SS
South South are still heavily rooted in PDP

uthlaw:
Atiku cannot win North west,even kwankwaso will have more votes than Atiku...

Kwankwaso might work with atiku or tinubu.

The coming election is between Jagaban and Atiku. The fact check.

Dave005:


It doesn't matter what religion the state governor in SW is, I am a Christian, I voted for Adeleke in osun, and I will be voting for Tinubu. Religion doesn't affect our decisions and that's just the truth.

Wen u see those stupid noise makers u should recognize ND know how to avoid their building in air kind of banter politics.


I'm A Christian and voting BAT. People voted adeleke not because they hated BAT, they just want adeleke in .

4ward4:
Obi is a movement, Labour party might not win any governorship, Senatorial position. But he have a chance to be a president.
Nigerians aren't after party any longer...
Myself personally Obi for president, Apc in my state and PDP for my Senatorial district.

Lol. Which state?

Penguin2:
In his last interview with Arise TV, Atiku sounded like someone who had everything figured out and hence confident of victory.

But I’ve been cracking my head to see where Atiku is really expecting his votes aside his native Northeast and some states in Northwest, where else is Atiku sure of votes.

To buttress this point, I will tell you what happened when I boarded a Uber in Lagos. It happened that the driver is from the Igbo speaking area of Delta State. We got talking and talks got to politics and he revealed that he’s card-carrying member of the PDP. But guess what, this man told me clearly that he’s support Peter Obi for the presidency.

We were still analyzing his reasons when he got a call from a certain ‘Segun’ who he addressed as “my corrupt officer”. After they exchanged banters, my Uber driver now cunningly told his caller that in the forthcoming election their support is for Tinubu since they are all Lagos boys. But surprisingly, Segun interjected and said “it’s Obi o”. In the end they concluded that for governorship, Senator, Rep, etc, they are voting PDP, but they are voting Obi for Presidency.

When he was done with the call, I now asked him which of the Southwest States Segun is from and guess what my driver told me, Segun is from Kogi State. He’s Okun. The part of Kogi that speak Yoruba. I got to find out that they both belong to PDP but they are both not voting Atiku for the presidency. I asked my driver if he relates with people at home in Delta to know their opinion too and he told me categorically that everybody in Delta is Obidient and dismissed Okowa’s influence.

I’m not telling you this for you to believe; I can only tell you the truth, but not force you to believe it.

Now the question is, how many PDP card-carrying members are like my driver and Segun? How many southerners and MiddleBelters are like them?

So far in the electioneering process, it has been become increasingly obvious that Southeast and Southsouth, a traditional PDP region, is gone with Peter Obi of Labour Party. Again, due to Christian sentiment and for want of competent candidate who would be different from the norm, most North Central states of Plateau, Benue, Nasarawa and FCT seem to be leaning towards Obi. Taraba in Northeast is also looking Obidient. Then you add Southern Kaduna, Southern Bauchi, Southern Gombe, etc. let’s not forget that Christian sentiments might also guarantee Peter Obi about 30% of Southwest votes.

Tinubu on the other hand is looking to do well in Southwest irrespective of the negative sentiments that his Muslim-Muslim ticket has generated amongst Christian voters in his native southwest region. Similarly, a state like Kwara, who are more Yoruba than northern, might also swing to Tinubu. Again being the candidate of the party in power, it is expected that president Buhari and the northern APC governors will work to deliver some votes of the core northern states for Tinubu. Again, with his running mate coming from Northeast, Tinubu is expected to take Borno and Yobe in the region.

Kwankwaso is looking strong in Kano. Some people say Jigawa but I don’t know about that and can’t say it.

Then, there is Atiku. As of today, Atiku can only boast of votes from Adamawa, Bauchi, Gombe and Taraba in his native Northeast. Borno and Yobe are most probably gone with Shettima of APC. Then in the northwest, with Kano gone with Kwankwaso, Atiku seems to be looking strong in other states of the Northwest of Kaduna, Katsina, Sokoto, Jigawa, Kebbi and Zamfara. But that’s where it ends. Where else is Atiku sure of votes in Nigeria. We may concede he would garner some votes in Delta because of Okowa but I can place a bet that Atiku will not win Delta. Just like his percentage of votes in the entire southern region will be too insignificant to be significant.

Therefore, I throw this poser to Atiku supporters and those who like to claim that the upcoming election is between Atiku and Tinubu to tell me where Atiku is expecting his votes.

Penguin is a bird of reason!!!

Lalasticlala
Mynd44

Atiku is not winning Taraba pls. So far, all the youths I've spoken to, especially Christian youths, even those in the villages are voting OBi. Infact, most of us are voting APC for governor in Taraba but Obi for president. And if religious sentiment persists, he might not even Win Adamawa State or win with a very slim margin.

FreeStuffsNG:
Fashola did not and never lost his LG. Please get your facts right.
OP may have exaggerated but APC knows the game
SW, NW, NE and NC are APC and Asiwaju Tinubu.
SE is PDP and Atiku.
SS will be shared between APC and PDP.
Asiwaju Tinubu is the clear winner even before the election.

The real voters are offline. HE Obi is wasting his time and money on hype.

Ekiti?

Honjoshy4u:
Where were you when him and PDP won Tinubu's state (Osun)? In 2019, he won Sanwolu and Osinbajo ward.
Fashola loose his lg.
He got about 45% in the West.
South South is for PDP.
North central that Buhari government has destroyed and the insensitive muslim-muslim ticket will deal with Tinubu and reward PDP.

don't mind those yeye writers

A lunatic claiming Christian

Dave005:


It doesn't matter what religion the state governor in SW is, I am a Christian, I voted for Adeleke in osun, and I will be voting for Tinubu. Religion doesn't affect our decisions and that's just the truth.

Atiku will still come 1st or 2nd no matter how much of conversation might have taken place between your imaginary uber driver and your Kogite Segun. That's reality of today Nigeria

NwaMamaIwota:
SS
South South are still heavily rooted in PDP

they will all be surprised to see PDP winning almost all the South

FreeStuffsNG:
Fashola did not and never lost his LG. Please get your facts right.
OP may have exaggerated but APC knows the game
SW, NW, NE and NC are APC and Asiwaju Tinubu.
SE is PDP and Atiku.
SS will be shared between APC and PDP.
Asiwaju Tinubu is the clear winner even before the election.

The real voters are offline. HE Obi is wasting his time and money on hype.

Lolzzzzz.. your analysis made me laugh out loud.. just keep dreaming. I will wake you up in 2023

Dave005:


It doesn't matter what religion the state governor in SW is, I am a Christian, I voted for Adeleke in osun, and I will be voting for Tinubu. Religion doesn't affect our decisions and that's just the truth.

So What affects your decision?
Tribalism?

Even your tribalism is not the smart type because there is no way tinubu can make your life better.

Thesaint141:
SS NC

You must not come from South. SS and SE and also 3/4 of NC are all ObiDatti. Atiku May be able to get his 25% from SS but that’s it. NE and NW will most likely vote Atiku at higher percentage because he is Fulani over Tinubu who is a pretend Muslim. Obi will also get significant votes from non-core North states and Kaduna. He (Tinubu) will be lucky to get 2% in SE and may 15% in SS because of Edo State.

But for sure there will be a runoff. It will be:
Obi Vs Atiku.

Prince111111:
they will all be surprised to see PDP winning almost all the South

Sorry that may have been possible with peter obi on the pdp ballot.

Don't deceive yourself .

PDP will struggle to win the south.

People in the south are angry with them for two strong reasons.

They cheated the south of the presidency, and the atiku himself is a well known thief and is not very likable.

Honjoshy4u:


The parameters are not the same and not still in support of Tinubu because the 6 governors in SW are all christians. How will they canvass for a muslim-muslim ticket?? Even Osinbajo will never openly support the ticket.
Are you telling me Adeleke and PDP will vote APC lol ..... The election in Osun is a resounding NO to muslim-muslim devilish ticket having a Kanuri minority Boko Haram sympathiser as running mate.
APC will never get up to 15% total votes in SS due to muslim-muslim ticket and the fact that their son (christian) is aiming for VP. During campaign, they will remind Tinubu how he used propaganda to kick out their son Jonathan.

The biggest mistake Tinubu and APC made is to project a muslim-muslim ticket in 2022

You are funny.

Where does all these leave Peter Obi?

Or you are mischievously and deliberately pretending he doesn’t exist?

Honjoshy4u:


Osun was a rejection of Tinubu the greedy old bullion van criminal. The whole of SW State is now governed by christians. How will they market a satanic muslim-muslim ticket Even Osinbajo can not help the man that plan to feed 50 million of your type with agbado and cassava.

Religion can never play a role in SW's voting. People voted Adeleke for many reasons not because he's in PDP or his religion.

Penguin2:
In his last interview with Arise TV, Atiku sounded like someone who had everything figured out and hence confident of victory.

But I’ve been cracking my head to see where Atiku is really expecting his votes aside his native Northeast and some states in Northwest, where else is Atiku sure of votes.

To buttress this point, I will tell you what happened when I boarded a Uber in Lagos. It happened that the driver is from the Igbo speaking area of Delta State. We got talking and talks got to politics and he revealed that he’s card-carrying member of the PDP. But guess what, this man told me clearly that he’s support Peter Obi for the presidency.

We were still analyzing his reasons when he got a call from a certain ‘Segun’ who he addressed as “my corrupt officer”. After they exchanged banters, my Uber driver now cunningly told his caller that in the forthcoming election their support is for Tinubu since they are all Lagos boys. But surprisingly, Segun interjected and said “it’s Obi o”. In the end they concluded that for governorship, Senator, Rep, etc, they are voting PDP, but they are voting Obi for Presidency.

When he was done with the call, I now asked him which of the Southwest States Segun is from and guess what my driver told me, Segun is from Kogi State. He’s Okun. The part of Kogi that speak Yoruba. I got to find out that they both belong to PDP but they are both not voting Atiku for the presidency. I asked my driver if he relates with people at home in Delta to know their opinion too and he told me categorically that everybody in Delta is Obidient and dismissed Okowa’s influence.

I’m not telling you this for you to believe; I can only tell you the truth, but not force you to believe it.

Now the question is, how many PDP card-carrying members are like my driver and Segun? How many southerners and MiddleBelters are like them?

So far in the electioneering process, it has been become increasingly obvious that Southeast and Southsouth, a traditional PDP region, is gone with Peter Obi of Labour Party. Again, due to Christian sentiment and for want of competent candidate who would be different from the norm, most North Central states of Plateau, Benue, Nasarawa and FCT seem to be leaning towards Obi. Taraba in Northeast is also looking Obidient. Then you add Southern Kaduna, Southern Bauchi, Southern Gombe, etc. let’s not forget that Christian sentiments might also guarantee Peter Obi about 30% of Southwest votes.

Tinubu on the other hand is looking to do well in Southwest irrespective of the negative sentiments that his Muslim-Muslim ticket has generated amongst Christian voters in his native southwest region. Similarly, a state like Kwara, who are more Yoruba than northern, might also swing to Tinubu. Again being the candidate of the party in power, it is expected that president Buhari and the northern APC governors will work to deliver some votes of the core northern states for Tinubu. Again, with his running mate coming from Northeast, Tinubu is expected to take Borno and Yobe in the region.

Kwankwaso is looking strong in Kano. Some people say Jigawa but I don’t know about that and can’t say it.

Then, there is Atiku. As of today, Atiku can only boast of votes from Adamawa, Bauchi, Gombe and Taraba in his native Northeast. Borno and Yobe are most probably gone with Shettima of APC. Then in the northwest, with Kano gone with Kwankwaso, Atiku seems to be looking strong in other states of the Northwest of Kaduna, Katsina, Sokoto, Jigawa, Kebbi and Zamfara. But that’s where it ends. Where else is Atiku sure of votes in Nigeria. We may concede he would garner some votes in Delta because of Okowa but I can place a bet that Atiku will not win Delta. Just like his percentage of votes in the entire southern region will be too insignificant to be significant.

Therefore, I throw this poser to Atiku supporters and those who like to claim that the upcoming election is between Atiku and Tinubu to tell me where Atiku is expecting his votes.

Penguin is a bird of reason!!!

Lalasticlala
Mynd44

He will gain votes in Baysela technically, in Baysela it's between PDP and Apc.
He will also gain some votes in Rivers state.

FreeStuffsNG:
Fashola did not and never lost his LG. Please get your facts right.
OP may have exaggerated but APC knows the game
SW, NW, NE and NC are APC and Asiwaju Tinubu.
SE is PDP and Atiku.
SS will be shared between APC and PDP.
Asiwaju Tinubu is the clear winner even before the election.

The real voters are offline. HE Obi is wasting his time and money on hype.

I am ATIKULATED Oga.
The North will never abandon their own son Atiku whole geo zone have not produced president for a minority Kanuri VP/ an old greedy man that his geo zone have done 16 years.
E go shock you

Khaysee:
South west dont vote party but individual unlike other regions
Adeleke won not Pdp

They can vote as they wish they don't do vote of one direction in west but one person will lead

presidential election is far different from Governorship, please. Atiku knows what he was saying when he said, his people hardly use the Internet. Going by your claim, Atiku is loved in the south believe me..all these internet rantings are nothing.

South South , North Central and North East with large percentage from other regions , he will definitely win .

#whether anyone like it or yes , Atiku is Nigeria's next president

Salewa97:


Adeleke won Osun state.

Forget say they vote PDP because they like Adeleke, in the presidential election, Jagaban will win Osun with clear majority.

Atiku the shoemaker is just deceiving himself.

yup, Adeleke won Osun Buh party influence can’t b neglected.., make e go to LP or YPP if e go win

Honjoshy4u:


I am ATIKULATED Oga.
The North will never abandon their own son Atiku whole geo zone have not produced president for a minority Kanuri VP/ an old greedy man that his geo zone have done 16 years.
E go shock you

I swear the votes Atiku would get go surprise a lot of people

Atiku said he has 11 million votes in the bank because of 2019 elections, most of whom came from southern Nigeria.
Well, we will test that theory in 2023.

We will see if it was him or peter obi that the south voted for in 2019.

Alba3:

Religion can never play a role in SW's voting. People voted Adeleke for many reasons not because he's in PDP.

It will play a very big role. How many christian leaders have openly endorsed the muslim-muslim ticket?? Not even Osinbajo will dare.
Buhari's maladministration also has messed you guys up.
This is 2022.

TylerDurden:
Middle belt and Niger Delta

Osuland is for Peter obi

SW is for Tinubu

Atiku wins this election hands down.

Which drug you de take?

Amosa7:
yup, Adeleke won Osun Buh party influence can’t b neglected.., make e go to LP or YPP if e go win

don't mind them..what do they know? A lot of parties were cutting eyes for Adeleke but he immediately rushed to the most popular among them all the following day APC denied him

Prince111111:
I swear the votes Atiku would get go surprise a lot of people

To be fair, atiku would do well in the north.

Many Northerners unsurprisingly will vote for him. That is how they do anyway.

I expect him to whallop tinubu in the north.

As for southern Nigeria, he should forget about it. We are too smart down here to vote him.

Penguin2:


You are funny.

Where does all these leave Peter Obi?

Or you are mischievously and deliberately pretending he doesn’t exist?

I am ATIKULATED Oga. The North will never abandon their son whose geo zone have not thirsted president for a Kanuri minority VP/ an old greedy man whose geo zone have done 16 years.
The NC that Buhari's maladministration have dealt with will vote against APC.... South is already campaigning against the devilish insensitive muslim-muslim ticket.

CSTRR:

Sorry that may have been possible with peter obi on the pdp ballot.

Don't deceive yourself .

PDP will struggle to win the south.

People in the south are angry with them for two strong reasons.

They cheated the south of the presidency, and the atiku himself is a well known thief and is not very likable.

I WILL REMIND YOU OF THIS DAY.

Prince111111:
I WILL REMIND YOU OF THIS DAY.

With peter obi and tinubu running from the south?

lol
We are waiting for the atiku southern magic.

Sunday2021:
North Central and south south

look at this aboki who has never left the north,Shouting Southsouth..