he married and SPONSORED abroad to start a family with him. She got there and started talking NONSENSE about SURROGACY.
If he's fine with using a SURROGATE, why in all the FORKS would he need her?

That's like hiring a Driver to drive you around just for the Driver to hire another Driver and then ask you to PAY for it.

ABSOLUTE MADNESS!

Plus, the cost of SURROGACY overseas is enough to get you 72 virgins here in Nigeria WITHOUT needing to blow yourself up.

VERY SHARP MAN.
I APPROVE!
it is a lie.

1. traditional marraige is different from registry (official) marraige
2: returning dowry does not negate an official registry marraige. in the eyes of the law they are still married until a court divorce.
3: he could not have "brought" her to Australia on the basis of a traditional marriage.

either the story is not true or he is just fooling himself by returning dowry and not divorcing her in court.
Education › Re: Umeozor, Chukwuzubelu Benedict Emerges as UNILAG 2024/2025 BGS with 5.00 CGPA by casualobserver: 7:00pm On Jan 20
in my time you will be lucky to see 100 students graduating with a first class from Unilag in any year.

secondly it is almost unheard of for a student to get a perfect 5.0 GPA in a humanities degree......again certainly not in my time.



you can draw your own conclusions.
Politics › Re: Emeka Umeagbalasi: The Screwdriver Salesman Behind Trump’s Airstrikes In Nigeria by casualobserver:
luvinhubby:
So blaming a screwdriver seller in Onitsha is the result of the $9 million spent on lobbyists by our federal government despite the fact that Nigeria's government acknowledging they knew about the strike and provided intelligence for the US airstrike.


People are silly
BBC posted the story in November that the report was false. There was no lobby contract in November. The only lobby contract then was the IPOB lobby contract to Ted Cruz and the likes.

casualobserver:
“ BREAKING: BBC Exposes How Intersociety Fueled False ‘Christian Genocide’ Narrative That Misled Trump and the World

A bombshell investigation by the BBC Global Disinformation Unit has exposed how the International Society for Civil Liberties and Rule of Law (Intersociety) and allied Igbo advocacy groups amplified unverified and exaggerated claims of a so-called “Christian genocide” in Nigeria a narrative that influenced U.S. conservative media and even President Donald Trump’s perception of Nigeria as a “country of particular concern.”

The report, “Are Christians Being Persecuted in Nigeria as Trump Claims? authored by Olaronke Alo, Chiamaka Enendu, and Ijeoma Ndukwe dissects the dubious data behind shocking statistics, including claims that over 125,000 Christians were killed and 19,000 churches destroyed since 2009.

When questioned, Intersociety reportedly failed to present any verifiable or itemized evidence to support its claims, instead accusing the BBC of bias. The investigation highlighted how the group’s opaque methods and ethnic-centric framing have distorted international understanding of Nigeria’s complex security challenges.

While groups like Intersociety continue to depict Nigeria’s violence as a targeted jihad against Christians, independent monitors such as ACLED confirm that the country’s insecurity affects both Christians and Muslims alike, without evidence of a state-backed or systematic anti-Christian campaign.

Founded in 2008 by Emeka Umeagbalasi in Onitsha, Intersociety originally focused on governance and electoral reforms but has increasingly turned to identity-based activism often aligning with Nnamdi Kanu and IPOB causes.

The BBC Africa warns that politicized, unverified data not only fuels international misinformation but also deepens domestic divisions, urging for a more balanced and fact-driven approach to reporting Nigeria’s conflicts.”
Oh and BTW he is also an associate of Peter Obi, just google Peter Obi amd Umeagbalasi and you will see their long history.

Politics › Re: How Trader In Onitsha Influenced Trump's Missile Strike In Nigeria - NYT by casualobserver:
175:
9m dollars for lobbyists don dey work lol angry grin grin cheesy cheesy cheesy cheesy grin grin grin

Agenda must agend by force!!!
This story was carried by the BBC in November and I posted in on Nairaland at the time on November 6th. This has nothing to do with the Nigerian lbby contract.

The BBC clearly stated it then but you people were hoping for a different outcome then. Now the truth that has always been there is coming out.

casualobserver:
“ BREAKING: BBC Exposes How Intersociety Fueled False ‘Christian Genocide’ Narrative That Misled Trump and the World

A bombshell investigation by the BBC Global Disinformation Unit has exposed how the International Society for Civil Liberties and Rule of Law (Intersociety) and allied Igbo advocacy groups amplified unverified and exaggerated claims of a so-called “Christian genocide” in Nigeria a narrative that influenced U.S. conservative media and even President Donald Trump’s perception of Nigeria as a “country of particular concern.”

The report, “Are Christians Being Persecuted in Nigeria as Trump Claims? authored by Olaronke Alo, Chiamaka Enendu, and Ijeoma Ndukwe dissects the dubious data behind shocking statistics, including claims that over 125,000 Christians were killed and 19,000 churches destroyed since 2009.

When questioned, Intersociety reportedly failed to present any verifiable or itemized evidence to support its claims, instead accusing the BBC of bias. The investigation highlighted how the group’s opaque methods and ethnic-centric framing have distorted international understanding of Nigeria’s complex security challenges.

While groups like Intersociety continue to depict Nigeria’s violence as a targeted jihad against Christians, independent monitors such as ACLED confirm that the country’s insecurity affects both Christians and Muslims alike, without evidence of a state-backed or systematic anti-Christian campaign.

Founded in 2008 by Emeka Umeagbalasi in Onitsha, Intersociety originally focused on governance and electoral reforms but has increasingly turned to identity-based activism often aligning with Nnamdi Kanu and IPOB causes.

The BBC Africa warns that politicized, unverified data not only fuels international misinformation but also deepens domestic divisions, urging for a more balanced and fact-driven approach to reporting Nigeria’s conflicts.”

Oh and BTW he is also an associate of Peter Obi, just google Peter Obi amd Umeagbalasi and you will see their long history.

Politics › Re: 'We May Ask The President To Choose Between Us And Wike’ – APC NWC Member by casualobserver: 10:59am On Jan 08
Kimo21:
grin grin ;Dchai...i don really laugh tire if you cant remember dont worry ive told helinues also so youre not alone....but did you just say tinubu will stand behind wike currently.... grin grin grin grin grin so is it reno omokri that he gave slot that is a trustworthy person...CHAI apc data boys are oblivious...anyways i already have my popcorn ready for this 2026...enjoy the show of the implosion that will happen in your camp. have a lovely dayyyy....
Bring some intelligence and maturity into your analysis. It’s people like you why I resolved not to be active on Nairaland. This is my 1st login this year and now o realized why o resolved not to login to Nairaland anymore.

Have a good day.
Politics › Re: 'We May Ask The President To Choose Between Us And Wike’ – APC NWC Member by casualobserver: 10:37am On Jan 08
Kimo21:
@casualobserver

lol…good evening Oga…I hope you’re keeping in mind what I told you.
What was that again? Remind me! I can’t remember the conversation but I can tell you this 100%, except Wike does something really stupid, Tinubu will stand behind Wike 100%. Even if he does something stupid, Tinubu will find a way to save him from himself. You don’t need to be a rocket scientist to realise that Fubara is clearly not a trustworthy person. Tinubu has been in politics long enough to know that he is not a reliable partner.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Lessons From Venezuela (throwback) by casualobserver: 10:31am On Jan 08
FreeStuffsNG:
If you are not handling your resources, how are you going to handle the country?
“So, it is important that Nigeria takes control of her resources.


He was feeling cool and dishing out unsustainable free this free that socialism.
In less than two decades, everything reversed in Venezuela!

Socialism failed Venezuelans and today, the Bolivarian Government of Venezuela does not even have control of their own resources and are now under colonization with ravaging poverty.

Humpty-Dumpty fall indeed.

We deregulated our downstream and enabled fresh private capitals to flow into our oil and mining sector, today it should be Venezuela that must come to Nigeria and take lessons from us wink

God bless Nigeria and all Patriots who made sure that we don’t head the way of Venezuela and Ghana with the currency denomination nonsense experiment proposed by Soludo then.

All the enemies of Nigeria will lose las las. They always lose.
Actually, socialism did not fail Venezuela. The Venezuelan situation is more complex than that.

Venezuela came under US instigated sanctions. They couldn’t sell their oil, they couldn’t get parts to maintain their oil industry. Their economy was deliberately crippled by the US. Let Saudi or the UAE or any other petro economy be under sanctions for 20 years and see if they won’t be in the same state as Venezuela. This is not about socialism. They have a population of just 25m people and we’re producing close to 4m barrels of oil per day. They can afford socialism. However when production dropped to below 1mbpd and as a low as 500k, socialism will look bad, but the problem wasn’t socialism. Even if you have a capitalist economy, if you are sanctioned and can’t export or run your economy, capitalism will look bad.

It’s not a question of socialism failing but the sanctions working.


In typical US style they create a situation and then claim to be your savior.


I am not an advocate of communism or socialism but the greatest evil in the world is not socialism or communism but the United States of America.

Even the terrorism in Nigeria who started it? Was there Boko Haram before IRaq invasion, were there any Fulani herdsmen or ISWAP before Killing of Ghaddafi? Who was funding the terrorism in the Sahel?
Politics › Re: THROWBACK: See One Of The Presidential Campaign Posters, 42 Years Ago by casualobserver:
HisaacPlus:
I ask you;
What has changed?
You get a German sherpard it barks! You replace it with a Rottweiler, it barks, again you keep replacing the dogs, you try a bulldog, terrier, Doberman etc etc they all bark. You forget a dog is a dog irrespective of breed and all dogs bark….that’s what they do!

Our problem is not politicians or the leaders. Our problem is the nature of the average Nigerian. Whatever the “problem” of the politicians and leaders, you can see in your everyday interaction with fellow ordinary Nigerians.

Politicians and leaders are not aliens. They reflect and carry the character and traits of you the average Nigerian. They don’t suddenly assume a character or trait they don’t have simple because they become a politician. If the average Nigerian is a crook, dishonest or lacking in integrity, he doesn’t suddenly become a saint because he is elected to office.

There are civil servants who are in their 60s and about to retire who have served and stolen under every government since Shagari, whether PDP or APC or NPN or military. They are ordinary Nigerians. No government can steal a single penny without a civil servant. Like Fashola said…..”I don’t sign Cheques”. Remember, for every theft by a politician, a civil servant is involved.
Politics › Re: Pictorial Difference Of Tax Law Passed And What Was Gazetted by casualobserver:
ComingKing:
You are sharing documents uploaded about 6 months ago. How are you sure this is not the draft version, since the source is not an official website
Understand one thing. A law is not a law until it is signed and gazetted.

So if you want to know the law you look for the gazette.

The law was gazetted in June. The genuine and the fake both have June as their dates because that was when it was gazetted. You would be foolish to forge the gazette and put any other date than the date the original was gazetted which was June. That would be like robbing a bank and then removing your face mask to look at the cctv camera.

That a law is to start in January does mean the hazette will have a January or December date.

That a law is gazetted in June does not mean it takes effect in June.

The issue is not the date on the gazette but the content.
Politics › Re: Pictorial Difference Of Tax Law Passed And What Was Gazetted by casualobserver: 7:16am On Dec 23, 2025
1vandragon:
The one you posted was not signed by the president, so what makes you think it is the authentic version?

Besides, out of about 6 serious alleged alterations, you are focused on one that may or may not be there, what about the other ones? At least the one you claim is authentic still contains the other alleged alterations.

It should not take a rocket scientist to know that the presidency has questions to answer on the matter.
Use your common sense.
Politics › Re: Pictorial Difference Of Tax Law Passed And What Was Gazetted by casualobserver:
1vandragon:
So a gazette published on a website that collects gazettes by 'donations' across Africa is more reliable than a gazette published by Federal Government Agency in Nigeria, the very country where the law was enacted?

Did you follow the link I provided? If you did, you would see that it is a gazetted law hosted on an official Government site.

Part of being educated is knowing where to source information from.

You can choose to source yours from a website that takes 'gazette donations' from any Tom, dick and Harry. I chose to take mine from a government agency in the country where the law was enacted.

The only validly superior position you can have is providing the one with the president's signature.
Actually the answer to your question is yes. because it is devoid of the Nigerian factor.

As you can clearly see, the version I posted is the authentic version. I can now also clearly see that. the version you referenced is a falsified version. It goes to show that Nigerian govt websites are not always the best places to go to look for authentic information. It is not about how a site is funded but it’s reputation and integrity. Ask yourself, which site has the correct version and which has the fraudulent version? Exactly!

That said, I can now see that the gazette has been falsified. That is clearly a fraud and the perpetrators must be brought to book. Heads need to roll!

It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to know the version I posted is the authentic version. The version signed by the president. Otherwise it wouldn’t exist in gazette form lending credence to why it is a more reliable site as far as gazettes are concerned than a Nigerian govt site. Note also that on the fiscal reforms committee website, my version is the version displayed. Again lending credence to my belief that that was the authentic version signed by the president.


So yes Rufai was right after all. Somebody has falsified the law.



The tax appeal tribunal should explain how and where they got their own version from.
Politics › Re: Pictorial Difference Of Tax Law Passed And What Was Gazetted by casualobserver: 6:33pm On Dec 22, 2025
1vandragon:
It is in the nigeria tax administration act (NTAA).

You obviously have no idea what you are even defending or justifying.

https://tat.gov.ng/NIGERIA-TAX-ADMINISTRATION-ACT-2025.pdf
Oga please be informed, that the only version that is the law is the version gazetted.

I know the site you quoted is an official govt site but we all know that sloppiness and anyhowness is the way of the typical Nigerian. Whatever is listed on that site in not the official law. It could have been one of the draft copies that the webmaster uploaded.


What I published is the official gazetted version with the coat of arms of the government. It is also the version of pan the fiscal reforms website.


If whatever law you are reading does not have “federal government gazette”, It is NOT the final tax law as signed by the president.


https://gazettes.africa/akn/ng/officialGazette/government-gazette/2025-06-26/117/eng@2025-06-26

Part of being an educated person is knowing where to go to find the authentic law. The only law is the gazetted law. For that you must know where to find official government gazettes.

Cc: Do4luv14

Politics › Re: Pictorial Difference Of Tax Law Passed And What Was Gazetted by casualobserver:
Rufai truly should stick to animal
Science.

There is no mention of 20% in the gazetted version.

The disputed section is section 41. You can see below


You can also download the gazetted version here do a word search and verify for yourselves

https://gazettes.africa/akn/ng/officialGazette/government-gazette/2025-06-26/117/eng@2025-06-26

https://fiscalreforms.ng/index.php/2025/09/06/the-official-gazette-2025-nigeria-tax-reform-acts/

EDIT: it is clear there are altered (fraudulent and illegal) versions of the gazette floating around.

Rufai is right after all. This version looks like the authentic version signed into law. You can see this is a scanned hard copy and marked official release.

Politics › Re: FG To Introduce Mandatory Vehicle Recycling Fee From 2026 by casualobserver: 1:37pm On Dec 22, 2025
ebukal67x:
Good initiative. But the fee should be minimal to avoid burdening vehicle owners.
Evidence of quacks appointed to positions they should never occupy, evidence of haphazard policy and possibly evidence of people just looking for money making schemes.

The governments first priority IMHO is making sure Nigerians understand the highway code.

People park in roundabouts, at junctions, trucks drive on the fast lane, drivers who aren’t overtaking not only hug the fast lane but many break down on the fast lane.

The fact that the majority of Nigerian drivers do not know the highway code is a bigger danger to motorists and road safety than rickety cars.
Politics › Re: Osun 2026: APC Leaders Unite Behind Oyebamiji by casualobserver: 11:06am On Dec 22, 2025
bunmioguns:
​You don't defeat a man who pays salaries on the 25th and builds roads without taking loans. 2026 is a goal for Imole! 💡
Oga! Nobody is borrowing to pay salaries anymore. That is no longer something to brag about. It is not a reflection of a working governor that salaries are paid on time. It is a reflection of the removal of fuel and forex subsidies resulting in up to 3 times FAAC allocation than in previous era.

So if you are bragging about paying salaries on time and not having to borrow, 1) place the credit for that where it belongs and 2) perhaps it’s a reflection of not much else to highlight?

As for loans, not taking loans when your state is badly in need of development and you have increased revenue is a sign of a governor without vision. If you refuse to take loans to build infrastructure, you can be rest assured such a state will remain backwards.

You can use your revenue to build one road at a time or you can use the same revenue used to build 3 or 4 roads simultaneously thus accelerating development and increasing future revenues. It’s all about vision or lack thereof.
Politics › Re: Presidency Clarifies Controversy Over Alleged Discrepancies In Tax Laws by casualobserver: 10:14am On Dec 22, 2025
Burob:
Ok, what is fraudulent about what u posted?

Please be specific.
Do we have a comprehension problem here?
Politics › Re: Presidency Clarifies Controversy Over Alleged Discrepancies In Tax Laws by casualobserver: 10:11am On Dec 22, 2025
aworatak:
This man is not only talking from both sides of the mouth, he is also insincere and bereft of reasoning.
I pity the average Nigerians should this fraudulent document called tax law take effect next year.

Over to you the data boys, suffering and smiling gang.
He who is bereft of reasoning is he who believes any side of any story without fact checking.

Have you checked the gazetted law to see if the controversial claims are there?

I have just checked the official gazette. There is no such provision regarding any 20% deposit in section 41

See below

Travel › Re: I Used AI To Redesign Onitsha (Photos) by casualobserver:
san4P:
The difference is clear... this is beautiful and achieveable... RENAISSANCE
Not in Nigeria with Nigerians. See what We are already doing to any new roads or infrastructure. If we are not dumping refuse, we are taking over lanes for street trading etc.
Politics › Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by casualobserver: 9:48am On Dec 22, 2025
@helinues

Dapo isn’t seeking re-election in 2027, he should be able to secure his senate seat on his own despite Daniel and there really is nothing else for him politically. So it is not beyond the unusual for Dapo to back someone else despite Yayi being Tinubu’s anointed. After all Dapo supported Osinbajo against the Same Tinubu who made him governor.

I hope he backs Odebiyi, he is a gentleman, with good pedigree.

This is one time betrayal would be a good thing.
Politics › Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by casualobserver: 8:49am On Dec 22, 2025
helinues:
Bro, there is no ŵsense in him contesting Ogun state governor. This same man represented Lagos senatorial district for almost a decade if not more. He didn't remember about Ogun state when he was representing Lagos state?

If he truly care about Ogun state he would have switched long time as he's currently representing Ogun West senatorial district.

What an insult to the people the state.
Well there is ideal situation and there is the reality on ground.

All things being equal I expect him to be governor and I expect him to be a disaster as a governor.

Dapo may have other ideas.

PS: when you say he should have switched, he wanted to switch during Amosun’s era (2019). Amosun sent him back to Lagos with his tail between his legs and backed Odebiyi. It was only after Dapo won that he was able to secure the ticket at the next cycle (2023).
Politics › Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by casualobserver:
helinues:
So if he indeed had Ogun people at heart, how come they have not been seeing his hand when he was representing Lagos state?

If he indeed care about his own people from Ogun West, why is the Sango Ota road still in dilapidated. Even though his duty is not to build the road but to oversight. The road contract have been awarded severally, what has he Yayi been oversighting? Why has he refused to speak up on what he observed from his oversighting except if he had a share
Note I said in the first post that I am not a fan of his…..just stating the politics, not whether he will be a good governor.

Politically, he is popular in Ogun west, to understand why, you would have to ask Ogun west people. I don’t know what he does. I don’t like him, I don’t like the way he carries himself, I just have a negative feel about him. He gives me bad vibes.

But without Ogun west, Dapo would not be governor and he played a major role in delivering Ogun West.
Politics › Re: Ogun 2027: Will Lightning Strike A Third Time? by casualobserver: 8:31am On Dec 22, 2025
helinues:
No, he hasn't before just in 2023. He cross over to Ogun state to contest the senatorial seat when he realized his chances of becoming Lagos state governor is not there.

Before then, what has he done for the people of Ogun West not to talk of Ogun state people entirely? It's like he's taking the people from the state as mumu.

Sango Ota road have been in dilapidated for decades. What's his role as a senator of not to oversight the same projects for the road that have been awarded severally. What has been oversighting?
He crossed over to contest Ogun gov

Lagos gov had never been on the cards for him. The reason he remained a Lagos senator was because Amosun was not ready to entertain him in Ogun in any form. It’s only when Amosun left office that he was able to cross over. The senate seat was his reward for helping Dapo in 2019.

Amosun never gave him the senate ticket.

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