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Ositadima1's Posts

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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 6:28pm On Jun 14, 2023
AllBusiness:
So how do i invest my N4m now? I only have stanbic IBTC money market fund
Bro, you're late to the party! I recommend buying Dangsugar stock without hesitation if you can get it at todays close or lower as it still pack value.

I bought more of it this morning when it was selling below yesterday's close. Some people were even lining up to buy it at a lower price, but I didn't waste any time and bought it at 22.85. By the afternoon, it was in full bid. Even if the market is red tomorrow, you can still keep the stock and collect the dividend.

The dividend payout was just 33%, meaning that they only paid out 33% of their earnings. Dangcem pays out more than 80% of its earnings, so it's likely that if Dangsugar's earnings continue to grow, the dividend will double or more. Of course, you should still do your own due diligence.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 10:51am On Jun 14, 2023
yMcy56:
Well done sir... smiley

UBA : Full bid @11.95.....
ACCESS: 15.70...

ZENITH don vex finish! @33+ shocked
Where is your son of a Buffet. Let him come and see o. cheesy
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 8:08pm On Jun 13, 2023
locodemy:
Oga Emma, is Loco a stock marketer?
Lol. wink
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 2:11pm On Jun 13, 2023
IHelp:
2024 target surpassed.
Thanks to the loan taken. Everything just working according to plan.
Time to move paper profit to cash
Thanks to all the OGA wey dey here
Now is the time to use technical analysis more than ever to know when to exit. I think the market may continue like this for a while, but it could change if Mr. Tinubu comes up with an unlinked policy or if the scheduled meetings on the 19th turn out unfavorable.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 1:49pm On Jun 13, 2023
100M don turn 140M. cheesy
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 1:46pm On Jun 13, 2023
Lion123:
Up 40% on ACCESS. 15% on UBA. Hashtag grateful.
Today! shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m):
lipsrsealed
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 1:31pm On Jun 13, 2023
toyeoye:
Excitement is too much angry angry angry
My portfolio is up 5.53%, but I don't feel anything. Most of the stocks that are driving it up are long-term investments and dividend bearing things, while my trading stocks never mature well. undecided cry
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 6:29pm On Jun 12, 2023
In other news, the high volume of trading in UBA suggests that the bears will be defeated soon and the stock will be allowed to reach its rightful price. I believe that prices of 13 and 14 are possible. angry
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 6:08pm On Jun 12, 2023
BullBearMkt:
Institutional investor often buy in tranches which amounted to huge volume. That's an indicator of something fishing...
grin grin grin grin grin
The stock needs to increase its earnings to be at par with the increase in ordinary shares from 2.28 billion in 2021 to 5.99 billion in 2022. Although their share capital and share premium were boosted by more than 4 billion naira, I think it is better to wait and see how they will put the extra funds to work.

Based on their audited earnings, my fundamentals indicates that they are very overvalued at the current price. However, a sharp trader may be able to make some money given the recent surge in volume. I will pass on this one. cheesy
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 4:48pm On Jun 12, 2023
Harvestock01:
They are processing a full banking license.
Is there value in acquiring it? Despite the large volume traded, the price has not moved significantly.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 4:10pm On Jun 12, 2023
I don't know if I'm seeing this correctly, but NPFMCRFBK, which normally averages about 20 to 10 million naira per month, traded 372.4 million naira only this month. Why is there such a big difference? shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 12:28pm On Jun 12, 2023
YoungBuffet:
Oga face your warrant oooo I never complained to you and more over this is a SM nothing like creating panic nothing like panic what will be will be oil will tank I still maintain my stand on that and many will end up having lots of monkeys in their bags so don't direct anything to me am not creating any panic and if I want to join the bull u are talking about I would have since and still have 40% returns on my investment but am not interested so forget about creating panic. I Never directed what I said in particular to a particular person so face your bull ooooooo
Have you taken a short position on crude oil? grin grin grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m):
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 1:19pm On Jun 11, 2023
nenergy:
In Zimbabwe, a man appeared and announced to the villagers that he would buy monkeys for $20.00 each.

The villagers seeing that there were many monkeys around, went out to the forest and started catching them.
The man bought thousands at $20.00, and as supply started to diminish, the villagers reduced their effort.

He further announced that he would now buy at $30.00. This renewed the efforts of the villagers and they started catching monkeys again. Soon the supply diminished even further and people started going back to their farms.

The offer increased to $40.00 each and the supply of monkeys became so little that it took so much effort to even see a monkey, let alone catch it!
The man now announced that he would buy monkeys at $100.00! However, since he had to go to Jo'burg on some business, his assistant would now buy on his behalf.

In the absence of the man, the assistant told the villagers, "Look at all these monkeys in this big cage that the man has collected. I will sell them to you at $80, and when the man returns from the city, you can sell them to him for $100.00 each." The villagers came together with all their savings and bought all the monkeys. Then they never saw the man or his assistant, only monkeys everywhere!

You have just been given a free lecture on how the stock market works!!!

Source: https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=1110261612317992&id=100000024921401
cheesy
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 11:39am On Jun 10, 2023
YoungBuffet:
Bro let me shed little light on this, our current budget is pegged at $75pb so if oil tank to let say 60$pb and was sustained for long time like 6months then then FG will have deficit in the current fiscal year and if it tank further more heat for government to embark on more borrowing to meet up with their fiscal responsibilities. Now as regards it effects on NSE it will not be felt if the price didn't go down well like 50-30$pb and when price gets to that level NSE will feel it irrespective of N3 paid by zenith Bank. How? Now most tier one banks gave out loans to oil and gas industry based on the fact that oil prices would be stable and if oil goes down well and stay there for a while then fears of NPLs hit the market especially the banking sector then investors start selling as it happened before I think around 2016. Part of oil and gas loans is affecting FBN till date, UBA has given loan to TE for his oil well and transcourp oil well then when oil tank proper and stays there for some time then fears of getting money back set in. Another case is Oando that got massive loans to buy ConocoPhillips assets thinking oil price will continue uptrend but tanked and the price has not gotten to that level again when they took the loans. Another aspect is FPIs, if oil revenue dropped there will not be dollars for them to repatriate their gains cos as they come in they are also wants to be sure they can repatriate their gains back and they know is only oil that we have as major source of our revenue so as it drops it sends red flags to them. So forget about N3 dividend when everything scatter no one cares about they dividend again except we of small money. Oil will tank I still maintain my stand on this. China data is weak as regards their economy so the demand from them is low Saudi cut production yet Brent is struggling hard to rise now if US lift sanction on Iran to sell their crude then SS outweighs DD forcing price to go down. My own level is $45-40 before it rise back
I doubt that the USA wants to crash the price of crude oil. If they did, they would have taken that approach to hurt Russia and Iran. The USA is also the largest crude oil producer in the world.

Regarding Iran's crude oil production, Iran exports crude oil to China, rebranding it as crude from other countries to evade sanctions. This is why, despite the sanctions, Iran is still doing very well. I heard that they unveiled their own supersonic missile last week.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 8:20pm On Jun 09, 2023
yeddy99:
Who is afraid of generational low?
Let it come.
It is even the best time to hammer on the floor.
Borrowing is not my thing. I would rather manage the little I have than borrow. It is my personal philosophy.

However, if Zenith Bank's stock price goes back to 11, I will take out multiple loans, big time. grin grin grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 8:10pm On Jun 09, 2023
lipsrsealed
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 8:03pm On Jun 09, 2023
aremso:
If access move well be that if not back to your tent o Isreal. UBA can't move alone wtout access and if we have global financial crisis again then it goes lower lows.
Everyone is talking about a global financial crisis. My question is, since it is global, will it start in Nigeria ni? Won't it first manifest in foreign markets before we feel the effects here?

That is how one particular individual is always posting about a generational low. Will this low start with the Nigerian markets ni? I am confused o. grin grin cheesy
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 7:57pm On Jun 09, 2023
BullBearMkt:
@thesilentone, your analogy is totally different. NSE is local and it's priced in Naira from day 1. Anyone that is interested in investing in NSE must have account in Naira irrespective of where he/she resides unlike commodities that are priced in USD and traded on Naira platform.

Some of my concerns are:
- Exchange rate risk: If the value of Naira depreciates against the USD, the value of your investments will decrease even if the commodity (for example gold) prices remain the same.
- Inflation risk: Naira often faces higher inflation rates compared to USD. This will also erode the real value of your investments over time.
- Lack of Local Regulation: My major concern. Since there is no regulator of commodities in Nigeria, the broker will be at liberty to misbehave. Nigeria SEC only regulate brokers on NSE, outside this, you are on your own! But a broker in regulatory environment will be cautious in cheating.

These are my personal opinion and should not be construed as being against anyone trading commodities with any Nigerian broker.
grin grin grin grin grin
Sometimes I feel like I write too much, so I limit my posts. I am a naturally quiet person.

I wanted to reply with the same premise as yours. The fees will include exchange rates, Morgan's, and the direct brokers. Unless you are a very skilled trader, the fees will hurt you more. My thoughts. grin grin grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 6:13pm On Jun 08, 2023
123ABCXYZ:
Does technical analysis actually work for Nigerian stocks? The pullback strategy is often very effective in liquid markets especially if built into a robot but one cant say about Naija.
I believe that the same fundamental rules apply to trading regardless of market. I have observed a few patterns. When the market favors a stock and it begins to rise quickly, especially with heavy momentum, pullbacks are typically caused by people taking profits. After the pullback, the stock often continues to rise. I think the 10-day moving average is a good measure of strength, and a move of 40% or more is a clear signal that the stock is not kidding.

However, it is important to do your homework and make sure that there is enough liquidity (with respect to size of your stake) before making a trade. This is because liquidity will help you get out of a trade quickly if things don't go your way, and help you minimize losses.

All of this is just theory, as I am still testing a few things.

Regarding using robots, our current set of stockbrokers do not provide APIs. I once considered building the entire trading interface with Selenium, but later decided that it would be too much work and prone to errors.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 2:24pm On Jun 07, 2023
wink
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 9:37am On Jun 07, 2023
I am looking at a trading strategy that I am calling the "Second Missionary Journey" or SMJ for short grin cheesy . It requires at least two moving averages (MAs), the 10-period and 20-period MAs. We are looking for stocks that have moved sharply upwards, in technical terms they have maintained their closing above the 10-period MA. We want them to have made at least 40% since they started. Next, we wait for a sharp pullback. Very often, it will crash below the 20-period MA. We want to enter when it crosses both the 10- and 20-period MAs and the 10-MA is above the 20-MA and looking up. We can enter earlier in some cases if we are confident in the stock.

If we did our homework well, we should be riding the stock as long as it maintains above the 10-period MA. If we made some good gains, we can consider selling half our position and use the 10-period MA as a trailing stop for the remaining half. You can add other things to improve accuracy. A lot of stocks I tested conform to this behavior.

Be aware that this strategy is not foolproof and that you could lose money. grin grin grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 7:16pm On Jun 05, 2023
BullBearMkt:
...It's interesting! I would love a situation whereby every assertion is supported by data, explaining your thinking process why you think oil will tank to $60 or thereabout.

I agree with @YoungBuffet that oil can dip despite OPEC cut looking at technical data, but we all will learn if you can buttress your opinion with data or why you think a certain asset can rise or fall.

Just my opinion though.
grin grin grin grin grin
I am not an expert, but I understand that the price of commodities is heavily influenced by supply and demand... of the commodity unlike stocks.

The United States and some European countries are facing economic challenges, but the Chinese economy is recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic. I feel it offsets major demand fluctuations.

On the other hand, Russia, Angola, and Nigeria are not producing at full capacity, and OPEC is reducing production. This decreases supply.

If crude oil prices were to fall to $60 per barrel, it would be due to an unforeseen event that will not show on your chart. grin grin grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 2:23pm On Jun 05, 2023
YoungBuffet:
Opportunity now to buy more of uba and zenith for second batch.
Is crude oil still headed for $65 per barrel after the recent OPEC+ cuts of 3.66 million barrels per day? I'm sure your indicator saw that coming. Do you think it will still hit that price soon? How soon? wink
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 4:40pm On Jun 04, 2023
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 4:35pm On Jun 04, 2023
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 3:54pm On Jun 02, 2023
lipsrsealed
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 3:50pm On Jun 02, 2023
lipsrsealed
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 3:43pm On Jun 02, 2023
lipsrsealed
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 3:20pm On Jun 02, 2023
Streetinvestor2:
No one is right or wrong when it has to do with this business. It is only Mr Time that decides that in future.
You did not answer my question, sir. I place a weight on every piece of information, so your answer can help me adjust the weightage I have assigned. grin grin grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 9:31am On Jun 02, 2023
aremso:
Though I don't know who you were referring to but this is not Oracle!
lol, it is YoungBuffet. grin grin grin

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