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Ositadima1's Posts

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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 6:53pm On Jul 03, 2023
FLOURMILL is getting ready to break out from the 35 resistance level. It was heavily accumulated today. How else can we explain the huge volume while the price remained relatively the same? undecided

I don't know why my fair value says 68. It seems that it can still double in this market, even when people have started booking profits. Does that even make sense? grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 2:03pm On Jul 03, 2023
kalkah:
Thanks @BullBearMkt for the insightful analysis.

Please what is the TA saying about Fidson? Hold or Exit?

Thanks
I know you were not referring to me, but I am a busybody nah. Full disclosure, I captured 46% of the 55% move from this year's low already.

Based on my valuation of the company's 2022 financials, I believe the fair value of the stock is 18, so hopefully there is still 30% of upside potential.

Technically, the OBV indicator is looking up, price broke the 10 support/resistance line, and it made a new high. The monthly bars are increasing with corresponding volume. I believe the stock is not doing badly and there is no reason to sell it. However, I would like to see how it reacts to the dividend mark down coming on Friday. Overall, I would still hold the stock, but if you are inclined to sell, watch for it to close below a negative 6%, that should be some kind of warning. cheesy

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m):
BullBearMkt:
Hello everyone! I hope we are all ready for the next half of 2023.

I made a quick report on NSE market, you could explore the report that dives into the performance of the Nigerian Stock Exchange in H1 2023 and offers projections for H2 2023, mainly TA.

PLAN YOUR TRADES AND TRADE YOUR PLANS
grin grin grin grin grin
I would like to comment on AIRTELAFRI from my own point of view. The stock has been favored by investors from around June 2020 to October last year, when something changed and we started seeing pockets of sell-off on the OBV chart. It has established resistance/support around 1260/1280. It seems to me that this region will be revisited a couple of times. In fact, the stock seems to have reached some sort of equilibrium with respect to earnings.

If we assume that the 200-day moving average (MA) is a sign of bullishness, then I would say that AIRTELAFRI is not bullish, as it has remained below this level. Given that it peaked twice in December and once in August in the previous years, we may still see it move up. However, as I mentioned, the probability of it returning to the established resistance/support level is high unless it experiences a boost in earnings. My valuation, which puts the fair value of the stock at 1350, seems to supports my other views.

And of course, I added a chart to impress some people. grin cheesy

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 1:57am On Jul 03, 2023
BullBearMkt:
Hello everyone! I hope we are all ready for the next half of 2023.

I made a quick report on NSE market, you could explore the report that dives into the performance of the Nigerian Stock Exchange in H1 2023 and offers projections for H2 2023, mainly TA.

Click on this link ==> https://drive.google.com/file/d/1h2OMrTmZMH_mIYZkuNXL_82Jv8tX7BbN/view?usp=sharing

PLAN YOUR TRADES AND TRADE YOUR PLANS
grin grin grin grin grin
Interesting analysis, good job.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 8:23am On Jun 29, 2023
Coolcash1:
Well I don’t go through all this stress because I have my strategy and I religiously follow it. So, I sift through all the stocks to identify the ones with my strategy and I go for them. Talk about quality over quantity!
I like to program in my spare time and setup is done once, optimize once in a while. It's not stressful at all, because everything is automated. I even run my entire workflow on my mobile phone. From data updating to screening, it only takes a few minutes. These days, you can run Jupyter notebooks on your mobile phone. I just need to download the daily price list that Morgan sends me every day at around 3 PM. Then, with a few clicks, I'm done. If I see any interesting tickers, I can analyze them further. It's really not hard at all. That's my way shaaa.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 6:22am On Jun 29, 2023
Coolcash1:
You do not need any screener for NSE because the total number of stocks is not much, I think just less than 150 compared to US market with over 7,000. So, personally, I don’t use it but what I do is to go through all of them on weekends when fine tuning my trading strategy for the week ahead.
It depends on what you are looking for. For example, if you are looking for stocks whose RSI is below 20, or stocks that have crossed the lower band of a particular channel indicator, or stocks whose MAs have just crossed, or stocks that have achieved a certain percentage in a given month or met a certain volume requirement. There is a lot of technical stuff you may want to know about as it happens. Do you start calculating each of these things for the 150 stocks you are watching?

I prefer having a screener that I can run once a day after I have updated the closing prices. This will search all stocks and identify those that meet my criteria.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 3:03pm On Jun 28, 2023
Harvestock01:
Ellahlakes is not new entity on the NGX. It was as old as the exchange itself. It only got new funds injection with new management. It requires some patience before the benefits of the new effort and funds injection will start yielding the expected results.
What happened to the entity that caused it to stop generating revenue? I am not even talking about profit.
Programming › Re: I Want To Learn Programming. Which Language Should I Start With? by ositadima1(m): 2:58pm On Jun 28, 2023
After that you are in, happy learning.
Programming › Re: I Want To Learn Programming. Which Language Should I Start With? by ositadima1(m): 2:56pm On Jun 28, 2023
[quote author=Naanlong01 post=124084634][/quote]Once you have selected a course, click on the blue bar with "See Enrollment Options" at the bottom. This will take you to another page where you will see several options. If you want a certificate, you will have to pay for it. If you just want to follow the lectures and learn, it is free to audit the course.

Programming › Re: I Want To Learn Programming. Which Language Should I Start With? by ositadima1(m): 2:50pm On Jun 28, 2023
[quote author=Naanlong01 post=124084634][/quote]Once you've made a selection, you need to check if it is a specialization or a course. A specialization is a collection of courses that are designed to be taken together, in order. So, if you choose a specialization, you will also need to select the individual courses that make up the specialization.

Programming › Re: I Want To Learn Programming. Which Language Should I Start With? by ositadima1(m): 2:45pm On Jun 28, 2023
Naanlong01:
I have downloaded the app, as a total novice, I need step by step guide, like tutorial on where, how and what to start.

And can this be achieved with phone?
Let's say you want to learn Python, a very easy-to-learn programming language. Type "Python" in the search box and hit enter. You will see several courses, some of which are individual courses and some of which are specializations. Browse through them and select one that interests you.

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 8:24am On Jun 28, 2023
ojeysky:
Is it the same ELLAHLAKES that closed at full bid yday that is almost 4naira... How is that one penny stocks
grin grin

Isn't 4 naira equal to 0.5 pennies based on the current exchange rate or is penny not equal to one cent again? cheesy
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 7:20am On Jun 28, 2023
ELLAHLAKES has been listed on the NGX for 3 or 4 years without generating any revenue. I didn't even know it was possible to list a company that is not generating revenue. They are involved in cassava and palm oil, and this penny stock looks like it could 5x in value once they start generating profits. But until then... undecided
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 12:08pm On Jun 27, 2023
emmanuelewumi:
She can read " Beating the street" " One up on Wall Street" by Peter Lynch



101 Investment lessons from Wall Street gurus by Michael Sincere
Good Choice. grin

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 11:44am On Jun 27, 2023
emmanuelewumi:
MeezPat, would love to know books she could read in order to improve on her investment and stock valuation skills.


Kindly assist her with some of the books that made you better investors and traders
She can head to Amazon . com and type "books on investment and stock valuations" or any other query of her choice in the search bar. Books with high reviews, such as those with thousands of reviews and high star counts, are usually good. The other problem is to find the books in pdf or hardcopy. wink
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 9:13am On Jun 27, 2023
That is why I don't even value some of the quarterly financials. They are more likely to be manipulated. Caverton is an example. If you go by their first, second, third, and fourth quarter results for last year, you would be misled into believing that they made an overall profit with a positive EPS. However, the audited results showed something very different.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 8:58am On Jun 27, 2023
essentialone:
On paper, everything seems well at Unity Bank, but a worrying note from independent auditors, KPMG, on the financial health of Unity Bank should bother investors. A note from independent auditors, KPMG, has raised questions over the financial health of Nigeria’s Unity Bank. These questions became pertinent after the lender’s total liabilities exceeded its total assets by ₦274.9 billion for the full-year ended December 31, 2022. Per its financial statements, the bank recorded total assets of ₦510 billion in full-year 2022, compared to ₦538 billion in 2021. On the part of its total liabilities, the bank recorded ₦785 billion in 2022, as against ₦815 billion recorded in 2021. Analysts from KPMG wrote a note regarding this situation in its books, highlighted it as a “growing concern.”
I thought that the credibility of the financial statements lies with the auditing firms. And any wayo if found will bring serious penalties to the auditors.

Also, I don't understand the argument you are making when you said "on paper, everything seems well" and went on to quote the same financial statements with assets as 510 billion and liabilities as 785 billion. Isn't that a negative 275 billion in equity?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 12:16pm On Jun 26, 2023
kolaish:
https://www.nairaland.com/7742091/naira-devaluation-nigerian-banks-heading
Here are the key points of the article:

1. The naira has depreciated significantly in recent years, which has reduced the capital adequacy of commercial banks.
2. Some analysts believe that the new capital requirement for commercial banks could be as high as N100 billion.
3. The banking industry has been preparing for this eventuality, and many banks have already raised their capital.
4. However, there are still some banks that are struggling with capital issues.
5. The new CBN governor will have to decide whether to force these banks to recapitalize or to allow them to continue operating with negative capital.
6. Prof Uche Uwaleke, an economist and professor of capital market, kicked against regulatory induced recapitalization of banks.
7. He said there are other workable options, such as mergers and acquisition or via the stock market.
8. He said the argument for banks recapitalization is like saying the country’s GDP should be rebased simply because of the naira devaluation.
9. He said the CBN can use incentives to encourage banks to recapitalize.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 7:00am On Jun 26, 2023
Afromentalist:
Hello, thanks for your answer. I actually was not in for a dick contest , hence I appreciate your answer.

Since the Jim Simons topic has already been raised in this place a few times (and I always remained silent) let me use the opportunity to address it.
I am sure you would not take financial advice from someone who has never had any financial breakthrough. Similarly, you cannot make any credible statements about technical analysis (TA) because you have never practiced it. If someone like BBM comes here and says TA is "shìt" after using it for years, then we should listen. This is simple logic.

Simply reading about something does not make you an expert in it; you must practice it or you will be left with an illusion of knowledge, which can be even more dangerous.

By the way, Jim Simons was a very successful technical trader even before he started Renaissance. There are many biographies about him on the internet. Thank you. wink
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 8:33pm On Jun 25, 2023
Afromentalist:
No naira 25 Millions. I actually own about 80k in Euros but Some of it I dont count, because I invest on behalf of my wife.

This is excluding Real estate and Private ventures.
You are doing well. cool
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 8:29pm On Jun 25, 2023
emmanuelewumi:
Naira equivalent, i guess
Ok,

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 8:23pm On Jun 25, 2023
emmanuelewumi:
There must be regular top up to the portfolio, through dollar cost averaging. It works like magic, i have known him for over 10 years on Nairaland


I actually opened my first Stockbroking account with N5000 ( Five Thousand Naira) at Amyn Investment 18th floor Stock Exchange building Lagos.


Prior to opening a stockbroking account, i had bought shares through the primary market
$25 million shocked

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 7:35pm On Jun 25, 2023
Afromentalist:
I hate technical analysis with passion. To me it looks like well packaged Bullsheet. I am very certain some exceptionally talented people do make serious money with it, but I tend to believe the average Joe shall only lose money especially in the Long run (just like gambling).

I know traders here will disagree and I beg to be corrected but pure technical analysis looks to me nothing more than gambling with complex theories.

I might be wrong though.
grin grin grin

To go from 100k to 25 million is a 250-fold increase. To achieve this, you would need to compound 100% annually for 8 years.

That is greatness! grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 11:07am On Jun 25, 2023
Agbalowomeri:
This requires too much time and energy for me. And comparing the performance with simpler strategies, one would wonder if it's worth it
I am also interested in learning about simpler, profitable trading strategies. I already use a buy-and-hold strategy with some stocks, so it doesn't count.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 11:00am On Jun 25, 2023
Agbalowomeri:
This requires too much time and energy for me. And comparing the performance with simpler strategies, one would wonder if it's worth it
That's why I leverage my Python skills. My Python scripts do the heavy lifting for me, so I only need to consider the tickers that it spits out and decide whether to allocate or not. cheesy grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 10:54am On Jun 25, 2023
Streetinvestor2:
You are very correct. I did my findings on chams and discovered the service they sell is something that is profitable and demanding in the future. I adviced my wife to go for it since she was interested in kobo stock.That is the only kobo stock that has caught my attention, lol.She could not get 10m of it at her targeted price till it went above 30k.She is now interested in buying stock since I have been preaching about it for many yrs because I told her my div for last Yr and what it has grown to this yr

You will do very great with your maths background and dedications to find out. We have strong thing in common but won't say it...osita ta dimma
cheesy
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 10:34am On Jun 25, 2023
emmanuelewumi:
Identifying such stocks on a consistent basis is the koko.

An investor with a N50 million and above portfolio won't do that. If not his portfolio will evaporate. I will recommend having 2 Stockbroking accounts for such people. Maybe having about N5 million to N10 million in a different account for speculation and trading
It is hard, I know, but I believe that stocks do not just move randomly; they give signals ahead of their movements. If you can decode these signals, you will be correct 70% or more of the time. There will be times when the signal is incorrect, and you will enter a trade that loses money. This is where good money management comes in. You need to have a plan for how much you are willing to risk on each trade, and you need to stick to that plan.

In addition to decoding signals, you also need to have a way to look for signals for all the stocks at once in parallel. This is where a stock screener comes in. A stock screener is a tool that allows you to filter stocks based on a variety of criteria, such as price, technical indicators. By using a stock screener, you can quickly identify stocks that are showing potential trading signals.

Then, you need to do your due diligence before entering any trade. This means understanding the stock's financials to some extent.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 10:04am On Jun 25, 2023
emmanuelewumi:
We have people here who been investing and trading for almost 20 years, who have committed more funds to the market who don't have that portfolio size, due to trading and investment mistakes, following Monkey Hunters, hot stocks, investing without knowledge and information, following their Stockbrokers recommendations not knowing that they are only making money for the Monkey Hunting Stockbrokers
Trading can be very profitable, even on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX). I have posted evidence of this here before. Every single year since 2012, there have been more than five stocks that have returned over 100%. If my memory serves me correctly, I will check my previous post to confirm.

Patience, good screening, and good money management can yield at least 30% to 50% returns every year on the NGX through trading. However, capital also matters. I believe that anything more than 5 to 10 million naira will limit the number of trading opportunities available. There is not much liquidity in many stocks.

I think I am doing well for my self, but not significantly. I know that I will get there with continuous refinement and experience.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 9:29am On Jun 25, 2023
emmanuelewumi:
Do you know that an investor who does not like risk who invested 200k per annum in a fund growing at 10% for the past 15 years would have compounded his investments to N7 million. 10% is a highly conservative return ooo.


Yet we have stock market investors who invested more than that for the past 15 years who don't have a portfolio of N6 million.

Now imagine if the fixed income investor increased his or her annual investments as his income increased over the last 15 years. Or invested N1 million per annum in the last 15 years

Consistentcy and investing in what one understands is very important.

Reason why some average investors have built a nine digit portfolio over their working life ie 25 years to 30 years. They know the importance of compounding and diversification in Investment portfolio growth
My own na to do the math. If we assume that an investor puts down an additional #200,000 at the beginning of each year and reinvests the returns at a 10% annual rate, the first #200,000 will be worth #835,000 by the end of the 15th year. The second #200,000 will be worth #759,000, and so on. The total value of all the investments after 15 years will be #6.98994 million. But 15 years far sha. cheesy grin

Education › Re: Evolution: People Then And Now(Funny Photos). by ositadima1(m): 7:01pm On Jun 24, 2023
MeezPat:
Is investing.com free for TA
It is free to register and to do your own analysis. But, if you want their FA and TA analysis, you will need to pay.
Education › Re: Evolution: People Then And Now(Funny Photos). by ositadima1(m): 6:11pm On Jun 24, 2023
MeezPat:
Pls can you assist me with materials and tools for technical and sentimental analysis...
The video is in an Indian accent, but it is understandable. Start with these and if you have issues let me know. Happy learning.

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