Someone rigged election and he is been hailed as a master strategist. We glorify nonsense though.
raumdeuter: POL 501 Tinubu masterclass (Sparsky vs Fisher 1972) To followers of Chess, The game between Sparsky and Fisher in 1972 was dubbed the game of the century
I will use some Chess analogies to describe this historic victory of Asiwaju Tinubu
The Tinubu masterclass
Opening move decided to go a conservative Sicilian opening
In 1999 he won Lagos State governor
In 2003 when OBJ deceived all SW governors and the AD to not float their candidate that they should support him and in turn he will ensure they retain their seat, Tinubu disagreed with AD leaders on that arrangement. tsunami swept all AD governors only Tinubu survived
Queens gambit declined
He left AD, formed his own party AC and he was the only governor By 2007 to grow the party he reached out to Oshiomole offered him the AC ticket in Edo vs Prof Osunbor. Oshiomole lost Atiku and OBJ got into a fight a major fight, Atiku was in charge of PDM he was the strongest Northern politician and as the heir to Yar Adua, OBJ used YarAdua younger brother Umaru to break Atikus hold on PDM Tinubu saw an opportunity to woo a powerful politician and get on his good side, he gave Atiku a platform to contest the 2007 election obviously Atiku had no path to win. He made Ben Obi Atikus vice. They lost but Tinubus profile started rising Short side castling
He sponsored candidates in AC all over Nigeria. He brought many politicians treated badly and denied a ticket into his fold e.g Ngige Akume He brought Fashola a technocrat as governor but didn't hand over the political keys to him Fasholas performance became the standard for ACN to campaign and win many hearts across the nation Knight advance
Below is the critical part of the game which would have effect in the future
The criminal elections of 2007 conducted by Obasanjo which was reputed to be the worst election in Nigerian history handed Tinubu a huge opportunity He found an ally in Justice Salami of the appeal court who was instrumental in restoring the Oshiomole and Fayemi and Aregbesola into power AC grew into 4 states. Open file Bishop
Mimiko of Labour Party who was denied the ticket was also in tribunal vs Agagu. Tinubu approached him to provide logistic support with belief that Mimiko will decamp into ACN. Mimiko won but declined to join ACN
By 2011 Tinubu spread beyond the SW approached strong politicians who were denied a ticket or chased out of strong parties but knew he couldn't take on the FG alone at this time. He was the 3rd force in 2011
Mid game starts with slight positional disadvantage
Buhari controlled all Northern states with his new CPC, Jonathan and PDP controlled most SE NC and SS states CPC and PDP were stalemate here comes tie breaker Tinubu. Buhari in his idealistic thinking felt he could do by picking Bakare a Pastor with zero structures. He didn't agree to Tinubus terms. GEJ saw the opportunity approached Tinubu who tactically floated a dummy Ribadu and Fola Adeola(2 moslems who had zero political structures and were barely politicians) he knew weren't going anywhere. Tinubu stepped down all ACN machinery in the SW and allowed the PDP a free ride. Now he has become a major power broker who tactically made Jonathan president without appearing to. Knight fork
After winning in 2011, Jonathan started some aggressive moves to break Tinubu so he won't have to beg everytime. One of such moves was to make a SW Mulikat Adeola Speaker, Jonathan thinking was to raise a powerful SW politician that will be an alternative to Tinubu. Tinubu knew this was an act of aggression on their gentleman handshake and he mobilized the ACN reps to reject Mulikat and support Tambuwal, Counterplay sacrificed pawn to gain positional advantage
Buhari lost 2011 again and started crying on TV and was hopeless. As a man of strategy Tinubu knew Buhari was at his low and vulnerable point, he approached Buhari this time Bubu was more than willing Tinubu started the cleanup of Buhari's image from a clueless out of touch military religious extremist guy to this misunderstood charming, introvert, gap toothed, strong man that Nigeria needed at this critical time to get rid of corruption and PDP indiscipline This chess player goes into deep analysis and thinking
Thus APC was birthed with the plan to use Buhari's popularity with Tinubu's money and skilled politicking to push Buhari into power but this time Tinubu was to pick Buhari's vice. APC also won over Atiku after he lost out in PDP and breakaway PDP governors. Atiku came into the convention ground hoping to buy the ticket as usual Buhari has never done any real competitive primary in a party everyone didn't worship him. Primary ground, Buhari was stunned about how Atiku was about to steal the ticket right there with money . Until Tinubu matched Atiku dollar for dollar and Buhari won the ticket Middle game management used knight to fend off offensive
This is where the game starts getting interesting.. Now the deal was for Tinubu ACN to provide the Vice. Tinubu knew he was interested in succeeding Buhari. And giving a strong vice would build up the Vice politically over 8yrs and might build enough goodwill to succeed Buhari This was Tinubu's biggest masterstroke. He gave Buhari an Osinbajo who was smart but has the political clout of a 13yr old girl. Osinbajo was a very safe choice, he was not popular nor charismatic enough to gather the clout to state Jagaban in the face There were other options like Fashola and Fayemi but they were risky and could get ambitious and endear themselves to people Buhari asked Tinubu for 3 choices, Tinubu returned with one choice an unknown Yemi Osinbajo who will complete 8yrs and have less to nothing in political power to challenge for the seat Queen advance
Buhari won election and Tinubu is in a good position Nationally acknowledged as the brain behind the success, thus issues started cropping up, fissures grew in the hurriedly assembled APC. Saraki wanted more than he was offered and broke the party, Buharis packaging has now begun to fall off, the makeup was beginning to melt and the man behind the mascara was beginning to show and its not pretty, Tinubu was schemed out by Buharis CPC friends including Abba Kyari and ElRufai, Things were not going to plan Should he pull out of the APC, blurt out or maintain status quo and reach out to enemies The Queen beat a tactical retreat
Throughout Buharis regime, many party internal issues came up, Buhari stayed aloof, Osinbajo stayed on the fence but Tinubu dove head on into the murky waters, aggressively supporting his men, He got bruised in many places like Ekiti, Ondo, Edo, Kano, Oyo but he stuck to his men and was even rumored to be schemed out Officer exchange, Sac Bishop for Knight
Comes 2022, Tinubu has broken into the ranks of governors in his party and showing loyalty to them in times of trials won him a lot of die hard loyalists like Oshiomole and Ganduje who will lay their lives for him By now Tinubu had taken control of all the APC structures and wanted the party to go for a direct primary, Some felt there was no way they could match the network of Tinubu in a direct primary and pushed for indirect where only chosen delegates voted Tinubu called upon his network of Governors and allies when Buhari wanted to anoint Lawan, they stood up and insisted it goes to the South. He won the primary Rook to center, End game starts with significant positional advantage
Opposition started panicking, the were split into multiple factions Obi, Kwankwanso G5 and Atiku. Tinubu though weakened by many of the policies under Buhari including Cash swap, fuel scarcity, general insecurity, failing health, etc. His generals stood behind him like Allied forces stood behind General Eisenhower in the battle of Normandy in the final offensive against Nazi Germany. When the boats were rocking his Northern governors came out forcefully, He then found an invaluable ally in the G5 and Wike who was aggrieved from PDP and swore to neutralize Atiku everywhere. Late hour Wike declared for Tinubu, neutralizing an important state for Obi and Atiku Rook moves to the 7th rank
Elections are conducted Tinubu leading and appears ready to make his checkmate move on May 29 when he is expected to be sworn in as Commander in Chief
You can see it was a gradual ascension filled with scheming which he lost some but won many This man called Jagaban who many people do not like but smart people deeply respect He understands politics. He is smart enough not to fight anyone dirty thus always leaving the room for reconciliation open, the power of compromise give & take, persuasion and when to use the power of money
Most times those who fight Tinubu can only do it on the pages of paper By the time you meet him, His humor, his slow thick voice, his offer he will give you, You most likely will leave him calm and ready to compromise
Jonathan used the same strategy and failed. Instead of him to form the concentrated alliance, he kept on donating money to churches & pastors..
This elections really justified many things. Even northerners proved they don’t vote based on religion..
Country hard. Frustration dey. You dey talk say M/M tickets. Wetin concern local man with your personal religion as long as you can deliver good governance?
Northerners vote for Obi..
Adeleke used Christain/Christain ticket in osun, yet he won. Despite the state being predominantly a M state..
Ekiti is predominantly a Christian, yet they vote for tinubu..
Nigerians are religious but they don’t castigate when it comes to religion..
Please defined a state. Why is Abuja not having a Governor?
2mch: Abuja is a State like any other in Nigeria. Your Chat GPT does not know that. Lmao. Abuja does not have any special status other than it is the capital. Nothing special. Carry your ChatGPT for reprogramming and English lesson.
There can never be system change with the so called well known northerners. You see system can only be brought in by youths.
Badassniggga: unfortunately LP will never win presidency in this country if Obi doesn't team up with a well-known northerner that could pull votes from the North. If Obi like make him no team up with Atiku or Kwakwanso next election, na tears go still end am. Sad truths.
Nigeria need a new set of politicians to change that system. I think Nigeria had a chance to start that change through Labour party.
Skyfornia: The system in place in this country will never allow us get it right..
It's not about the people but about the system.. if you bring Obama down to Nigeria as president, he will still flop, likewise if you take Buhari to America, he will perform well.. cause of the system in place.
Are you for real? Hmmmm well suffer is for everyone likewise enjoyment.
GOTVee: Even though I'm a born again Christian, I will like to use this opportunity to thank my fellow Nigerian Christians for voting massively for the candidate with the Muslim/Muslim ticket. This election has proven that we Christians and our Muslim brothers are one. Peter Obi tried to divide us by running a religious campaign but we Christians stood our ground and rejected him. May God continue to bless we Christians and Muslims for bringing this renewed Hope to our great country
I wonder if Abuja indegenes ask Yorubas to live Abuja if it will be nice.
adenigga: A Nigeria man who identified himself as Prophet Godwin Ikuru has reportedly threatened Igbos residing in Lagos state Godwin, who is a supporter of All Progressive Congress (APC) presidential candidate, Bola Tinubu, asked Igbos that voted Peter Obi of the Labour Party (LP) to leave Lagos as ”it is not their land."
In his words: “All the Igbos in Alaba, all the Igbos in Idumota, all the Igbos in Lagos, as you wickedly voted for Obi, just pack your loads and leave Lagos. I’m just sending a message across to the country. If you play games against this movement, then let me tell you, I remain prophet Godwin. If not Asiwaju, there is no president, there will not be a president, Peter Obi will not be, so you better know what you are doing.
“It’s only Asiwaju that can be a president of Nigeria that will transform this country. All the Igbos that voted for Peter Obi in Lagos, pack your loads and leave Lagos, all the pastors who talked against Asiwaju in Lagos, pack your churches and leave Lagos. Lagos is not your land, leave.”
Yorubas are very intolerant people but only pretend alot, especially to northerners. They live in Abuja with no harassment but will harras Ibo traders at the slightest defeat. [quote author=ExclusiveBet post=121305880]Popular skit maker and actor, Mr. Macaroni has reacted to the report of Labour Party presidential candidate, Peter Obi, defeating All Progressives Congress presidential candidate and two-term Governor of Lagos, Bola Tinubu, in the state.
The former Governor of Anambra state polled a total of 582,354 votes to defeat his closest rival, Bola Tinubu who polled 572,606 votes.
Reacting to Obi’s victory, Mr. Macaroni stated that Labour Party triumphed in spite of the violence and intimidation unleashed in Lagos. He also said that people should know that power is in their hands.
In another tweet, Mr. Macaroni noted that the margin would have been wider if some people were allowed to vote. He further revealed that in his polling unit, 300 people were unable to vote.
Lol, stop saying trash. Ibos are not interested in being your governor, they are only interested in good governance.
latestsunny: The same mistake Afonja made by teaming up with the Fulanis in Kwara, which made Yoruba to loss Kwara state to the Fulanis till date is repeating itself in Lagos. 5years to come, non indigenes will take over Lagos and Yorubas will no longer have a say in the affairs of this state.
Osibanjo is loved in Imo than Gov Hope. Besides, if Osibanjo. Did you see how Enugu retired the present governor seeking a senetorial post? Yorubas should learn to stop showing loyalty to your oppressors.
LexngtonSteele: We are not Mumu. We never fell for that.
If it was Osinbajo on ballot... he would have come 5th.
Na people like you Reno and FFK fit fool. Not Yorubas the smartest Nigerians by far.
Ibos love competence. You had a chance to choose Osibanjo, who I am sure will go head to head with Obi in the East but you choose a man that should be relaxing and enjoying his loot.
Because you lost an election? Please have sense. And you want to win Kano? Are you not aware Yorubas, Ibos, SS and Hausas voted for LP? Why select Ibo alone to target?
Mrshocker: Igbos will be tamed in Lagos this time. Lagos have given them too much comfort.
New land use law must be reviewed for non-indigenous lagosians
Thank you OYO,ogun,ondo,ekiti,rivers and all loyal northerners!!! Oshe oloun to boju wa je.
I am sure you just a Yoruba guy trying hard to create between SE and SS.
Darren95: We told Igbo migrants In Rivers State to go to their Igbo villages and vote Obi, that we are not Biafrans.
They thought we were joking.
Rivers State has no political affiliation with Igbos right from Eastern Region Govt, we voted to create Rivers State from Eastern Region and we got it through Gowon, that is why Wike renamed Port Harcourt stadium to Yakubu Gowon stadium.
The Igbos voted Jonathan because they have no choice as they have made themselves enemies to the North and Yoruba.
The igbos thought we will vote Obi same way they voted Jonathan but we don shock them. Hahaha
Tinubu is winning Bayelsa, passing the same message to Igbos.
Politics › Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by Masterito(m): 3:24pm On Mar 01, 2023*. Modified: 9:01pm On Mar 01, 2023
Even though I'm a born again Christian, I will like to use this opportunity to thank my fellow Nigerian Christians for voting massively for the candidate with the Muslim/Muslim ticket. This election has proven that we Christians and our Muslim brothers are one. Peter Obi tried to divide us by running a religious campaign but we Christians stood our ground and rejected him. May God continue to bless we Christians and Muslims for bringing this renewed Hope to our great country 
