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Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 9:55am On Apr 29, 2018
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 9:42am On Apr 29, 2018
IchimokuPilot:


Senior bros of Microfinance bank..... grin



Can you put togather indicators that relates to your assertion?
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 9:38am On Apr 29, 2018
Mpeace:
If you put fidelity, diamond, fcmb and sterling together, you will not get fbnh.
Fbnh is bigger than access and uba

What is FBN ROE, ROTA, CAGR and Asset turnover relative to peers,
These are importance metrics in asset valuation.
Size though importance, but less important to any of the above indicators.
A stock can be big in size but, negative in the above indicators.
Be wary of such a stock my brother.

1 Like

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 2:52pm On Apr 27, 2018
Jejebaba:

Yeah, EPS increased by 62.5%.

My fair value for FCMB is N2.6.
This is subject to the decision of Mr. Market.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 2:04pm On Apr 27, 2018
onegentleguy:


I just took a cursory look at ur question again. ...probably misconstrued it the 1st time.

I think the most fitting would probably be the I & E window exchange rate, but am not too sure about this.
Perhaps the Legends in the house can help out. ...or u could consult ur investment adviser or professional banker.

However my take in the initial post still stands.

Regards.

Appreciated my Oga.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 1:50pm On Apr 27, 2018
onegentleguy:


My understanding is that the banks are to adopt the new IFRS 9 reporting format.
...this will most likely have some drawdown impact on their earnings power, and by extension the shareholders fund.
I however believe that the big banks are in pole positions to wither the storm. ...they are currently well placed and with a stead to have that extra edge.
Amongst the 1st tiers, the likes of GTB, ZENITH, UBA readily comes to mind, while from the 2nd tiers, STANBICIBTC and ETI are also treading along the right path.
...I also like FCMB.

On IFRS 9, someone posted a related link on it here the other day. ...maybe u should digging that up.

Thank you.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 1:12pm On Apr 27, 2018
onegentleguy:


The number of commercial transactions that are now denominated in foreign easily convertible currencies, especially the US Dollar, has astronomically increased in the last decade. ...mostly due to the benefit of retaining earnings in US Dollars, as opposed to the Naira, which is the national currency in Nigeria. One of such opportunity is the benefit of quick arbitrage that comes with shorting the system with a view to making some gains from FX differential. ...and since the managers of companies are increasingly becoming smarter/wiser, they've sought some of these means in their many quest to explore several channels to increase their earnings.

Again the International Financial Reporting Standards (...I think IFRS IAS 21) requires a foreign currency transaction to be recorded, on its initial recognition, in the functional or national currency of the concerned company, applying the spot FX rate at the date of the transaction.
IFRS IAS 20 goes further to require that at the end of each reporting accounting year-end, the foreign currency monetary items are required to be converted into the functional or national currency using the closing FX rate for the currency of the transaction.

Any resulting exchange rate difference (ie the FX rate at the date of the transaction and the FX rate at the close of the transaction) whether a profit or a loss, are required to be recognized in the Accounting Books of the company at the date when they each arise. ...and where the transaction is a continuing one, IFRS requires such investment to be initially recognized under Other Comprehensive Income and reclassified to a profit or loss position on the disposal or completion of the transaction or investment.

In summary, assets and liabilities are required to be translated and booked at the FX rate, at the end of the accounting period of each transaction. ...Income and expenses are required to be translated at the FX rate existing on the dates of each of these events. And lastly, FX rate differences are recognized under Other Comprehensive Income and subsequently reclassified to the Profit and Loss Account on the disposal or completion of the FX related transaction.

Hope this helps.

Regards.

Thank you for the explanation.
Now that we have multiple exchange rate in the country, which of the rate is banks using for their FX valuation?
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 10:45am On Apr 24, 2018
Zenith bus is leaving the park.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 9:13am On Apr 24, 2018
robobo:


Dont shout hurray yet
wait until the results are audited (particular year end audit).
impairment are like bitter pills, u typically dont want to take it except if forced by an external stimuli (auditors / regulators)
so be cautious on the "promising outlook"

All banks are expected to make provision for NPL according to the guidlines, it is not a question of whether they like it or being forced.
What happened in some cases is, a bank may be compelled to take additional provision if the auditors / regulators have a different perception about a Loan / Receivable.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 3:13pm On Apr 23, 2018
Net impairement loss on Loan & Receivables for banks is droping significantly.
Remember that this line item have been a major bleeding item for the banks.
2018 looks promising.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 3:19pm On Apr 19, 2018
gloriousdawn:


I agree with you that banks like Zenith, GTB will not only sustain 2017 result, but will grow it going forward.
I say so for the following reasons:
1. I do not think impairment will be as high in 2018 as it was in 2017;
2. Mgt of these companies have a better perception and positive outlook for their business,
That is the reason dividend was increase;
3. The banks anticipated a low interast regime for 2018, and so will have make adequate arrangement to sustain income,
For example investing in long dated high yield bills in 2017.

My opinion.

My earlier comment on Zenith Bank.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 9:18pm On Apr 17, 2018
valentinenwoko:
Pls current price, when is the ideal entry price for CI LEASING. Should I wait for further drop in price.
Thanks

If I may add my voice here, CI Leasing price is breaking below the downward sloping tread line,
I think it will be wise to observe the price action for a few more days.

DD advised.

2 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 11:39am On Apr 17, 2018
pluto09:



Stock is FA, crypto is TA and gut.

It doesn't make sense to me to buy a stock at 26 and sell it at 25 when nothing has changed about the state of the company or the economy at large. grin

Just protecting your capital.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 11:07am On Apr 17, 2018
pluto09:


I don't do that with a fundamentally sound stock.

I respect your opinion.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 10:44am On Apr 17, 2018
pluto09:



As I no dey do stop loss for stock, what other strategy do we employ to manage risk?

Sell if price reverse to 25.60.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 9:35am On Apr 17, 2018
veecovee:
Will this month's candle later change colour smiley

Most likely.
I say so because most stocks are trading at support level now.
The pull back we saw in Feb. & Mar. happened because of the massive gains recorded in Jan.
Lets always note going forward that when there is a massive gain in the prices of stock in Jan. we are most likely going to see a pull in Feb. & Mar.

Do well to look at historical chart to confirm.

1 Like

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 9:24am On Apr 17, 2018
pluto09:


Waiting be tower bottom again
A buy,hold or sell

A buy for Zenith, because a tower bottom, a Japanese candle pattern is forming at a support level.
Please beware of quarter one result which will be out before end of this month, this position may change if Q1 result is negative.
Remember to place your stop loss at 25.60.

Also do your DD.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 2:12pm On Apr 16, 2018
fxuser:
Zenith
- price recovering early in d week above last week close on low vol
- buyers calling out d remaining bears probably

I can notice Zenith is gradually forming Tower Bottom at RSI of 34, daily timeframe.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 11:10am On Apr 15, 2018
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 10:05pm On Apr 11, 2018
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 3:28pm On Apr 05, 2018
emmanuelewumi:


I am privileged to bestow you with the title " Grand Alarmist of the Thread."


Keep on with the good work, it will definitely bring some level of sanity to this thread.


Oye a Mori ooo, Amin

Congrats.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 10:14am On Mar 26, 2018
veecovee:
I'm not conversant with others as I am with u and oracle. grin u suppose answer myprice and not "currentprice" and with due respect oracle suppose answer "PARROT" grin


Lol
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 3:22pm On Mar 23, 2018
gloriousdawn:


Expect additional 65kobo dividend from UBA.

My opinion.

Remember this post.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 3:12pm On Mar 23, 2018
gloriousdawn:


Seriously, DC is overvalue at CP.
While I commend their growth in topline, I have reservation about the following data:
Compound Annual Growth Rate for the last five years is -0.42 (Earning);
Net margin is dwindling, 2013 was 52%, while 2017 was 25%;
PEG Ratio is negative.

DD Advised.

NSE finished in red today.
Dangcem dragged us back.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 2:56pm On Mar 23, 2018
gloriousdawn:
If Zenith can break the upper trend line at #31,
Then the next task will be breaking #32 resistence.

Brent is inching towards 70 USD.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 2:50pm On Mar 23, 2018
If Zenith can break the upper trend line at #31,
Then the next task will be breaking #32 resistence.

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 2:05pm On Mar 23, 2018
Manonamission:


Example?

One example is Skye Bank.

DD Advised.

1 Like

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 1:45pm On Mar 23, 2018
"There are more gamblers in Wallstreet than investors",
I see the same trend in NSE, otherwise, there will be no single bid for some stock, not to talk of full bid.

4 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 1:26pm On Mar 23, 2018
PharmAlfred:
Seems like the bulls are returning. Zenith Bank Deserve to be in the 40 something range.

No time for laggards. DF should just release the surprise na. Either way, life goes on.

Next resistence for Zenith is around KM 32,
A lot of battle to overcome bear in that KM 32.

DD Advised.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 12:30pm On Mar 23, 2018
ukay2:
Zenith bank breaking Km30 with ease....Km 40 is next....

Where are those waiting for Zenith at KM 15, Lol.

2 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 2:53pm On Mar 21, 2018
Agbalowomeri:


Lower high

Close at day high.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gloriousdawn: 10:18am On Mar 21, 2018
currentprice:


nothing much in the result, if I must buy now now based on their latest report, I will still go for zenith and seplat than dis DC.

Dangote cement fair price based on this result is N160

grin grin

Seriously, DC is overvalue at CP.
While I commend their growth in topline, I have reservation about the following data:
Compound Annual Growth Rate for the last five years is -0.42 (Earning);
Net margin is dwindling, 2013 was 52%, while 2017 was 25%;
PEG Ratio is negative.

DD Advised.

3 Likes

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