₦airaland Forum

Lol!

Am I the only one who thinks this was arranged?

BATstards are now doing arrangee street poll to give the false impression that northerners want to vote for Tinubu.

Idiotic fools!

ignis:
If Wike endorses Tinubu, and Tinubu wins, will that still be the end of his political career? Especially if he fully defects back to PDP later.

Atiku was once in APC, remember.

Amaechi, Akpabio, Okorocha, Ogbonnaya Onu, Nwajiuba, etc, all worked for Buhari who won.

Where are there today?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F-liC51Vsv8

A video has emerged of crowd waiting at Tinubu’s gate on Christmas Eve.

If the society was good. If there was no social inequality in Lagos that has left so many people pauperized, you wouldn’t have this multitude standing in queue waiting for crumbs from a politician’s table.

This people weaponise poverty so that the poor masses can easily be swayed with ordinary food during elections.

Anybody who can be patient and stand in that crowd waiting for his/her turn, can do anything including submitting his/her voter’s card if that’s what it takes to get something from there.

We can’t continue like this.

Nlfpmod
Mynd44

DSS will not invite this one now, but rather choose to be running after Emefiele who is just doing his job to help make Nigeria a better place.

Ndi ala!

FakeIgboJew:
Foolish osu post.

Same southern Kaduna people whom despite all the appointments given to them by GEJ towards empowering them still turned around and voted Buhari and El Rufai in 2015.

Have you forgotten how GEJ made a southern christian governor by choosing Sambo as his VP making his deputy governor , a southern Christian the governor.

What happened to that christian governor ? Was he not killed by same fulani for being a southern christian ?

The reasons why southern Kaduna people voted Buhari and El Rufai according to friends I have from that region was to avoid a repeat of the killings that greeted GEJ wining Kaduna state from southern votes in 2011.

You will recall that southern Kaduna witnessed major killings by fulani terrorists when the 2011 elections were announced.

If you think they will risk voting an osu to have their villages leveled again , then you are really naive to what drives the voting pattern in Kaduna south. It's down to pure fear of fulani killings.

So, if they voted Buhari in 2015, why are they still being killed?

Is that the way to tell them thank you for voting Buhari?

Naijalarry:
I doubt Wike will endorse a Muslim Muslim ticket he criticized in this video.

Wow!

I heard that he said this but I didn’t watch the video to actually hear his wordings.

I think his direction is becoming clearer.

Aiel123:
Well,what do you do when you're disadvantaged?
The scenario you pictured put me among the minority so even if we vote for 'our savior', what difference will it make? Remember M/M ticket in Kaduna 2019 and El'Rufai still won with about 190k votes to spare.
Southern KD voted overwhelmingly for PDP and even polled about 500k votes but still it was as good as nothing as northern and central Kaduna neutralized what PDP polled in southern KD. If PDP with all it's structure lost in 2019 in Kaduna despite m/m ticket then you'll see that the template can be replicated nationwide.
A workable solution will be to choose a national party that's has a spread that is the lesser evil...I mean PDP governered KD and the scenario in today's Southern KD wasn't the same in PDP government.


You see

Are we talking about Governorship or Presidential election here?

ogmask:
Ortom don show us wike direction be dat. How a gov became PA to a fellow gov still dey wonder me.

Are you in pains?

Hope it’s not sifia?

Please don’t consume Rataki o!

You need to be alive to witness Peter Obi’s swearing in and his wonderful government.

Lol

There was a Sun News Report around November that the G-5 have split into two of Wike and Makinde in one camp and Ortom, Ugwuanyi and Ikpeazu on the other hand.

The report said Wike and Makinde want to work for Tinubu while Ortom, Ugwuanyi and Ikpeazu are more favorably disposed to working for Obi.

I knew from the very start that Ortom will never ever work for Tinubu with his Muslim Muslim ticket; Benue situation is very sensitive and delicate for him to try it.

In same vein, Ugwuanyi and Ikpeazu who are both Senatorial candidates in Southeast will dare not say they are supporting Tinubu over Obi; that will be the end of their ambition.

So, I’m not surprised Ortom is endorsing Obi; as I won’t be surprised when Wike endorses Tinubu.

But endorsing Tinubu will be the end of Wike’s political career.

Let him try if he dares!

joyandfaith:
If majority NE and southern Kaduna Christians voted gej in 2015 , Buhari wouldn't won. Northern Christians have the numbers, they also breed like their Muslim counterparts. If Obi wins NC, he would emerge winner.

What you need understand is that in 2015, the happenings around the country and APC propaganda made most Nigerians tired of the Jonathan government and genuinely so.

So, you wouldn’t blame the Northern Christians who voted Buhari in 2015; some southern Christians did too.

But the dynamics are different for the 2023 elections.

Aiel123:
He is no fool.
Christians would still vote Tinubu and AA likewise their Muslim counterpart voting for PO.

Lol!

Thank you for fighting for me

joyandfaith:
Christian population in the NE is about 30% with concentration of them in Adamawa and Taraba. Southern Borno and Bauchi have concentration of Christian too. Gombe and Yobe are predominantly Muslim states. Even Gombe has reasonable population of Christians. Many woud vote for Atiku just as many Muslims from the region would do, others for obi.
It is reasonably to assume that obi would get 10 to 15% votes from NE.

Tell them!

I think their mistake is that they just lump the people in the region together and assume they are all Muslims because they are ‘Northeast’ and therefore they will vote for a Muslim candidate.

They do not know some other regional exigencies that pervade in the area; that these guys are not homogeneous.

asanausana91:
Hahahaaaa �. I can't stop laughing, so Obi will get up to 10% in north east? Whare is he getting the 10%?

ANAP poll said he did 8% in the northeast.

I know you don’t like to hear ANAP poll because it didn’t say what you like to hear but it is the authority we can refer to, for now, as far as the 2023 presidential election is concerned.

Now, add about 2% to Obi from a whopping 38% who are undecided and another whopping 24% who refused to declare their intention and you have your 10%. And you and I know that 2% deciding to vote Obi out of 62% is very much practicable, isn’t it? About 10% of that number might even decide to vote for him at the end of the day.

You wonder where the votes will come from? Taraba, Adamawa, Southern Bauchi, Southern Gombe and Southern Borno. I know you will doubt it now, but February will clear your doubt.

Aiel123:
Truth is I won't vote for any of the aforementioned...if I'm in such situation. Inasmuch as I loathe them,I wouldn't want to waste my votes casting for someone who lack the geographic spread to win.
Bro, sometimes things don't just go the christians/Muslim divide.Take for example,Benue witnessed a huge massacre prior to the 2019 election but still voted Buhari massively who ended loosing to AA by just 7k
Also PDP is almost seen as a party of christians giving they usually win christians dominated areas but down south and north,an act which is not static.

So you won’t vote Atiku nor Tinubu because you are not sure they will guarantee the killing of your people…

And your alternative solution is to refrain from voting at all because you think the next candidate who is sure to guarantee your safety and safety of your people does not possess the ‘spread’?

Is that how you solve your problems?

Tinubu will win Kano

Googledotcom:
After all these, he will step down for Atiku at the last minute. We know his game plan already.

If he does that, nobody will ever take him serious again like Tambuwal.

Or you don’t know that Tambuwal has made his political future very bleak especially as the national politics that involves the south is concerned.

Tell them to vote for Tinubu or Atiku and they will be fine.

Tell them to remain disunited and never vote for Peter Obi, you hear?

They are slaughtering you guys and una still gather mind dey disunited. What is stopping you guys from killing anybody that is showing even an inkling of loyalty to your killers?

You guys are not angry enough yet. When you guys are angry enough, we will know.

asanausana91:
you need to use your brain. Any zone with the highest voters will decide this election.
The north west is having over 22 million voters and 70% of them usually vote.
The south east only have 10 million voters and only 29% of them come out to vote.
The north west will decide the winner.
Mind you, even if the turn out in the south east is 100% they cannot come near the 70% of North West.

Lol!

Let’s do some little mathematics using your own percentages and statistics…

Northwest has 22 million registered voters. Supposing they are able to do a 70% voter turnout, they will produce 15,400,000 votes. Now, divide 15,400,000 into 3 gladiators jostling for the region’s votes, that’s 5.1million for each of the gladiators. But let’s suppose Atiku will win Northwest by about 70%. 70% of 15,400,000 is about 7million votes. So let’s say Atiku wins your almighty Northwest with about 7million votes.

Now, let’s go to Southeast…
There are about 10million registered voters. Let’s suppose there’s about 60% voter turnout from the zone and not the 100% you said. That will be about 6million votes. Out of that 6million votes, Obi is likely taking about 5.7million votes or 5.5million votes at worst. So Obi wins the Southeast with about 5.7million votes.

Now, calculate the percentages that Obi will do in Southsouth, North Central and Southwest and even in Atiku’s Northeast and see if your confidence is not standing on a shaky foundation.

samunaka:
So in your own thinking 99% of Christians will vote for Peter Obi and 99% Muslims will not vote for Atiku, or better still as you have said the south east and south south is on lock down for Obi and we up North will not lockdown North East and North West for Atiku, February is very close my brother as you people have always been saying there will be suprisses in this election, a real surprise awaits you,

Lol!

If you had little foresight, you would have realized that the problem is that there are 3 strong Muslims jostling for the votes of Muslims. The most Atiku will do is to get about 50% of those votes while Tinubu and Kwankwaso will share the remaining 49%. This is a fact you can’t dispute.

So how do you compare 3 Muslims jostling for Muslim votes to a single Christian jostling for Christian votes in a country where Christians and Muslims are almost of equal numbers?

drlateef:
Its very interesting to see your parochial religious assessment of Peter Obi’s chances in the northern part of Nigeria. Just few days ago, all northern Christian groups, including the 19 northern CAN branches have all decided to vote Tinubu. Go and watch the video on Youtube. It was held in Kaduna around Thursday or Friday. It’s going to be a massive shock to you and other religious bigots hoping for a win for Obi based on religious sentiments.

Lol!

You mean Tinubu’s usual Christian group abi?

Rented group without a name.

No serious Christian will vote Tinubu. I tell you that with authority.

Aiel123:
How many christians have you interacted with that made you allocate christians votes to PO?
I mean NC,NE and NW zones.
Penguin2

I want to ask you a simple question…

If you were from Southern Kaduna, and about 40 persons from your place were massacred and not a word from either the Federal Government or the State Government all led by APC…

Would you vote same party in an election or vote the senior brother of your killers who is most likely going to continue to shield those killing your people?

I just read the Thisday appraisal of the 2023 elections and their claim that Northwest is the battleground or would determine who becomes president and couldn’t help but shake my head at their clear mischief.

But I know what they are doing… they are trying to water down the effect of recent ANAP poll which projected an Obi victory as against the candidate of the owner Thisday/AriseTV Media Group which is Atiku Abubakar.

However, it is so appalling that a media platform like Thisday will deploy its platform to sell a clearly skewed narrative with no iota of reflection on the reality on ground.

For a better understanding of the reality of the 2023 elections, let’s do a very quick and brief appraisal of the different geopolitical zones in the country and how they are likely to vote to better understand why Northwest is not the battleground that Thisday claimed.

ANAP polls and other reputable polls, and reality on ground, has shown that Peter Obi is poised to sweep Southeast and Southsouth.

Now, because of Christian sentiments and the continued massacre of the people Middle Belt, these people are now understandably leaning towards an Obi candidacy which is why analysts have rightly predicted Obi to win the North Central.

Then add the votes Obi is clearly going to get from other Christian areas like Taraba, Adamawa, southern Bauchi, southern Borno and Southern Gombe in the Northeast; and southern Kaduna and southern Kebbi in the Northwest, with the votes he’s likely to get from all the states in Southwest, and you see clearly why Obi is poised to win the upcoming election at first ballot except you want to lie to yourself.

Because the truth is that whether by Obi’s making or by chance, 99% of Christians in Nigeria has taken the upcoming election very personal and are now sentimental about it.

Now, this is clearly in contrast to Tinubu who as of today is realistically only sure of votes from Southwest states and maybe Borno and Yobe in the Northeast, and Zamfara and Kaduna like Thisday rightly said.

Then there’s an Atiku who has realistically been restricted to some states in Northeast and some states in Northwest while he’s hoping to get some fraction of votes from some Southsouth states which is even looking bleak for him, because nobody talks about Atiku down South.

Kwankwaso is a Kano candidate so talking about him is an unnecessary waste of time.

So, with these things I’ve said here which are very practical and factual, tell me how the election is too close to call.

So, my conclusion is that Thisday is just being mischievous and running away from obvious truth and reality that is staring at them, like most Nigerians who are still stuck in the old ways of doing things but sooner or later, they will all come around and accept reality.

fergie001:
My list plenty ooooo... Lol

Eaztzide geestunnar andrewfarms ghettokid1 angelfrost fuckingmallam45 ebukahades10 gbest90 Wordson crazygod kyase ray07 redblood01 dfrost lamasta chikason22 Oludharay rodwave Playermaker1 Sammy07 openmine numerouno94 silentgroper vickyrotex SamuelAnyawu engineerboat robosky02 oluDharay
mangekyoalt paulolee Ojeemah Playmaker1 egusishankly athemisia ojuntana yomi1504 obembet jasonscoolari freestuffsng odewaleadesoye aiel123 johnnyessence ejimatic agberagbaoye jokerman nwanyiogwashi odinga1of garfield1 saintkeppy aaa593 righteousness2 gloryhomemaker penguin2 vicdom naptu2 clockwisereport manna (Seun & his mods)



Some other omissions, make una no vex ooooo

Awwww!

I made this my chairman’s list.

Thank you baba. I appreciate the recognition.

But you promised me appointment if NOI became WTO DG and you never fulfill am

Lol

People in Southeast and Southsouth may reconsider their support for Peter Obi but not people in Plateau, Benue and Southern Kaduna.

To those guys, it’s existential; a life and death something.

A Tinubu victory will embolden their Muslim killers.

An Atiku victory will embolden their Fulani killers.

Only a Peter Obi victory is sure to guarantee their continued existence on the face of earth.

That’s why even APC and PDP have both accepted that Peter Obi will win Plateau and Benue.

But Tinubu brainless and idiotic BATstards are too daft to see beyond their noses.

ScamHunter:
Peter Obi will win

Abuja
Nasarawa
Benue
Plateau
Taraba
Imo
Abia
Anambra
Ebonyi
Enugu
Rivers
Cross River
Edo
Bayelsa
Delta
Akwa ibom
Lagos
Osun
Ondo

20 out of 37

Bola Tinubu will win

Ogun
Oyo
Ekiti
Kwara

4 out of 37

Atiku Abubakar will win

Adamawa
Zamfara
Kebbi
Katsina
Niger
Kogi
Yobe
Borno
Bauchi
Kaduna
Gombe
Sokoto

13 out of 37

Rabiu Kwakwanso will win

Kano
Jigawa

2 out of 37


Peter Obi will be elected

Lol!

Remove Taraba, Nasarawa, Lagos, Ondo and Osun from Obi for now.

Though Lagos and Taraba is winnable for Obi but make we no count them for now.

You are right about other states.

9jii:
That the most presidential thing Obi ll ever get in his life.
He should print this frame it and hang it in his bedroom. That's it for him and nothing more.


Sai Tinubu
Sai Nigeria
Sai Buhari
Chai Ipob!

Lol!

Sanwolu was begging APC Stakeholders in Lagos West not to betray Tinubu…

What does that tell you?

It tells you that Sanwolu is already confirming that the north has betrayed Tinubu and even other trusted allies. So Sanwolu was now begging Lagos West stakeholders not to betray Tinubu too. Lol.

Tinubu will dropout of the race latest January

These are times you wonder if the man in Aso Rock is truly Buhari or is in charge of his government at all.

Who are these guys taking orders from?

In what seemed like a subtle endorsement and for the first time he was doing it, Former President Jonathan tweeted about his reception of the presidential candidate of the Labour Party, Mr Peter Obi, and the Labour Party crew.

Nigerians have been reacting to the post and what they think it signifies.

Recall that the running mate to the PDP candidate has visited Jonathan twice to solicit his support but Jonathan has not thought it worthy to post about it; but did with Obi’s visit.

What do you think it signifies?

Today I received in audience members of the Presidential Campaign Council of the @NgLabour led by its presidential candidate, Mr. Peter Obi.

I reiterated that to move Nigeria forward, we all must see it as our own country and believe in the unity of the nation.

Whoever becomes the next president must work towards uniting the nation .

I also stressed on the need for a credible election and urge the Labour Party and all other parties and their supporters to conduct their campaigns peacefully.

- GEJ

https://twitter.com/GEJonathan/status/1606362922724343808?t=vuX4ZsSXHLhG7N6ejeBg9w&s=19

For those who don’t have time, don’t bother yourself to read the jargons they wrote here.

They are attacking Emefiele.

Corruption is fighting back.

Fools who claim they are popular and can win elections are afraid to go into election without money.

But they will fail.

Udom Emmanuel, you still have time to become Obidient and Yusful.

You did creditably well in Akwa Ibom. Don’t sully your image with wrong association.

Mandate2023:
Strictly for VIPS


obiDENSE over to u guys to cry as usual

Lol

So things have gotten so bad to the extent that you guys now celebrate Tinubu snapping pictures with Buhari?

Eyaaaah!

How are the mighty fallen ?

Zakiman:
U Should know the (Winter) was a typing error, clearly I intended to write ( Winner) Not knowing the Automatic spellings has changed it to ( Winter) instead of ( Winner) Meanwhile, Continue to Deceived yourself thinking Obi will Win BENUE, PLATEAU and ABUJA. Most of u small Political analysis just jumped into the tarrain and begin to do plus and minus in this Elections due to the coming out of Obi in LP, but not knowing Politics is a (SCIENCE). Do u remember the SCIENCE which was (PLAYED) To that Ranter Called (NYESON WIKE) By Aminu Waziri Tambuwal? Same thing will be applied in the General Elections which 99% of u guys knows nothing about. I WILL ADVICE ALL OBI SUPPORTERS TO JUST CONCENTRATE ON SELLING YOUR OKRIKA SECOND HAND CLOTHES AT ALABA MARKET THAN CHOCKING YOUR MOUTH IN THIS POLITICS.

The autocorrect saw what is coming for your sickly Tinubu and his APC and that’s why it corrected you and put the right word.

Winter is coming for Tinubu and APC.

Meanwhile, I asked you a simple question that you could have answered with less than 20 words but you chose to write an article but still didn’t answer my question.

Just drawing conjectures while claiming to be scientific.

I’m being practical, realistic and empirical with you now and instead of you to do the same by practically providing answers to my questions you resorted to speculations and conjectures.

Where’s your science?