If you think PDP won't get block vote from North Central and more than 35 percent in some S-S State you are deceiving yourself. You guys think that PDP will just automatically lose their strong hold. I just wonder for some people. APC destroyed Nigeria in the eyes of most people and they know how their lives was under PDP and they are good numbers of them that will want to vote PDP. I don't play sentiment politics I speak reality not tales of moon light. I have said it before as a S-S person and PDP supporter I will vote LP But don't undermine PDP because they still have the numbers to win next years election.
Everytime you speak of youth. Does youth resides only in the South. We still have Northern youth also and if you are thinking that Northern youths will vote PETER OBI then you will dream forever.

No where else

Salewa97:
This one no concern me.

If Atiku like, he can go bring his people from Cameroon to come and vote.

But I am sure Peter Obi will be the next president of Nigeria.

God bless Akanbi omo olodo ide.

Fixed

Salewa97:
This one no concern me.

If Atiku like, he can go bring his people from Cameroon to come and vote.

But I am sure Asiwaju Bola Tinubu will be the next president of Nigeria.

God bless Akanbi omo olodo ide.

God is not in the business of blessing rogues, looters and drug lords.

And Tinubu too...

Most PDP states are either obidient or partially obidient.
Pdp had a stronghold in the south east,but not anymore
The battle is between Tinubu and obi..

South west dont vote party but individual unlike other regions
Adeleke won not Pdp

They can vote as they wish they don't do vote of one direction in west but one person will lead

Penguin2:


PDP did not win Osun, Adeleke did.

Talking about Fashola and Osinbajo losing their polling units and Local Government to Atiku in 2019, are the variables still the same?

And when you say SS is PDP, what parameters and data do you base that?

The parameters are not the same and not still in support of Tinubu because the 6 governors in SW are all christians. How will they canvass for a muslim-muslim ticket?? Even Osinbajo will never openly support the ticket.
Are you telling me Adeleke and PDP will vote APC lol ..... The election in Osun is a resounding NO to muslim-muslim devilish ticket having a Kanuri minority Boko Haram sympathiser as running mate.
APC will never get up to 15% total votes in SS due to muslim-muslim ticket and the fact that their son (christian) is aiming for VP. During campaign, they will remind Tinubu how he used propaganda to kick out their son Jonathan.

The biggest mistake Tinubu and APC made is to project a muslim-muslim ticket in 2022

Honjoshy4u:


Osun was a rejection of Tinubu the greedy old bullion van criminal. The whole of SW State is now governed by christians. How will they market a satanic muslim-muslim ticket Even Osinbajo can not help the man that plan to feed 50 million of your type with agbado and cassava.

Why do you think osinbajo run go injure himself as excuse to not attend shettima unveiling? politics funny die abeg

Atiku will not win any state in Nigeria.

He should focus his attention on winning a couple of states in Cameroon because he stands a better chance there.

And a place called NOWEHERE!

SS and SE.

Honjoshy4u:
Where were you when him and PDP won Tinubu's state (Osun)? In 2019, he won Sanwolu and Osinbajo ward.
Fashola loose his lg.
He got about 45% in the West.
South South is for PDP.
North central that Buhari government has destroyed and the insensitive muslim-muslim ticket will deal with Tinubu and reward PDP.

Fashola did not and never lost his LG. Please get your facts right.
OP may have exaggerated but APC knows the game
SW, NW, NE and NC are APC and Asiwaju Tinubu.
SE is PDP and Atiku.
SS will be shared between APC and PDP.
Asiwaju Tinubu is the clear winner even before the election.

The real voters are offline. HE Obi is wasting his time and money on hype.

Your opinion is a thrash in our eyes.... On Asiwaju we move on

Adeleke is a Muslim.

Honjoshy4u:


Osun was a rejection of Tinubu the greedy old bullion van criminal. The whole of SW State is now governed by christians. How will they market a satanic muslim-muslim ticket Even Osinbajo can not help the man that plan to feed 50 million of your type with agbado and cassava.

The whole North Central is 4 Atiku

If he is serious, his first important step is to make peace with wike and his group.

Dave005:


It doesn't matter what religion the state governor in SW is, I am a Christian, I voted for Adeleke in osun, and I will be voting for Tinubu. Religion doesn't affect our decisions and that's just the truth.

You lie... Even in your party, while they were unveiling Shetima, APC party members were protesting in your secretariat. Christian leaders in APC have rejected the ticket.
CAN has rejected it. Osinbajo will never support it. The APC present government has destroyed every part of the country and APC is seen as a plague.

Apart from SW where does Tinubu expect his votes from if Atiku takes NE and NW?

you no go rest for all these permutations. Because election still far

ayodejisalau:
Boko haram and ISWAP members !

Sir please check my signature

Atiku will get his votes from all Nigeria states

The OP analysis is spot on...

Where he minces saying the truth is by tailoring his submissions towards Peter Obi's emergence..

For me...

I think Peter Obi's dominance will do PDP more harm...He will conveniently win SS, SE who are before now, the swing States for PDP.

Tinubu will do well in SW....and Kwara.

Atiku will do well in few NE States..

The battle at NW and NC will largely favour APC...simply because they control most of the states... President Buhari and APC Governors factor. PDP will get some votes here too and that's why PDP needs Governor Wike to decimate LP in SS and SE small.

In all...the permutations still favours APC slightly

kayjay69:
Adeleke is a Muslim.

Lolzzzzz... Adeleke is a christian Oga.
He was in the church for thanks giving after winning.

Salewa97:
This one no concern me.

If Atiku like, he can go bring his people from Cameroon to come and vote.

But I am sure Asiwaju Bola Tinubu will be the next president of Nigeria.

God bless Akanbi omo olodo ide.

Smart intelligent man.

Abujason:
Apart from SW where does Tinubu expect his votes from if Atiku takes NE and NW?

It's not a sincere analysis...He didn't put the power of incumbent factor in his calculations...

APC Governors will not be sleeping..no matter how bad...this is where APC has some sort of upper advantage, especially at the NW.

All these points to victory for Bola Hamed Tinubu. If you are smart enough, you will understand.

Hope the SS here is not South South.

Thesaint141:
SS NC

North Central and south south