₦airaland Forum

[quote author= post=113421464]I can assure you Peter Obi will win Tinubu in Lagos in 2023 Mark my post[/quote]We would remind you this, and your failed prediction that Amaechi would win APC ticket.

Are you the first born of Pa Chukwudi??

Your predictions are always wrong

Ntoooor

I am a governor, I give every woman that give birth at government hospital 500naira.

What's my name

Discountsempai:
GEJ is a PDP man. Expecting a PDP man to suddenly support LP is like expecting Putin to suddenly call Biden his lord and master.

Unless GEJ has resigned his membership of PDP, as a PDP member he is expected to support and follow his party candidate. If he supported Obi, he would have been expelled from PDP for anti-party activities. (Yes, they can do it.).

You tinubu supporters should focus on the issues. (No, I am not obidient , atikulating or tinubiist.)

Then why are many of you blaming Tinubu for supporting Buhari, Not only blame but it has turned to reason why many hate him

Kutunban:
1999-2007 didn't the SE vote the SW?

I don't want to digress on this subject as Yoruba do not believe SE vote for them based on the record, how you are able to convince them will determine whether such point can be used to win support from them in the near future.

Sincerely SE are not doing enough regarding their place in future election

For instance majority of SS big politicians are in PDP but you hardly see them in confrontation with the SW, despite having one of their son as VP candidate but that cannot be said of SE people, they turned the campaign into a fight between SW and SE.

GeneralPula:
Superiority makes Igbo people hates Yoruba. During the Biafra or death, they didn’t hate on Yoruba alone, it was Nigeria at large. Their hatred doesn’t really affect anything, hence why you see Yoruba are not reacting..

But if somebody like Okorocha or Orji Kalu can get the presidential ticket, then there is likely a chance for Igbos to rule. I think those 2 are well spread & are not tribalistic, and with the right support, they’ll surely win. Their problem now is you won’t see igbo people supporting who can win most times..

As for me, after Tinubu, the next southern man I’ll want southerners to produce is either Amaechi or Wike - I don’t know who SS people would present between the 2..

My mind tells me El-Rufai is likely going to be the next northern candidate..

I think Soludo will get more appeal than either of the two, besides political consciousness would continue to increase and there won't be place for non performer.

Between Amaechi and Wike, and yes it could tilt toward places like Akwa Ibom if the governors continue on the infrastructural project they are doing. Past records and state or regional status will play more role in future election while religion and ethnicity will decrease rapidly if Tinubu can win with the MM combo

DearDealz:
To be honest
It will be difficult for APC to win the election without SW's landslide win to support northern votes

What Tinubu need to win the election is half the total vote in the South

Indices that would determine that are

1. Lagos population
2. Lagos record
3. Separation between Atiku and Obi
4 Power of incumbency
5. Voting strength and turnout from SW
6. Other support from politicians like Wike and co.

Indices that could work against it

1. Low turnout of voters in SW
2. LP collapsing into and supporting PDP in the presidential election
3. SE turnout and impact of insecurity in the region
4. Muslim/ Muslim ticket

My submission:

Lagos should increase vote turnout to nothing less than 2.5m
SW should give average of 75%
The party should closely monitor the affairs of APC leaders especially in the SE and SS
Campaign should be aggressive with comparative analysis of infrastructural project between APC and PDP government
APC should flaunt Tinubu's achievement as Lagos governor
APC should use Lagos development as centerpiece model of it's campaign

Okay

PDP can't win so no story

XerXers:
Are you giving up on the North? These comedians sef

I don't argue throwing tantrum or getting emotional, if you can be polite am game. Just stick to the subject of discussion and let's have a worthy conversation

XerXers:
One would think GEJ is supporting thiefnubuu the way urchins are going about this. SW is the minority vote in the South. Deal with it and remain with the north or go back into regional enclave where Buhari pulled you out recently

A boastful soul with an empty brain. February is around the corner we shall see the vote Obi will garner in the South and the one Tinubu will get.

ninilo:
many will disagree with you

That is their cup of tea. If Nigeria still remain one, I wonder where SE will get their vote in the future election. Because if it come down South am sure SW will support SS with the current politics of hate that many people form SE are playing

That is the same man some people carry for head like Gala

You soiled your relationship with Yoruba your closest ally that preserved your properties during the civil war. A tribe that has never for once fight you on their land despite so many provocations. A region where many of your illustrious sons and daughter had their education, where they are seeking their daily bread and living a comfortable life.

You soiled that relationship because they voted Buhari against Jonathan. Main while, Yoruba were not the only region that voted for Buhari, the north and Atiku left PDP to APC and still vote for Buhari, but you didn't count the sins of Atiku when you vote for him en masse in 2019, but still hold grudges against SW for exercising their civil responsibility.

Now Jonathan has moved on and now supporting Atiku, a man who left PDP to support his kingsman. Jonathan is back in PDP with the same Atiku that caused his electoral loss.

Today, the East has become an orphan as the SW has consciously awoken and would henceforth threat the East for who they are. Just like Jonathan and SS are consciously supporting PDP, SW will equally support SS or north even when SE is on the ballot. This is the sad result of SE's unwarranted hatred against SW and other regions in Nigeria.

Will the trend changes, only time will tell. But I hope the obidients who are mostly Igbo realize this bitter truth and make an amendment

udede:
Peter Obi is the ticking time bomb that will destroy this country if not well handled. The political elites of this country are ganging up against him but maybe they also need to be informed on time that they are only creating a monster of a revolution that will consume them, the youth of this country will not swallow the jibity jankoniko that are planing to visit on Peter Obi.

E nogo work, suffer don taya Nigerian youths

That revolution can only take place in the East, MNK instruction to destroy Lagos during endsars has exposed the type of revolution the Easterners are fighting reminiscence of 1966 massacre of Northern and Western leaders.

Very heartless people

ScamHunter:
In effect, SE, SS, NC and SW are now on lockdown for Obi.

The real work now is in NE and NW. 70% of all votes cast is achievable in this particular election for Obi. More massive campaign in Hausa and Kanuri in radio stations of the north will do it. What Obi needs in this election is make a statement with a landslide victory.

Why are you mocking Obi Pandora?

blamingthedevil:
Nnamdi Kanu Release: Peter Obi's Campaign Ended Abruptly

Obidients now have double work to do. Do campaign for Obi in the day and sing Biafra in the night

manmade:
negotiate wetin? APC is fully awared that obi Will win next year presidential election and would release him , to collect the glory of doing Justice to an innocent man , hence , the manipulation of doing the speedy trial to make it look like he was released by this administration.

Oh you want MNK to remain in detention until your imaginary President Obi releases him?

Why are you this dumb, is dumbness a qualification to become Obidient?

FFK don vex

Congrats to MNK and genuine lovers of freedom

Jennifer663:
Awaiting our next president Peter obi

In your dream. Abeg wake up

diplomat058:
This is one of the most foolish comments I've read on here. If Igbos are 51% of Lagos population and other non Yorùbá tribes are probably 20-30%, are you saying that YORUBAS, the owners of the land, are just 20% of Lagos population? That for every random 10 Lagos residents, before you see 2 Yorùbá, you would have seen 5 Igbos?

That guy is a mad man. Just ignore him.

ehissi:
I made no mention of sokoto............

I spoke of only lagos state.......

Below is a list showing Federal representatives of the 8th National assembly, representing constituents in lagos!!

Look at it closely and tell me when Oghene Emmanuel, Rita Orji and Tony Nwulu became yoruba names.....??

Till date Hon Oghene Emmanuel managed to retain his seat for Amuwo Odofin, an area I used to be very conversant of their local politics at one time

If you know, you know!!!

You are too dull. Oghene is not an Igbo ma please shut it

ehissi:
Contrary to your claim, according to demographics obtained via the Lagos State population census, which coincidentally was done in Senator Bola Tinubu's first term, 51 percent of lagos residents are of South Eastern descent......

This why as a policy in lagos state government, one igbo man is always nominated to fill a slot in the lagos state government cabinet.........

If you know, you know......

Obidient and lie are 5and6 abeg provide the report and ill start supporting Obi. 51%? You guys can lie for Africa

FreeStuffsNG:
And Mr Ezeigbe Ughulu is the state coordinator for Lagos state. smh

When we say LP has turned regional party.
In fact LP is Biafra party.
Argue with your keyboard

Asgard73:
Atiku clearly has no Opposition...

Dreams and hallucinations may win online .. but reality comes on the Election Day

Power to the people
North 2023

E over sure ..

Obasanjo on Atiku:

"What I did not know, which came out glaringly later, was his parental background which was somewhat shadowy, his propensity to corruption, his tendency to disloyalty, his inability to say and stick to the truth all the time,a propensity for poor judgment, his belief and reliance on marabouts , his lack of transparency, his trust in money to buy his way out on all issues and his readiness to sacrifice morality, integrity, propriety truth and national interest for self and selfish interest"

Olusegun Obasanjo
MY WATCH
Volume 2
Pages 31- 32

I have said it Obi and Obidients are political neophyte, they must receive wotowoto and learn for 8year so their lying and insulting brain can reset

garfield1:
Lagos gave gej 1 mil in 2011.they can do it again

Lagos will beat Kano in voters turnout this time around. That am certain of. The fight of titan starts from there. We are not joking with Lagos at all. There is a point to prove

EndsarsReloaded:
Mumu, you think it's by seizing market women PVC and buying others? Obi is winning Lagos and that's a sure banker!!!

@op, you're assuming that illiterates and agberos are in the majority in the SW so that's why you're giving Tinubu those numbers.

Most educated Yorubas I know are voting Obi and most Yoruba Christians too. So, you do the maths. Obi is certainly getting up to 30% in all SW states!

Oh educated Yoruba that don't visit FB twitter and Nairaland with your hate and abuse, you have burnt the little respect Yoruba have for some of you. In politics from now it's going to be an for an eye

fergie001:
This is the very closest you have given since all your predictions, however, you understand that a Yoruba man is on the ballot. The way he will win you will see.

Leave SM, Lagos is the only place he will face some sort of challenge, yet win big because PDP and LP are sharing their votes. Osun, Ondo (that's if he reconciles with Wike) & Oyo is where Atiku hopes to close the gap.

Ojo LGA is a PDP fortress, alongside Amuwo-Odofin LGA. They have won all the Presidential elections there since '07 but now APC will likely take it.

The Vice-Chairman of the LGA is Igbo, the PDP Guber Candidate is from the LGA, the Lagos State APC Chairman is from the Zone. Candidates the APC gave their tickets to (HoA & co) are grassroots-men. I mean die-hards.......

With PDP/LP doing their thing, it gives APC the upper hand. That's how it's going to be in parts of the State.

You sabi road

garfield1:
All the lgas dominated by pdp in lagos are dominated by igbos and ss people

That's not true, remove the word dominated. Even in Ojo and Festac, the population of Igbo without Yoruba and other ethic support can't give Igbo candidate a win

lhordspy:
It will be different this time, brother.

Tinubu is contesting bro. I think we will be having upto atleast 4million voters.

And talking about obi having more votes than atiku. Bro, forget the internet sensation and buzz. I was born in Lagos, i grew up there before moving up North.
PDP has wards in every streets, same with APC. With atleast 100 members. Now we have almost like 20streets more or less in each local government.

Guy, that is structure.. You guys are underrating PDP in lagos just because of Tinubu influence.
PDP is a bomb in lagos.. Lagos was nearly lost last time remember? Not because of sentiment or tribe or religious affiliations. It was the structure bro.

I am not saying base on what i heard, i have been in the system.

Peter obi will come a distant third in lagos.

In 5million expected voters turnout, i think Tinubu will have like 3million, Atiku 1.5million, and Peter obi 400,000. Then the rest of the parties 100,000.

Your analysis is very accurate. Lagos will have the largest turnout in this election the Yoruba have decided to prove a point. APC has 90% political family, even members of PDP have in the course of their political career have something to do with APC I mean, AD, AC, ACN and APC. In short Lagos political family is one. Expect nothing less than 3million votes from Lagos for APC