₦airaland Forum

Dmano:
So he has this influence like this in kano state he couldn't win his senatorial seat in kano,Abi you guys forgot that he was a PDP senatorial aspirant in 2019

That was because Buhari was contesting in 2019. No matter how influential Kwankwaso can be in the north, it is not to the level of Buhari; at least for now.

But the projections people are making now is because Buhari will no longer be on the ballot in 2023.

Localemperor:
My bad if the word sacrilege offends you. The US politics is different from how Nigerians play their politics.

There’s no difference per se.

Those differences exist only in our minds.

Nothing at all should make Kwankwaso feel he’s too big to deputize someone who has been a governor for 8 years and an accomplished businessman.

Is it because Kwankwaso was a Minister? Well, Obi was chairman of SEC.

Or is it because Kwankwaso was a senator? Does it look to you like Obi wouldn’t have won a senatorial election in Anambra if he wanted to go to the senate?

donbrowser:
When we talk about electing visionary leaders, some people think it's all about dishing out statistics and speaking grammar.

El-Rufai was able to think outside the box, he thought of how to generate more income and brought the idea of a dry sea port. First of its kind in the country.

Now to Obidients, can you mention one significant thing OBI brought to Anambra?

Remember Kaduna is a landlocked state and wasn't a former capital.

I'm here.

This early morning?

Obi must have been tormenting you in the dream.

Nawa o!

See Kwankwaso leg for outside…

All Kwankwaso needed to do to get close to presidency was to humble his stupid self and become Obi’s running mate, but the fool felt too big than himself.

Now, look at the chairman of his party and deputy gubernatorial candidate of his party defecting to APC in his own region; what a mess!

This is something that has not happened to Obi anywhere in the entire south. Guess who the bigger politician is now?

Please, I advise Emefiele to disregard this court order and remain in hiding until after the elections.

No be today EFCC and DSS don dey disregard court order.

Emefiele can take 3 months vacation and attend to his health abroad until March 1st, 2023.

Mad fools said they have structure but are now running helter-skelter.

Ndi ala!

LegalWolf:
You always compare orange and cassava/agbado ALL the time!

Lol!

It’s because I really want to have a sneak peek into their brain to see how they reason and what always makes them think Kwankwaso is too big to deputize Obi.

Localemperor:
Its would have bring him closer to the Presidency no doubt. But it is also a sacrilege for Kwankwaso to be Obi Vice, that is how Northerns sees it. He can be vice to Orji Kalu or Tinubu but not Obi.

He has this feelings that he is bigger than Obi.

Sacrilege?

I don’t think I’m comfortable with your choice of words.

When Joe Biden became running mate to Obama who was Obama?

Obidient4life2:
Sitting Governors lose election, so what makes you think the case of Ifeanyi will be different?
Between Ifeanyi and Obi who do you think commands more followers in terms of the presidential race!
We are not talking about governorship election, we are talking about presidential election!
The entire South is enlightened! Osibanjo has shown that the VP position is a useless position in Nigeria so don't think that the VP slot will make any difference. Meanwhile, Ifeanyi is an under performing governor. If it was Wike, he can pull bigger weight in his state.

Lol!

That’s what they don’t realize.

If a sitting governor can lose his re-election bid, then Okowa can lose Delta in the presidential election and he would.

But you won’t blame them because they have never left their region to understand what is on ground in other places.

Raheeqilmaktoom:
There are many politicians he can pick from those regions, and with the right incentives, he will get enough to push him over the line.

If he succeeds in making himself a mini Buhari, he may not need more than 4m votes from the south and by picking a strong person from there especially SS, he will get those votes.

If you were Kwankwaso’s strategist, would you advise him to plan on probables rather than what is most likely?

Raheeqilmaktoom:
The south is vast you know. SW, SE, SS.

Yea, it is.

But do the calculation, if Tinubu wins (God forbid), Shettima will have the Southwest as his ally in the race to succeed Tinubu after 8 years or 4 years as the case maybe.

So, the only fallow region would be Southeast and Southsouth. With Tinubu completing his likely 8 years, no southern region can aspire for the presidency and Kwankwaso would hope to align with the Southeast and Southsouth while Shettima is aligning with the West.

Have you now seen why Obi’s victory is the best for Kwankwaso if he ever wants to become president? He may not like Obi or want him to win but that’s the unfortunate reality he has to face.

blamingthedevil:

Iaughable…

I came here expecting to see sea of people in a rally for Tinubu only to see that you guys are rejoicing because of an individual.

I thought you guys would have learnt some quality lessons from Anambra election where you bought even a sitting deputy governor but still came third but I guess you have to learn few more lessons before you finally learn your lesson.

Localemperor:
From inspection, How many VP has succeeded in becoming the President? None. You know why? The VP position makes you dormant, quite and slow. If you decides to be active, you will be labelled a rogue and too ambitious. Janathan was dormant until the death of Yar'adua, Sambo was quiet and he still is, Osinbenjo was there by proxy and when he decides to be ambitious, he was called a Judas.

I’m afraid to admit that you are right.

The Vice Presidency position renders someone redundant and inactive.

If he stays loyal, he’s almost forgotten, if he tries to be too active, he’s labeled over ambitious.

But no matter how you say, I still insist that aligning with Obi would have brought Kwankwaso closest to his ambition.

Yampotatocarrot:
Truer analysis. You are very correct, Kwankwaso does not have the disadvantage Osinbajo had

I believe Localemperor is also correct in his analysis, however he miss the point where Kwankwaso needs a southern connect to actually make it

Exactly!

He needed a southern connect.

And he also did not manage the entire situation very well that he ended up making enemies for himself in the south. But I know that doesn’t change anything as long as he remains popular in the north.

00FFT00:
If the above were to be Kwankwaso's intent, the only outcome that will give traction to that strategy is a Peter Obi win. Why?:

If Atiku were to prevail in February, power would go back to the north for another 8 years and the calculative date of return will be 2039. How old will he be at that time?.

If it is Tinubu, Shettima will be a semi-incumbent when power goes back to the north in 2031. The northeast will argue that they have not had it, and it is their turn.

That said, the only scenario Kwankwaso can benefit from is an Obi win without him being seen to be an accessory. I'm not sure that we can convincingly say that Kwankwaso is actively working for LP. An Obi victory will reset the playing field in favor of the north in 2031 and present Kwankwaso with a front-row seat.

At this time, what I see is NNPP looking to ingrain itself as a regional political powerhouse in the Northwest, first by taking back the Kano government house, then looking to expand from there.

You are right.

The truth is that Kwankwaso might not like or want it, but if he’s being reasonable, only an Obi victory will favour him as things stand.

No political calculation or strategy guarantees otherwise.

Localemperor:
Honestly becoming a Vice president, does not really position one for the presidency. Power is taken, you need to be in the opposition to radiate.

Kwankwaso would have lost a lot of supporters and influence if he had agree to be VP to Obi.
I still believe he made the best choice.

You have a point.

With what he’s doing now, he’s gathering more supporters to himself which increases his popularity especially in the north.

And yes, becoming Vice President does position someone for the presidency; if anything, it brings you closest to the presidency.

Atiku would have succeeded Obasanjo if he wasn’t greedy and over ambitious.

Jonathan succeeded Yaradua; though we can argue it’s because of death. But death is part of the calculation.

Osinbajo wouldn’t have had any opposition in the race to succeed Buhari if he wasn’t a featherweight; a disadvantage Kwankwaso doesn’t have.

Localemperor:
This analysis is purely my opinion and what I think he is trying to do.

Kwankwaso is not contesting to win the election next year,but he is trying to use the Buhari model in the north.

Did you know how many times Buhari contested before he was able to annex the 12m northern vote? Despite being former head of state, Buhari had to rally round North 3 times before he got it right.

Buhari becoming the most powerful contender in the north was because of his consistent hunger for power. Over years, he made the people rally round him.

In 2015, Tinubu saw that the fastest way to get the presidency was to cut shot the reign of Good-luck Jonathan, because if he had allow Jonathan to rule till 2019, then power moved north, it's would take South another 8 years (2027) before power returns and by then he ( Tinubu) would have been too old to contest, so he got his calculation well by saving 4year.

When Tinubu looked North to find an alliance, he went to no other person than Buhari who already is the biggest power house in Northern Nigeria, and the rest they say is history.

Now this is exactly what Kwankwaso is trying to do in a lesser time. Kwankwaso want the presidency to go South, any body that win between Tinubu and Peter Obi is a win for him. You will also agree with me that this is Tinubu and Atiku's last chance at the golden egg and when Atiku is out of the way in the North, who do you think his supporter in the North will rally round ( Mind you, Kwankwaso already have massive cult-like followers in Northwest).

When Atiku is gone and the South has ruled and when power returns to the North, who do you think would be the most likely to succeed?

Under the Nigerian standard, he can still vie for the presidency at least twice before he retires.

What I'm trying to say is this, since Atiku has lot his block vote in Southeast and still having issues with the G5. He has no base in the South because Tinubu owns the Southwest and majority of the SS states will be fest for all.

Kwankwaso is planning to disrupt and divide the Northwest vote and with this, were will Atiku get his votes from? Northeast can not win the election for him.

Kwankwaso is a visionary and futuristic politician

What do you think..

You made sense.

It is in Kwankwaso’s best interest that a southerner wins the 2023 presidential election so that he can stand a very bright chance in 2031.

But he miscalculated big time by refusing to align with Obi, if not, the election would have been over.

However, you are wrong that Southsouth is a fest for all. Southsouth, like southeast, is Obi’s stronghold.

Reno Omokri is pretending to have information he does not have.

Nobody among the G-5 has spoken to anyone; so nobody can claim to know anything for sure.

Meanwhile, the G-5 cannot endorse Tinubu with Ortom, Ikpeazu and Ugwuanyi there.

Ortom just told Nigerians few days ago that Obi is the best thing after fried dodo; how is he going to come back to Nigerians and campaign for Tinubu to us?

And if you think Ikpeazu and Ugwuanyi will declare for Tinubu, then you don’t know nothing about Southeast.

SilverOrLead:
And it pains you igbos to remind you of your boundaries .

Good.

That means my request to Seun is valid.

How is Ogbomoso this morning?

SilverOrLead:
It has been over 50ys that regions were abolished but inky the old eastern region remains in the eye of the storm over Igbo persistent attempts to annex it.

Just as we have the Fulani under Buhari restarting the jihad of Uthman din Fodio deep into the so-called pagan regions of the middle belt, so also are the Igbo bent on getting back their handed down colonial eastern region. A region that was the least harnonios compared to other regions in the south (western and Midwestern) over Igbo domination and margilaozation.

Igbo arrogance saw to both Benue province opting to be included in the northern region and also saw to western Cameroon leaving Nigeria to avoid them.

Can the igbos here deny that there was no attempt by the so-called minorities to leave the eastern region ?

Can the igbos, who have constantly mocked the SS people since the war ended, dismiss the overwhelming support given to Nigerian federal troops during the war ?

Why then do you still insist we are a part of you and your Biafra ?

Has it crossed your minds that we have our own agenda separate from being under your vassalage ?

This arrogance and belligerent nature towards appropriating the SS as part of Igbo land must stop.

Enough is enough.

You are a Yoruba man that is pained that Southsouth people are unwavering in their support for Peter Obi.

Your intention is to cause division between the two regions so that Southsouth will vote Tinubu instead of getting annexed by the Igbos.

If I ask you who you want Southsouth people to vote for in 2023, who would you choose for them?

vengertime:
From now till the year 5050 and above we and the South East People will always come as a block.
It's better for the SW people to allign with us now that the middle belt people are now on our side.

Nairaland owner can't do anything for you. You better get out of this Nairaland for us.

Ignore the idiot.

You should know he’s Tinubu supporter pained that the Southsouth seems to be unwavering in their support for Peter Obi.

Ignore him

mrvitalis:
Truth is obi can over them control of the national assembly ...this is something neither PDP or APC can offer

Obi is not a politician that drags party structure he just want to serve and go home which is why I was angry with kwankwaso ...Peter obi is not a politician uncle just want to serve ... kwankwaso would have been in absolute control of the party structure

If the G 5 endorse Peter obi ...then obi has shifted from top contender to the candidate to beat

He would sweep South south minus Delta by 80% minimum , even Delta 50% sure for am

South east swooping would be absolute and total

With wike financial war chest ...45% of middle belt is sure and 40% of south west is sure

Still think money need to be thrown in southern brono, gombe , Bauchi, yobe and Adamawa ...to see if 2 can give 25% ...taraba and Kaduna is very very very winnable absolutely

Everything you said is right except that I’m not hoping on Obi to win Kaduna. If he can do 30%, that’s huge already.

Again, I think with Emefiele’s policy, if it survives, money might play less prominent role in the 2023 elections. So, Wike and co don’t really need to deploy any financial war chest, just their structure.

Obi will win next year election at first ballot.

Two days ago I raised some reservations about Thisday report that claimed Northwest region of the country will determine the winner of next year elections.

Today again, Thisday went brazenly illogical with what it called its poll.

I don’t want to bore you with the details of the poll as I believe you must have read it, but I just want to point out what is an obvious lie and misinformation.

First, Thisday distractly reduced Obi’s likely percentage in the Northeast and apportioned it to Kwankwaso.

But what is most brazen is in giving Kwankwaso a whopping 15% in some Southwest states while giving Obi only 10%, and I’m tempted to ask how?

Personally, I stay in Lagos, and I can tell you authoritatively that Atiku and Kwankwaso are inexistent here; anyone else who stays in Lagos can verify this claim.

Now, can those staying in Ogun, Ondo, Osun, Oyo and Ekiti, confirm to us that Kwankwaso is existent in those states so that we can know where Thisday’s percentages for Kwankwaso is coming from?

If you ask me, I will tell you that this is the lowest of lows that any Media Platform can go; even Nations can’t be this stupid to claim Kwankwaso will get more votes than Obi in some Southwest states.

Please can someone confirm?

garfield1:
So ortom and ugwuanyi are stupid for supporting obi? I thought igbos are wealthy and hardworking,how can ouk buy a whole senatorial zone.you no get talk oh

How did you deviate from all the questions I asked you and talked about a different thing altogether?

You haven’t answered me the ruling of Appeal Court on the Akpabio and Ekpoudom case.

Is Chimaroke an APC senator?

garfield1:
Until supreme court decides,akpabio remains candidate sir.akpabio still remain heavily popular.ouk,nkiru onyejeocha,,chinedu ogah,omo agege,hon Alex egbonna,sen chimaroke,sen degi are still in power and much loved

What was the ruling of the Appeal Court in the case of Akpabio and AIG Ekpoudom?

Meanwhile, Chimaroke is a PDP senator that has never supported Buhari nor APC until his recent found stupidity around Tinubu.

OUK keeps succeeding because he has bought everyone in his constituency; he is to his constituency what Ekweremadu was in Enugu West.

Omo Agege and Chinedu Ogah are touts with no electoral value beyond their immediate constituency. Same with every other name you mentioned up there.

Munamoqel:
ibo woman why are you mischievously interest in the differences in the North .why not concentrate on the destruction ipob and ESN is doing in the east . your fake concern for the southern Kaduna people is fake and poison . you and you clowns candidate are business trying to exploit the crisis for political Gain .this has been the Igbo man tactic since Independence .you and your cohort Will never succeed .the southern Kaduna man knows you sudden fake concern is political and the Igbo man doesn't care if the whole North burn he can even supply ammunition . sadly southern kaduna tribe also have Muslims even the deputy Governor is a Muslim from southern kaduna .there are plenty Muslim non hausa in jere and gwari and kataf even nenadi Usman .so keep calm been is not only christain that are from southern kaduna as you may wish to exploit

Since the first attack in Southern Kaduna, Benue, Plateau and other Christian areas in the north around 2016 or 2017, the Igbos have been the loudest in condemning what is going on there.

Secondly, go to Kafanchan, you will see Igbo men electronics and spare parts shops everywhere. These are people that would want peace to reign in Southern Kaduna so that their business can thrive. And if there are our brothers doing business there whose businesses are affected by the insecurity, then the Igbos genuinely want peace to reign in Southern Kaduna because the businesses of our uncles, brothers and cousins are being affected. And those being killed are their customers.

It is the same way Igbo businesses are littered everywhere in the north even in Maiduguri.

Now, tell me a Yoruba man’s investment in Southern Kaduna for instance and why Southern Kaduna people will think the care of the Yorubas is genuine while that of the Igbos is fake?

another1:
Na G5 sabi
But wike must allow Atiku to campaign freely in Rivers State.

Or what?

Mystic216:
Atiku should count this period as his worst, all these G-5 could have been campaigning for him now if not for his selfish and bigoted life
Why can’t you stick to agreement and lay off Ayu? You refused because you have started nepotism even when you are yet to be elected.
You are from the north, Ayu is from the north. Why can’t you practice an inclusive culture, why not divide the work
You won the primaries, let the party chairman come from the south, you refused. Now a whole 5 governors are working against you. Atiku and TINUBU are just wicked greedy and selfish politicians

Obi can’t behave this way
May God give us Obi

You don’t understand the game.

The G-5 are never going to support Atiku whether Atiku steps down or not.

They are asking Ayu to step down so that they can get a better grip of the party and mess Atiku up from the inside.

Atiku and Ayu and other northerners in PDP know what Wike and his men wanna do, and that’s why they don’t want to let Ayu go; because it was the same game they played against Jonathan.

NigerianAngelo:
Jonathan Asake (LP) (former LG Chairman, Former HoR member and former Lecturer) is Gubernatorial candidate there, and he will win.

Your assertion is very much possible. You know why?

Because this time there are 2 Muslim candidates from the north that are likely going to share the votes of Muslims in Kaduna.

So all the Christians in Kaduna need to do is to vote in one direction for the LP guy while hoping to get some fraction of Muslim votes too, through the influence of his running mate, and he could be victorious.

seunmsg:
APC will definitely win Edo north.

Watch the video and see what an embarrassment it was.

Oshiomole might come a distant 3rd or 4th sef.

Dem no send him papa.

Oshiomole lost his people the day he chose to associate with Tinubu and APC. His political career is dead.

Very pathetic!

Jostoman:
Where is the shutdown?

Same question I wanna ask…

Where is the shut down?

Cuz I’m seeing empty chairs and empty spaces everywhere.

I’m sure Oshiomole never believed a day like this will come; when he will be contesting ordinary senatorial election and he will be sweating through his pants.

But lemme shock this fool and all APC BATstards… Oshiomole will lose that election.

Ndi ala!

Modified: I just watched the video to see what an embarrassment it was.

Oshiomole walked into the venue in the company of some paid ragtags were the only ones shouting “senator, senator…” the rest of the audience was unmoved, as if nothing happened, as if it an ordinary choir master that walked in.

Chai! Na Oshiomole be this?

garfield1:
Amechi controls rivers apc,was minister of transportation and made billions than he could have made under pdp.he is among buhari best appointees.akpabio was made niger dekta minister and controlled nddc with billions.he stepped down for tinubu and must have collected millions.he is going back to senate and maybe senate president.what would pdp have offered him?
Okorocha won a second term, got to the senate and would have gone higher if he managed his relationship with uzodinma well.his problems is not tied to buhari but with trying to impose uche nwosu.
Ogbonnaya onu and nwajiuba have been with buhari ever since 2003 and buhari made them ministers.if they went to pdp,they would never have been recognized in their states.say something else

First off, Akpabio is not a senatorial candidate in the upcoming election; Appeal Court ruled in favor of his opponent. And even if he was senatorial candidate he would still not win because he has lost the people.

You should have asked yourself why almost all the politicians from Southsouth and southeast who supported Buhari seems to have gone into oblivion. Do you think it’s mere coincidence? Or you don’t see because they lost the people the moment they chose to support Buhari?

None of these politicians can win an election in their constituency. Isn’t that pathetic?

Kingpin1000:
You know it is Obi's campaign that is losing steam. The last campaigns in River and kogi were disappointments. Obi needs the endorsement of all G5 governors. Yes He'll still loose but He will definitely loose but give Tinubu's APC a stronger hand and the suffering will continue. Labor party is cannot win this election let's be fair to ourselves but can do so in some couple of elections if they keep the momentum and not change the labour flag to IPOB flag after 2023.

Obi will lose to who?

Tinubu? Or Atiku?

The Op is right. Even the press seems to be deliberate about their reportage of the electioneering campaigns. They seem to have abandoned Atiku and are only reporting Obi and Tinubu.

PDP shouldn’t have swarm against the tide.