If Mr Henry Dele Alake, an encyclopaedia of words and meanings, wrote this script with such accuracy and purposeful words, then again I salute him for the fluency of rhythm & thought. And I really want to believe that he meant to say; they sacrificed their "tomorrow" in lieu of "their yesterday" for our today. Which is a well patterned MLK Jr.
Then, for President Bola Ahmed Tinubu to deliver it with such intent of purpose, I can only begin to congratulate Nigerians for putting such a team together for the first time since Democracy returned to our shores. And a big WELL-DONE to the President.
You can carry pregnancy for 9months, but delivery is more important.
Thanks for taking 5-10mins of my precious time which I spend judiciously on thinking positively and creatively.
Having said that, I quoted you only, so I can quote you later, and I don't have to search everywhere before I find you in advance time.
Penguin2: Disclaimer: This is not that your “Obidients are converting to Tinubu supporters” bullshit. This piece is clearly informed by unbiased logical and critical analysis as informed by reason unlike some folks who close their eyes to truth because if they admit it, it will hurt their divide.
With the above having been stated, I want to try to predict what a Tinubu Government will be like.
Everyone knows that Peter Obi is my candidate and my support for him is borne out of informed conviction that he is the best man for the job and would help Nigeria build strong institutions rather than strong individuals as is presently the case. And while we await for the courts to give their verdict on Obi’s petition before them, I will be giving my prediction in supposition that Tinubu will be president for 4 years at least.
GENERAL OVERVIEW No Nigerian needs an analysis to agree that Buhari’s 8 years was a mistake we should have avoided was it not some people’s greed. Every sector of the economy went on downward spiral until they all hit rock buttom. It was one of the major reasons why a lot of voters didn’t find Tinubu’s APC attractive anymore but he won anyways; even if we have misgivings on how he won. Now he’s here, what do I think he would do differently? I’ll tell you by trying to itemize them into different subheadings for better understanding and so this piece doesn’t get clumsy.
APPOINTMENTS One of the things Buhari got wrong was appointments. He appointed only people of his ethnic stock. But that wasn’t the problem. The problem was that these people he was appointing were average at best, and stark illiterates most of the time. Somehow however, supporters of his party, including Tinubu supporters, cheered him on and said he was free to appoint only people from Daura if he wished to. Buhari was emboldened by that and he continued. The end result was the disaster his government turned out to become. But it is imperative to state that Buhari’s government didn’t fail because he appointed majorly only Fulanis to positions, no, his government failed because those he appointed, most of the time, had no idea what the hell they were supposed to do (the ex-Minister of Education corroborated this when he said he had no idea of what he was supposed to do in Education ministry when he was appointed).
But Tinubu… Just like Buhari, he is most likely going to give more appointments to people of his ethnic stock (Yoruba) although not to the level of Buhari (nobody can be worse than Buhari). The only difference however is that the Yorubas Tinubu is going to appoint are going to be bright and sound minds, accomplished in their own rights. Yes, that’s where Tinubu is different from Buhari. Because while Buhari is surrounded majorly by illiterates, Tinubu has a sea of intelligentsia and competent people surrounding him. And so, even though Tinubu would be rewarding his boys, the boys are great minds who are most likely going to deliver in any mandate they are given which would help things move in the positive direction.
SECURITY Deep down his heart, Tinubu is pained by the daily massacre of Nigerians all over the country by bandits (baptismal name of Fulani herdsmen). The only reason Tinubu has never been vocal about this is because he didn’t want to offend the north and the northern establishment where he was hoping to get votes from during elections.
What happened during Southwest herdsmen crisis should tell you where he stands. During that time when herdsmen were ravaging the Southwest, the governors of the region came together to form a regional security network and Tinubu never opposed it. Need I tell you it got his closet approval?
So, in security, Tinubu is going to appoint competent hands to head various security agencies with matching orders to halt the killings perpetuated by these marauders. So, I am seeing a tremendous increase in security situation due to increased offensive against the insurgents.
Tinubu is aware of the Fulani expansionist agenda which is aimed at forcefully taking lands from the aborigines of different peoples of Nigeria and trust me when I tell you that Tinubu does not like that at all. He knows he was going to go against a lot of Fulani interests which is why he chose a Kanuri man, another aboriginal Nigerian as his Vice President. The Kanuris has a lot of scores to settle with the Fulanis as do the Fulanis with the Kanuris which makes them not to be best of friends. Recall that Usman Danfodio was defeated by the Kanuris which halted his Jihad into that part of the country and is the reason the Emirs of Maiduguri are not Fulanis.
In a nutshell, so I don’t confuse you, I predict tremendous increase in security under Tinubu as he would ruthlessly deal with the perpetrators, and even their sponsors where he can.
SUBSIDY Subsidy should have gone in 2012. It is the reason why some of us have misgivings with Tinubu because of the kind of vicious politics he played with the issue of subsidy in 2012. Tinubu knew better than what he did than. He knew that subsidy payment was crippling the resources of the Federal Government but he still went ahead to mobilize protesters against that fantastic decision and bullied Jonathan into rescinding the decision (I blame Jonathan for being so weak). Had subsidy been removed in 2012, we would have forgotten about its harsh effects as alternatives would have emerged and Nigerians adjusted as we always do.
But like someone said, “the best time to remove subsidy was in 2012, the next best time is now”. So, subsidy has to go no matter how painful the side effects may be. The currents are like the bitter pills we have to swallow to cure our malaria.
What some of us are saying, however, is that the removal should have been phased, as proposed by Peter Obi. While cushionary measures should have been set up before the removal as against this brigandage approach with which the entire process was handled.
Now, with subsidy removal, more funds will be available to the FG to share with State Governments. This increase in funds is most likely going to help government at all levels to embark on more lofty and life changing projects for the public good; for those that want to work. While it might mean more money to steal for criminals in power.
RESTRUCTURING Tinubu didn’t mention restructuring in his manifesto so as not to offend his northern friends and the northern oligarchs, but believe me when I say that Tinubu will, or at least attempt to, restructure this country.
Recall that during his time as Lagos Governor, he increased the number of Local Governments in Lagos from 20 to 60 (I can’t recall the exact number). His argument then was that if Kano State with lesser population than Lagos can have 44 Local Governments, then Lagos deserves more. It was this issue to brought him at loggerheads with then president Obasanjo who asked that Tinubu revert to old 20 Local Governments structure or the FG would no longer release Local Governments funds for Lagos State. Tinubu refused to revert to old 20 Local Governments and Obasanjo seized Local Governments allocations for Lagos State. Lagos Government then took the FG to court and won, which is why the new Local Governments that Tinubu created still stands till today; though not addressed as Local Governments. Other states later took a cue from Lagos and created more administrative areas out of their existing Local Governments.
So, with the above background, you should know that Tinubu has a lot of disagreements with Nigeria’s current structure and would definitely want to look into it. I’ve heard that landmass is part of the calculation for sharing formula from FAAC. Such barbaric calculation was definitely done to favour northern states which has more landmass. I doubt Tinubu will tolerate such calculation anymore.
Similarly, it’s most likely he might introduce State and Community Policing. Maybe not in the way Obi may have proposed in his manifesto but I envisage Tinubu restructuring the policing system to ensure it’s closer to the communities to ensure better security. Remember he introduced RRS in Lagos.
Apart from the police, I equally envisage him unbundling a lot of things that northern establishment has refused to unbundle for a long time because the deliberate imbalance was benefiting the north.
RELIGION Forget Muslim-Muslim ticket, Tinubu is an Agnostic. Agnostics are people who don’t believe in anything; not in God nor in Satan, nor in powers of spirits. I might be wrong about the details of his believe system but I think Tinubu purposely chose to publicly identify as a Muslim for political reasons. I am surprising that after studying the dynamics of Nigerian politics, he felt he would probably achieve more, and get the north to trust him more, if he identified as a Muslim. So, it is my thinking that Tinubu doesn’t really believe in Allah nor His teachings nor in any moral code; Tinubu has his own moral code. I would want to think that Tinubu believes more in the power of money, strategy and brute force where money and strategy fails. That’s why he lobbies a lot; making deals. He’d offer money to those who can take money, offer position to those who want position and find a way to dislodge anyone who refuses his entreaty.
What I’m saying here is that Nigerians may not have to worry much about Tinubu and his Vice President being Muslim because the President believes in nothing; except money is a religion. As such, I see the religion or adherents of any religion being shortchanged. Tinubu has never showed signs of extremism in the past.
DOWNSIDES Having mentioned the good things to expect from Tinubu, I want to conclude this piece with the downside of what a Tinubu government portends.
IGBOS: When Tinubu first came into politics in 1999, he extended hands of friendship to the Igbos. This he did by appointing some Igbos into his cabinet. His intention was to try to build a bridge between the East and the West so they can unite and challenge the north with common and united front. But I think Tinubu’s frosty and messy relationship with Obasanjo caused his image to dented amongst the Igbos who saw Obasanjo as a friend of Ndigbo. Having seen that Igbos have taken the side of Obasanjo, Tinubu the abandoned any further push towards friendship with the Igbos and chose rather to align with the north against the East. This decision further damaged Tinubu’s image in the East and amongst Igbos who now became his most vicious opponents.
Having achieved power, I envisage a subtle sustenance of the age long Nigerian State policy of “Never Allow the Igbos Rise Again”(NAIRA). I say this because Tinubu no longer hides his disdain for the region and its people which was corroborated by his erstwhile supporter and former SGF, Babachir Lawal who said Tinubu asked them not to go to the Southeast during campaign for the APC primaries. So, Igbos should not expect anything from Tinubu’s government. This is not to say that he will not do one or two projects in the East, but overall the affairs of the East would be least of Tinubu Government’s preoccupation. The only thing is that the Southeast would benefit from some of the unbundling that Tinubu will do through restructuring.
ALPHA BETA/TAXES Tinubu commissioned Alpha Beta to collect Lagos Government taxes towards the tail end of his administration as Lagos governor. Granted that the company has helped Lagos increase their IGR and eliminated a lot middlemen who would have been pilfering large chunk of the IGR, people have consistently expressed misgivings with the percentage this company takes on every amount it generates. But despite accusations, Lagos has retained Alpha Beta as its tax collector.
I might be wrong, but I won’t be surprised if Tinubu attempts to make Alpha Beta the agency in charge of revenue collection for the Federal government. The only thing here is that to make that happen, he must go through the NASS. Would the NASS approve it? No one knows; but Tinubu has his ways.
Again, I see increase in taxes and widening of the tax net. So, Nigerians should be prepared to start paying tax on a lot of things. Just as those who have never paid taxes in their life should get ready to start paying taxes.
EMPOWERMENT OF CRONIES: Tinubu will empower his cronies and his boys/men; and he has a lot them. News is already circulating that his government plans to sell some of NNPC assets. Don’t be surprised when you see his business associates winning bids to buy those assets and even many more that would come in future.
CONCLUSION I didn’t intend for this piece to be this voluminous but it ended up becoming so. But I need any reader who would read this to understand the submissions above are purely my personal opinion as informed by reason and devoid of any political, ethnic and primordial sentiments and biases.
So, while I hope that the courts will do justice and return Peter Obi as the duly elected President from the 2023 presidential election in Nigeria, I am predicting a positive presidency for Tinubu supposing he was to be there to be ther for four years.
But as with all social experiments that is always at the mercy of rational actors and unintended variables, the predictions above are subject to social and political variables that may alter one or two positions differently.
When you see a tribeless "tribe", they see victimisation in almost everything. Even among themselves, they play that card with vigour. They'll say; 'this one is from the bush, and that one is from Isreal'
If not for anything, at least for your health's sake, you should be tired by now. Even H.E. Peter Obi will smile and laugh whenever & wherever he meets with President Bola Tinubu. Just distance yourself from fowl language, and you'll be helped suddenly.
I never knew this man is a chronic palm-wine drunk. Just speaking from both sides of his mouth. So, a yoruba man can be this arrogant *after this I am not going to beg anyone again*. I'm wondering, who coerced him to condescend in the first place, if truly he said all these without the influence of Palmy.
Kandeed: I don't know who you are but You should not go out of your way or inconvenient yourself to help any girl. give the girl one week and she's moved on, while the family bears the pain for a long time. so who's the big fool now?
I have every reason to believe the guy got an ulterior motive
I keep telling people and using every opportunity I have to tell people that foolishness is a sin. Mark7:22
If you're not ashamed to dance like a musketeer against your intuition, then you're permitted to enjoy the brunt alone. When one learns to dance publicly without shame, then one should also be ready for the privileges that come with such naivety.
If you like, swear on your life for a teenage girl. You go just die.
One girl mother almost faint last December wen dem her play her daughter tape for her.
You didn't say it all sir. The girl's mum was even a Pentecostal member. Or is it not that same Lagos where seemingly innocent & "harmless" secondary school pupils went out of their dorm to lodge at a nearby hotel for worldly pleasures.
Now for some analysis A girl you said is not wayward left home because of a quarrel with her aunt, didn't see it fit to call her mother to inform her of the issue. After realising that she couldn't afford the fare She decided to go and stay with a friend
A girl at such age wants to punish everyone by running away, could also want to commit suicide just to punish everyone
Things are worked on buildups
So please you guys should better reprimand a that girl or watch her closely because been academically brilliant doesn't mean you are morally upright.
Thank God we got someone here who understands that there's a gap between academic brilliance and morality. As I was reading through his piece, all you wrote flashed through even before I saw your comment. We're grateful we have reasons to thank God for her safety at the end of her "wayward and crass foolishness". There's a good reason why Jesus mentioned foolishness among the sins that'll lead people to hell in Mark7:22.
I am deeply pained by this revelation, had I known this woman personally as at the time of this "₦71m offering", I:d have told her to accept the money, and still go ahead with sending this gangs of murderers to their end. At least, no one knew they offered her anything until now.
This is cheap and uncoordinated. There are thousands of good looking Fatty Abdul'aziz with almost similar or better structures. Is either she's not telling the truth or these bloggers are at it again. If you're learned (I mean intelligent) as a Mallo lady, you're born with the awareness that your hubby can get married to as many as he likes.
Up North, when you have money pretty women are your least concern. All my former & current Mallo lady friends are contempt with whatever Allah brings their way in matrimony. So skip it, or bring another angle to the narrative.
muykem: Rauf Aregbesola lost his rightful position to Femi Gbajabiamiala. He was unable to let it go in Osun politics and allowed the former governor to take the charge of the state. He fought like a man by collide with opposition to unseat the then governor. He won the battle and lost the war.
In God's agenda, there's no reason strong enough to warrant a vacuum esp. when the purpose is yet unrealised. There's always an Elisha waiting in the wings to take over from every tired looking Elijah.
Just locate your own Jonathan as a David, and you'll be on the throne regardless of whether others believe it or not.
Naturally, humanity is a vengeful species corrupted & blindfolded by ego, pride, and loose knowledge. They even forgot that knowledge is not eternal. Even the planets and continents we were once used to are no longer the same.
Normally, and literally speaking, an average politician from this raging geographical terrain is intoxicated with power. They see fire and brimstone where none of such existed. When you're privileged to be vested with a post (administratively or otherwise), you're not there to rule like Damocles, but to serve.
Stewardship is a responsible, and not a reckless position, but some think differently. I really admire people who can do wickedly in times of peace with awkward shudder.
clinician2x: You did not even mention anything about the interests of the common man ni?
Sir, I'm sorry I didn't say a thing outa all you'd prefer to hear me say, but truth is, neither me mentioning the common man's interest is a factor in determining the outcome of things. Life stopped answering to groups, but on individual bases since the days of John the Baptist (Matthew 11:11&12).
And I honestly love people, I truly love to see & make people happy, but I learnt a long time ago that there's little or nothing that anyone can do to make another see what they're not ready to see, I can't change a thing concerning any man by my opinions. The man has got the only & final say concerning his/her life on earth. Lemme scare you a bit, even God can do nothing concerning a man that's not ready to see Him as all they'll ever need.
Whenever I fornicate I dream and see myself returned to status years back....sometimes back to uni or even secondary school, following that, my life scatters, relationships just fizzle out business plummets etc
Kai
God bless you op
To some, this may not be correct but it's the truth. It's not just fornication alone that brings about misfortune in life and destiny. All sexual sins are passages/entrances through which the strong man comes in to take what does not initially belonged to him.
Lust, pornography, and masturbation are some of these sexual sins.
I pray for God's deliverance and restoration of lost glory to anyone under the control of such die-hard acts in the name of Jesus Christ.
Suddenly everyone is coming out of their shell. One thing is certain in all of these, success has no enemy, there certainly may be pretences but at the end, everyone loves to be important & identified with it.
flokii: Tinubu should consider Wike for Ministerial post abeg.. the guy really tried his best for this administration.
He can't be considered for any ministerial post as it stands presently, but maybe by tomorrow should he have decamped to APC.
Sincerely, the Wike I've come to know will never decamp until he's destabilised the PDP structures on the national stage.
Though, I see him getting compensated with an Ambassadorial post to any nation of his choice on earth should he not decamp to PDAPC fully. All well and good, he is the Winner, and Atiku should be cursing the logic behind him going against 5 seating Governors of his party during a national election that he's a front runner. God bless Nigeria
BTCJagaban: In Benin republic, people only buy smuggled petroleum products from Nigeria. The fuel in their filling stations are not subsidized hence, they result to buying subsidized products which smugglers smuggle from Nigeria. They display this product by road side and they do it openly.
I think Benin republic government are great beneficiary of this subsidy removal. It will eradicate selling of petroleum products by road side.
Nigeria should get ready for influx of Africans into Nigeria. Subsidy removal in Nigeria won’t affect Nigeria only. It goes beyond.
As sweet & true as this your summation is, I can categorically support your conclusion with proofs. I used to know a Benenoise man & his family back in Ogun State. He has Nigerian guys as workers, and he's so suave with the Baales around the axis of Itele, Papa-lanto, Ewekoro, and the likes. He settles his way to & fro.... What is their work, they bunker oil by only God knows. How they came to know the pipelines in the wilderness is what I can't explain, and he's not learned. My only conclusion is that our borders across the length and breadth of this nation is so porous and unguarded. Let anyone believe otherwise
@Lush100... You're really doing a great job. Keep it up bro. Don't get distracted by the folly of some who thought it's your duty to also put food on their table while they're busy doing nothing.
@Lush100... You're really doing a great job. Keep it up bro. Don't get distracted by the folly of some who thought it's your duty to also put food on their table while they're busy doing nothing.
Politics › Re: President Tinubu's Democracy Day Message To Nigerians (Video) by KingPure(m): 11:17am On Jun 12, 2023
