₦airaland Forum

Israel can't take on Turkey without the US, and I can't see the US taking on Turkey, a NATO member.

As a military power, Turkey is no joke.

In what way is Whizkid even a 'great' artist, to warrant comparison with Fela.

Even amongst his peers in Nigeria, Burna boy ranks higher.

Comparing Wizkid to fela is like comparing Eberechi Eze to Dennis Bergkamp because Eze made a few sublime passes in a couple of matches.

ADC?

Don't make me laugh.

Mattswaggz:
It isn't her personality that defines her in this case but whom and what she is representing and in this case you know whom and what it is.

But if it was the wife of your President chairing an Ecowas meeting on security in the region, you will (rightly) condemn it.

When will you stop worshipping your white masters.

If ADC makes Mr Obi their consensus candidate (highly unlikely), Mr Tinubu will win easily.

1) Mr Tinubu will just change his vice to a Christian middle beltan, then middle belt votes will go to Mr Tinubu hands down.

2) There is no scenario in which Mr Obi will defeat Mr Tinubu in Katsina, Kano, Kaduna or in any other far Northern states. There is no sign anywhere that Northerners will go out enmass to vote a Mr Obi.

So, Mr Obi will only be guaranteed majority votes in the South East, and some in the South South.

In any scenario in which Mr Obi is the only major contestant against Mr Tinubu, I believe the latter will emerge victorious by a large margin.

The only scenario that will be competitive against the President is an Atiku/Obi joint ticket, but that too won't defeat the President.

Op - you are wrong to say across Nigeria, children are deemed to belong to the man.

I am.not aware of such custom in Yoruba land.

Unlike some parts of the country, in Yoruba family custom, men and women tend to have similar rights across the board, including in inheritance.

So the custom of children belonging to fathers is alien here.

Gerhards:
Of course and I want to see how Tinubu will win Oyo state presidential election and entire south south, failure is waiting for you and Tinubu

You will find out why some call the Yorubas sophisticated.

You genuinely believe Oyo State people will vote Mr Atiku over Mr Tinubu

Even if Mr Makinde is Mr Atiku's vice, Mr Tinubu will win comfortably.

Oyo State Governorship election is another thing.

LegendHero:
He will become Atiku vice. Even Obi himself together with his Obidient know that it is impossible for Obi to get the ADC

How can he become Vice if Mr Amaechi comes 2nd in the primary.

Unless Mr Atiku wants to repeat exactly what he did by not picking Mr Wike who came 2nd in the PDP primary, and cause a similar havoc in ADC.

So what on earth will happen if Mr Obi comes 3rd in the primaries behind Mr Amaechi.

That will be disastrous for Mr Obi's political career.

If Mr Atiku comes first, he will not be able to ignore the man that comes 2nd and pick 3rd place Mr Obi as Vice Presidential candidate.

How did Mr Obi walk himself into this ADC cul de sac when he had many other options.

Richtaiwo:
You mean the support of ADC leaders?

Yes, sorry I meant ADC.

So, Mr Obi cannot even secure the support of ADC leaders in the South South despite visiting Mr Oyegun in Edo and almost becoming attacked.

Abi Edo do am wayo?

If Mr Aregbesola is the ADC leader in the South West, there's a good chance SW ADC will vote Mr Atiku.

Mr David Mark is probably supporting Mr Atiku, meaning Mr Obi is unlikely to get middle belt support.

So, is it in Sokoto or Zamfara that Mr Obi will get votes?

As someone living in the South, I struggle to connect how removal of Sharia law from the constitution will reduce the activities of Boko haram, bandits etc

And how does the operation of Sharia law in Sokoto, or Kano affect non-moslems living in Sharia states. Ok, so eating in public during their fasting is frowned upon. Why not just adjust your eating habit to suit the desire of the overwhelming number of residents in the state you reside in - just for the period of fasting.

So they seize bottles of alcohol. If alcohol is so important to your life, why not move to a state where you can drink without hassle.

In my view, while Sharia law may encourage extremism, I do not believe that removing it from the constitution will reduce extremism. Boko haram followers and bandits in forests dont read the Nigerian constitution.

Let's focus on State police. That's what is important.

The federal government needs to allow importation of cement.

Like it is with petrol.

Cement price increase happen synchronously between Dangote Cement and BUA to such an extent that they have become an anti-competitive oligopoly.

Let cement be imported otherwise these oligopolists will strangulate the economy.

Some regions are so diverse in culture and large geographically that a regional police will not be very effective.

Plateau and Kwara state are in the same NC region,but there is little that connects them in terms of language and culture.

Having a South South regional police catering for Bayelsa and Cross River will not work.

Likewise, a South West regional police headquartered in Ibadan won't be effective in handling the different policing requirements of Lagos and Ondo State for example.

A State police made up of a majority of each state's residents will be more local and know their environment better.

okuta007:
Nigerians need to protest to the US government through the US Embassy amd Consulate in Abuja and Lagos right now to beg President Trump to tell Bola Tinubu and Akpabio that real time transmission of election result must be done from polling units

But the USA doesn't have real time transmission of results.

So, how can Mr Trump pressure Mr Tinubu for it

That's even worse for the opposition.

Less time for them to prepare.

ADC fell for APC's bait by rejecting the previous February date.

Same way APC made them to focus on instant transmission of results, while APC removed indirect primaries while the opposition was distracted.

Removal of indirect primaries means Messrs Obi , Amaechi, and Atiku will have to be voted for in every village, town and city in Nigeria to determine which of them will be ADC's presidential candidate.

Just imagine the huge cost and the logistics of such nationwide primary. By the end of such exercise, ADC's will have far less money for the main election.

Meanwhile APC will probably just present Mr Tinubu as its consensus candidate,and reserve all its financial and organisational firepower for the main election.

So how will an opposition that doesn't have popular support 'resist implementation' of the Electoral Act.

They should boycott the elections, so serious parties that want to participate can go ahead.

DMCA:
because of shea nuts?
It can only be you people from one particular place

Unlike Shea nuts byproducts which are mostly for use on skin, and not ingested,cocoa byproducts are mostly ingested as food.

Europeans and North Americans will not buy most cocoa byproducts that are to be ingested without further processing if they're produced in Nigeria.

Nigeria's does not have a good reputation for adhering to international food manufacturing standards.

For now, most of our cocoa-related exports will be mostly unprocessed cocoa.

It makes perfect sense.

A naira that rises too fast can be as damaging to the economy as one that falls too fast.

The secret to sustainable economic growth is stability. A slow but steady naira recovery is better.

If naira hits 1000 to a dollar too fast, Nigerian consumers will benefit hugely, but the biggest long term beneficiary will be China, as Nigerians will go back to importing everything under the sun from China. This will destroy our own manufacturing companies, and there will be tremendous job loses. Once cheap Chinese imports destroy our manufacturers, then we will effectively become an economic colony of China.

Remember too that if the naira rises too sharply, the record levels of non-oil exports we have had in the past 2 years will disappear as our produce becomes more expensive for foreign buyers. A strong naira makes our non-oil exports expensive for foreign buyers. They will look elsewhere to buy.

Economics is not a one way thing. For every positive, there are often potential negatives. It is the job of the CBN to manage conflicting possibilities.

I suspect the CBN will probably prefer naira to steadily rise to say around N1250 by end of 2026, N1100 by end of 2027, and N1000 by end of 2028. Steady as you go.

But the CBN will be under tremendous political pressure from APC leaders to allow naira to gain fast later this year so APC can go into 2027 elections saying 'We told you so...Mr Tinubu is an economic genius. Vote for him to perform more magic'.

It is what politicians all over the world do. Mr Trump has been trying to sack the American Central bank Governor for several months now because the Governor refused to cut interest rate as fast as Mr Trump wants.

Oil and water don't mix.

Mr Obi's young online supporters are absolutists and too sensitive to be tolerant of any contrary views.

Mr Atiku's supporters are constantly irrated that obedients have the audacity to think Mr Obi can lead ADC under any circumstance.

The tenous relationship is unlikely to last till 2027 elections.

Tax concessions and incentives = subsidy.

Forget it, it's not happening.

Under Mr Tinubu's government, there will always be opportunity for anyone that wants to take the risk of importing to do so.

The market, and not the government, will determine when and if import 9f pms stops.

That's the right approach.

Well, Mr Obi never admitted that it was him on the phone, so he didn't complain about his phone being tapped.

If he didn't complain, why should the public call for investigation

That case is different from Mr El Rufai's case.

NinjaMetahuman:
no.

Government do sanction big take overs especially if that thing is also somehow linked to national asset.

Look into it.

That's if the companies involved tell the government in advance.

As I said in my previous comment, MTN and IHS may not have told the government of their plans in advance.

They're not required to.

And the government didn't need to be asking MTN every month, are you discussing anything with anybody

By law, a deal of this size requires government approval, so it is inevitable that MTN would have to approach the government to obtain approval for the deal, so the government could just wait.

That's exactly what has happened here.

No controversy here. The government has done the right thing.

NinjaMetahuman:
Finally

Sensible thing to do.

That's absolutely bad for competition and such a deal should never have taken place and whoever sanction such deal in government must have taken a lot of bribe and should be fired.


Which again, is that redundant minister of communication

The government did not sanction the deal.

Governments don't go around sniffing through corporate boards or hang around expensive restaurants in London or New York trying to figure out which companies' directors are discussing deals.

The way it works is - MTN approaches IHS and say, look, we are interested in buying you out in Africa. Are you interested in selling. If both parties are willing to explore the possibility of a deal, then they start formal discussions. These discussions can go on secretly for several months before they finally agree a deal, and announce it.

While it is possible that the government may have heard about those discussions, it is more likely that the government was also kept in the dark and that they heard about the deal at the same time as everyone else.

The thing is even if the government knew the 2 companies were talking, the government didn't need to intervene since a transaction of this size involving a publicly listed company MTN must be cleared by the government anyway before it can be actualised.

So the government can always seat back and wait, and intervene at the appropriate time, which is exactly what they have done here.

As an example, a vehicle licensing agency doesn't need to be monitoring car sellers to know who is buying vehicles in order to remind buyers they must obtain a vehicle licence. They can sit back in their office in the knowledge that buyers will ultimately come to obtain a vehicle licence before they can drive the vehicles on an ongoing basis.

Same principle applies with large business deals that require the approval of the Competition Authority.

Mrexcell:
How can the govt dictate who a private company chooses to do business with where is that done in the world? IHS are the only ones who knows what's best for them not the govt.

Government actually controls many aspects of how companies,organisations and its economy in general operate.

There is something called Competition Law. Most countries, including Nigeria, has such a law.

MTN acquiring 100% of IHS will be anti competitive and may harm the Nigerian economy.

That is where the government steps in to determine whether or not to approve the transaction.

MTN should not be allowed to own IHS 100%.

Infact MTN should be limited to its current minority interest of 24% shareholding. Otherwise, MTN will become an uncontrollable gatekeeper of the Nigerian economy.

IHS can exit by selling its shares/interest via the New York Stock Exchange where its shares are listed, or find another corporate buyer or group of buyers.

Alternatively, it can hive off and list the African parts of the business in London, and Lagos stock exchanges, or Lagos and Johannesburg. Nigerians, South Africans, and investors from other countries will purchase the shares. The company's headquarters can continue to be in London.

That way, the company is not controlled by one entity, MTN.

AMINDA:
"In Nigeria, Muslims are more than Christians. That's why my husband ran on muslim-muslim ticket" - Remi Tinubu

And yet, it's the opposition that is injecting religion into everything.

As I said, I have no problem with shifting the election date as I know from personal experience what it can feel like when one has not had a meal for 12 or more hours. And as a previous commenter narrated, voting in Nigeria is particularly demanding physically.

But the issue now is,if INEC changes the date for fasting Muslims, it will find it difficult to move the date to a time when Christians are fasting. Lent will not end until March 18, I think. And since a President must be sworn in within 90 days of election, that means a Presidential election date after 18 March will be very dicey. Hence INEC may have to consider December 2026, or more likely January 2027.

As for Mrs Tinubu, if she was quoted accurately,what she said made no sense.

First, there is no credible recent data to confirm which religion has the most followers in Nigeria.

Secondly, even if the muslim population is larger, that is not a credible argument for a Muslim Muslim presidency.

I think INEC's hand are tied by law anyway.

The opposition injecting religion into everything will not help them.

Personally, I don't have a problem with shifting the date.

However, as Lent doesn't end until mid March that means Christians too may object to INEC shifting the date to a day when Lent is still ongoing.

That means INEC will have to consider December 2026 or January 2027 for the Presidential elections.

This will likely mean that the dates for primaries will be earlier than planned. That will not help an opposition that is still trying to organise itself.

Being the President of a top 7th or 8th most populous country in the world is no joke.

When I saw the size of the Presidential plane as he boarded to that location this morning, I was amazed.

It seems like it could carry 300 people.

Nigeria. Big and strong!

8 hour drive.

Yet, if his wife ask him to help her pick something up from a supermarket 10 minutes away from their house, the man might shout the wife down.

Also, driving 16 hrs to and fro on very dangerous roads. Risk of accident, kidnapping etc none of that bothered him.

All for what.

Serves him right to be blocked.

That plane is huge.

Nigeria. Big and strong.

We even get $49 billion for accout now

Na joke o. Before they start attacking me.