Rvp2018's Posts
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How is this related to industrialization? This is about financial markets - Absa Africa Financial Markets Index Kenya capital, pension and savings - has gone down - the last 10yrs - as gov was busy taking easy chinese loans and euorobond. Ruto is starting to fix this - as we now focus on savings, pension and financial/capital markets development. obaaderemi: |
Your gov really did a number on you - no wonder many Nigerian just fly abroad for proper re-education. Orange bought Telkom Kenya - for 390M - (Kshs 26B) in 2007 - for 51 percent stake. Kenya gov retained 49 percent stake. Later Orange realized they had been sold a lemon...the list of asset/debt concealed. By 2010 - Orange Kenya (Telkom) - had chalked up 48B (500M plus dollar) in debt. Orange started a diplomatic row claiming kenya gov had conned them - and they wanted their money back. Kenya gov convinced them to inject more capital. Over the course of years - Orange kept injecting more capital - kenya gov generally refused or just put in small money Therefore, Kenya gov shareholding went down to 30% - and Orange went up to 70% (debt converted to equity) Mid 2014 - Orange were done - and wanted to cut losses. Veitnamse were willing to come in - but wanted GoK to secede more shareholding - so they own 80% - and many conditions. GoK refused. Helios then came onboard. They paid the French 50B kshs (according to StandardMedia article) They also gave kenya gov 10% free shareholding - so GoK would not pre-empt their purchase. Now the shareholding became 40% gov; 60% Helios. Telkom Kenya remained on the red. The Assets that were sold were to offset debt to Kenya gov in taxes, Safaricom, suppliers name it. Helios never cashed it. Kenya gov would similarly have cashed it for their own 40% of it. At some point Helios wanted to invest another 20B kshs - to keep it going - but Gok refused to invest They decided to merge with Airtel Kenya - another loss making telcom. Last minute gov refused - and vetoed the merger on "security" grounds. Last year Helios told the GoK they were looking for a buyer - to exit. Kenya gov pulled their pre-emptive right to buy it back - and gave helios 50M cheque to go crying with it.Lesson for Helios...avoid getting entangled in such public assets. You'll cry real tears. obaaderemi: |
It's criminal to overstay your visa. theenchanter: |
West Africa criminality catches up with them in Dubai - now genuine visa applicants will have a problem
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When is last time you held a census. obaaderemi: |
With all you Nigeria miseducation - you still can't research - even when I have given you articles. You want to be spoonfed? Helios Fund III - HQ at Nairobi - was at one point worth 1.1B - and their largest investment (if you can call that) was Telkom Kenya. The deal according to Standard Newspaper article I gave you was rumored to be worth 50B Kshs - which in 2014 - translate to well over 600M dollars. The deal was btw Helios and Orange. Not Gok. Orange paid 390M dollars - in 2007 - they paid Kshs 26B - and later invested 300M in cash. After 7 yrs - where they tried to merge with Airtel Kenya - and last year went shopping for a buy - the Gok exercised their pre-emptive rights And bought it for mere 50M dollars. It get even more interesting - Helios donated 10 percent to Kenya gov in 2014 - so gov wouldnt pre-empt their purchase ![]() Jamhuri Holdings Limited transferred 10% of its shareholding to the Government in consideration of the latter foregoing its pre-emption rights; thus, the shareholding was distributed between Government and Jamhuri at 40% and 60% respectively. obaaderemi: |
Concentrate on getting your railway to work at least for a week; before it stalls; Kenya has huge railway dev levy that can be redirected to pay chinese loan. Every import pays 1.5% for Railway Develoment - that annually is now close to 300m dollars... Kazikazi: |
Kenya doesnt import salt - in east africa - Kensalt is almost name of table salt. Nigerian salt companies just refine imported salt. Ghana mine their salt. Salt really is no big deal - it cheapest commodity you can think of - it plentiful in sea water theenchanter: |
>> Dangote Salt is produced from top quality refined solar crude salt imported mainly from Brazil. Dangote buys its salt from Salinor in Brazil. That’s where most of the world buys. The only additives to salt are Iodine and anti-caking agents. Iodine is not added to salts abroad. WHO recommended it in Africa to help with goiter https://www.ign.org/newsletter/idd_may22_nigeria.pdf Even though Nigeria has large salt deposits in some states including Benue, Cross River, Ebonyi, Abia, Taraba and Nasarawa states, there is no large-scale mining of these salt deposits. As such, most salt manufacturers import salt from Brazil, Namibia, South Africa, China, Australia, India and the USA. Nigeria’s imported salt worth increased from N4.5bn to N4.8bn (1). Nigeria imports from Brazil were estimated at US$33.79 million during 2019 (2 Raw salt is imported by major salt manufacturers from Brazil, Australia, Tunisia, and Namibia. All salt imported from Brazil, Tunisia and Namibia is not iodized and so it is the responsibility of the repackaging companies to fortify imported salt with iodine before selling to the consumers. Countries of export for salt from Nigeria include Benin Republic, Niger Republic, Cameroon, Ghana, and Chad. All food grade salt produced for domestic use and export is iodized. There are three major salt manufacturers producing salt in Nigeria for commercial purposes (Dangote Salt, Royal Salt, and Mr. Chef Salt) and one that produces salt for food industries (JOF) (Table 1). Dangote and Royal Salt produce table salt and industrial salt while Mr. Chef only produces table salt. JOF salt, at the time of the assessment, did not have salt in the open market but only produced industrial salt that was supplied to food companies for cornflakes, bouillon, and seasoning production, with Nestle Foods as a major client. There are two major channels of salt distribution in Nigeria. One is direct from the factory to the large consumers, such as the food processing industries and livestock farms. The second channel is from the factory to major distributors or wholesalers who also sell to retailers and who in turn sell to consumers. Interestingly, medium- and small-scale industries as well as fisheries and livestock farms also Fourpockets: |
Nigeria is major salt importer - Dangote probably repackage it - into small bags. I think it mostly from South Africa and Namibia. Look like mostly Brazil. This is 2013. There is almost no salt production in the entire Central and West African region except for Ghana and Senegal. These two countries meet the requirements of most of the region. Countries like Nigeria prefer to import their requirement of table salt from outside the region – principally Namibia and South Africa but also from Australia, India and Brazil. South Africa, Namibia (Photo 1) and Botswana are the main sources of salt in southern Africa. T Fourpockets: |
Why is racial purity of Japanese important? Isnt the US a great country due to immigrants? Wouldnt Japan be greater country if it welcome other cultures and made say Tokyo a melting pot of cultures? Your ideology is racism. My ideology is humanity. Fourpockets: |
I have transported salt to Uganda so this sector I know. Kenya is major produce of salt supplying east africa hinterland. This sea salt. I think kenya does close to 850K - nearly a million metric tonnes As for Nigeria as always - There are fewer than five salt makers in Nigeria as the existing ones are squeezed by high production costs, foreign exchange scarcity and energy crisis. There is no short cut to development. GeneralDae2:
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Ghana is better country than Nigeria - because of it's liberal economy. The problem is macro-economic - their gov just misbehave and have never heard of prudent economic management. I guess it problem with democracy - where gov overpromises and has to deliver by borrowing aggressively. I doubt you produce salt; from my reading; Ghana and Senegal; I think you import salt from all over - mostly South Africa & Namibia. Salt producers in Africa are mainly South Africa, Kenya, Namibia, Ghana and Senegal GeneralDae2: |
China or India are new import sources of kenya - previously we got everything almost from Britain & Eu. Consumers are always looking for best deal - it could be England today - Hong Kong tomorrow - China - Bangladesh - Veitnam.Soon it will be kenya. Gov job is not to go for easy way out - ban imports - and force people shoulder inefficient industries. Gov job is to encourage Chinese and Indian companies to come to kenya - build industries here - and sell their stuff here cheaply. In meantime local capacity by local kenyans is slowly building up - and eventually they compete. Few more years - Kenya local indigenous companies - expand regionally - and few more years globally. Gov job is to fix infrastructure, electricity, water and security so it become cheaper for Indian or Chinese companies to manufacture in Nigeria as step 1. Step 2 is for Dangotes to emerge. Nigeria simply bans imports. Dangote who was selling salt then become industrialist - but selling products very expensively as he cannot manufacture them efficiently. The results - 15yrs before this banning - Nigerians (on the street) were probably richer than now. The results of taking short cuts. GeneralDae2: |
You dont sustain a sector as insurance against some future external risks. You build resilience into your economy so you can wistand such shocks. This can only happen through magic of capitalism - brutal competition as much as possible If we get sanctioned - we can build those industries from the scratch very quickly - because we will have capital, knowhow & it will be profitable. But we cannot sustain a fake Google just in case Google is banned. We should be able to spin our own in few months if it become necessary. The protected ineffienct industries destroy the economy - and make it very susceptible to external shocks Once you allow market economy to work - local companies will compete - and become regional or even global giants. And that become insurance against local economy problems. For example when Kenya economy tanked in 1990s - because we were facing sanctions due to Moi dictatorship - we re-started EAC. EAC had died in 1977 due to petty difference - and it came back in 1997. So in 1990s - Uganda and Tanzania economies were booming - growing at 7-10 percent - while Kenya was sick Kenya companies moved to EAC from 1998 and were able to survive until our economy started to boom again from 2005. Fourpockets: |
Why would that be a problem? Fourpockets: |
It's interest of industry owners and employers - versus - the interest of the 210 million nigerians. Which one come first - Dangote or your own mother in the village buying dirty cheap cements for almost 10 dollars. Does your mother care whether cement is from Dangote or where she can get more saving of her money? As long China is not dumping - products to us - it's better for us to import - as we figure out how to compete. We cannot protect the rights of industry owners at expense of consumers.. Infact industries should be protected for a specific period...so they can grow...and compete with others. The mental block that Nigeria farmer or company cannot compete with Indian or Chinese need to go. If it's cement - why can't Dangote not produce it cheaply - it limestone and electricity (which he can generate). GeneralDae2: |
If they relax immigration laws; they should be fine; but they are racist. When fertility rate fall below 2 percent - then you cant replace - and you only option is to allow immigration. Meantime this list of hopeless countries in Africa still breeding like rats. Fourpockets:
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There is nothing one can learn from Nigeria. We are going the opposite way. We are allowing duty free entry of goods from East Africa Goods, COMESA and AFCTA. That basically means Kenya companies have to be competitive at very least regionally. Let them close shops, find something we can be competitive in, and the consumer is the king. The results is obvious - Kenya companies having been exposed to very thorough competition at home - have expanded. They are regionally the kings - of industry - in about 10 countries. The industries that are protected are very very few - for specific period - because we expect we can and should compete with China or India. This why Kenya is making huge strides forward despite having no oil or large arable land. In the meantime Nigeria is world poverty capital, infrastructure is completely broken, gov cannot get taxes, social investment is zero (out of school kids staggering), insecurity & kidnapping the order of the day. This all because the economy is failing the majority And working for a few Northern Elite like Dangote. When it come to SMES - how are they going to be profitable - when access to credit is at 30% per annum at minimum, when cost of doing business is horrendous (they have to run a generator) & when economy is not free (they cannot go to Benin or Ghana or China to sources for cheapest stuff because they cant get dollars at same rate as Dangote or neither are they allowed). The results of Nigeria messed up economics - despite OIL - POVERTY - and few DANGOTES GeneralDae2: |
And then you wonder why Nigeria is poverty HQ of the world. Protecting all these inefficient local industries cost your economy a lot. It creates few rich Dangote's who own such industries - and leave everyone pay expensively for stuff that are "dirty" cheap out there. It protects them from international competition. The biggest loser remains Nigeria consumer who is forced to buy all these 100 goods expansively despite them being of poor quality. GeneralDae2: |
At what point do we stop protecting infant industry? This Nigeria prohibition list is way too much - and has no exit clause. https://www.trade.gov/country-commercial-guides/nigeria-prohibited-and-restricted-imports GeneralDae2: |
Import substitution is a failed policy. This was tried in Africa btw 1970-1990 - and it became a failure. IMF introduced SAP to fix that failure. South Asia went for export-oriented manufacturing mostly And whenever they did import substitution - they were strict timelines when industry was expected to be competitive. Mostly you need give local firms or farmers - something like 5yrs - if they cannot be globally competitive - allow imports. Otherwise, you're punishing 200 million consumers - to save 5 million rice farmers and millers. Protected infant industries - rarely work in an enviroment where corruption thrives - because those tarrifs/subsdies will remain forever. Look at Nigeria cement - Dangote & Nigeria is now "globally" competitive so much Dangote has invested all over Africa - but cement tarrifs/restriction - still persist in Nigeria.How does that even make sense? If Dangote can compete in South Africa or Ethiopia - why cant Nigeria allow almost duty free entry of cement - so Nigerians can get best deal GeneralDae2: |
IMF doesnt invite itself; you invite them; The country should try to as much as possible avoid IMF but when it's inevitable like Ghana now - you will have to welcome them - otherwise it will be like 1962 when Army kicked out Nkurumah and invited IMF - because the country will become another Zimbabwe - and dealing with hyperinflation is a mess. A huge mess I wouldnt want to wish on Ghana. It will take decades to come out of it. In short - stop long theories - invite IMF - you need them more than ever. If IMF deal doesnt come soon - Ghana will go bankrupt, cedis will be worthless and ensuing mess. After they are done with you - next time watch your macro-economics - dont go for debt binge again. You dont refuse to go to hospital when youre sick - next time you work on preventative measures TookDownYourMum: |
Orange of course dumped it after they incurred 700M (390M to purchase & another cash injection in loan to Telkom - later converted to Equity) plus loss of opportunity. They dumped it to Helios for a loss of 100M dollars. Helios bought it at 600M. Now Helios have dumped it at 50m...whoppping loss of 550M dollars. I dont know what they teach you in Nigeria - basic accounting - when Telkom kenya sells an asset - the shareholders being Kenya Gov and Helios - dont get paid - unless Telkom declared profit that year - and they get paid as dividend. Kenya gov would have cashed 30% of that 170M from American Towers - but we know it never cashed anything. The reason Telkom Kenya has been bankrupt for a long time. Now it's been valued at 10B kshs - and it surely will crawl out of its hole - now that it back to business.In terms of licensing - 24M is annual 4G license - the initial license cost Telkom - 50m (the amount the idiots Helios paid) https://www.itnewsafrica.com/2007/08/kenya-government-set-to-license-fourth-mobile-operator/ But Telkom Kenya will be required to pay a licence fee of $55 million (Sh3.9 billion) —similar to the amount paid by Safaricom and Celtel. Econet is being asked to pay $27 million . obaaderemi: |
Almost zero drop since 1950 it was 6.5 to now 5.5. Kenya has dropped from high of 8 to now close to 3. obaaderemi:
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obaaderemi:Kenya north is not densely populated like Nigeria north...even if they lag behind in many indicators there are not even 5% of Kenya population.. consisting of a million Turkana, two million Somalis & oromo and a million samburu Maasai... maybe another million pokots & such.Those are the tribes lagging behind otherwise Kenya is benefiting from huge investment in population control and planning.Kenya has highest contraceptive use in Africa.We have reduced births from 8 in 1980s to now almost 3.Nigeria still at almost 7..zero investment in family planning, contraceptive and education.That is why Kenya is at cusp of leapfrogging to high growth industrialization while Nigeria is 50yrs from it |
obaaderemi:You're rambling.Orange dumped it to Helios.Helios after seven years of losses wanted to sell out.Gok knowing they were desperate took their pre emptive right and bought it for cheap.Do you know a license for say 4G frequencies is more than 50m Helios got.Now Kenya gov have it after selling it for 26 billion buying it back at 6 billion... profit of 200m dollars...for a bankrupt company that orange and Helios sustained.Ruto was not involved at all in this..it's Uhuru.Ruto will now turn it around and sell it for more than a billion dollars in four years max. |
Maasai Mara- the wilderbest migration the 8th wonder of world - Kazikazi with large serengeti with imposible infrastructure unless you charter a flight might wish to disagree https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mbqCXpmo15A&t=104s |
These Canadian couple now going three years have been to almost everywhere in Kenya shooting epic videos of kenya resorts and related. Just watching their videos of their time in Kenya - all over the country - you'd appreciate why Kenya is one of most beautiful place on earth and how incredibly lucky we are as kenyans to have all these facilities. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OAVMXl04R-U&t=972s https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gmFOH0uStzs https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6yDKbk5Ny4U |
Very nice article explaining Kenya likely to leapfrog in a decade, followed by Rwanda, Uganda in two decades and Tanzania in 3 decades - Nigeria in about 5 decades from now. Combination of literacy, democracy, savings, investment, etc https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1583723363507195904 When will countries in east Africa see their economies take-off, sustainably and with rapid GDP growth for decades? Kenya 1st Rwanda 2nd Uganda 3rd, Tanzania 4th, Burundi last. Unless government policies change Ethiopia a harder call One of best threads I’ve done
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Kenyans proudly wear the flag because we are very proud of our country. Your Zoo should fix basic like electricity first. samorobo:
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The Zoo talking about image The flooding in Nigeria is annual ritualhttps://onisdin.info/en/hydrology/flood-dynamics samorobo: |
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to go crying with it.
And at the end of the day, Foolish Ruto still paid the Nigerians $50m.