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Lithiumite's Posts

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Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 8:17pm On Aug 15
Bendeco2020:
Keep shifting goal post.

You think oppostion will keep allowing him to manipulate results?

This time around, some northern APC governors will work against him.
You said more than this in 23 and he still won despite the gang up of the buhari cabal and the deception of el rufai,he still came out ontop......the funny thing is how much you guys underestimate this tinubu and that will be you guys greatest undoing.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 8:14pm On Aug 15
Bendeco2020:
Oga you're a novice.

What gave you the assurance that Adeleke will support Tinubu by 2027 if he win this his re-election?

Did he support him in 2023 ?

Don't forget. he have nothing to lose come 2027. Whether Tinubu win or not, he will complete his second tenure.
Adeleke had the pdp,adeleke had the likes of aregbesola to sabotage his party......and you saw how close the margin was,adeleke has nothing to loose if tinubu wins and a lot to loose if he places his gamble on atiku or obi and they end up loosing......even if he doesn't support tinubu,he wouldn't go out of his way to stop him from winning as tinubu has done for him in this election ......that in itself is support.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 8:05pm On Aug 15
HIGHESTPOPORI:
Apc will do all they can with which achievement?
People who just started following politics in 23 and can't seperate sentiments from politics arent too difficult to know.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 8:02pm On Aug 15
AMINDA:
If this is the case, Tinubu will still struggle to get re-elected. Obi will dominate him in the Southeast and Southsouth while Atiku’s people will also support him with their full chest this time. 5.6m votes out of Tinubu's 8m votes were from the North while Atiku only got circa 1m votes of his total 6.9m from the South. If the 2027 elections becomes regional, Tinubu will have no pathway to victory.
Obi will win which SS,you over reach yourself just to validate ur fantasies about atiku becoming president.......tinubu will win SS and his 25% in the 5 SE states is guaranteed......every sane man can see how weaker the obi tsunami has grown and atiku is nowhere to be found in the south so where does he want to get his spread even if he wins the north which still isnt possible,anywhere atiku wins in the north apc will come a close second.....tinubu on the other hand has heavily consolidated in the SS and you delude yourself to believe obi can outspend apc or match apc force for force or evn outrig them.ad the ruling party.........the earlier atiku knows how dangerous you are to him,the better for him.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 7:52pm On Aug 15
ravensckar:
That's why we are praying for a total ELECTORAL REFORM.

Imagine INEC becoming truly independent and the chairman not appointed by the president. Most of our politicians today won't even smell the seat of power.

In a free and fair election, Tinubu won't win in 2027 because he has no achievement to campaign with. Majority of those that are supporting him are not doing so based on ideology, it's because of financial gains. Which organic followers Tinubu get? He only relies on "rigging machinery & the structure of Chop I Chop".
Election isnt free and fair but adeleke is winning in osun? Elections isnt free and fair obi won lagos and atiku won osun........The way you people reason certainly shames your creator......no gov can stand in the way of the fg if him cup full,adeleke himself won't be that dumb to carry light to see the lions face.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 7:47pm On Aug 15
Noblex2011:
Wait till January.
You will get the answer very soon
I am from Osun state
I schooled in the most prestigious university in Osun and even in the country.
Even one of the Osun best Federal Polytechnic
Did INEC ad hoc staff for good 2 to 3 times even as one of the PO
You go understand very soon
What does that change,vote who apart from tinubu,is it atiku that has lost his pdp structure or obi that doesn't even know the way to osun.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 7:45pm On Aug 15
Akpakomiza2:
True. They voted against him 2023
23 isn't 27,the whole SW voted against obj in 99 but we all know what happened in 03......osun and oyo votes are tge most fluid in Nigeria together with kano,they can swing anyway at anytime.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 7:42pm On Aug 15
ravensckar:
You're the one missing the point! When it comes to Osun state, our vote is often used to make a statement; by way of showing acceptance or registering our displeasure. We are always that way!

I'm from Osun state (although I was born in Lagos). My family house is not far from Tinubu's ancestral home, yet, I'm not from Iragbiji. If you're very conversant with Osun state, by now, you must have figured out which town I hail from.

Before the last presidential election, we were arguing in my family house whether Tinubu would win in Osun state or not. I (being from Lagos) was shocked when those on ground told me that nobody gives a fffck about him. As far as they were concerned, he wasn't one of them. Now, remind me again who was PDP's presidential candidate. ATIKU? The truth is that Osun people didn't vote PDP because of ATIKU, they just wanted to make a statement against TINUBU because they blamed him for imposing OYETOLA on them.

I believe you understand my point by now.

2027 is still a long way to go, and it's not certain that ADELEKE will honour any agreement of supporting Tinubu. But I'm happy APC is being defeated in today's election. It will dampen their cockiness a bit and make TINUBU shelve whatever anti-people policy he has up his sleeve. At least, for now.

As far as I'm concerned, APC losing today's governorship election is a WIN for the people. The message is simple; if you want our vote, at least, have the decency to do something for us. Don't depend on the corrupt structure of Chop I Chop to win election.
Tinubu came from a weaker position in 23,he is now the CinC.......obj lost SW in 99 but we all know what happened in 03.....adeleke winning is to a bigger advantage to tinubu than if he had lost.......tinubu knows this and he wouldn't want a repeat of 23,he would have done his home work and knows its best not to stand in Adeleke's way to victory only he can't support him openly......a lot of handshake would have gone under the table for adeleke not to follow atiku to ADC.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 7:35pm On Aug 15
ravensckar:
You really get sense! You sabi how e dey go?

Almost all the people I spoke to back home told me that ADELEKE would win. At the moment, there's no discontent between him and the Civil servants. Bros still construct roads full everywhere. On top all that, he still share money. Tell me, why will the people reject him at the poll?

The only reason APC is having a good showing because they presented a formidable candidate. AMBO too is well liked. And from what I understand, his people (The Ikires) have been yearning to govern the state.

If APC had presented OYETOLA, Adeleke would have defeated him before 12 noon.

#Picks_tooth
Even Omisore would have been defeated too......
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 7:33pm On Aug 15
erad:
Adeleke can actually support tinubu, the people know where they will vote.
And who will mount the structures for atiku and obi in osun? I bet you can go in and mobilise all the people to come and vote them when adeleke has already told you where his allegiance lies if he wins......or if apc wins,where una wan pass.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 7:29pm On Aug 15
HIGHESTPOPORI:
Obi would win those states now ,nothing for tinubu there.h
Did obi win cross rivers? Or you want to rewrite history,udom couldn't do much in akwa ibom because of the obi tsunami and the people over there chose obi as the better evil between himself and Tinubu.......its going to be different in 27,apc will do all they can to win the SS and there is really little counter force NDC can bring up.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 7:25pm On Aug 15
ravensckar:
You're kidding right?

Please, tell me you are!

During Aregbe's first tenure as governor (when the court removed Oyinlola), I hope you know ACN won Osun state even though Tinubu instructed the then governors to support JONATHAN? After his failed negotiation with CPC.

The last presidential election as well, I hope you know PDP won in Osun state? Even though Tinubu (a presidential aspirant then) is from Osun.

Yes, politics is local. But if you think ADELEKE will support Tinubu after winning re-election, then, it means your political naivety is follow-come.

You just wait and see!
Lets bet it,the first place he will visit after winning will be aso rock, if he wins he has o ly uped his bargaining power and he can now dictate to apc in the state what he wants and tunubu will be more than ready to give him......politics is all about patronage.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 6:37pm On Aug 15
AMINDA:
I didn't know that all the people that voted Atiku in the South are now dead or followed Wike to now supporting Tinubu. Where was this APC structure you speak of for Tinubu in states like Imo, Ebonyi and Cross Rivers? Where was it in Lagos?
And those states will vote atiku in your drunken dream.....atiku did be real foolish to have people like you around him.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 6:35pm On Aug 15
HIGHESTPOPORI:
Una don dey change mouth
Just check my mairaland profile and go through my post so far on this election upto a week back.....we are not biased observers,we analyse base on objectivity.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 6:29pm On Aug 15
ravensckar:
It's looking like ADELEKE will carry the day o.

All the APC gangsterism has been rendered ineffective. For once, let them realize that it's the people who elect leaders and not "their corrupt political chop I chop structure".

Secondly, a loss for Tinubu in Osun state will make him take governance seriously as a precursor for winning 2027. Not that any reasonable person will want him to win though, but at least, he'll shelve any anti-people policy that he may be harbouring in mind for now.

I can't imagine the kind of dance step that our Osun-made MICHAEL JACKSON will come up with after being declared winner.

#Picks_tooth
Oga!! Politics is local whoevwins doesn't affect tinubu in anyway, it is even a bigger advantage to him if adeleke wins.......he needs that adeleke structure to help him in 27 as against the apc structure he already owns.

Aso rock is going to be the first place adeleke will visit if he wins.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 6:23pm On Aug 15
AMINDA:
The 5.6m votes that Tinubu got in the North, can he get them again? If the South are now wiser and will no longer vote Atiku, what makes you think the North are not now also wise? Tinubu does not have the South on lockdown, Obi does. The North made him President. Only about a million of Atiku's 6.9m votes were from the South. Unlike Tinubu, who's 5.6m votes out of his total 8m came from the North.
Thats where you always get it wrong,the voted atiku got in the south were pdp votes,now where is that structure? Pdp is entirely dead in the SW ......you should be more worried about how atiku can get the spread even if he wins the north which isn't possible......apc still have their structures intact and are far more stronger than they were in 23 except you want to keep deceiving yourself.

If your atiku has now started famzing adeleke again for lack of friends,you should hide your face when aso rock is the first place he visits when he wins.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 6:13pm On Aug 15
AMINDA:
But Atiku potentially has Sanwo-olu whom you lot accused to be a turncoat for not delivering Lagos and for funding Atiku's campaign. He has many more "turncoats" like Sanwo-olu currently in the ranks of the AapC whom are all looking for an opportunity to break free. Other turncoats that failed to deliver their states to Tinubu in 2023 includes Umahi, Hope Uzodinma, Oshiomole, governors of Sokoto, Kebbi, Kano, Yobe, etc.
You know zilch about politics especially SW politics.....which sanwo olu,who told he is in charge of anything in Lagos,every one is now deferring to his deputy the incoming gov... ..its you guys that were throwing up conspiracy theories about sanwolu,he doesn't have the political clout to pull up anything of such if he did he would have been found out and would have been sent packing since,Sanwo-olu that his speaker kept in his pocket.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 6:01pm On Aug 15
AMINDA:
Lol. Tinubu wants Adeleke to win yet his defection was resisted by the APC, Omisore and 6 others were disqualified for his nephew's preferred candidate, 25 APC governors are in Osun, over 15,000 security men deployed, over 60 Accord leaders detained in Abuja, over 50 persons killed. Imagine what would have happened if Tinubu never wanted Adeleke to win.
Where did you see 25 govs in osun,nah so govs jobless reach? 15k police shouldn't security be deployed to maintain law an order on election day?can you pls list just 5 of the accord members being detained in abuja?

You people sulk at propaganda and your low intellect can't even allow you string together a solid narrative.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 5:50pm On Aug 15
[quote author=AMINDA post=140342997]On the contrary. Atiku is happy to see Adeleke win. You want us to believe that the people that have withstood a federal government-backed oppression to deliver their candidate will all now queue to vote a Tinubu that sanctioned the usurpation of their mandates. Time shall tell.

is Adeleke's strong hold and its expected,it changes nothing.......atiku has nothing on adeleke,if he did he would have gotten him into the rickety ADC.........if tinubu wanted to deal with adeleke,we would have Long seen his hand as buhari did for obaseki and same adeleke.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 5:47pm On Aug 15
Svoboda:
What'd you now say about Tinubu losing his ancestral state to an almost non existent party? Don't tell me Tinubu had an accord with Adeleke or that Adeleke is endorsing Tinubu. After all, he didn't campaign with Tinubus picture.
You should be more worried atiku doesn't have that adeleke anymore,no fintiri,no diri,no taraba,akwa ibom and no el rufai to turn coat to him in Kaduna and no cabal to properly him up in katsina.......atiku is a spent force and these osun elections and fct are huge pointers in that regard.......I am still suspecting aregbesola to be a spy for the apc.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 5:43pm On Aug 15
AMINDA:
I thought governors are very influential in their states and can deliver whomsoever they please? E reach Makinde turn now and all of a sudden, he is not influential. Lol.
Whats this one saying,you are never tactful in your logic...... if govs arent influential, Tinubu wouldn't have won the election he 23,he lost kano to Kwankwaso but came second with 300% margin over atiku who is also a northerner.......govs arent influential, how did he win rivers,how was atiku able to get so much voted in bayelsa and akwa ibom if not for the govs........makinde is in a cul de sac 2 elections within the space of 2 weeks is a massive drain on him and his resources, gov or no gov you need resources to win elections and makinde doesn't have that resources to battle the apc over 2 elections within the space of 2 weeks,that alone us a huge factor against him.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 5:11pm On Aug 15
AMINDA:
Was it Aregbesola that delivered Osun to Atiku in 2023? If Adeleke has endorsed Tinubu already and Tinubu believes him, why did over 50 people have to needlessly die? Couldn't they have just reached an agreement to prevent the killings? Atiku is not counting on winning Osun and a two-horse race as the elections in Osun just turned out to be actually pays Adeleke. It will be foolhardy to imply that every voter that turned out to vote for both candidates today will be voting Tinubu in 2027. You all believe Adeleke delivered Osun to Atiku against his people's will but start foaming in the mouth when we say Seyi Makinde will deliver Oyo to himself or whosoever he pleases in 2027. Why not stand one place? Why did Sanwo-olu fail to deliver Tinubu in Lagos, since governors are that influential on presidential elections?

P.S: A lot of people voted against Adeleke out of anger that he endorsed Tinubu. Facts!
Makinde and adeleke aren't in same situation, makinde has s successor to install in his state and thats the bigger battle and the bigger price, he wouldn't be too disposed to his presidential ambition that he himself knows is going nowhere,this you need to understand.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 5:02pm On Aug 15
Truths9ja:
Esa Oke........Wole Oke really delivers......

Unit 03
St. PETER ESA OKE
Accord - 60 Vote
APC - 191 VOTE

Farm settlement
Apc 138
Accord 36

LA 2
UNIT 8
APC==178
ACCORD==81

Oja oko, unit 09
APC -288
Accord -78

Idoayegunle unit 13 ESA OKE
A p c 182
Accord 24

Unit 11 agric farm settlement
APC 138
Accord.37
ADC 3

Ward 7 Obokun, Esa-Oke
Unit 13
ACCORD 24
ADC 1
APC 182
ZLP 1

OJA OKO RESULT
APC-288
ACCORD -78
Omoh!! This results from apc are scary,though they are expected to win here but the margins are crazy......lets see what Ede North and south, boripe and obokun can throw up for adeleke,this elections will be about margins in your stronghold.

Adeleke really messed up,he isnt a good politician at all,he has too many of tbe states heavyweights against him,he didn't play is card right at all.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 4:57pm On Aug 15
Akpakomiza2:
APC needs to win big in Boripe, Obokun and Irewole to offset Efe
You are quite right because Ede North and south has a very high voting population and a large margin for accord will be very crucial.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 4:44pm On Aug 15
IamPatriotic:
This is Osun State election, where all the aspirants are from the same State and Tinubu is not on the ballot, so calm down and take it easy on yourself over Tinubu matters.
Ask him how many votes obi got for his party in both anambra and fct,where his he going to get his voted from if he could be so woeful in those elections........the way they reason even makae8a sloth look smart.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 4:41pm On Aug 15
Truths9ja:
Iwo Local Government
Gidigbo Ward 12
Unit 002

APC —128

Accord —91.

AMBO ti deeeeeeeeee

#OsunDecides2026

Copied
Apc is expected to clear iwo and osun west in general but osun central should go to Accord and adeleke musnt faill there......osun east is the real battle ground and whoever wins there wins this.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 4:39pm On Aug 15
Truths9ja:
Oba Ile, Olorunda Local Government – Ward 09, Unit 007

Total Votes Cast: 284
🟢 APC: 211
🔴 Accord: 72
⚪ ADC: 1
If accord looses olorunda,it will be very difficult for adeleke to get back,though this is just one PU.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 4:37pm On Aug 15
Truths9ja:
Governorship election - 2026-08-15 - OSUN
LGA: OSOGBO
Ward / RA: OTUN JAGUN 'A'

St. Mattew Isinmi Olootu PU
Why isn't it signed, pls stop posting fake results
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 4:35pm On Aug 15
seunmsg:
Ijesha people are really doing Adeleke dirty. Demola will be regretting fighting Fadahunsi and Wole Oke right now.
Ilesha votes and ife east where adeleke isn't expected to beat apc will be the decider and adeleke needs to do a lot of work because the results from central are really not encouraging for adeleke.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 4:32pm On Aug 15
Inspirer1:
This is flawless
Thats tinubu and oyetola's hometown
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 4:31pm On Aug 15
Truths9ja:
osogbo ward 6 unit 4
Apc 76
Accord 65
ADC 2

osogbo ward 6 unit 5
Accord 82
Apc 70

osogbo ward 6 unit 3
Accord 82
Apc 116
Accord is expected to win osogbo but apc is making a strong showing. But we expect Ede to cover for any loss adeleke suffers in Osogbo.
Politics › Re: 2026: Osun Governorship Election (Live Updates) by Lithiumite: 4:29pm On Aug 15
Truths9ja:
Ward 03 unit 14
Apc 208
Accord 43
ADC 2
Boripe iragbiji
This is oyetola and tinubu's hometown

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