₦airaland Forum

persius555:
Senator Eyinnaya Abaribe was given three options of bail for failing to produce Nnamdi kanu in court. I believe he met one of the bail options.

https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/headlines/297719-analysis-ipob-nnamdi-kanu-and-the-propriety-of-sureties-losing-n300mn-bond.html

ESN is playing mind game with the FG and they are falling for it. ESN is using the herder/farmer clashes in the south east to garner more sympathy and boots, resources and personnels from the civil populace. They are applying a lot of intelligence in their mode of operation.
Attack armed police personnels in possesion of AK-47, cart away their rifles, move on to another target and it continues from there on, giving them enough time to amass enough weapons. As it is, the police is indirectly helping to arm the group.

Like somebody said, create a tactical team that could withstand an attack in strategic points, especially close to police stations. Withdraw policemen from checkpoints (it makes them sitting ducks for target practise) or better still, arm them with pump actions and pistols.

Lastly, appeal for peace among the populace and find a way to reduce the farmer/herder clashes. It is becoming impetus for the group

The military checkpoints are just psyche ops and to also limit freedom of movement of the non-state actors. Anyone will think twice before moving around with weapons right now. FG isn't ready to commit to a lethal operation in that axis and they have opted for a less troublesome approach for the mean time.
Also, I will advise that police in the region leave the streets and move into locations they can defend exactly like the aftermath of the endsars protest. It might prolong the inevitable for a while too.

Who else noticed that the Abuja-kaduna highway has been quiet for a while?

jpphilips:
Cluster bombs are suffering UN security council embargo, nobody manufactures it anymore, hardly can you buy it.

It is still in production in some countries. Azerbaijan used it extensively in the last war with Armenia. Israel still produces it along with other banned weapons like white phosphorus. Majority of UN resolutions are only meant for weak countries. And also, several countries have enormous stockpiles.

See, free this man. He has said what he heard and what he believes, it is not compulsory you believe neither is it a must to comment. Please learn to move on with things you don't agree with rather than calling people unprintable names. Not only in this regard sef. How can you call yourself civilized people when you can't participate in responsible discussions?

Parachoko:
Who are this unknown gunmen killing our policemen in the East? They gunned down some policemen today.

An insurgency is slowly gathering momentum over there. The kids are playing with fire and the adults have refused to caution them. The war they are clamoring for will set the region back several decades in terms of development and nothing tangible will be achieved. There are several camps located in forests all around the region training people willing to join the movement. There has been more than 10 attacks on police formations in the region since the beginning of this year with these people carting away weapons. When things go south and criminals take advantage of the security vacuum, they will start cursing FG.

JOSCOFELIX:
from what i heard it was a misslie nuclear strike. army are shooting those who want to run through kaduna,kastina. ever the airstrike in lake chad nuclear strike

LOL, I understand what you mean but there is a bit of exaggeration here. Nigeria doesn't have nuclear weapons and no country will use nuclear weapons on its own territory. But we got the point that the attack was massive. Thanks and keep it up.

The weekend was largely quiet. So either ISWAP is planning something big for week or they have exhausted their momentum.
Come to think of it, where do they get petrol to fuel the gun trucks and armored vehicles. There should be a way to cut off the availability of fuel to the terrorists. Maybe cause artificial scarcity in the general area of the conflict and adjacent locations. Fuel should be a contraband in some places.

SamuelAnyawu:
I heard the attack has subsided.

E be like Na testing the microphone dem come do

Then they might attack whichever of the towns they deem weak. Or another town entirely. Either way it follows the strategy of trying to force the military to revert to defensive stance.

lionel4power:
lol.. what a day. ���

You are not the one?
Apologies then.

lionel4power, I sight you, keep doing what you are doing, you are really doing great but be careful about unverified information next time. Onle love bro.

SamuelAnyawu:
It’s necessary because a Damasak villagers are cooling off in Niger right now. My guys are waiting there till next week before they’ll swim back to Nigeria exactly when the Humanitarian helicopter arrives.

Humanitarians we lost Magumeri, Dikwa and Damasak. Where is next?

Northern and deep Central Borno is in a mess

The attacks won't stop anytime soon and will get more random as time goes by. The terrorists have absolutely no idea in what to do beyond trying to divert attention by sporadic and frequent attacks.


To speed up the offensive, the military should find a way to deliver a huge blow to ISWAP's morale. It will help a lot.

SamuelAnyawu:
Something needs to be Done ASAP in Northern Borno.

Gudzamala LGA should be burnt down completely

What about the civilians held captives there.

cutievik:
Reinforcements should be in, every avenue of escape blocked and all ISWAP killed or captured. Repeat This circle and they would think twice next time..

This should not be tried unless there is adequate protection for troops.
Terrorists are far more dangerous when connered than when their retreat route is secured. Casualties might be heavy on own troops if that is done. Using airforce is another thing entirely.

Troops in the town should launch an aggressive clearance operation all over the town to avoid a repeat of the Dikwa scenario.

Also there will most likely be another attack before Monday. This one came too early for them not to have another plan for another attack.
One would have expected them to use their troops and resources to strengthen defenses in their AORs but the bastards akmow what they are doing.
Most of their troops are trained with attacking mindset hence they are far more capable at attacking than defending. So they have now started their own offensive operations too to force the military to move back to defensive stance.

ugo4u:
No comment

Almost end of the week and they are scouting already. Between Thursday and Monday, there might be another attack. The reconnaissance suggests that there will most likely be a VBIED attack involved, directed at the strongest defense position.
Ordinarily, I will suggest that troops shouldn't wait for the attack but to move out now to patrol and clear the area around the town but it will be more reasonable for troops to simply withdraw in good order(after every civilian might have left though) when they eventually launch their attack. When the terrorists leave the town(which they will surely do) troops can them move back in.

The whole essence of the increase in frequency of attacks on towns is to force NAF to reassign aircrafts to defensive operations and also force NA to abandon the offensive.
They are gaining absolutely nothing from the attacks.

bidex111:
Its been two years now, I knew Nigeria would never win the case, international politics at the fullest.


https://www.google.com/amp/s/mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKBN2601JK

It shall never be well for Dan Etete and Muhammad Bello Adoke.

It seems as if NAF is currently testing RQ-11 UAVs.
Source : defense news Nigeria.
According to Jake, the video is at least 6 years old. It was recycled.
Just saw the video ISWAP released on the ambush near Mongunno. The dozens of terrorists attacked would have easily been detected with such drones. The terrorists featured in the attack would be close to 100 if not more.

Sizzorkay:
How can you possibly get an accurate figure for this? I'm sure not every encounter is shared with the public. and given the entire area of operations, you are on a futile journey. no NA 7 , Iswap 14 silliness.

Rough estimates, based on numbers reported.

Nigeria just lost a $1.7 billion suits against shell and ENI in Milan.

ISWAP captured 7 of the SUVs in the ambush operation outside of mongunno.
So basically, guntrucks captured/destroyed; ISWAP:14; NA:10
will need help to adjust the numbers.

ISWAP's movement was reported on the border between Niger and Nigeria on the banks of the yobe River around 8th of March, few days after, Damasak also on the bank of the yobe River was attacked. Locals reported that the town was attacked with about 30 guntrucks.

So peccavi said something about registering the number of gun trucks ISWAP captures and loses and I have decided to do a rough estimate.
So far this month, ISWAP reported capturing 14 NA&CJTF SUVs(most are guntrucks), 2 from Niger. While I can confirm that NA/NAF have destroyed/captured at least 7(number should be higher because of NAF mostly; they haven't been reporting much.
ISWAP captured 7 of the SUVs in the ambush operation outside of mongunno.
So basically ; ISWAP:14; NA:7
will need help to adjust the numbers.

bidex111:
More....

I assume this is today and at least 2-3 guntrucks destroyed. Please help with the figure. Edakun.
We should be keeping track of some of these things ejhor.

Toju200:
We called them because it was now all our problem.
Na we even Bleep up pass we lose guard.

Exactly my point. If not because our own performance has been below disappointing, they should have been calling us to help them push out the insurgents from their sides too.

Oladeligt:
This man funny, he even brought Navy and Air Force into the discussion. Chad don't even have Navy and their Airforce.... The way some Nigerians belittle Nigeria is beyond word

"Ti Iya nila ba gbe no sanle, kekere na a gori eni"

We've dissapointed ourselves for far too long and now we must face the consequences with all sorts of ridicules that comes with it.
What have we achieved with our superior airforce and navy?.

Years from now, it will be said by chadians, cameroonians and Nigerians that Nigeria couldn't defeat 'ragtag' terrorists and had to beg Niger, Chad and Cameroon for help. Even Benin offered help at some point

Honestly, it should have been the opposite

GeneralFarouq:
What a shame, for somebody to open his mouth and even call the Airforce and Navy messy, shows how brainwashed they are.
If by ur rating our structure is messy, then the neighbours structures are not even existant.
This is the Airforce of these other countries that can't even fly their own jets ....
One contributing factor to Nigeria's weak procurement system is not far from the military incompetent neighbours it has,
For if it where Egypt or Morocco or Algeria that where our borders mates, the selfish politicians at the top would be on their feet...

Our bastards will still find excuses not to do the right thing even if we are in the middle east.
Is it until the "weak neighbors" start becoming strong before we start thinking about being stronger? Wouldn't it be more beneficial for us to be miles ahead of them so that we can dominate them totally?

youghs:
Do you guys agree with this

It's good but there are some things that should be considered.
In fact Komenk has been saying this months ago.
How long before the refurbished systems start expiring?
Should it ever be done, it should be as a stopgap intervention but we all know that NA and FG are always content with little. It might be decades before they think about buying more VT-4 or newer systems..
Considering other factors too, it should only be done when NA gets a huge budget(say $500 million ) and the remaining $400 is used in getting newer systems with longer life span and better combat abilities. It should never be done with a budget of $100 million.
Another thing to be considered is will the refurbished systems turn the tide of the war? We've had tanks and IFVs in the northeast for years, how many of them have done what VT-4 has done?
The tanks Dasuki got, what has happened to them?

It is cheap, it will change a lot of things but superior numbers isn't a guarantee for winning battles.
Look at the performance of the Phantom APCs. That is a good example of what buying cheap can get you.
Another reason why I'm afraid is because of the hilux, they were meant to be temporary intervention but several years after, it has led to the death of thousands. NA and FG will just turn this into the standard and be buying same thing every 5 years with $100 million.
If we must do something, let's do it right or not at all. Let's get systems that will still be very active and dominating battlefields 30 years from now. It will save us a lot of troubles and even money.
I support it but only as a stopgap intervention till more VT-4s and other capable and new systems are delivered and after that, they can compliment the new systems till they are retired.

kabe1:
Successive governments I think don't consider security to be a serious issue since it's taking place in the very poor and underdeveloped north east.

That's the only explanation I can see.

Honestly, it will take little to spend $5 billion on weapons procurement and getting capabilities but this administration is more concerned about infrastructure.
Maybe with the recent increase in oil prices, the ECA will swell and we might see more reasonable procurements.

kabe1:
Algeria

- 4 units DWL-002 Air Search System

- 100 units Red Arrow-12 Anti-Tank missile

- 1 Pattani class OPV (96 meters Corvette)

- 10 FPB-98 Patrol Craft

- 926 units of Fuchs-2 APC

- 1 MCMV-2010 mine hunter ship

- 3500 units of ATAKA missiles

- 300 units of BMPT Terminator Armoured Fighting Vehicle

- 14 units of MIG-29m Fighter Jets

- 16 units of SU-30MK Fighter Jets

- 5 units Yahbon Flash 20 UCAV

- 5 units Yahbon Flash 40 UCAV

Lack of political will at play here. It doesn't affect them so they don't care. And also, Buratai needs to be investigated.

SamuelAnyawu:
They all saw it was coming from the entrance. In fact ISWAP entered Damasak town strolling around. Air support later pushed them out of Damasak.

However, they promised everyone they’ll return soonest

From this point onwards, the attacks will intensify. It will be hell in most part of Yobe and Borno states, there will be several hit and run attacks but none of them will have any strategic significance.
For the first time in a very long time, the Nigerian army is fighting ISWAP in "ISWAP's territory". There will be heavy casualties on NA side and they will learn most of the lessons they should have learnt peacefully in painful ways. The decisive battle is battle for Northern Borno. Many of the ISWAP's tumbums that used to be attacked only from the air are now being cleared on land. The reasonable response for ISWAP is to try to divert attention and force the military back to defensive posture.

Another sets of students have just been kidnapped in kaduna.

It seems there is something cooking up in the military command.



Meanwhile, according to Eons intelligence report, Navy's falcon eye, NIMASA's C4I and NPA's C3I are not yielding any results in maritime security because they are either not operational and/or there is no cooperation among the agencies.
They all went to get the same/almost the same equipment to do the same job and they are still fighting each other over who does what.