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Politics / Re: No Muslim Governor In SW Nigeria. by MetaPhysical: 1:29pm On Jul 17, 2022 |
PHYTECH: Please, we dont care in SW if all governors are Christian or all are Muslim. You people keep your sorry sense of religious entitlement out of our space. |
Politics / Re: Result From INEC: This Result Table Says A Lot. by MetaPhysical: 1:24pm On Jul 17, 2022 |
Presidential1: You are correct! APC won 13, not 15. The errors came from counting the blue shaded cells. Irewole LG was entered twice in error, Ife North was shaded for both parties. I can't correct the table but I edited my analysis. Thanks for pointing out. |
Politics / Re: Result From INEC: This Result Table Says A Lot. by MetaPhysical: 8:35am On Jul 17, 2022 |
tollyboy5: I posted this earlier yesterday... SW through the years 1999 to 2007 5 AD 1 AC 2007 to 2015 5 ACN 1 LP 2015 to 2023 5 APC 1 PDP 2023 to 2031 5 APC 1 PDP. |
Politics / Re: Result From INEC: This Result Table Says A Lot. by MetaPhysical: 8:31am On Jul 17, 2022 |
tollyboy5: PDP-SW are not happy with Atiku. Have you not seen what's going on in Oyo PDP? PDP did not win Oyo because people liked them, they did so because people did not like Ajimobi...and they shut his candidate Adelabu out, in addition to denying Ajimobi"s run for Senate. |
Politics / Re: "You Can Not Record Me" Aregbesola Spotted "Arguing" With Nigerian In America by MetaPhysical: 8:13am On Jul 17, 2022 |
Laws differ by state on video/audio recording of persons in US. You can record in public space but in non-public places, like restaurant, home, inside vehicle, some states want you to first obtain consent of the target. In those consent states a target must first issue a warning and say I do not consent to being recorded, stop recording me. If the recording continues a law of privacy has been breached and target may press charges. |
Politics / Re: Result From INEC: This Result Table Says A Lot. by MetaPhysical: 8:02am On Jul 17, 2022 |
tollyboy5: Osun is the only state PDP is going to get in SW. 1 Like |
Politics / Re: Result From INEC: This Result Table Says A Lot. by MetaPhysical: 8:00am On Jul 17, 2022 |
The table can also be used to advise outcomes in Executive vs Legislative relationship. What Governor Adeleke can expect 1. Osun legislature has 26 seats, only 3 are PDP. It is APC controlled House of Assembly. I said earlier APC won 13 LGs out of 30 and that even though Oyetola is defeated, he still control a lot of popularity in the state. The members will seek re-election in 2023, after the general election has held and victory declared. Relationship between Governor Adeleke and House of Assembly is going to be a delicate dance. He should not alienate the members or antagonize them. As an executive, Governor Adeleke must demonstrate plenty leadership skills and have restraints. He will be provoked...but he must respond with diplomacy. His goal remains winning legislature to his side so that his victory can last and tenure long. Based on who wins general election of 2023, Osun legislative members may find empowerement to remain in APC or defect to PDP in the short week before their own scheduled election holds. Next I will use result from Osun to forecast what to expect in general election of 2023. 1 Like |
Politics / Re: Result From INEC: This Result Table Says A Lot. by MetaPhysical: 7:36am On Jul 17, 2022 |
Here is data analysis of the table - 1. Overall, PDP beat APC by 24,380 votes. 2. PDP won EDE North by 14,328 difference. 3. PDP won EDE South by 13,734 difference. 4. APC clinched victory in 13 out of 30 LGs. PDP's margin of victory came from Ede North and South, the hometown of its candidate, Adeleke. This data show that the rest of Osun are yet to accept Adeleke. This election should have been a landslide for PDP but it wasn't...Oyetola is still very much popular. Unless he listens to the people and take ownership of their issues, Adeleke would likely be a one term governor. In contrast if he brings himself to their level and deliver results he will grow his popularity and acceptance and is definite to outperform himself in a landslide in 2027. 6 Likes |
Politics / Result From INEC: This Result Table Says A Lot. by MetaPhysical: 7:04am On Jul 17, 2022 |
This result is obtained from Channels TV. The excel presentation is not. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.channelstv.com/2022/07/17/live-update-official-announcement-of-osun-governorship-election-results/amp/
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Politics / Re: Osun Election Results: TMC Urchins Should Avoid Sniper And The Lagos Lagoon by MetaPhysical: 1:44am On Jul 17, 2022 |
Swagger, wass happening? 2 Likes 1 Share |
Politics / Re: OSUN 16/07: Peter Obi must ensure victory for Lasun Yusuf. by MetaPhysical: 1:09am On Jul 17, 2022 |
Hello Obidients, What is your take about Osun? I have seen some comments already and majority of people remain uneducated about the ballot and voting. |
Culture / Re: History Of Offa A Town In Kwara State) by MetaPhysical: 12:06am On Jul 17, 2022 |
Good history |
Politics / Re: Why I Didn’t Anoint Osinbajo Or Any APC Presidential Aspirant – Buhari by MetaPhysical: 10:51pm On Jul 16, 2022 |
frog12: Buhari's hands were tied. He is a bold and fearless man but he also has boundaries that he does not cross. 1. Selecting Osinbajo ahead of Tinubu appealed to him but it was not a comfortable line for him to cross. Choosing Osinbajo will have a resounding impact APC-SW cannot recover from but will give tremendous victory for APC National to defeat PDP hands down. Buhari love the idea of winning with Osinbajo but he will leave plenty bodies on the battlefield doing so; he backed off. 2. GEJ was not his cup of tea, interest groups in the Arewa caucus were lobbying him to bring GEJ as successor. The lobbyists will return GEJ to administration, in return he will waive probing them and also allocate plum positions to keep them in continuity and access. Pretty much a godfather role. This option was the fastest route for Presidential turn to rotate back to North. 3. Rotimi Amaechi is favored by Arewa caucus because he is a suitable conduit for One Nigeria. As a governor he bankrolled Buhari's election. As a minister he deployed infrastructural solutions to North beyond expectations. It is not hard to imagine that Amaechi as a President would deliver more largesse. He will not place barriers between North and oil fields in Delta, thus further cementing the North/South economic partnership and One Nigeria. These 3 were on his shortlist. I don't know who was the final pick on the day of primary. |
Politics / Re: Osun 2022: Governorship Election Monitoring, Live Updates And Results by MetaPhysical: 5:53pm On Jul 16, 2022 |
SW through the years 1999 to 2007 5 AD 1 AC 2007 to 2015 5 ACN 1 LP 2015 to 2023 5 APC 1 PDP 2023 to 2031 5 APC 1 PDP. |
Politics / Re: Osun 2022: Governorship Election Monitoring, Live Updates And Results by MetaPhysical: 5:46pm On Jul 16, 2022 |
onatisi: Is this not a replay of Oyo? Makinde was a political non-entity where Ajimobi stood but the mighty Ajimobi establishment was disgraced by the people. Makinde did not win Oyo, the people did. Makinde just happened to be the next person to try and see if we get it right. Very likely Osun will end same way today with Adeleke. It is reflected in my last lengthy post....why do we keep trying next guy and regretting it four years later? Reactive politics is damaging to society. Should we not proactively have set of calibrated models to weed out non-merit candidates long before primary and even election day? 2 Likes 1 Share |
Politics / Re: Why I Didn’t Anoint Osinbajo Or Any APC Presidential Aspirant – Buhari by MetaPhysical: 5:34pm On Jul 16, 2022 |
bennybuhari: Buhari is lying to his Emir. He had a preferred choice and it was not Tinubu and was not Ahmed Lawan. He had planned to bring his preferred candidate out on primary day in similar fashion that Adamu was announced as Chairman but Tinubu had planted Sanwoolu and some people into ongoing progressive governors meeting to erupt chaos if it came down to it and destabilize the Arewa plan. Tinubu also had successfully infiltrated the impenetrable Arewa caucus in the NWC. Ahmed Lawan was a smokescreen, he wasn't Buhari's choice. By announcing Ahmed Lawan they wanted Southerners to react, a second announcement from the President himself would then cancel Adamu's announcement of Lawan and throw a curveball in the responses coming from South. SS and SE will accommodate Buhari choice but SW will be singled out as trouble maker, particularly following the Emi L'okan speech in Abeokuta. Buhari's choice will receive stamp of authentication and be the flag bearer. It's a smart attempt at divide & rule. Adamu fulfilled his role in the plot. Progressive governors, led by Tinubu implants rebelled but their Northern peers begged to be allowed to approach Buhari to straighten things out. This is why it looked like their intervention saved the day. That was not the case. Buhari did not achieve his intended end goal because Tinubu representatives dismantled their plot before it had become public. 17 Likes |
Politics / Re: Osun 2022: Governorship Election Monitoring, Live Updates And Results by MetaPhysical: 5:06pm On Jul 16, 2022 |
youngestuk: 2 Likes |
Politics / Re: Osun 2022: Governorship Election Monitoring, Live Updates And Results by MetaPhysical: 5:03pm On Jul 16, 2022 |
At the end of this exercise we all must accept outcome of this election. The people of Osun have decided who will govern them in next four years. We should respect the choice they made and not ridicule or denigrate their decisions. Personally for me it is painful that we experiment every four years to test a candidate and at end of that term we are worse off with him than with his predecessor. In Osun, that was the case with Akande, with Aregbe, now people are condemning Oyetola and asking for Adeleke.....four years from now same people will condemn him. Why don't we have a template for succession between governments? So that we accept the seat as a sacred position that is bigger than its occupants and individuals seeking to occupy the seat must prove themselves far above its value. This will force parties to scout for achievers to carry their flag and compete for votes. It should not be about party or individual, the seat belong to the people and it is sacred...it cannot be bought or tarnished. A candidate seeking to be councillor must be qualified at level of a Senator. A Senator must qualify at the level of a President. A Governor must qualify at the performance level of a President. A Presidential candidate must qualify at the level of a multi national CEO. We need to calibrate a model that protects the sanctity of public office. At the current cycle, twenty two years after we began this phase, we have reduced all aspects of Nigerian democracy to commodities....sold to highest bidder. It is very sad that money was not available to pay staffers and provide quality and consistent education to University students but there is abundant funds available to pay the grounded students to sell away their democratic choices & rights. I am disengaged in the Nigerian citizenship, Yoruba Nation is on my mind. 1 Like |
Politics / Re: Osun 2022: Governorship Election Monitoring, Live Updates And Results by MetaPhysical: 4:43pm On Jul 16, 2022 |
fergie001: Thanks Sir! Please forgive me. 1 Like |
Politics / Re: Osun 2022: Governorship Election Monitoring, Live Updates And Results by MetaPhysical: 4:42pm On Jul 16, 2022 |
engineerboat:Thanks |
Politics / Re: Osun 2022: Governorship Election Monitoring, Live Updates And Results by MetaPhysical: 4:38pm On Jul 16, 2022 |
famology: Fergie001, If you want to have credibility you must report all without bias. Please, be transparent. .. 1 Like |
Politics / Re: Osun 2022: Governorship Election Monitoring, Live Updates And Results by MetaPhysical: 4:25pm On Jul 16, 2022 |
Fergie001, Thank you jare! Im following your imaged tally. Your reports are the official results here. God bless! 2 Likes |
Politics / Re: Why Restructuring Is A Fantasy! by MetaPhysical: 4:19pm On Jul 16, 2022 |
budaatum: Happy weekend! A democracy is inherently hierarchical. That is, it is structured! A democracy in defiance of structure is unwinnable. |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: No Jobs In Government Anymore, Buhari Tells Youths by MetaPhysical: 4:13pm On Jul 16, 2022 |
LZAA: 1 Like |
Politics / Re: Is Tinubu’s Wife Really A Pastor? by MetaPhysical: 4:12pm On Jul 16, 2022 |
ChoCho54: Na wah o |
Politics / Re: Osun 2022: Governorship Election Monitoring, Live Updates And Results by MetaPhysical: 4:03pm On Jul 16, 2022 |
Engineerboat, If it's not written on return report it is not official and should be discounted. All the people typing results are not qualified to report and opens room for error and cheating. Keep the thread clean. Anyone with good and authentic info should take screen shot of return and post. No other return format is acceptable. 3 Likes |
Politics / Re: Osun Election: Political Thug Arrested With Charms In IIsale Osun (Photos) by MetaPhysical: 3:56pm On Jul 16, 2022 |
It is not illegal to wear charms. What is the arrest for? |
Politics / Re: Police Arrest Eight Suspected Cultists Over Attack On Tinubu’s Convoy In Lagos by MetaPhysical: 3:49pm On Jul 16, 2022 |
deji17: Onye Isaleeko |
Politics / Re: Police Arrest Eight Suspected Cultists Over Attack On Tinubu’s Convoy In Lagos by MetaPhysical: 2:36pm On Jul 16, 2022 |
How could an event that happened in Isale Eko end up with police in Onikan? There is police in Ebute Ero, closest station to Idugaran. There is police at Adeniji, further up street. Why Onikan on the other side? What are their names? |
Politics / Re: Muslim Muslim Ticket - Any Attempt Of Protest Would Be Rejected by MetaPhysical: 5:30am On Jul 13, 2022 |
helinues: |
Politics / Re: Christian-christian: Choice Of Deputy Tears Adeleke’s Camp Apart by MetaPhysical: 5:25am On Jul 13, 2022 |
rickpat: I tell you. End Nigeria. Yoruba Nation is on my mind! 1 Like |
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