₦airaland Forum

Asgard13:
Upload the result

You’re right.. my bad..

Too many mistakes in one thread, Asgard go and relax your brain, your subconscious mind is already in panic mode. Las las, you go dey alright

MikeofAfrica:
The reality on ground is that Tinubu is a feather weight politician.

The results of 2019 presidential election proved that. While Buhari lockdown the entire NW region with landslide victory, Tinubu and his allies could not manage a landslide victory for APC in any SW state.

Is it the igbos that made APC to loss Oyo and Ondo at last presidential election? Is it the igbos that has made it impossible for Tinubu and his allies to win the last two Osun guber elections?

The only hope that Tinubu has in this election is party structure and rigging. Assuming Tinubu is the candidate of Labour party, he will not win a single state in Nigeria because he is a feather weight.

Hence even if the igbos in Lagos decides not to vote, Tinubu will still not get a landslide in Lagos. Without party structure and rigging, Tinubu will lose his polling unit to Peter Obi.

I always appreciate when people use the right words and phrases, saying that Tinubu is a lightweight portrays you as uneducated, immature, and grossly ignorant.

Despite your trying to hide your fears I can see it clearly in the way you write as Obi's defeat stared through into your heart.

You have no choice but to accept what you can't change

Trollronaldo:
So you think Tinubu will win Kano?

You guys overestimate this your druglord

Am revealing to you a deep understanding of Nigeria politics you are here wagging your tongue like an agama lizard on social media.

Your eyes go soon clear

I think there's is more to this cashless policy.

Could it be that our debtors is being paid directly from the citizen money?

There is no any rational explanation for this senseless policy other than using our money to pay those we owed

MikeofAfrica:
It is a fact that Jonathan won in 2011 after losing NW to Buhari.

Hence I think you are the ignorant one here.

The 2011 election is quite different from the 2023 election. One day in politics is long enough to make a huge difference in the election outcome.

Since last week there has been late minutes alignment, people are boarding Tinubu's ship that is about to sail. Give it to the north, they are dependable when it comes to politics.

How did things change within a week will be a mystery to many after the election despite the infamous naira redesign that was put up to rundown and destroy Tinubu and APC but now turned out to be the saving grace of APC.

Politics is not noise, threat, and braggadocio, you have to pay attention to the dots and knots otherwise you will always be defeated at every electoral contest

Troublemaker111:
Carry your salary come bet am if na ur father born you To stop Atiku in NW will need Kwankwaso to declare for Asiwaju then Atiku strength will be reduced

You don't have to bet, this thread will be alive up to Sunday.

I intentionally created it to get the opinions of many poor political analysts on Nairaland so we can put to rest their fallacy after the election

CapitalCee:
Lol. It seems you haven't had the memo about Sokoto.

Atiku wont win a single state in NW

I quite agree with you.

I want pundits to pay attention to Kano's vote in particular from NW.

Kano is a strong political factor in national politics and it seems political opinion is being shaped in that area which spread and determines the outcome of election in the NW.

Tinubu knows this and had worked so much since 2015 to win the heart of Kano politicians.

I won't be surprised if Tinubu gets a clear win in Kano ahead of Kwakwaso, and if that happens, APC will likely clear the entire NW.

One of the noises that would rent the air from our Obidient brothers will be the cry of rigging. They have failed to pay attention to details in politics and have allowed emotion to rule their judgment. They are going to be bitterly hurt by the outcome of the election

donphilopus:
The best poll so far. Although I have some reservations. APC should be able to win six states in the northwest but I doubt if that would happen. If APC can win Kano truly, then one of the other states should be given to Atiku.

As for the north central, APC would win the four states given to them. There's no way Atiku can win Benue. With Obi dividing his votes there, APC may likely win or Obi himself win there. Obi and Atiku should share FCT and Plateau.

In the south-south, there's no way a single party can win four states. PDP cannot win all the states given to them. APC has a brighter chance than PDP in Edo State. Obidense guys have eaten into PDP's traditional votes in the state. Bayelsa and Cross River are too close to call. The three major contestants in the south should share the states 1-2-3 or 2-2-2. It can never be 4-2-0.

In the end, Tinubu is winning the elections.

I want pundits to pay attention to Kano's vote in particular from NW.

Kano is a strong political factor in national politics and it seems political opinion is being shaped in that area which spread and determines the outcome of the election.

Tinubu knows this and had worked so much since 2015 to win the heart of Kano politicians.

I won't be surprised if Tinubu gets a clear win in Kano ahead of Kwakwaso, and if that happens, APC will likely clear the entire NW.

One of the noises that would rent the air from our Obidient brothers will be the cry of rigging. They have failed to pay attention to details in politics and have allowed emotion to rule their judgment. They are going to be bitterly hurt by the outcome of the election

MikeofAfrica:
In 2019, many youths and Igbos in Lagos did not bother to vote but Buhari/ Osinbajo with the full support of Tinubu struggled to defeat Atiku / Obi in Lagos with less than 100, 000 votes.

Many northerners in Lagos that voted for Buhari in 2019 are now with either Atiku or Kwankwaso. The youths are behind Obi. The non-indigenes from SE & SS that constitute more than 40% of Lagos population are behind Obi.

Believe me, without manipulation, it will take a miracle for Tinubu to win Lagos. Even with the crisis of Lagos PDP, Tinubu has failed to silence the party in Lagos during the presidential elections. Tinubu is not popular in Lagos but has been using touts and rigging to keep the state under his control.

This is your wish and it's different from reality.

Take this from me, Lagos vote on Saturday is going to be a vote to make a statement.

The vote is intended to determine the actual population of Igbo in Lagos.

The vote will address Igbo/ IPOB religion dichotomy where they termed Yoruba as Yoruba Christian and Yoruba Muslim

The vote will permanently address the issue of Lagos is no man's being propagated by our Igbo brothers

Finally, the vote will address the political lies and character smeared of Tinubu by the same Igbo people that benefited so much more than any other region in the area of political appointment and elective position in Lagos State.

MikeofAfrica:
Jonathan won in 2011 with Edo and Delta votes after lossing Katsina.

Hence Peter Obi can also win with SE and SS votes if Kwankwaso can sabotage Atiku and Tinubu in NW.

I pity your ignorance

Na wah o

MikeofAfrica:
In 2011, Buhari and CPC has no single Governor,or Senator in NW. PDP had the Governors of Kaduna, Kano, Jigawa, Katsina and Sokoto.

Yet Buhari defeated Jonathan in NW. He defeated Jonathan again in NW in 2015.

Party structure has limited influence in the voting pattern of NW. That is why Ganduje needed a rerun and massive rigging to defeat an unknown Kwankwaso stooge in 2019.

Atiku will win Katsina, Jigawa and Sokoto . Tinubu is only sure of winning Zamfara. Kaduna and Kebbi are battlegrounds while Kwankwaso will win Kano.

Atiku is also finish second in any other region that he does not win. He will win at least two states in SS.

Tinubu will finish a distant third in SE & SS. He will win 5 SW states convincingly but Lagos will be a battleground. He is only sure of Kwara and Kogi in NC. Hence his chances of winning is not better than that of Atiku.

If Peter Obi can win the 11 states in SE & SS and Plateau and Benue in NC while also getting good votes in Nassarawa and Southern Kaduna, then he will win if Kwankwaso can reduce the votes of Atiku and Tinubu in NW.

I see anyone that claim Lagos is a battleground as a comedian, sadly my time is too precious to be engaging comedians.

I come in peace

ganisucks:
You are the kind of child that actually still believes that Michael Jackson invented himself.

I know you to be a contrarian, always reasoning anticlockwise

GWMI:
in the North central apc will have at least four states.
Kogi, nasarrawa, Niger and kwara states.
I will just give obi Plateau and Benue.
Is that the majority?Fct is shared equally no results.
Apc will have 55 percentage in the North Central
Obi will have 30 percent I give Atiku 25 percent
This is the truth

Atiku will perform better than Obi in the NC. The only people supporting LP in NC are cashout guys, they belong to either APC or PDP and some Igbo guys residing in the north

00FFT00:
Complete rubbish!.

Your analysis was correct until you started predicting who will win. Check this out dude, the only candidate today who can win 3 regions is Peter Obi, and that is SE/SS/NC. That is the minimum in the current constellation.

And, no candidate ever became president without winning NC. Tinubu cannot win NW, the most he can hope for is SW, he will come second in NW and NE, lose NC/SS/SE, now tell me, where is the win you see?.

When lie told repeatedly it may sound like the truth.

The dynamism of 2023 is entity different, no time to lecture you.

NW determine the winner in this year's election

rolams:
How will you feel if this doesn't happen on the election day?

He will simply go back to no biafla no erection

VERDA:
I stoped reading when i got to tinubu has NC as backup, you are truly ignorant of situation on ground if you really think this....many peope are voting individual, i am aware of some PDP guys that will vote APC for governor and LP for presidency, they dont want want to hear muslim/muslim or fulani presidency...

Same way a lot of you are ignorant about situation in the NW, i am amazed when i see some of you assuming Tinubu will win northwest in a landslide or even win it at all...the same northwest i traverse within a week consistently and interact with local...JOKERS, the only names i hear are Atiku and kwankwaso.... Mention Tinubu and they start laughing saying he is too old and should go and rest. You will understand on saturday.

You don't have to lie to make a point, Peter Obi will be disappointed in your type of person that is giving him false hope.

You are scare that Tinubu is going to win NC? That is what it is

00FFT00:
Come, how old are you?. Seun ought to start mandating true pictures in profiles, so we do not waste our precious times discussing with children. Listen, no one has ever won the presidency in Nigeria without winning the middle belt (NC) clean and clear. Ok?.

And, no one has ever become Nigeria's president without winning 2 regions plus Middle belt(NC), Now, Peter Obi will clearly win Benue, Plateau, FCT, and do significant damage in Nasarawa. On what basis do you appoint a win to Ahmed Tinubu, or are you high on reinforced oshogbo weed?.

Funny how no person can win a state in the SW, but you are gleefully pontificating on how many states Tinubu will win in the NW, because according to you, governors are working for him. Peter Obi will either win Lagos in a free and fair contest, or come a very close second, and that is the most votes rich state in Nigeria.

I hate to break your heart, but it does indeed look bleak for your candidate. This battle is between 2 former colleagues, and I believe Nigerians will prevail through Obi.

Now let me give you the attention you desperately seeks.

I will add you to number of 'dumbers' I will reference on Sunday.

Let me just ignore your nzogbu nzogbu approach to politics

basilo101:
Go and sleep if you can't read. Ignorant afonjas think the world revolves around Lagos

I can't read, tell me. The strength you are using to type is enough to list just one, but you here referring me to goggle, if you believe in goggle what stops you from listing it here in black and white,

basilo101:
Read carefully till the end. Since 2012.

We are asking of replicable reform you telling me to read goggle.

You mean you don't know what you profess. Shame

Asgard13:
What now makes Yoruba people believe a Yoruba man and a kanuri man will win a hausa Fulani dominated region?

History

izombie:
Obi is also a 2 term governor. Ask google what he did for anambra. I no get strength to write all the things he did.

Imao goggle suddenly becomes the spokesman of Obi's record as governor, what Obidients are assigned to do is to curse, abuse and threatened.

Issorite

Correct

oluwole1211:
I beg enough of this unnecessary permutations and let's wait till election day.This year election is very difficult to predict. Jonathan has majority of the Governor's in 2015 and yet he lost.

There's nothing bad in analysing and predicting, it will further open our minds so we won't be making bogus predictions like Obidients are presently doing, if your head cannot carry the discussion, better you keep mute

We would continue to make reference to this gesture from our brothers in the East.

One bad mock deserves another

LocalStandard1:
For your info, I've mastered the art of looking at monikers before reading their comments, so I know and predict people's responses before reading, and those who I should never even bother reading or even replying.

I just want to let you know I didn't even read a line of your long lamentation. So it's all a waste!! Bye bye! Go find somewhere else to shed those juisy tears.

Just the way you read the mind of one Meshai and know that his vote equals 1 million vote for Peter Obi.

You too get sense abeg

kcnwaigbo:

So indigenous people of the area in LP are not contesting elections too?

How many indigenous people of Lagos are contesting in LP?

Let even start from SE your region.

LP does not have candidates for most of the Senate and HoR positions in the north.

Just dey there dey play

LocalStandard1:
One thing is sure, it is wrong to post people's pictures and info on the internet without their consent. So take my words for it....

The real shocker in this elections is coming from the North! Let me explain:

For some weeks now I've been noticing things and even hearing things I didn't know could be possible. At the start of this Peter Obi Presidency if anyone told me a single Muslim Northerner would support Peter Obi even I would have called it too far reaching.

Now I am beginning to normalize seeing Peter Obi's banner and Labour Party's flags and pictures with Muslim Northerners like it's just a norm. I seen it on bikes, kekes, taxis, but the one that got me today was when I passed by a Mai Shaye's (tea man) shop and saw Peter Obi's banner in his shop. And for those that know, these are joints frequented by relaxation seeking Northerners after work, it can be very busy and full. I've seen his banners in a shoe maker's shop too two days ago.

Currently in Abuja, the FCT, I myself am from KD, so it is normal to see a Christian supporting Obi. But you know it's really amazing when an Okada guy says he would rather Kwankwaso or Peter Obi. Same Labour Party that doesn't or hardly even have any major billboard in the entire FCT.

I don't know how far and deep in the North Peter Obi and Labour Party's support has gone but let me tell you something, anyone that tells you Northerners are completely uninformed or fixed minded is lying, big time. *Atiku and Kwankwaso I am looking at your statements here.*

In a free fair elections, Labour Party will sweep Nigeria like a serious hurricane! Take it from the man with ears on the ground and eyes on the streets!

You have eyes but can't see and ears but can't hear.

1 Meshai out of 100 northerners is still a failure.

I admire your amazement that a northerner can support Obi despite Ibo's hatred toward the north and Buhari.

You called them names and insult their leaders and religion and were expecting them to reciprocate in the likes manner but were shocked that some of them won't pay you back in your coin.

You voted against their interest but now doing eye service to win their votes, it doesn't work like that.

You may see one or two people with different opinions but the majority of Nigerians already formed opinions about you, and if you asked me, I ll tell you Nigerian opinion about you is not palatable

Whao, nice one from our Ndi Igbo brother

deltaprincess:
Joker!

Very soon you will wake up and smell the coffee.. Fee days time my dear.

Don't mind him, Obi will come in distant third behind Atiku

englishmart:
Dave Umahi, Okezie Ikpeazu, or Chris Ngige will lose in the southeast if any of them is paired against prof. Yemi Osinbajo or Akinwumi Adeshina. I'm telling you the fact.
Igbos Voted for Obasanjo in 2003 despite having Ojukwu on the ballot. That should tell you something. For the first time they need a competent candidate who happens to be from their extraction, that isn't tribalism please.

Whao this revelation is stunningly instructive THAT OBASANJO IS GREATER THAN OJUWKU the Igbo deity.

This is wonderful

hegelian:
how can you say tinubu has NC as back up

NC states (Plateau, Kogi, Kwara,Niger,Benue, Nassara, and FCT)...

tinubu will win Kwara with minor gap, might win kogi
Atiku will win Niger state and maybe nassarawa
Obi will win Plateau, Benue and maybe FCT
so pls OP how is tinubu having NC as backup

i however partially agree with your other analysis

I am in North central, the only place Obi can win is FCT and he has PDP to contend with and it's not so sure for him. Forget any other state in the North Central for Obi including Benue and Plateau state, what you failed to put into cognizance is that the indigenous people of those states are also in the ballot with APC ticket running for Senate and HoR on same day as Presidential election