Whyem15's Posts
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Regarding the farmers-herders crisis, there is a very important thing that has been missing regarding miyetti Allah. There are two miyetti Allah. The first one is Miyetti Allah Cattle Breeders Association of Nigeria (MACBAN) while the other is Miyetti Allah Kautal hore. MACBAN has been existing for decades and has always favored dialogue and peaceful resolutions but the other one is the one always saying inflammatory stuffs. Sadly whenever the media is reporting anything on the issue, they just say "miyetti Allah". Not distinguishing between the two. Whether this is deliberate or not, I do not know but it should change to avoid more issues. The kautal hore shouldn't be given media attention even. |
SamuelAnyawu:What if the attack Was from that side? ![]() |
3 units of JF-17 Thunders 6 units of A29 super tucanos 6 units of Mi-35 helicopters and ***6 units of M-346 jets (no official confirmation yet) These are the platforms the NAF would be getting this year Coupled with the reaction of some units of F7-NIs Oh, and the UAVs from China. Next year will be a very bad year for terrorists and bandits. The former CAS really did a great job with procurement. |
JOSCOFELIX:SamuelAnyawu can you please confirm this? Attack on Damasak is just so unusual and far from the front lines. One would think the attack came from Niger but the terrain from that side doesn't favor such. |
lebuhsi:Proforce should expand. The company needs it and the country also needs it. With a little lobbying, they will get patronage. And the west/central African market for MRAPs is also there for them. NA might be looking to get new IFVs soon. Proforce should tap into that too. |
SamuelAnyawu:Typical weekend attacks. Who remembers the days of "yellow bucket"? ![]() Honestly there's been a lot of improvement in the military but a lot more still has to be done. Areas like situational awareness, communications, protected mobility, superior firepower, intelligence etc etc needs to be improved. We are slowly transcending into the next phase of the war where the enemy will only be fighting to survive and for significance. The enemy will be scattered and the only goal they will have is to inflict maximum casualties on troops, putting fears into the heart of the locals and so on. Ambush will be very common and once in a while, they will attack towns to kill as many soldiers as possible before they withdraw. They can't keep any town they capture so they will surely withdraw after every battle. The military should be looking at ways to ensure that the terrorists aren't able to operate in villages and communities that they can't protect. These villages have always been the soft spot in this war. Overall, I believe the insurgency has reached its peak and is about to start its slow but definite descent down the curve. But the big issue is that many of the terrorists will flee to the northwest where there is already disorder to start all over again. It seems like the curriculum used in training officers is outdated. We might need to send some officers to Iraq and Syria to learn some things. We might need to increase cooperation with countries like Egypt and others fighting insurgency in Africa, even Libya if possible. Several years of US and UK cooperation in this war has done little to nothing for us. |
mekussa:The problem is that we don't have enough aircrafts and most of platforms we have are already dedicated to providing air support in defense of important locations. Maybe things will change once we start receiving some of the Jf-17s and A-21s. This is why I still don't understand why FG hasn't found a way to pay for the remaining Mi-35s. They are ready to be delivered within a few weeks And then some of the out of operation MI-24s need to be reactivated. It's good that the F7-NIs are currently undergoing maintenance. |
The single most influential cause of casualties on home troops is lack of situational awareness. Especially in ambush situations. |
There is a sector of Health called school health and their are international recommendations as to how a school should be, including matters partaining to security of schools. But that doesn't mean anything to us here. |
Schools do not have to be closed down. Just scrap boarding schools. Let the students come from their homes every morning and return every afternoon. Virtually all these abductions were done late at night or early in the morning when it is still dark. And then let all schools have a direct line of communication with the military garrison closest to it so that the military can swing into action immediately an attack is reported. The sad thing about all these is that some people predicted this and had recommended the above to the FG since 2014 after the chibok incidence. But we all know how we treat researches and recommendations from researchers in this country. |
Rumors of the NAF ordering for the M-346 AT/LA jets. Beegeagles reported it. |
The NSA ehn..... He is reporting that some equipment are missing despite huge funds provided to the former service chiefs. Question is who is in charge of procurement? What exactly is the function of the NSA? shouldn't he be aware of the quality and quantity of the equipment that have been ordered but yet to be delivered? Even if he wasn't aware, shouldn't he have asked for info on the matter from appropriate quarters before going for the interview? |
SuperSixSeven:The quantity we are capable of producing in this country is still little and the need for the equipment are urgent. Proforce and DICON will reach that capacity/capability one day but we shouldn't wait for them at the expense of soldiers lives. Proforce hasn't delivered some of the MRAPs ordered earlier, when they have delivered, then they should be given newer orders. |
mekussa:You think they will also prefer to wait for you to come raid their camps before they fight you? All their attacks are diversionary. No real motivation behind them other than to force the military to allocate more assets to defending towns. bidexiii:These bastards fielding heavier weapons now and it is largely due to the carelessness of NA. Even if troops are going to withdraw from a base or abandon a position, it should be of utmost importance to destroy weapons first before leaving. With these artillery rounds, they can wreak havoc on any town/location they want. |
I won't be surprised if some officers in the airforce are starting to make wild wishes. Most of their immediate needs have been taken care of and they are now starting to think about the future. Imagine where they were 10-15 years ago. Compare the airforce to the navy/army too, they've been very lucky in recent years and there is nothing wrong in pushing their luck. Whether they will get them or not is another thing entirely. And then, the fact that they opted for the JF-17 and shows that they may not be getting anything extraordinary in the next few years. Except they won't be ordering more than 3 of the aircraft. |
Whyem15:Jakana, a town 25km from Maiduguri was attacked today. Thankfully, the attack was repelled. |
sanctity454:Did you read the article? Jake said it could either be a follow up on the earlier order meaning ordering extra 2 with the 4 ordered earlier or an entirely new order. Either way it is said the new air chief is a fan of drones so we might be seeing more orders sooner or later. |
There's been a major shake up in the Nigerian Army. I think Major Gen. Ezeogwu is leaving DICON. |
SamuelAnyawu:By now, the military should have noted the patterns of attacks and all other patterns that can be used to predict the actions/inactions of the terrorists. Is Doro Gowon an NA garrisoned town? It is almost never talked about. |
SamuelAnyawu:Check Humangle's Twitter page. |
Some soldiers actually ran away alongside civilians when Dikwa was attacked last week. There is video evidence. The morale is extremely low. |
There might be another attack during this weekend or early next week. I have been studying their pattern of attacks and it almost always falls within Friday- Tuesday. |
JOSCOFELIX:
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mekussa:It was an ambush as the troops were returning from an operation in the forest. Ambush keeps working against NA troops and the solution is very cheap and readily available. Provide air surveillance for troops on movement. Even the cheapest drones can be used for a while. In fact cheap armed drones should be the key platform for combat patrols, far cheaper and safer. The Turkish TB2 drones for instance. |
SamuelAnyawu:This is exactly the reason why many police officers have been killed and abducted by the terrorists. They are not equipped to fight anything. Just last month, a police checkpoint was attacked and some of them were killed and abducted. |
jpphilips:Exactly |
Litmus:I didn't mean to be offensive though and I apologize to anyone that might have been offended by words. Nonetheless, the message I was trying to pass is that we should be more concerned about the country. In thoughts and in actions. Even if possible the progress of the country should take precedent in all the choices we make. |
Geronimoe:Most of us in the country don't give a f*ck what happens to the country and how we can influence it for good, we only care about our own personal interests. In short, patriotism really doesn't exist in Nigeria. And the greed and selfishness will be the end of us. Apart from the above, one shouldn't expect a professional army to be as fluid as militias and terrorist groups etc because of bureaucracy and red tapism and the thousands of other problems that will normally plague an organized sector. As for the other questions, the reason this war isn't nearly over yet is lack of will. Government isn't really interested as they should be. And then, I really don't see any reasonable tactical advantage for the terrorists in overrunning military bases and capturing garrisoned towns that they will eventually have to withdraw from because they can't keep it. If I were in the same position as the Brigadier general, and I'm sure the cost of successfully defending the town will be too high, I would retreat in good order too(leaving little to nothing for the terrorists to loot in my Armoury though) and return back when the terrorists are done burning buildings and have withdrawn. Tactically, there is really no sense in fighting every battle, there are some you withdraw from so that you can have the upper edge in other unavoidable ones. What exactly did ISWAP achieve tactically with those attacks? Yes, they resupplied themselves and all but it the airforce will destroy some of the caches later. The major objective of the two terrorists groups in Nigeria is to establish caliphates that they will govern and rule themselves, with the hope of expanding with time. The military has denied them that at least for now, what the terrorists are doing currently are sting attacks to let the world know they are still very capable and are still existing and also for their survival. What should be concerning here is that the military heirachy seems to be contented with denying them that alone which shouldn't be. Their primary objective alongside other governmental organizations should be ensuring absolute peace and stability. |
SamuelAnyawu:They have several hundred bases for several hundred cells. They only muster wheen they've been activated for an attack. The airforce has bombed several of their bases(check DHQ's Twitter page, you will see some videos) but they rebuild after each airstrike. They learn quickly and adapt very easily whereas the military is very slow to adaptation. They've shown that the supercamps no longer serve the purpose for which they were established yet it will take the military several months and several dead soldiers before they review it. The terrorists suffered greatly in 2014/2018 when they were controlling cities, today, you will never see them holding such cities because they know they will never be able to defend it. So they attack (to show that they can) and withdraws afterwards. The objective of the current attacks is to divert attention from the offensive till the beginning of the raining season and they will throw everything behind that. |
BabaOwen:See, never mind sef, no be im fault |
BabaOwen:All of those people there and not a single one of them could ask him if it is federal or state or local government supplying them. Or who their connect is. If I was there, I would make sure he states in clear terms the exact people supplying them. Like why wouldn't I grab every opportunity to expose my enemy? |
I predicted that they will attack more towns yesterday and this is only just the beginning. The terrorists knew about the offensive and also knew when it would be their turn. They were not sitting idle all the time the offensive was targeting JAS. They've had months to plan and prepare. The End game of this attacks is to force the military to switch to defensive mode. And to also have supplies to be able to fight back should the military refuse to concede. It is the military that is supposed to be putting pressure on the terrorists to be on defense at all times but they are incredibly slow to change. |
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