₦airaland Forum

densiks:
Akpabio showed him the blue print
It's a shame what the Supreme Court of the land has become.

shuttox:
https://punchng.com/lawans-supreme-court-victory-daylight-robbery-machina-camp/

Ofodirinwa:
Urban regeneration is created by rail. Enugu, Umuahia and Aba are what they are because of rail. Without rail, all 3 are villages. It's a vital ingredient to creating a modern city. If commerce is not traversing through a city, it will stay where it's at. Commerce does not travese through Okigwe. This rail can connect Okigwe to ports.

If I want to make cars, or heavy industry and there are No rails, I will never compete. If there's rail in Owerri I can build a plant of any sort in Owerri and transport costs disappear because I Canova bulk products to sea for cheap.

If I create bulk products and have to drive, on Nigerias roads, automatically I cannot make anything past a certain size or produce past a certain volume.

Importing things also becomes expensive. These are the real ingredients of the modern world. You don't have them, don't know. you need them, and are suffering from a lack of them, but at the same time complaining about what ia created from a lack of their existence.

Okigwe has no major commerce moving through it. Orlu as well. Owerri does and that is why it is what it is. You ppl think everything is a government project when 99% of cities are the byproduct of common business sense.

I want to build a factory that sells things overseas. The factory must have access to sea and rail. Unless I want to sell 10 cars a month

Ofodirinwa:
Imo state can easily become the strongest state, economically in the Eastern Region by doing one thing.

Imo needs to link Owerri to Umuahia by rail, and eventually Owerri-Orlu (or Mgbidi)-Ontisha

That means the flow of tge majority of all commercial activity in the SE will run through Owerri and make it (and Umuahia) the connector of SE, SS, NW, and NC. This is a larger economic net than NE SW especially if the link to PH is backed by popular seaport.

But Sam Mbakwe is upgraded to International or scaled up to house the bulk to domestic and the the but depots are modernized, Owerri could suprass every city in the region and begin eyeing Lagos.

I did the math and. Rail from Owerri to Umuahia would be no less than 29-40 million USD.


If this is done, anyone that wants to access the SS, SE, NC, NW and Chad republic markets in one go will compete to be in Owerri

FuglyGurl:
https://www.vanguardngr.com/2023/01/old-naira-notes-reps-reject-cbns-10-day-deadline-extension/

NwekereNdoki:
Myopism is why Lagos is congested and always suffering from traffic. Owerri can have a multilevel car par

ufotty2001:
Things are too expensive. See the food I bought for N500

Ofunaofu:
Peter Obi is your problem where as the Emilokan drug lord on whose mandate you stand have been wailing uncontrollably and gnashing his teeth since yesterday having realise that he has lost the election

NwekereNdoki:
Yes. They plan to complete the storey building car par

SmartPolician:
Imo State has never had a good governor since 1999. The earlier you guys realize this, the faster you start living with what those mediocres do. Even Ihedioha was another mediocre.

Imo and Abia States need an indigene who was neither born nor raised there to govern those two states. The way people think in those states is scary, to say the least.

oluseyiforjesus:
Please NL what's the benefits of Cenus, especially for country like Nigeria

grandee4u:
I just got this customized text message from census, did you receive similar message? If yes, how authentic is it because I dashed the portal to confirm if my application status has turned from pending to approved, it was still showing pending.
Urgent response, please.

SmartPolician:
How's that the fault of the guy you quoted?

Govt60:
First phase of Ekeukwu international market Owerri now operational

Govt60:
Orlu international market was also built with bricks.

Ogonimilitant:
Tinubu is finished

PeterObi4LP:
Anybody else should win except Tinubu. But President Peter Obi is preferable

DMerciful:
If the Nigerian govt isn't pretentious about solving insecurity in the SE, why have they not contacted the Finnish authorities?

PassingShot:
NORTH WEST ZONE
From win percentage of between 65% and 73% for APC in 2019, I have reduced the party's win margin to a little under 50% in 2023 largely because PMB is not on the ballot and Tinubu is not from the region. I expect Atiku and Kwankwaso to cut into APC's votes but not enough to take the region from them.

Sokoto is a state I expect to be proved wrong with my prediction, especially with the endorsement of Tinubu by the popular and powerful philantropist in person of Alhaji Ummarun Kwabo (Jarman Sokoto) who has directed his supporters and loyalists to vote for Tinubu in the state.

I expect Kwankwaso to score between 20% and 30% (Kano) across states in the NW while I expect Obi not to score more than 2% except in Kaduna (because of Southern Kaduna) where I have him scoring 15%.


SOUTH EAST ZONE
This is a region APC can afford not to hold a campaign rally and still win the presidency.

As I said earlier, I have increased the expected voters turnout in the SE by 10% in each of the five states there. This should boost Obi's performance in the presidential election, assuming that the UGM/IPOB allow voters to exercise their right. I expect Obi to nick this region ahead of PDP with around 47% of the total votes cast. The fact that PDP remains strong in the SE region, and that APC also controls two states here (Imo and Ebonyi) mean that LP will not have it as easy as social media noise is making us believe. PDP and APC have a formidable presidential candidate and also have candidates for other state and national elections there too.

I have penned down APC to score 10% in Abia, Anambra and Enugu, and 25% in Ebonyi and Imo states. I also expect PDP to outperform APC in this region scoring between 25% and 35% of the total votes. When you combine PDP adn LP votes here, you will realize the extent of impact of fragmented opposition to PDP especially.

PassingShot:
"If wishes were horses, beggars would ride". Also, it is often said that the worst form of deceit is self deceit. In about 32 days from today, reality will dawn on supporters of paper-weight politicians and they will realize that social media presence or noise does not take anyone to Aso Rock.

Even if you disagree with my political views, the fact that I have done this to near perfection in two previous presidential elections (2015 https://www.nairaland.com/2059493/2015-presidential-election-more-objective and 2019 https://www.nairaland.com/4957446/2019-presidential-election-prediction-analysis) deserves some respect. So, I will expect you to reign in your emotions while responding to this thread.

For this year's presidential election slated for February 25th, I have taken the time to diligently predict the outcome of the election. Unlike in the two previous predictions where only the two front runners were seriously considered, I have expanded this year's to four to include Obi's LP and Kwankwaso's NNPP, not because they have a chance of winning it but to massage the ego of supporters of LP's candidate and also to recognize the significant presence of Kwankwaso in some northern states.

This year's projection takes the following factors into consideration:

1. Political Structure: If there is any group of people that hates to hear this term, it is supporters of LP/Obi. Unfortunately for them, no one can win a state or national election without political structure. It is political structure that ensures that you are represented in places that matter. It is structure that makes you have a polling agent in every polling unit across the country. While APC and PDP can boast of this very important factor, LP and NNPP cannot.

2. State Dominance (number of states presently governed by a party): This is closely related to structure but it is much more. A party has a very good chance of wining the presidential election in the state it controls. Even when such party does not win it, it will have a strong showing in the election there. As of today, APC controls 21 of the 36 states of the federation while PDP controls 14 and APGA has 1. This will surely have a significant influence in the presidential election.

3. Strength/Unity of Opposition: Anyone who has followed politics long enough will easily understand that wrestling power from a ruling party at state or federal level requires a strong and united opposition. It was the absence of united opposition that made PDP rule for 16 years despite all their failings of those years. The opposition could not dislodge PDP until they came together to form what is now known as APC which is the ruling party of today. I strongly believe that for APC to lose this election or any future one nationally, it would require all of today's major opposition parties to fuse into one led by credible and trust-worthy leaders in the mould of Buhari (hate him as much as you like, most Nigerians still trust him) and Tinubu (despite your dislike of him, he remains a master strategist). Sadly for the opposition, they have become more fractionalized/fragmented like never before, now splitting their votes of 2019 into LP, NNPP and PDP. Even within PDP, they are further split into G5 that is doing everything possible to frustrate Atiku. It has always been an impossible mission for a fractionalized opposition to dislodges the ruling party, anywhere in the world.

4. Pulse of the Nation: Apart from those who are registered members of PDP and those who are very bitter about the prospect of Tinubu's presidency, majority of Nigerians are in agreement that the presidency should return to the southern part of the country after Buhari's eight years. This is the only sensible thing to do to keep Nigeria one and it is the major reason that the APC governors of northern extraction stood by BAT during the primaries in deference to Ahmed Lawan who was said to have been promoted by some cabal.

5. Strategic Campaining and Political Alignment/Realignment: We have seen how the parties have faired so far with their campaigns. It is self delusion for anyone to think that attendance at campaigns does not count for much in the election. A party that struggles to fill a 5,000 capcity venue cannot expect the same electoral outcome as one that fills 50,000 capacity venues effortlessly in most states of the country, especially in the north where the bulk of the votes are situated. To think otherwise is foolery and delusion. It is APC that has pulled most crowds at their rallies, followed by PDP. It is APC that has held meetings with strategic unions, organizations, captains of industries, etc, than any other party. All of this will not count for nothing during the election.

6. The G5 Factor: Like I stated earlier, the G5 led by Wike of Rivers is a faction in PDP. While I do not believe that their alliance with any of the other candidtaes (outside Atiku) will have a significance impact on the election, remaining neutral or uncommited to Atiku's candidacy boosts Tinubu's chances even more and gives more votes to Obi and possibly Kwankwaso.

NOTE 1: For 2023, I have added 5% to 2019's voters turnout across all states of the federation except the SE region and Lagos where I have added 10% to reflect the social media buzz and enthusiasm of our brothers/sisters from across the River Niger.

Note 2: This prediction/analysis may later be updated if there are major developments that can have significant effects on the election.

omonnakoda:
So Innoson is not an Assembly business?
Does Innoson manufacture the components of his vehicles?

9jii:
Nigerians suffering will never go in vain after all everybody will rejoice soon.
May good crippled the IPOB/Obi evil agenda of ruling over patriotic Nigerians.

Javierleon:
There was totally no need for flyover there compared to control post.
That flyover is not been used yet traffic flows well around. That priority was a stupid one.

Urheadmaster:
The entire country is in a dilapidated condition because of the leaders incompetencies in times of maintenance