Asgard13: Asiwaju no go ever be the President of Nigeria as long as Nigerians are concern
Best he remains the god of Yoruba people in Yoruba land
Modified
Asiwaju is on cruise to winning Feb 25.. like this he’s one leg is about to step in ..
OBi and Kwankwanso must align with Pdp or he steps in to villa without qualms
This is the present reality as of 10:30 pm ..
Our God is a wonderful God, Asgard conceding already before Election Day. I will advise you to start campaigning for Tinubu rather than advising Obi to support your failed Atiku.
MikeofAfrica: The issue is that you don't understand the dynamics of northern politics. Northerners vote base on tribal and religion sentiments. They also vote base on the personality on the ballot.
Buhari was invincible in NW/ NE because of these three factors. He has no party structure in 2011 yet he got 12 million votes in the north. Party structure only strengthens his popularity in the region.
With Tinubu, he is behind Atiku and Kwankwaso in the three factors that I mentioned. Hence he is solely depending on party structure and Buhari endorsement to win the north.
Atiku will win Jigawa, Sokoto and Katsina convincingly. He got over 600,000 votes in Kaduna against Buhari. If not for Peter Obi popularity in southern Kaduna, he would have had a landslide in Kaduna.
Ganduje is not an ally of Tinubu. His friendship with Tinubu is similar to Tambuwal friendship with Wike. He is following Tinubu around because he knew from the onset that Tinubu will likely get the APC ticket.
If the election goes into a runoff between Atiku and Tinubu, I can bet you that Ganduje will deliver Kano to Atiku because Atiku will then be the clear favorite .
You don't know what you are saying.
Tinubu relationship with Kano politicians predates 2015. Ganduje was not the only ally of Tinubu in Kano, Tnubu has many of them though the name of Ganduje is prominent being the governor.
Becoming a president is not a year work like Obi is trying to do. It takes lots of work, perseverance and fore sight with pragmatic thinking, you don't understand all these because you lack Nigeria political knowledge.
I won't divulge details of Tinubus long term plan, regarding how he built his political spread beyond SW, being an insider, there are so many things we've learned from his sagacity. That's the story for another day, however I enjoy your passion and commitment to the course you believe in. Good luck to all of us
MikeofAfrica: The issue is that you don't understand the dynamics of northern politics. Northerners vote base on tribal and religion sentiments. They also vote base on the personality on the ballot.
Buhari was invincible in NW/ NE because of these three factors. He has no party structure in 2011 yet he got 12 million votes in the north. Party structure only strengthens his popularity in the region.
With Tinubu, he is behind Atiku and Kwankwaso in the three factors that I mentioned. Hence he is solely depending on party structure and Buhari endorsement to win the north.
Atiku will win Jigawa, Sokoto and Katsina convincingly. He got over 600,000 votes in Kaduna against Buhari. If not for Peter Obi popularity in southern Kaduna, he would have had a landslide in Kaduna.
Ganduje is not an ally of Tinubu. His friendship with Tinubu is similar to Tambuwal friendship with Wike. He is following Tinubu around because he knew from the onset that Tinubu will likely get the APC ticket.
If the election goes into a runoff between Atiku and Tinubu, I can bet you that Ganduje will deliver Kano to Atiku because Atiku will then be the clear favorite .
Pls don't claim rigging when result started dropping o
aninibinladen: Politics is not about what you want, trust I would have known politics if I had leaned towards a Tinubu but the truth is what it is.
A lot of you Tinubu supporters have no idea the dynamics that influence elections in the North, You think because of a sitting Governor it is Eureka for your candidate. PDP had sitting Governors and structures in the North in 2015 but were swept aside by the Buhari wind. The pattern of Northern voting usually depends on the individual contesting and sentiments of the common Northerner at the time.
Tinubu's northern support is circled around the elite and Governors rather than the common Northerner, this is unlike Buhari in 2015. The common Northerner has not bought into this Tinubu thing, try as his supporters might want to paint a glory picture. He is not even being discussed on northern streets, the discussions are about Atiku and Kwakwanso. If your gamble about Tinubu winning is hinged on northern support, then brace up for a big disappointment by Saturday evening.
Tik,tik tok tok, The time is tickling Let's wait for the outcome on Saturday
3ple9iner: I don't think the government has told us the real reason for the redesign. How would a government that gave people cash in 2019 as trader monie, does conditional cash transfer, gives people free money in cash with different names now claim that they want to reduce the money in circulation, how na.
MikeofAfrica: Political heavyweights are not discovered in primary elections. To win a primary election in Nigeria, all you need to do is to buy delegates with dollar notes.
In 2011, Buhari discovered that he cannot March then Kano Governor, Ibrahim Shekarau, at the ANPP primary. Hence he left ANPP and formed CPC.
When it was time for election, Buhari got over 12 million votes in CPC while Shekarau got about 3 million votes in ANPP. Hence even though Buhari could not stand Shekarau at ANPP primary, he proved that he is still a heavyweight while Shekarau is a lightweight.
Tinubu is very intelligent. He knew that the only heavyweight that can defeat an incumbent president in 2015 is Buhari hence he supported him financially.
Coming to 2023, Atiku is at risk of losing 12 states to Peter Obi but he is only at risk of losing two states to Tinubu. This means that Peter Obi who is contesting under a structureless party is a stronger politician than Tinubu.
Assuming Peter Obi is the candidate of APC with 21 Governors backing him, Atiku would have conceded defeat by now.
For APC to enter the presidential election without being sure of winning is not a fault of Buhari. He is the backbone of APC. It is the fault of Tinubu who has no political value outside SW.
Hence even if Tinubu wins the election due to his party structure, it does not change the fact that he is a lightweight politician.
Do you believe this or you are carried away by online praises?
Peter Obi who doesn't have a political ideology, someone who can't build a party, someone who abandoned the party Great Ojukwu bequeathed to him to nurture and take a triple jump that led him into LP with a socialist ideology when Obi himself is a capitalist. How does that make Obi stronger than Tinubu?
Just because Igbo are queuing behind him to spite Yoruba doesn't make Obi a political heavyweight.
He is best a cunning opportunist who takes advantage of circumstances and the emotional state of his people to pursue his ambition
Many of the Obidients saying NC will determine the outcome of the 2023 presidential election are missing the point.
NC as it stands today has the presence of the 3 major parties making the difference between the winner and the loser to be close, and that won't make much difference except in the area of meeting the constitutional requirement of getting 25% in 24 states.
Though Tinubu will win NC, that won't give him the winning figure. This is where winning NW becomes a prerequisite for winning the presidential election
MikeofAfrica: So you believe that a Tinubu that believes in monarchary system of Government will appoint political independent ex- Governors as his ministers.
The same Tinubu that did not tolerate Ambode for not being absolutely loyal to him. If Tinubu wins,he will create another set of political leaders in the North that will be absolutely loyal to him.
He always wants to be the boss and not a team player. Most northern APC Governors are Buhari loyalists until recently when they shifted to Tinubu. Some like El-Rufai has even abuse Tinubu in public before.
Hence Tinubu will retire the likes of El-Rufai and Ganduje from politics. Some of them will decamp to PDP and Labour if Tinubu wins.
Nevertheless, I believe those northern Governors are not nerve. They are aware that there is nothing for them under a Tinubu presidency.
The history of Tinubu didn't portray him as dictatorial. Many of his teammates are still with him today
FatherOfJesus: Long term: to curb corruption and kidnapping. Track all financial process and also make sure that funds circulate within the financial system. This will help to reduce money laundering and public funds looting.
Short term:To stop corrupt polticians like in the APC from buying votes during election
To curb corruption and kidnapping: what happens to sim registration and bvn that covers identity and transactions of individual.
How does fund circulate when people in rural area where there are no network is cut out of the system without cash?
People that laundered money never used physical cash. You don't open ' Pandora accounts with physical cash. Most are done via electronic transactions.
This is a serious issue that requires the input of all Nigerians, Nigerians should not be seen to be this docile that government policy cannot be evaluated and popular public opinion derived to know the merit and demerit of the government policy
Penguin2: So I was thinking deeply about recent happenings in the country as 2023 elections reaches its climax.
One of the reasons I engaged in this thinking was the narrative of Tinubu supporters of how Buhari hates the Igbos and would not want to hand over to an Igbo man. Trust me I used to hold this line of thinking too.
But during my time of going through my thoughts, I realized that Buhari has always courted and wanted an alliance with the Igbos but it is the Igbos who hate him and have always rebuffed his outstretched arm for a handshake.
It is not unnatural that when you extend a hand of friendship to someone and they refuse it, not once but twice, you would tend to harbour some resentment against such a person or people. That’s what Buhari felt for the Igbos.
It was the rejection of the Igbos that him try the Yoruba as second choice.
You doubt my claim? In 2003, the first time Buhari contested an election, he went for an alliance with the Igbos by choosing an Igbo running mate. But the Igbos didn’t look at him twice.
Still convinced of his choice of alliance with the Igbos, Buhari ignored his rejection by the Igbos in 2003 and went for another Igbo running mate in 2007 but was rejected again.
That was when frustration drove him to look toward the Yoruba in 2011 and 2015.
But isn’t it obvious from the foregoing that Buhari originally preferred an alliance with the Igbos but was just rejected by the Igbos which makes nonsense the claim that Buhari would not want to hand power to an Igbo man?
Listen to what Hadi Sirika, the Minister of Aviation and one of the closest persons to Buhari, had to say about what Buhari truly thinks about the Igbos and judge for yourself. Sirika was speaking at his condolence visit for Mbazulike Amechi.
Hope you are still going to keep to this opinion after Obi is roundly defeated.
Your points cracked me up really and it reminds me of the python dance, IPOB declaration as a terrorist, the 5% people, and the dot in the circle statement.
Your points here suggest you as a conquered slave that is bound to worship his master.
Mylove55: atiku can't get 40% from the 19 northern states, You think the northern governors are joking. Let me give you example, where is mauzu today, did buhari appoit him for betraying gej? No. The northern governors don't want to lose out if atiku wins, Everyone in north will benefit from tinubu presidency than atiku presidency, That is why all northerners are with tinubu
Whao, what a brilliant point. I swear Batist are people that are making the political section of Nairaland have life, if it were left for Obidients they would have run it down with their insults and abuse
wegevv: Stop wailing like a 5 month old parrot and respond to the facts that he wrote lol
PS: your opening post is easily the dumbest thing I've read on nairaland. And we all post dumb things here everyday so that must have taking some real skill to achieve. You should be proud of yourself lol
Obidients are not capable of making sense, so I ignore your concoction