₦airaland Forum

BabaAduras:
This is a must read! Analytical thinking at its best!!!

Dr Sunday Adelaja

WHY ATIKU AND OBI WILL LOSE THE COURT BATTLES AND TINUBU WILL REMAIN PRESIDENT

The main argument that both Obi and Atiku are pursuing in court is that the elections were rigged. The worst thing that could happen against Tinubu in court is that the court will cancel the results of the elections in those particular polling units where rigging have been established.

Before I go on to prove my point why Tinubu will emerge victorious in court battles, let me state categorically what my beliefs are in regards to these past elections.

I personally believe that there were irregularities or even outright rigging in some parts of the nation. Although if compared to all elections since our return to democracy I strongly believe these are our best elections by far. These riggings in my belief were perpetrated by adherents of all the leading political parties. I don’t personally think that the head of these parties were involved in the malpractices, it’s physically impossible for any one of them to know what each and every one of their followers were doing behind their back.
Nevertheless, I don’t think that the irregularities by any of the parties are enough to alter the end result of the elections, in my personal observations I think the will of the people was expressed in the results that INEC declared.

I actually think all major political parties believe in this too. If not they won’t have gone ahead to accept the certificates of elections issued by INEC to their senators and House of Representatives members.

Atiku and Obi are smart people, they know they better accept the positions in parliament now before they completely loose out after the court proceedings. Both Atiku and Obi failed to win 25%, in 2/3 of our 36 states, which means only Tinubu is qualified by our constitution to become president even if Obi or Atiku get 100 million votes added to their present votes. They’ll still not be qualified to become president unless they cover 2/3 of our country. Which unfortunately they failed to get. So these gentlemen know they don’t stand a chance, I assume that going to court for them isn’t for victory, it’s more to palate their followers and to save face.

If you doubt the credibility of the elections why accept the results that the same INEC declared in favor of your parties at parliament level elections. There is a lot of hypocrisy exposed right there.

Let’s now assume that these parties are only disputing the presidential elections, then I’ll challenge them that a simple analysis of the parliamentary elections will also show us who won the presidential elections. Out of 98 senators that were elected alongside the president 57 senators were from APC, the rest belong to 7 other parties. Of 325 representatives elected APC has 162. Again the rest are shared by the other 7 parties. If you just calculate which party truly controls the heart and soul of Nigeria, it’s obvious that it’s APC.

It’s only logical that most of these people who voted for these APC parliamentarians also voted for the APC presidential flag bearer. A rather simple logic. In countries with a parliamentary system it’ll be these people who will elect the head of government, in this case they won’t even need a coalition with any other party.

Another point that renders useless the attempt by other parties to go to court is that, let’s assume that the court overturns the elections results and installs either Atiku or Obi.
What do you think will follow?
Your guess is as good as mine, with a simple majority votes in both chambers of parliament the APC will easily impeach the President or at least paralyze the function and running of government.
It therefore makes no sense at all for Atiku or Obi to try to retake the presidency without a control of the parliament.

Now, let’s go back to my main argument in this article, which is the fact that Atiku and Obi are surely going to loose the court battles.
Like I said earlier, the worse thing the court could do is to cancel elections where Tinubu won or had a considerable advantage. My point is even if this happens, still Tinubu will remain the President.

Do you know that if the court finds APC guilty and decides to remove Bola Tinubu's total vote from all of Southwest which equals over two million votes (2,279,107) from Lagos, Ogun, Ondo, Osun, Oyo and Ekiti States, Tinubu will still remain President. Of course this is an extreme scenario I’m painting here, which will not happen by any means.

But even if it happens, Tinubu will still remain President.
Remember that the total votes Tinubu got is over 8 million votes, specifically 8,794,726. So if all the votes from his stronghold of Southwest is removed from him Bola Tinubu will still be left with 6,515,619 far higher than Peter Obi's total votes of 6,101,533.

Someone could say, yes Tinubu’s votes are still more than that of Obi but not more than those of Atiku so Atiku would probably be declared the President. No sir, remember whenever an election is annulled it doesn’t only affect the guilty party, all parties in that polling unit lose all their votes likewise. So if the Southwest election results are disallowed it’ll be the same for PDP, Labour etc.

Now let’s look at what happens if the votes in the Southeast are found to be rigged, then Peter Obi loses out completely, because those results are his main votes, while Tinubu’s position only gets stronger. If the elections in Atiku’s stronghold are found to be compromised and the votes are canceled, Atiku and Obi will still be the losers, while Tinubu will still win and remain the President of Nigeria.

Now, let’s look at another scenario supposedly against Tinubu; If we remove the total votes of 1,362,556 that Bola Tinubu scored in Ekiti, Ondo, Ogun and Oyo State where he won in the South West, Osun State is missing here because it was won by Atiku. Let’s remove all states where Asiwaju won from his total vote from across the federation, he would still have 7,432,170 votes left, enough to beat Atiku's 6,984,520. Bola Tinubu would still have 25 percent in 25 states to still be declared the winner of The February 25 Presidential Elections!

It gets even more intriguing if we go to the extreme of what any decision against Tinubu could be in court. If the court cancels half of all states won by Asiwaju and he is only left with 6 states out of 12, he will still emerge as the President of Nigeria. Yes, what I’m saying is that Tinubu will still remain the President even with only 6 states.

Tinubu could have won outrightly in JUST 6 STATES of the federation and still would have WON the election!! Now you read that well: just outright win in 6 states would have been enough!

Dear reader, please go do the maths at home by yourself if you flip all the following states, where Bola came first and make him come second, that is switch the total votes between first and second, your result will still be a win for Bola Hamed Tinubu. The States in consideration are: JIGAWA, ZAMFARA, KWARA, BENUE, EKITI, AND RIVERS! With all of these states flipped Bola will still win by 1m votes over Atiku and 2.2m votes over Peter and still achieve the 25% mandatory in about 25 states or more! (To read more on these calculations search for the writings of Dr Wunmi Akintide and Peter Adeshina Babalola, these two gentlemen have done a good analysis on that)

Talking about rigging I think it makes sense to here refer to the words of Reno Omokri.
According to Omokri, Obi was the rigger-in-chief of the presidential election.
He claimed that: “Tinubu did intelligent rigging. At least he used his conscience to give small votes to other candidates. Peter Obi’s rigging was so unintelligent.
“In the history of Nigeria, when and where have you heard of a candidate getting 97% in some areas in the SE?
“The Peter Obi that is shouting everywhere that he was rigged out is saying nothing of those areas in the SE where he got 97% of the votes.
“Where else did that happen during Nigerian Elections2023? Yes, this election was rigged. But Obi was the main rigger-in-chief!” Reno Omokri.

Really this whole thing about going to court is simply playing out the script. Frankly speaking where will you find looser in Africa that’ll admit that he lost, apart from Goodluck Jonathan. I told those who cared to listen before the presidential elections that Obi will loose and then all his followers will be screaming that the elections have been rigged. The same thing will happen this time too, after they loose in court, they will again say the court system is corrupt and that’s why they lost. You wait and see, they’ll again play out the script unfortunately. Arrogant and sore losers always do this throughout history, nothing is new under the sun.

In short I am sorry to seem like I’m dashing the hope of our beloved Obidients and Atikulateds. These are only my analysis. Who am I anyway, I’m not a judge neither am I a prophet or the son of a prophet, yet I’ve discovered that a simple common sense a times are more valuable that the so called prophetic gymnastics on our pulpits these days.

As for those who are still daydreaming that the court will overturn the elections, get Tinubu arrested, installment of an interim government and declare Obi as the winner. Please go and get rid of that nonsense from your brain. Those are the so called prophetic revelations of some self deceived and deluded Pastors and Bishops. Those men you call your fathers in the Lord have long lost connection with God. Their words are never to be taken seriously. In fact if those big men of God tell you that they see something just go do the opposite. If they tell you go to the right, just turn to the left you’ll end up being correct.

Tinubu is the next President of The Federal Republic Of Nigeria, period! Deal with it and have peace of mind.
These incredible results of Tinubu that cuts across all of our wide nation is a result of close to 40 years of hard work. This cannot be dislodged by a 9 months of campaign or movement. It’s not possible, God is a God of systems, order and processes. God will not contradict himself, even a thousand false prophets won’t alter that. The relationships of a lifetime by Asiwaju is more reliable than overnight national mobilization surge by religious desperados who thought of cashing in on Muslim Muslim ticket controversy.

These same pastors and Bishops who had earlier prophesied that Obi will win are now busy crying about elections rigging. Do you mean their God could not factor that in. Are you telling me that elections riggers are now stronger than their God. This only goes without saying that these gods of men don’t have a real living relationship with God Almighty. Their god is their stomach, reputation and empires.
Now some of them are busy praying that Tinubu will die before inauguration. These people are not Christians, what they are practicing is syncretism at best.

God will not support overnight success like that without due process. God is a God of laws and principles, no amount of prayers, confessions or prophecies will change that. Because he has exalted his principles(word) above his names(prayers, wailing etc) Psalms 138:2
“I will worship toward thy holy temple, and praise thy name for thy lovingkindness and for thy truth: for thou hast magnified thy word above all thy name.”

I rest my case here!

May Nigeria Succeed And May All Her Haters Live Long To Witness It.


For The Love Of God, Church And Nation

nigerians r thinking of 2027.wetin be court

Walai:
He openly showed hate for the North.
As for his reps and Senators, their victory is not sure and the party is not backing them in the law court this time

ok o

Bitchiamjay:
The only way Wike can successfully plant his successor is by using thugs to threaten, snatch ballot boxes, kill corpers, mutilate results and bribe Inec officials like he did at the presidential election. Wike ruined the chances of Sim Fubara with the role he played in the last election and he’s beginning to regret it. A video surfaced online showing him begging market men and women to vote for his candidate. Rivers state people are really angry with him and he knows. How can you carry people’s vote and dash a Muslim-Muslim ticket?? A 100% Christian state for that matter ooo. Wike’s day of reckoning will be so fun to watch and it’s close already.

begging for vote is political.Do you expect him to tell them not to vote for pdp?what’s ur point bros.If u could say sim doesn’t have 85% chances,dm me let make a bet.my 100k to ur 50k.If there’s any state pdp can win currently in Nigeria it’s rivers.

Walai:
I guess Wike have deliberately decided to retire to state politics like Ibori.
He is politically dead nationally

not true bro.U don’t follow politics.Do u know how many ppl he just sent to Senate and reps?Outside rivers.

Cajal:
Atiku will also continue to regret his actions against WIKE which has consumed him

u wouldn’t have replied him.The little boys of today in nairaland don’t know the meaning of losing a battle and winning a war.wike lost the battle but win the war.He has retired atiku and Okowa.if he plants his successor,nobody can claim wike has been retired.as we speak Okowa is fighting to plant his successor and his chances are low

jaybenugo:
https://igberetvnews.com/1440546/drinking-40-year-old-whiskey-atiku-marched-inec-protest-wike/

lol I love him.Eveeybody cannot be quiet to actions.In atiku and Okowa next life if them see wike them go careful.He has his short comings but don’t we all?

gandkiss:
. And Peter Obi will. Live longer than you. You all have no common sense at all.

what did I do again.

FlipModeSquade:
You can live to be 200 years old..
That is not the issue,how fit and energetic are you to carry out your day to day functions?
There are reasons we have a retirement age..
Buharis incapacity to carry out his daily duties, allowed cabals and third party actors to hold the Nation to ransom..

jonathan had cabals too.bro cabal exists in every fg.obj was young when he had his then they called it kitchen cabinet.That’s if u have started following politics then cos obideints una just come.

AndrewTate:
well, it's morning in Nigeria which likely has the most nairaland users and over here bad energy isn't common in the morning.
Thank you

no shaken brother

AndrewTate:
is this how you woke up?
Waking up spreading bitterness everywhere.
Better find solutions to your problems offline and not spread the byproducts on faceless forums.

ur English too much bros.I never sleep it’s midnight here.

AntiChristian:
You may die before them.

How old was Titch! 27!
John the Baptist?
Jesus? 33

Yours may be at the corner!

Or mine!

I Dey look them Dey laugh.

tishbite42:
As you have released death it will locate you in Jesus name, Amen.

leave my space u be small pikin.

hammerT:
We should not fear death because we did not put ourselves here.



One day, we go the same way we came, whether we like it or not.



Live and dont worry about death, we will cross when we reach that river.

otilo.na mumu Dey fear death.Something when kill ur fathers why u think say e go spare u.if person threaten me now say e wan kill me I go begin laugh.to threaten me,u must use smthg else that is not death.

tishbite42:
That death you pronounced will locate you and your family today.
Demonic mofo

I will die na.e get who no go die?why r u scared of death.news has it that it visits those scared of it more.

tishbite42:
SA music and anyhow deaths
From Brenda, Dube, AKA and this one now

leave SA alone.u may die later today too.

Iamdbull:
Dbull on this one!!!



Oooommmmmgeeee

This guy is the new south African hip hop revelation, he got like 7 nominations at the last sound city awards, very talented dude. He was even featured on teni's song, maitama, can't believe am waking up to such a news, my day is almost ruined already 😡😡😡😡😡😡😡💔💔💔💔

ruined for what?u know weda u go die today?

Naijalarry:
Source- https://punchng.com/just-in-south-african-artiste-costa-titch-slumps-dies-on-stage/

maybe he’s one of those that say tinubu is sick and will soon die.I don tell una,anybody can fall.Tinubu will live longer than Peter obi.

Fourtygees:
A twitter user @sfreakingkezy posted

This horrible accident happened in Enugu state today and there’s total deafening silence about it on social media b/c it not Lagos.

Do we hate themselves this much to always ignore disasters in our lands to focus on that of another land?

May the soul of the dead rest in peace

lol I never see accident since I leave Nigeria.cars don’t even horn abroad.I never hear horn since.

MatrixReloaded:
Wot a country in the South of Africa. I was given 2 weeks visa, I didn't spend 11 days and I'm off the country. Nigeria is beta than South Africa.
Hausa Yoruba IGBO knows themselves but you see this zulu tribes are hatred beings.

u don’t know what u r talking about.

EdemIboro:
Wizkid acquires new 2022 Roll-Royce Cullinan worth N620m (Video)
https://tsbnews.com/2023/03/wizkid-acquires-new-2022-roll-royce-cullinan-worth-n620m-video/

this boy mo get ear

Emmang:
“Pastor Sabi Dogy” I can’t marry a pastor because I’d teach him ‘bad things’ – Skit-maker, Diva Gold.
Fast-rising Nigerian skit maker and actress, Aluko Gold, better known as Diva Gold, has listed her expectations from her potential lover or husband.

The Ise, Ekiti State born Entertainer in an interview sheds more light on why she can’t marry a religious man.

“I don’t see myself marrying an actor or an entertainer. Never, because I know what they do. I want a low key life. But wait honestly, I don’t care. I think it will give more leverage for more understanding though. Let’s be sincere. For my Husband material, I want somebody that is really understanding, loves God more than me, can take care of his family, somebody who would be my best friend, humble, truthful, trustworthy and everything good sha. Also be very good in bed and PDA. I love PDA (Public Display of Affection). Yes oh, I love PDA. I want him to spank my Bumbum in public. Kiss me, hold me tight. That’s the fun of it. My ex did all that, he spoilt me. That is why I can’t marry a pastor. I can’t. I’m sorry because I will teach him bad things,” she said. Click here:


https://infotrend.com.ng/2023/03/11/pastor-sabi-dogy-i-cant-marry-a-pastor-because-id-teach-him-bad-things-skit-maker-diva-gold/

if Johnson suleiman doggy u u go sheet for pant

PrinceOfLagos:
Tinubu is from Iragbiji in Osun state , Governor Sanwo Olu is from Ondo state.

This men holding Lagos to Ransome are not even true indigine of Lagos and they are telling a true son of Lagos , Gbadebo rhodes vivour that is a Lagos blood that he won't be governor of Lagos .

Why will Tinubu who is from Osun state and Sanwo Olu who is from Ondo state be telling Gbadebo who's true Lagos blood that he will not be allowed to be governor in his father's home soil?

My fellow Lagosians, it is time for us to kick Tinubu and his stooge sanwo Olu who both aren't true Lagos blood back to there Original states of origin . Lagos belongs to true indigine of Lagos and not to Osun and Ondo migrants.

Vote Gbadebo of the Labour Party for Governor of Lagos State in next week governorship election.

and Gbajabiamila is from benue state.shey u don rest now

Espelbengz:
He is the next Governor of BENUE state God's willing.. as it stands no Nigerian living can pull his crowd in BENUE, obidients tried but his popularity won ASIWAJU the state! This is not social media hype but the reality on ground..
Yes Father!!!

ortom saw something like this and didn’t key in.such popularity only God gives it to a man.I no Dey fight such ppl o cos their grace will disgrace u

Islie:
https://punchng.com/kano-senator-barau-meets-70-lawmakers-over-senate-presidency-race/?amp

this guy is a strong man.winning in apc in tight kano with labor party and Nnpp is not easy.

Djele:
Oga stop wasting your time cos the mother of all protest is coming

wetin again una go Dey court stl Dey street?

Kmoney4money:
You must be a joker, so men that carries women responsibilities na enjoyment await am abi.

pls leave my space I beg u

Kobojunkie:
I do concur considering not everyone is built to carry all that load alone. Marriage is meant to be a partnership for good reason.

some men apart from their big penis Nthg dem get again.I can’t imagine my wife carrying my house.I go go rob.I have been married for over 10yrs my wife has not lacked or needed a pin.

Kobojunkie:
What did the man do to her?

bros I no Dey like talk am.it’s everything she explained der it’s same scenario pls.when a man allows a woman to carry all the responsibilities in a house death awaits the woman,

Izuubest:
The widow of the late Ex-Biafran War Lord, Iyom Bianca Odumegwu Ojukwu has narrated what happened the last time Peter Obi's mandate was stolen by the then governorship candidate of the PDP, Chris Ngige in Anambra.

According to a facebook post by her Special Assistant on New Media, Obi Barth Ifediora, she was quoted to have said;

[b]"When OBI’s mandate was stolen in his first attempt to be governor of Anambra in 2003 after he won the election but Chris Ngige was declared as the winner, we were seething with outrage and ready to take to the main streets of Awka.

"It was he, Obi, who convinced us, Apga faithful to calm down; that there would be no merit in mayhem.

"He opted to pursue Justice painstakingly through the courts and it took three sluggish years. I still remember that afternoon when the great news of the Supreme Court decision came in 2006. The Ikemba and myself got down on our knees and prayed fervently.. it was a moment of thanksgiving to God.

"We had chosen Psalm 34…reciting verses 4-6 over and over again….’This poor man cried and the Lord heard him….’ Okwute had pursued this struggle with patience, tolerance and stoicism….but most importantly, Peacefully. He was convinced beyond doubt that it would end in praise.

"This has always been his route, his fate, his destiny.

That man has not changed…"[/b] The post concluded.


Source: https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid018YNCKdALsbPqDYCrNEAdHKYqJKUEHVB9LWhz2dkEds2aMzW2rcVucy23cPFTc65l&id=100064954866365&mibextid=Nif5oz

anambra is not nigeria,wake up tinubu win the election,

Kobojunkie:
How abeg?

all4zionlover

how what?

all4zionlover:
What would you advice in a situation where a husband loses his job due to gambling and decided not to make any effort in search of another job or business or any legal means of making even little money.

He just wakes up in the morning, have his bath, put on the AC and go back to sleep. Only expecting any little thing the wife can cook to eat? He wouldn't pay any bills, provide anything but very humble helping out with house cleaning and washing.

Knowing that the situation is not funny on the wife and two children.

The wife must struggle to make food available no matter how little for the children, because she can't watch the children go hungry.
In a situation like this, when men goes out looking for means of making food available for their children and family, he is comfortable not having anything to offer all the time.
Is this the character of a father and husband that loves?

Is this not enough reason to divorce him?

in 2020 I lost my beloved sister to a husband like this.If u need money to leave the marriage dm me.I will provide all the necessary logistics like gov wike did to Peter obi.

OGHENAOGIE:
Atiku did well up North so I don't understand u guys oooo... PDP won katsina yobe kaduna gombe bauchi sokoto adamawa taraba kebbi

margin bro.no be to win try Dey check margin.