₦airaland Forum

jamafa:
Stop joking, if eventually dey emerge, dey will take power from Obi.

Obi no too sabi like that

Obi needs loyalist, not someone that will take power from him.

Rufai is smarter than Obi

Joke taken too far…

Obi that single-handedly defeated all the godfathers of Anambra politics no sabi like that?

I laugh!

That feminine voice of his must be deceptive

garfield1:
Oga, El rufai has not been tested electorally outside kaduna so you cannot over rate him.anyone that struggles to win his state cannot win outside.el rufai has never liked tinubu and he never hide his hatred.their romance was just for a moment and ended immediately.
Many northerners despise El rufai for his role in that suite massacre...badaru,wamakko delivered their states despite atiku being stronger there.
Shettima has large influence in yobe,jigawa and parts of Bauchi,the kanuris are rallying around him

Until 2023, Kwankwaso was not tested electorally outside of Kano.

Kwankwaso struggled to deliver Kano in 2019 and couldn’t.

So, if we go by those parameters, then Kwankwaso is equally not different from El Rufai.

Mrexcell:
Obi will definitely loose his cult followers in the south and north central if he ever accept such ungodly offer both men don't even have same political ideology so I wonder how such combo will even work?

The truth is that it’s dicey.

There’s a lot of pushback on the idea from a lot of Obidients.

I don’t think it would work.

garfield1:
When I told you that Alia will help tinubu win in benue,did you agree,so why are you agreeing now? Does that not show you how good I am at analyzing and why you should stop arguing blindly.

How many political posts favour the masses? Does that stop the masses from following the politicians? Did buhari govt favour the north.tjis thing is not about favouring the masses but having a sense of belonging and not feel marginalized.everu tribe wants to have their people at Abuja whether it favours them or not.
The tivs have been frozen out of national politics for years and idomas are the ones enjoying so now that they are there,they are grateful afterall they expected nothing.the tivs do not seem to like SE from what I am seeing.upon all the killings under buhari,did buhari not almost win benue? You still don't understand how voters reason...
Bayelsa was not rigged,I told you that obi worst performance in ss will be from bayelsa and aks.tje ijaws don't seem to fancy your area and the obidients fire never penetrated there.diri is somehow close to Tinubu so expect same narrow and useless result.even if obi wins CRS,it will be lower and meaningless.he will still lose aks by a bigger margin.if okpebholo wins,APC will get more support in esan thereby weakening obi.
The rigging in rivers really discouraged rivers voters and fubara is currying tinubu support.obi may still win SS but it will be meaningless.outside Lagos,obi will be buried as usual plus the core north.obi can not recover the deficit with the 5 SE states which tinubu can even supprezs

You say these things because everywhere is still quiet because it’s not election time yet.

When election time arrives and this hunger everywhere hasn’t subsided, you will see that Tinubu will be scorched out of Aso Rock and no rigging will help him.

I’m sure no Imam would be stupid enough to still preach the gospel of M.M ticket to northerners if he doesn’t wanna be unfortunate.

So, while I admit that a lot of things might still happen between now and 2027 to change the variables of the polity, I posit that most of them will work in Obi’s favour than they would in Tinubu’s.

Tareq1105:
I thought obidients labelled hell Rufai as a terrorist?

It's like it's easy to get the support of obifools. Just insult Tinubu mother then you have become an Obidient.

Funny people everywhere.

Yes.

Now can you insult Tinubu’s mother and become the next darling of Obidients?

donbrowser:
How much has Obi's beer factory generated?

Go and check Anambra’s balance sheet and see how much dividends they get from the factory at the end of every financial year.

Meanwhile, Umahi is our second choice after Peter Obi because he has maintained some level of decorum and maturity in rolling with the APC unlike the letter writing fool in Anambra who thinks he is wiser than every Igbo man alive.

DMerciful:
Obi pairing with either of these betrayal and extremists is risky o.

Unless Obj/Sultan broker the agreement

You should know that it’s OBJ that is drawing El Rufai to the Obi ticket.

You and I know that ordinarily El Rufai wouldn’t wanna work with Obi. Just like Obi wouldn’t wanna work with an extremist like El Rufai.

But Obasanjo is a boss to two of them and they can’t say no to what he says.

It’s Obasanjo that will now bring other northern establishments on board too, add the little influence that El Rufai has on his own too.

garfield1:
Oga that's not true.el rufai is not grassrooted,he rode on buhari popularity to victory.yes he might be popular among some aristocrats hardliners but not the talakawas.

He failed to deliver kaduna when needed and struggled to deliver his son and Uba sani.even in 2019,he struggled.the real strong man of the north apart from buhari is kwankwaso,look at how he cleared Kano.wamakko,badaru,yari,shettima are stronger.atiku power is mainly due to the party he contested.put kwankwaso under pdp and see him sweep the north..El rufai is overrated

You see I rated Kwankwaso above El Rufai because Kwankwaso is clearly above him when it comes to popularity and all.

But I beg to disagree that after Kwankwaso anybody else comes above El Rufai.

How many votes can Wamako control outside of Sokoto?

Where is Badaru known in the north?

Aside Borno, where else is Shettima known?

Yari is an expired Zamfara jihadist.

You can be realistic than this. Or you are now belittling El Rufai because he has fallen out with your lord and saviour?

ChiefOloye:
No, but according to you, it's Peter Obi that's abandoning Datti, to replace him eith El Rufai. Una just dey uselessly desperate in search of power...

Like Tinubu was when he aligned with Buhari and was crying to be his running mate abi?

Frigga13:
Listen good ..
Free and fair of all fair conducted by best of humanity
Obi will lose ..

He will lose and still lose ..

Obi will only win .. when he’s contesting with him self or someone of no intend and character.

Keep telling youry What you wish to hear ..

Reality is different ..


You can stake you money on it ... if care not take. .. soludo will get it before Obi..

Yes..


I’m telling you nigeria reality and not your wish

Obi is a deep religious bigot..you guys are clinging to him because you think he’s the best of igbos ..

Wait make another Igbo with credibility among this politicians comes up against Obi.. Na when you go know say .. is on his own ..

You see Kanu and Ekpa.. you believe if kanu comes out tomorrow Ekpa will join him7

You just understand reality.. a lot is involved and interest from so many quarters .. when it comes to regional politics you obidients are playing

Truth will be bare .. unclothe..

It’s so nauseating that despite everything you see around Obi, you are still labouring so hard to restrict him as an Igbo project even when you know he’s not.

Obi’s popularity is not because he’s Igbo but because he’s the best Nigerian alive.

Or which other Igbo with your so called integrity will come and dislodge Obi?

Soludo that has damaged himself in Anambra and in the entire Igboland forever? Who will vote for him? Besides, what has he done in Anambra?

Or is it Umahi? What integrity or capacity does Umahi have to be rated above Obi by anyone in Igboland?

Or are you talking about an Igbo politician that is not yet born?

I think I’m just wasting my time with you sha.

Because I remember you swore Atiku was the next president after Buhari, where is he today?

You swore Obi will lose Anambra, what happened?

Now you are back to telling me how Obi will not win Southeast again while northern powerbrokers are already aligning with him. And you want me to take you seriously?

garfield1:
Ask the average north central person,most of them are warming up to tinubu.as the core north are complaining,it is favouring the north central same way gej and obj did..the appointment of CDS from southern kaduna and sgf from benue has gained him large supporters from there.the fears of mm ticket favouring core north or bringing islamisation has been allayed.

The matter in nasarawa does not concern tinubu.it is between sule/adamu who were against tinubu vs ombugadu...it is a local matter.tinubu had no hand in it,it was orchestrated by the northern establishment.besides tinubu lost nasarawa narrowly so it is inconsequential.
In benue,tinubu has no hand in the crisis.whatever happens,tinubu will always do well in benue besides they have reconciled.look at rivers,even though tinubu is supporting wike,most of those supporting fubara have pledged loyalty to Tinubu...even if fct will vote obi again,wike performance will force more votes for tinubu...

In ss,akpabio position has won more fans for tinubu and apc.tje decamping of the popular senator oba is another advantage.the governor is very liberal and open to tinubu.obi took third here which tells you they don't send him.in crs,the election of prince as governor has strengthened APC.the governor is doing well and there is massive decamping from pdp to APC.hon Dansuki who was the pillar of Lp in CRS will join APC any moment.
In rivers,even fubara is currying the favour of tinubu so both fubara and wike will struggle to rig for tinubu...in delta,nothing much is happening but governor sheriff has been disappointing which is a plus for APC and tinubu is in alliance with rhe ibori's.
In Edo,if apc wins,it will increase its support base though obi will still win the state but not by same margin

I don’t think Akume as SGF has benefited the ordinary Benue man in any way that would make them like Tinubu. You and I know that Tinubu won Benue because of the Alia effect. If Fr Alia’s posturing changes in 2027, Tinubu will struggle to make 25% in Benue in 2027. Besides, Benue people are still being massacred in their sleep.

In Rivers, all those pledging of loyalty to Tinubu you see those guys doing is because they know they can’t fight powers that be. They know if they come out to openly stand against Tinubu it might be counterproductive because Tinubu might decide to align with Wike to dislodge Fubara in a very brutish manner and nothing will really happen. So, pledging loyalty to Tinubu is just to not make him apprehensive. But you and I know that neither Secondus nor Lee Maeba nor Omehia can control even 2% of Rivers voters. They will vote where they wanna vote in 2027 irrespective of who pledges loyalty to whom.

Will Okpebholo win Edo? Anything is possible. But I like the fact you admitted that not even Okpebholo as a sitting governor can change much about Edo people’s voting pattern in general election. Even Oshiomole couldn’t do it.

Doesn’t matter what happens in Cross River, Obi will win again and even Bayelsa won’t be rigged for Atiku again.

Most of those who were rigging for Atiku were doing it because they thought Obi didn’t stand a chance. But having seen how far Obi went despite their rigging against him, they now know that Obi can do it and nobody would be taking his votes and be giving to another candidate like Udom and Diri did last year.

Then ultimately, add the general disenchantment of the Nigerian people against Tinubu. The mass hunger, increased inflation, inhuman policies, etc.

Except these policies yield unprecedented results before 2027, Tinubu will struggle even in Southwest.

Inspirer1:
In all honesty and being real, I doubt the Southwest is still a support base.

That’s the truth.

Unfortunately the cretins that form bulk of his support are too illogical and away from reality to accept this fact.

chinchum:
no need to argue, the no support base rhetorics is not new, it was mentioned when he was not holding an elective post 1 year ago, we saw the 2023 presidential election outcome. As an incumbent president of 4 years, you will be alive to still repeat the same thing and expecting a different result.

In 2023 you counted on Buhari’s body odor as sitting president.

Let’s see how much his body odor can bring in 2027

Chivisee:
You Pandora people will just conjure an illusion and start claiming it as reality . Boy it's not about what your brain wish,it's what the powerful want that will suffice.wait let's be clear,Are you saying obi has edge over jagaban in the next election??I don't want to believe that's what you are thinking. Oga if that's the case,you are ovetly deluded. Most of the votes obi got from southwest in the last election,he will never get half of them in the next election! 2.i don't see PDP dominating APC,it's impossible. I don't want to believe in your ant brain,you are hoping LP would displace APC. If that's the case,then when adults are talking Nigeria politics,you should be listening. Say you hear it first,shetima and Wike are the next government!

All this long talk is not necessary.

The question was simple, apart from Southwest, where else can Tinubu count on?

Name them. Forget talks

zudozz:
This is just a joke..

No one hates Obi and the Igbos in this country more than El Rufai n his fagggot sons!

Lol!

No one hated Buhari more than Tinubu until he found him useful.

Ask yourself why hasn’t El Rufai’s camp nor his sons refuted the rumour since it started flying in the morning.

You know how swift they usually are. Why are they quiet?

Coolgent:
North despise Elrufai,
Tambuwal
Kwankwaso
Yari of Zamfara
Would have bern better

Lol!

Go and ask to be taught.

El Rufai is a poster child of northern establishment especially because of his consistent hardline stance on matters of Islam and the north.

The rich of the north like him.

The Talakawas as well, like him.

Kwankwaso might be the only northerner that ranks above him but the others that you mentioned can’t lace El Rufai’s shoe in terms of popularity in the core Muslim north.

This is informed by facts and you can ask Garfield1 your fellow Agbado to further educate on how those men stand in the north.

Good one.

Deny all those ‘Tinubu’s Ohaneze Ndigbo’ of media visibility.

Let there be an end to having multiple statements allegedly emanating from Ohaneze with some claiming that Tinubu is the lord and saviour of Ndigbo.

Let there be an end to the that nonsense to the salty tears of Agbado people.

helinues:
Hahaha

Campaign after the election

The time wey water don dey boil fish heh, it's been long, El Rufai, the new saint in the Obidients camp.

How can Nigerians trust those who are not even consistent with their beliefs/ideology

Vomit re-swallowing

E dey pain you?

I thought you said Datti has abandoned Peter Obi?

seunmsg:
In Osun state, Oyetola supplied all the figures and documents and won at the tribunal only for the higher courts to upturn that decision.

What did he do wrong?

Dude, it’s too late to still be crying over Obi’s 2023 election loss and definitely too early to start crying about Obi’s impending 2027 loss. Go and do something reasonable with your time. Peter Obi will never become president of Nigeria.

Oyetola was clearly beaten in Osun.

Or how many people protested his loss? Instead, people Jubilated in celebration for his loss.

The two instances don’t compare.

Tell me Tinubu’s base away from Southwest.

Meanwhile…

While some people are still living in delusion and their fool’s paradise, the clouds are gathering over the head of their lord and master.

We shall be there in 2027.

Make una switch off IREV again if them born una well.

In Nigeria's politics, there are unseen power brokers. They check the strength and weaknesses of candidates before forming alliance.
From a very reliable source as i was informed, the Obi and El-Rufai combo that is being proposed, is the only formidable force that can flush Tinubu out of power in 2027.
That is why it is being considered at the moment.
According to what i gathered, the power brokers believes Obi has a cult followership, general love, acceptance, and political strength to pull massive votes around SE, SW, SS, and around some North Central states. But he needs a formidable force to sell and drive his candidacy into the Core-Northern states. Firstly, a hard-line Muslim with political strength to market Obi around the KKK states in the north, so he could be accepted. Secondly, someone who is well Educated and smart enough to checkmate Peter Obi, because of trust issues between both regions.
Thirdly, someone who will automatically succeed Peter Obi, to become president, banking on Peter Obi's political support.
They found that person in Nasiru El-Rufai. The plan is to adopt another political party, and see to the reality of this plan.

It is left to both men to either accept, or reject the proposal.
In 2023, the Obi/Kwankwaso combo did not work, as both men want to be president. Kwankwaso refused to be vice presidential candidate to Peter Obi.

Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed was at Vision FM in Sokoto today to have on air chat with the people and tell them why the country need Peter Obi as president. A gaskiya ina son Datti wallahi

Truthtoarewa


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k5Rjk8B2OtM?si=cLetNopskSrQcwj8

chinchum:
I heard this sermon the whole of 2022 and just before 2023 election.


Someone said if elections are conducted today, alas presidential election is 3 years from now.

Obidients will be useful objects in 2027, they will play a slightly different formation then.

Tinubu is smart enough to unleash all the biggest dragon policies within 1 year.

By May 2026, maybe this discussion should be revisited.

The clouds will only thicken than disperse over Tinubu by 2026.

Tinubu has no support base anywhere. Nowhere else apart from Southwest.

garfield1:
You said this same thing in 2022 that tinubu can only win in SW.how can NC be obi base when he lost there? Let me shock you,tinubu has gotten more supporters from middle belt and ss

Which state(s) in NC and SS?

Attach names and what made him gain the supporters.

Is it in Nasarawa for helping Abdullahi Sule rob them of the mandate they gave Ombugadu?

Is it in Benue for siding with Akume to disrupt Fr Alia’s govt? Tinubu will lose Benue scandalously in 2027.

Or is it in Kogi for sending EFCC after Yahaya Bello and allowing INEC rig another Ebira man to power?

Is it in Rivers for giving Fubara an inhuman conditions of settlement that clearly gave Wike advantage and making Wike men disrupt Fubara’s govt?

Why has Tinubu gained supporters? Be factual.

I like verifiable facts.

drlateef:
Technicality. Because politicians don’t obey the law. And the court will uphold the law.

So what’s the guarantee that the courts still wouldn’t have ruled on technicality had Obi supplied all the figures?

flokii:
So El-rufai is you folks new found love.. no more Obi?
El-rufai will only displace Obi with minority support from Northern parts of Kaduna (muslim side) and parts of the South East.

PBAT still has the national spread to complete his 8 years tenure.

Elrufai will only garner votes from “Muslim side of Kaduna”? Lol.

I’m not surprised at all. Are you guys not the ones that said Obi will not win any Local government in Nigeria?

Are you lots not the ones that said Atiku will win Anambra?

Now you are saying Elrufai will only garner votes from Muslim side of Kaduna.

So who will win the Christian side?

Who won the Christian side in 2023?

Chivisee:
please can you elaborate on this delusion who want to get booted out by 2027?? obi abi his errand master,ATIKU?? is it ipob.ss that can't touch his cloth when he was not in office that want to touch him now that he's the commander in chief?? i know most obidense are daft but this level of your daftness is really terrible. Accept reality so that you down die of fustration,No vacancy in asorock untill 2031,and shetima and wike is your next president. you can only kill yourself if you don't accept the reality.NIgeria has spoken!

Jonathan was in office when he was booted out.

Judgementa1:
Nigerian Christian now knows better that the M.M ticket is not a political witch-hunt on them.

But they now know that Tinubu has no “best brains to assemble”

They now know that Tinubu cares not if they die or leave and that’s why he has enacted policies that has made life unbearable for them.

Tell me why any voter, not to talk of Christians, would vote for Tinubu now?

lionshare:
Nigerians, in general, rarely care about the vehicles, leading to the promotion of the driver as the sole option to counter the Muslim-leaning tickets presented by the two traditional parties. The clerics were not careful in combining their interests with the Author of their religion and promoting it to their congregation, who believe in the infallibility of the Author. However, the election results contradict this narrative, leaving the clerics unable to answer whether the author or the clerics themselves were dishonest.

Your submission is obtuse. What are you saying?

The way Tinubu will lose 2027 election will be scandalous.

They swore that removal of subsidy would make fuel scarcity a thing of the past. But now, fuel is expensive and is still not available.

They’ve increased electricity tariff and promising to increase it more.

Ordinary Nigerians can’t afford basic commodities anymore.

But guess what, his supporters are here living in fool’s paradise.

We will be there in 2027.

lionshare:
The Christian voting bloc, which spans across the SW-NC-SS regions, has been severely weakened due to the Labour Party's (LP) and its candidate's mishandling of post-election crises. Consequently, it would be difficult for the LP to garner significant votes in a presidential election if held in Lagos today, given that it is a predominantly Christian state according to last election results. In my opinion, the LP's actions have left a negative impression on the Christian community, making it challenging for religious leaders and pastors to convince their congregations to support the party again.

Was it LP that made Obi popular or it was Obi that made LP popular?

Were the pastors marketing LP (the vehicle) or Obi (the driver)?

Judgementa1:
Una too dey overate this obi, how can north central be obi base when he only won two states.

Tinubu won in Niger, kogi, Kwara, and benue.

Obi only support base is S.E the additional votes he was able to muster was a result of the M.M ticket.

You should ask yourself why labour party perform poorly during senate, house of rep and governorship election.

“The additional votes he got was because of M.M ticket.”

So what? Are you going to change the M.M Ticket now?

Chivisee:
please can you elaborate on this delusion who want to get booted out by 2027?? obi abi his errand master,ATIKU?? is it ipob.ss that cant touch his cloth when he was not in office that want to touch him now that hes is the commander in chief?? i know most obidense are daft but this level of your daftness is rerrible. accept reality so that you down die of fustration,no vacancy in asorock untill 2031,and shetima and wike is your next president. you can only kill yourself if you dont accept the reality.NIgeria has spoken

Apart from the Southwest, where else is Tinubu’s support base?

That’s the question.

All this plenty talk is not necessary, just answer the question.

And just a reminder in case your memory is failing you, Wike is no longer in power and won’t be able to write result for Tinubu in Rivers again nor does he have a single goodwill to attract any vote for Tinubu in Southsouth.