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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 (18204 Views)
President Buhari Casts His Votes For Governorship And State House Of Assembly / 2023: Why Kwankwaso Cannot Work For Tinubu - Penguin2 / Chinechere Okoronkwo, Victim Of The NDA Attack Was Expecting His First Child (2) (3) (4)
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Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by Alba3: 4:57pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Honjoshy4u:So you reason for us in the SW? Your eyes will soon clear. |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by SamOchuko: 4:57pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Honjoshy4u: Osun was a rejection of Oyetola who believes he is the boss and had total control of the entire state forgetting he became governor through the backing of some leaders of the party and other influential people in the state, he was high handed. How was it the rejection of Tinubu? Was Tinubu a candidate in the election? Was he in the ballot papers? Was Tinubu the only APC leader that came to campaign for Oyetola? |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by highchief1: 4:59pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
derecho:I keep telling ppl this thg.the over 12m votes he got in 2019 was from Obi.Atiku is a finished politician.The only chance he has was choice of vp he dashed it when he again picked Okowa that can barely win delta.The election is between Obi and tinubu.Obi is what the masses want but tinubus level of preparedness cannot be underestimated.I also feel tinubu has the elites and elderly on his side. |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by 3ple9iner: 5:03pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Tunasco4u:I have been saying it here just one move in the eve of this election can scatter plots made in 4 years. |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by aribisala0(m): 5:03pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
I hope you have not forgotten Penguin2:Your mantra was Eboe president of it stays in the North |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by Dmano: 5:04pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
The questions should have been where is Obi going to get his vote from, he doesn't have any structures on his side,if that is the case he should have won when he has someone from the north,he may win election in future but not now, it takes serious preparation to win the presidential election, assuming he were to win how can he effect change without having majority in the house |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by MtDave55: 5:06pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
[quote author=Penguin2 post=115307030]In his last interview with Arise TV, Atiku sounded like someone who had everything figured out and hence confident of victory. But I’ve been cracking my head to see where Atiku is really expecting his votes aside his native Northeast and some states in Northwest, where else is Atiku sure of votes. To buttress this point, I will tell you what happened when I boarded a Uber in Lagos. It happened that the driver is from the Igbo speaking area of Delta State. We got talking and talks got to politics and he revealed that he’s card-carrying member of the PDP. But guess what, this man told me clearly that he’s support Peter Obi for the presidency. We were still analyzing his reasons when he got a call from a certain ‘Segun’ who he addressed as “my corrupt officer”. After they exchanged banters, my Uber driver now cunningly told his caller that in the forthcoming election their support is for Tinubu since they are all Lagos boys. But surprisingly, Segun interjected and said “it’s Obi o”. In the end they concluded that for governorship, Senator, Rep, etc, they are voting PDP, but they are voting Obi for Presidency. When he was done with the call, I now asked him which of the Southwest States Segun is from and guess what my driver told me, Segun is from Kogi State. He’s Okun. The part of Kogi that speak Yoruba. I got to find out that they both belong to PDP but they are both not voting Atiku for the presidency. I asked my driver if he relates with people at home in Delta to know their opinion too and he told me categorically that everybody in Delta is Obidient and dismissed Okowa’s influence. I’m not telling you this for you to believe; I can only tell you the truth, but not force you to believe it. Now the question is, how many PDP card-carrying members are like my driver and Segun? How many southerners and MiddleBelters are like them? So far in the electioneering process, it has been become increasingly obvious that Southeast and Southsouth, a traditional PDP region, is gone with Peter Obi of Labour Party. Again, due to Christian sentiment and for want of competent candidate who would be different from the norm, most North Central states of Plateau, Benue, Nasarawa and FCT seem to be leaning towards Obi. Taraba in Northeast is also looking Obidient. Then you add Southern Kaduna, Southern Bauchi, Southern Gombe, etc. let’s not forget that Christian sentiments might also guarantee Peter Obi about 30% of Southwest votes. Tinubu on the other hand is looking to do well in Southwest irrespective of the negative sentiments that his Muslim-Muslim ticket has generated amongst Christian voters in his native southwest region. Similarly, a state like Kwara, who are more Yoruba than northern, might also swing to Tinubu. Again being the candidate of the party in power, it is expected that president Buhari and the northern APC governors will work to deliver some votes of the core northern states for Tinubu. Again, with his running mate coming from Northeast, Tinubu is expected to take Borno and Yobe in the region. Kwankwaso is looking strong in Kano. Some people say Jigawa but I don’t know about that and can’t say it. Then, there is Atiku. As of today, Atiku can only boast of votes from Adamawa, Bauchi, Gombe and Taraba in his native Northeast. Borno and Yobe are most probably gone with Shettima of APC. Then in the northwest, with Kano gone with Kwankwaso, Atiku seems to be looking strong in other states of the Northwest of Kaduna, Katsina, Sokoto, Jigawa, Kebbi and Zamfara. But that’s where it ends. Where else is Atiku sure of votes in Nigeria. We may concede he would garner some votes in Delta because of Okowa but I can place a bet that Atiku will not win Delta. Just like his percentage of votes in the entire southern region will be too insignificant to be significant. Therefore, I throw this poser to Atiku supporters and those who like to claim that the upcoming election is between Atiku and Tinubu to tell me where Atiku is expecting his votes. Penguin is a bird of reason!!! Lalasticlala The election is between ATIKU and OBI, NIGERIAN are tired of the BAThing happening. But I tell you, the revolution will shock people, even PO will be surprise, just same way David was surprised when he conquered Goliath |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by Penguin2: 5:09pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
aribisala0: And have I changed that mantra? What has happened is that variables have changed and things we didn’t envisage as of the time of that piece are happening today which are but adding up to to clear the path for the victory of an Igbo man. |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by aribisala0(m): 5:12pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Penguin2:Good just do no try to market it as anything other than an Eboe project. Eboes betrayed the SS leading to the emergence of Atiku and must deal with the consequences. Do not expect any Yoruba votes either Those who do not support Tinubu should support Atiku Why not support Atiku as was your earlier stated preference |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by oyatz(m): 5:22pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Penguin2: Many of you don't understand how presidential elections are won and lost. By law, practice and in reality, political parties contest for elections in Nigeria. The elections are like Soccer Tournament and the contestants are like different competing Teams. The candidates are similar to Captains of the different teams. This is why on the ballot papers, there won't be Atiku , Tinubu, Peter Obi or Kwankanso but the names and logos of political parties. On the date of the presidential election, each voter will be given three ballot papers to thumbprint for the parties they will be voting for in the REPS, SENATORIAL and PRESIDENTIAL elections being simultaneously conducted. Most Nigerians will thumbprint for the same party for the 3 elections. Don't rush to reply to this post but think deeply about the implications. |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by Agboriotejoye(m): 5:26pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
This Penguin2 guy that I used to respect just showed himself no smarter than the average mind Calling Taraba and Plateau for Obi is based on what metrics exactly? Look. Fool yourself not. As things stand today, if elections were conducted, PDP will win the south. Take it to the bank. If tomorrow, the permutations favour Obi, I will gladly vote for him but as it stands now, any vote for Obi is invariably a vote for Tinubu's Muslim Muslim ticket |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by Penguin2: 5:41pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
aribisala0: Igbos betrayed SS and that’s why Atiku got the ticket? Really? How do you reason? Asides Ebonyi that voted for Anyim Pius Anyim, which other SE states did not vote Wike? Who did Ikpeazu and Ugwuanyi support? Let me tell you, all those lies you people used to tell to skew public narratives during the era of traditional media, will no longer be feasible this time around; so desist from it. If any region engaged in betrayal, it was the Southwest that betrayed the Southeast and Southsouth in 2015 which brought Nigeria to where it is today. So which other betrayal are you talking about? |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by Nobody: 5:41pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
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Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by Adexxi(m): 5:42pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Do you live in the north ... U dey Oshodi dey analyse northern politics .... This is Atiku's time uthlaw: |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by Penguin2: 5:42pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
oyatz: Think about it this way, what if voters go to the polling unit and vote Labour Party throughout? Or you think that’s impossible? It is only possible if PDP is the beneficiary? |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by derecho(m): 5:44pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Kashimawo...ma gbagbe pe igba otun la wa. Adamawa is predominantly Christian and the leading anti-Tinubu APC elements are from Adamawa. Adexxi: |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by Sunday2021: 5:46pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
NwaAdazzi:your empty skull did not allow you to know that the votes are coming from the abokis? The hatred you guys have for this country will continue making You to look foolish. |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by aribisala0(m): 5:46pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Penguin2:Wike got most of his votes from the SW Why are you pretending? Did you support Wike The Mantra from the SE was there is nothing like South .Either it is SE or it goes North What has changed? Now you realize you need SS . |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by Nobody: 5:47pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
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Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by Penguin2: 5:48pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Agboriotejoye: Goodness me! I hate to engage impractical people. By Atiku winning the South, did you include Southeast and Southwest or only Southsouth is now South to you? Or are you trying to argue, with your senses intact, that Southeast voters will leave Peter Obi and vote Atiku while Southwest voters will leave Tinubu and vote Atiku still? And that everything you have been seeing out of Edo to the extent that Obaseki lamented, is a joke to you? What’s your metrics for Atiku winning the south? I’m listening and ready to be informed. |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by NwaAdazzi(m): 5:49pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Sunday2021: Wise Man , Southern Kaduna man dey claim Aboki.Evening don dey reach Goan and drink burukutu and pork meat while El Rufau keeps giving ur people wotowoto.. |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by Sunday2021: 5:52pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
NwaAdazzi:and we continue to give Namdi kanu water beans. |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by jogsman01(m): 5:53pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Biodun556:Pele ooo... Olosun of Osun. Keep dreaming |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by NwaAdazzi(m): 5:57pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Sunday2021: He will Happily Eat it cus he's fighting for his people,What has Sokapu fought for in their life apart from Asha Awuche. When Hausa people are done with Southern kaduna,call me I will locate the nearest IDP camp for u |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by AntiTerrorist: 5:59pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Dave005:At the bolded, that's how to know a yoruba headslammer on Nairaland. Ni ipinle Omoluabi, we say capital NO to muslim-terrorist ticket. |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by garfield1: 6:01pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Adexxi: Most Christians are against atiku and tinubu,they prefer obi.Christians in north central and north east have suffered heavily in the hands of fulanis.they will vote the neatest christian.atiku will win taraba and Adamawa but not much... Bauchi is where buhari gets his third highest votes.they have never voted for pdp at presidential level.they will rather vote kwankwaso. In 2019,pdp did well here...kanuris dominate yobe also and are many in bauchi and jigawa.it is a bomb because it secures bloc votes from two states. There is nothing like north east agenda.there are two many tribes in north east for them to have an agenda.they always vote for buhari or his party or the next fanatic.they dont like atiku or pdp |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by ridbell01(m): 6:03pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Pdp will win in SS only Apc will perform better this time. Lp would not have up to 2m vote in the SS |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by Ylink4sure: 6:08pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Thank you very much for this exhaustive analysis. I have been saying that Obi has completely obliterated the chances of Atiku winning the election. I have repeatedly written on nairaland that all of Obi's vote are traditionally meant for PDP. I will like you to also exhaustively analyse Obi's chances you will realise that Obi is the reason Tinubu will win the election! The votes that would have defeated him would be shared by Atiku and Obi. Their votes combined will be more than that of Tinubu but each will be less than that of Tnubu.You perhaps will then realize the political wisdom of Tinubu's Muslim-Muslim ticket. Penguin2: |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by uthlaw: 6:10pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Adexxi:u self de north...I de Kaduna like dis,I leave last week! |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by Honjoshy4u: 6:15pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Shikamaru1: I am a Deltan from Ukwani L.G.A. I base in Port Harcourt got married to my beautiful wife from Imo State. So I don't know what you're saying. |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by Penguin2: 6:17pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
aribisala0: Come on! Let’s do with facts… I asked you a question, aside Ebonyi whose delegates voted Anyim Pius, which other Southeast State did not vote Wike? Come back to me when you have names or forever remain silent. |
Re: 2023: Apart From NE And NW, Where Else Is Atiku Expecting His Votes? - Penguin2 by Ylink4sure: 6:19pm On Aug 02, 2022 |
Your analysis is spot on! It's over for Atiku before it even starts. adioolayi: |
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