Casualobserver's Posts

Nairaland Forum › Casualobserver's Profile › Casualobserver's Posts

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 ... 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 (of 291 pages)

Politics › Re: If Obi Loses In 2027 The Igbo’s & SS Leaders To Look Towards In 2039??? by casualobserver: 11:22am On May 25, 2025

Ttalk:
Are you saying no NW will become president in the next 50 years after Yaradus and Buhari

I didn’t say that. I said it would be difficult because it risks exposing Northern fault lines and isolating the NW. I certainly think. (95%) the next Northern president will not come from the NW.

I think the NW and SW will play a big role in who becomes president for the foreseeable future as they are both out of the Aso rock power Equation post 2031 but have huge votes.

2 Likes

Politics › Re: If Obi Loses In 2027 The Igbo’s & SS Leaders To Look Towards In 2039??? by casualobserver: 11:18am On May 25, 2025

Ttalk:
Are you saying no NW will become president in the next 50 years after Yaradus and Buhari

I didn’t say that. I said it would be difficult because it risks splitting the North and isolating the NW. I certainly think. (95%) the next Northern president will not come from the NW.

1 Like

Politics › Re: If Obi Loses In 2027 The Igbo’s & SS Leaders To Look Towards In 2039??? by casualobserver: 11:11am On May 25, 2025*

hakeemhakeem:
What if the one of the party fails to zone their ticket to south east/south south just liked what happened in PDP last election

There is always a general consensus on where the presidency should go next. It will generally follow that pattern unless the zone whose turn it is self implodes. Politicians have a bad reputation but this is their profession, they understand politics.

In any event, the key word throughout my posts is “entitlement”. You may get what you are not entitled to but not because it is your “entitlement” and if you do you will usually post a nasty price for it. The North for instance have the numbers and may decide to gang up to chase out Tinubu in 2027 but be sure they will pay a heavy price!

We are still paying the price today for the missteps of 1963 and 1966. Whatever you say about politicians, politics is their business. While a few may be driven by power and ambition, the larger majority understand the ramifications of certain decisions.

The ramifications of not adhering to convention is not lost on wise heads irrespective of the moves and rantings of a few hotheads and ambitious politicians.

That is why I said I would be a sad day if Tinubu does his 2 terms and a yoruba man becomes president of Nigeria before an Ibo man.

1 Like

Politics › Re: If Obi Loses In 2027 The Igbo’s & SS Leaders To Look Towards In 2039??? by casualobserver: 10:51am On May 25, 2025

KnowAll:
The word no entitlement is wrong. That word alone is enough for a strong SW candidate to throw his hat in the ring and scamper any would be ambition from other zones.

Oga please go and rest or go to church!

1 Like

Politics › Re: If Obi Loses In 2027 The Igbo’s & SS Leaders To Look Towards In 2039??? by casualobserver: 10:47am On May 25, 2025

KnowAll:
Now u are talking. U don’t come out blatantly and even blindly and say a whole big section of Nigeria is excluded from running until 2071 even though it may be the case saliently.

I think your problem like a lot of Nigerians is English comprehension.

I repeat:
SW has no entitlement to the presidency till 2071 if Tinubu completes his 2 terms.

We may get it in 2055 if the SE don’t get their act together but it won’t be because we are entitled to or deserve it but due to bad politics by the SE. That it is your turn does not mean you will get it. If a SW man becomes president again before the SE, I will feel bad because it means they haven’t learnt how to play politics.

After Tinubu, the most the SW should aim for is senate presidency and speakership!

1 Like

Politics › Re: If Obi Loses In 2027 The Igbo’s & SS Leaders To Look Towards In 2039??? by casualobserver: 10:37am On May 25, 2025

KnowAll:
Ogbeni yii, micro zoning has been thrown out by the house of reps. If u cannot bring out a strong candidate who would galvanise the people then forget it. presidency is not serve a la carte.

There is no zoning of any kind in the constitution, whether north south or micro zones! You can run but you will not win!

Nobody said it is not your right. The system will determine whose turn it is.

We have unwritten rotational presidency. This is determined by 1) Your power base and influence. 2) the acceptability of the candidate you present to others 3) The way you play your politics. 4) consensus amongst other zones that it is your turn and you have presented a candidate acceptable to them.

Even the “mighty” NW will struggle to present a candidate from the NW in 2031 when NE and NC have not been president!

2 Likes

Politics › Re: If Obi Loses In 2027 The Igbo’s & SS Leaders To Look Towards In 2039??? by casualobserver: 10:22am On May 25, 2025

KnowAll:
I agree but there is no hard rule saying that the next slot for a SWesterner is 2071. It is just consensual. Knowing we have had a shot at it twice within 25 years.

If you are a yoruba man forget about presidency in your lifetime after Tinubu. We have no entitlement to it. What you are not entitled to, don’t focus your eye on!

Ojukokoro ni ye!

Like I said presidency particularly for minority geopolitical zones is a once in 48 year phenomenon. When it your turn don’t mess it up by presenting unelectable candidates. Am unelectable candidate is a candidate that other zones will not vote for. This is why Awolowo never became president….it is why Obi will never become president, it is why the SE will likely have to wait till 2055.

2 Likes 1 Share

Politics › Re: If Obi Loses In 2027 The Igbo’s & SS Leaders To Look Towards In 2039??? by casualobserver: 10:12am On May 25, 2025

KnowAll:
There is no micro zoning even a south westerner can run as long as they can convince the delegates.

It doesn’t work that way! Even I from the SW will not vote for any SW candidate, if Tinubu completes his 2 terms. The next southern president after Tinubu has to come from another zone.

We’ve had Osinbajo (VP) , Obasanjo and Tinubu. No zone is entitled to witness more than 2 presidents from his micro zone in his lifetime. Most people will not live long enough to even witness 2. Some have not witnessed 1(NE,NC,SE) , some have not completed 2 terms (SS)

2 Likes

Politics › Re: If Obi Loses In 2027 The Igbo’s & SS Leaders To Look Towards In 2039??? by casualobserver: 10:00am On May 25, 2025

KnowAll:
I know some South Westerners would also want to throw their hats in the ring but any reasonable person would tell them to channel that energy towards entrepreneurship and empowerment for their people.

Alex Otti

Soludo not sure what his age would be at that time

David Umahi

Wike - if Alcohol never hook am for neck making him incapacitated.

Akbabio would be in his early 70’s

Donald Duke would be in his 70’s too

Obi just in case he has not retired would be about 75 probably favourite if he is still competing.

Who do you think would grab it. Not forgetting Delta and Edo Candidates.

Oshiemole is a rank outsider would be in his late 70’s that is a bit old but who can tell.

What do you guys think 😀

SW’s next “official” slot is 2071.
Obi will lose and it means SE is out of the picture in 2039 as 2039 is going to SS.
The next opening for SE is 2055.
However, If SE don’t reform the way the play politics, SW may take their slot in 2055 even though it’s not our turn.

Either way, the earliest possibility of a SE presidency is 2055.

As far as the names you mentioned, it’s not about names but who is available and presentable when the slot becomes available. When you had the opportunity you presented an unelectable Obi. By the time the slot is available to the SE again, the names you mention will be retired. If you present another nelextable person or play the same politics you are playing today, you will lose that slot. As it stands SS has jumped ahead of SE for 2039!

Now that I hope you realize that ordinarily the opportunity for presidency from any Southern geopolitical zone comes only about once in your life time, you realize the importance of not wasting that opportunity presenting and rallying behind an unelectable candidate! It’s not just him that loses but the entire zone

3 Likes

Politics › Re: 2027: I Will Run On The Labour Party Platform – Peter Obi by casualobserver: 1:33am On May 25, 2025

Peter Obi is a habitual liar!

Mark my words, he won’t run on LP platform! He will run as VP to Atiku!

Except for once on his life he has developed some brain cells and realized the Coalition people are just trying to shave his head!

He knows he can’t win under LP!

2 Likes

Politics › Re: General Yakubu Gowon Visits Festac Village Construction Site In 1974 by casualobserver: 12:40pm On May 24, 2025

kettykin:
If you go this same Festa today, even Ukraine looks like a paradise compared to it.

When they move in to an area, that is what happens.

4 Likes

Politics › Re: APC Drifting Towards Monarchy, Abandoning Progressive Ideals – Ex-party Chief by casualobserver: 12:23pm On May 24, 2025

Mr Lukman, you were the national vice chairman when Buhari got automatic ticket. You didn’t see any monarchy then?

3 Likes 1 Share

Politics › Re: Despite 6-time Price Cuts By Dangote, Petrol Cost Still High by casualobserver: 11:47am On May 24, 2025

Bentacur007:
Them Dey use our brain

You get any? How many countries in the world is petrol cheaper than in Nigeria?

There are 195 countries in the world. Nigeria’s petrol is the 11th cheapest. In case your brains can’t process what you just read, out of 195 countries only 10 have cheaper petrol than Nigeria!

2 Likes

Politics › Re: How Seyi Tinubu Saved A Man Who Slumped At The Vatican - Bianca Ojukwu by casualobserver: 2:36pm On May 23, 2025

This is how you know well raised children. One saw a stranger in distress and offered the bottle of water he had procured for himself. Poorly raised children of perdition condemn the action.

Who put us together in the same country with these people?

3 Likes

Business › Re: Lady Shows What Shoprite Ilorin Looks Like Now (Video) by casualobserver: 8:16pm On May 22, 2025

Yesterday we heard about a lady who made sales of N2b selling Amala.

90% of what is sold in shop rite is imported. For me there I couldn’t care less if their shelves are empty! We want an economy where we consume what we produce!

4 Likes

Politics › Re: Alleged Defamation: FG Lists Akpabio, Yahaya As Testifiers Against Sen. Natasha by casualobserver: 6:40pm On May 22, 2025

yinkus6750:
Natasha is putting herself into trouble. Fighting the No.3 citizen through social media and using gender as an excuse was definitely bound to fail. There is difference between sexual advancement and sexual harassment. She failed to know how best to go about her case, and goofed with all the unnecessary media interviews she kept granting. Don't know how she intends going back to NASA ,after her suspension.

There is a difference between fighting someone and lying against someone. People fight the president, talk less the no3 citizen and nothing happens but accusations of attempted murder is not beans!

The woman is clearly sick!

12 Likes 1 Share

Politics › Re: FG Files Criminal Charges Against Suspended Senator, Natasha Akpoti-uduaghan by casualobserver: 5:11pm On May 22, 2025

phemmyjohnson:
So wait how did FG suddenly start representing apkabio in court 😂.. this country will never cease to amaze me . Knowing you can never win FG in FG owned court . You better give up on this country ! You ! I mean you !

Oga when you commit a criminal offense it is ALWAYS the government that charges you to court!

State or federal may charge you depending on the nature of the criminal offense….whether it is a state offense or federal!

5 Likes

Romance › Re: Guys, What Is Your Biggest Mistake With Women? by casualobserver: 10:20am On May 22, 2025

donogaga:
Men, what are your biggest mistakes with women?
Share them so that other men can learn and not repeat them.👇👇👇

Trying to be rational with a woman or dealing with a woman like you are dealing with rational people is the biggest mistake a man can ever make.

Do your thing as a man, if a woman falls in line good for HER, if she doesn’t move on!

30 Likes 8 Shares

Politics › Re: I Have Never Sough Audience With President Tinubu Over Fidelity Bank - Peter Obi by casualobserver: 7:43am On May 22, 2025

SmartPolician:
Why is he wasting his time replying to some BS?!

This was my comment in response to him displaying his airline tickets in response to accusations that he was bounced

casualobserver:
First of all no one asked for his tickets to London or Rome. It is not in dispute that he was in Rome. What he needed to show if he felt a need to shalaye was proof of his access or invitation to the venue. Personally, that he felt a need to explain himself is rather unbecoming! If you feel a need to explain everything you are not ready to be president!

If he is going to respond to every petty comment, then he shsould respond to real issues on which he chooses to be silent like the N200m found in his aide’s boot. His association with IPOB, his role in Dasukigate, his role in SARS and the bodies dumped in the river etc etc etc.

6 Likes 1 Share

Politics › Re: Atiku, Obi, El-Rufai Seal Opposition Deal Ahead Of 2027 by casualobserver: 5:44pm On May 21, 2025

At this point Atiku, Obi and ElRufai are just content creators!

4 Likes

Politics › Re: Dr Moses Paul Explains What Happened To Peter Obi At The Vatican by casualobserver: 4:23pm On May 21, 2025

The latest we are hearing now is that it was Seyi Tinubu who gave up his seat for Peter Obi!

2 Likes

Politics › Re: Former Governorship Candidate In Kano Decamps To The Obidient Movement by casualobserver: 1:29pm On May 21, 2025

Governorship candidates now have terms? That means Atiku is now 4 term presidential candidate….no be so?

5 Likes

Politics › Re: South-East PDP Officially Presents Udeh-Okoye As National Secretary Pick by casualobserver: 1:27pm On May 21, 2025

ufotunang:
.
..ok so they are APC and Wike family abi?

. Make some sense please!

Politics › Re: Why I Disagreed With Atiku's Camp Over Vice President Slot - Peter Obi by casualobserver: 1:26pm On May 21, 2025

Bullet4thiefnub:
You are playing into the hands of Tinubu

Whether he runs as VP or he runs on his own, it makes no difference!

He is playing a game after the final whistle has been blown!

All this is medicine after death. The opportunity was in 2023 and they blew it!

2 Likes

Celebrities › Re: Ayo Mairo-Ese Shares Baby Bump Photos As Arise Crew Celebrates Her by casualobserver: 12:17pm On May 21, 2025

I’ m glad you referred to her as personality not journalist, So we don’t send Lere after her!

1 Like

Politics › Re: Man Compares Lagos Streets, Waste Management During Sanwo-olu, Ambode, Fashola by casualobserver: 11:15am On May 21, 2025

Esthered:
I think Ambode suspended the then PSP operators towards the end of his 1st term and brought in a foreign company which never operated till he lost his second term bid.

The PSP is why he was only a 1 term governor!

1 Like

Politics › Re: South-East PDP Officially Presents Udeh-Okoye As National Secretary Pick by casualobserver: 9:27am On May 21, 2025

ufotunang:
What is the essence of courts/supreme court..the courts, supreme court are institutions meant to settle, issues matters and cases of aggrieved people, parties, plaintiffs, complainants... that is what the lawyers, judges were tutored and trained for in the universities and law school to do ...

Supreme Court is not Berekete Family!

1 Like

Politics › Re: Dr Moses Paul Explains What Happened To Peter Obi At The Vatican by casualobserver: 7:30am On May 21, 2025*

naptu2:
Dr Mo (Moses Paul) @Drmopaul

https://x.com/Drmopaul/status/1924878318458830968?t=8kO0wgcH1M6OhcXLW-vZVA&s=19[/quote]First of all no one asked for his tickets to London or Rome. It is not in dispute that he was in Rome. What he needed to show if he felt a need to shalaye was proof of his access or invitation to the venue. Personally, that he felt a need to explain himself is rather unbecoming! If you feel a need to explain everything you are not ready to be president!

7 Likes 1 Share

Politics › Re: South-East PDP Officially Presents Udeh-Okoye As National Secretary Pick by casualobserver: 12:21am On May 21, 2025

ufotunang:
Supreme court is the cause of all this problems.. if supreme court had named and declared a particular person the authentic national secretary of PDP all this issues and problems would not have arised .,..then what is the essence of courts/judiciary if they cannot settle matters and issues

Supreme Court is not a fall back for your inability to manage your party.

1 Like

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 ... 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 (of 291 pages)