Kyase:


You get the gist na
Whoever that wins 2023, will have this big sigh of relief

slivertongue:


Yes ooo. Cost of logistics no be here. Forget those who make it a walk in the park. PDP and LP have started and could go 15 States before January. APC is starting on Tuesday and i hear the budget is six billion. All party campaign timetable will be amended as time goes by. The presidential candidates have other engagements in between the campaigns. The fact is, NIGERIANS know where and who to vote. Campaigns ain't gonna change much. Alot of persons think sharing money and endorsements will fix NIGERIA. Sadly most commentors think an individual owns the North and I'll give northerners matching others to vote his preferred candidate. Even the council of Ulamas are struggling to speak in favor of the person they stood surety for in 2015-2019. Northern voters are the most traumatized today. APC is nothing but a mistake that shouldn't have happened. Most political parties don't have organic support base neither do the patrons have much to spend. I fear INEC is battling some challenges that may push the election into second week of March

Chenult:

ImmaculateJOE:

That's true..

More reason why Obi needs to focus more on the south during this campaign.

Donsheddy:


The APc that came fourth in the last govt. Election in IMO state.

Donsheddy:


So are you saying tinubu Is more popular than atiku in the north.

Even a sitting gej couldn't defeat Buhari in the north west even when he was in cpc...
The earlier we realize that n.w is the most tribalistic region when it comes to presidency


We vote individuals in presidential election not party...

Check Nigeria election from 1999 till date

Donsheddy:


So are you saying tinubu Is more popular than atiku in the north.

Even a sitting gej couldn't defeat Buhari in the north west even when he was in cpc...
The earlier we realize that n.w is the most tribalistic region when it comes to presidency


We vote individuals in presidential election not party...

Check Nigeria election from 1999 till date

garfield1:


No.even se won't give obi 90% except anambra.the result dividing like this will favour obi also.

OBUKSBAYELSA:
Garfield your analysis is faulty and of no consequence with probably the exception of Zamfara Tinubu will not come second in other State in North West Nigeria. Don't get carried away and hide under nairaland.

slivertongue:



Your fatal realism hasn't allowed you to interrogate the normatives. All you credit to Tinubu is transactional politics and inflated personality. I have told you long before now that Northern electorates ain't gonna be waiting for handouts from anyone. I have told you the election would be won and lost in the South but North I'll largely vote for a Northern contestant.

buhariguy:
kastina, kaduna, kebbi, jigawa and Zamfara ar0e apc, with nothing less than 50%

garfield1:


Obj won northwest in 1999 even though anpp adopted falae.buhari is madly popular in the north,from the north west and a core fulani with fanatic ideas.atiku is not from the north west,not a core fulani,highly liberal and not popular

garfield1:


Yes outside Kaduna

buhariguy:
you're right. but to remind you atiku is far from north west,
Buhari and the state governor's still control north west.
Buhari has done well in North west, they will vote apc.
Borno and yobe does not even recognised atiku as their son, not to talk of North West,

Donsheddy:



That should tell you the north west will tilt towards nnpp cus kwankwanso fits that description.

Is falae from the north west?....

garfield1:


During the presidential elections,they came 2nd and got 30%.since hope became governor,they have won 4 out of 5 elections

Donsheddy:


The earlier you realize that state governors.
Barely influence presidential election the better for you.

PDP couldn't win that region even with the president and governors they had....

N.W vote tribally, religiously before party.

Any one writing kwankwanso off from that region after following there voting pattern is either decieving himself or fighting to accept the hard truth.

Only Yaradua won that region against Buhari and he was from the region and the ruling party....

And that's why he still hold the record for the highest number of votes pulled by an individual in Nigeria election.

Donsheddy:


Two non easterners was contesting the election.
Tribal sentiment wasn't in play.....

What was the result in 2015

garfield1:


He isn't but anpp dominated nw in 1999 so the people should have voted falae yet obj wins which means they dont always vote sentimentally or primordially esp when their primary choice is not available thats someone from the north west....
Kwankwaso should win but he is contesting under a weak party.apart from kano,I dont see him winning another state.he can win the nw narrowly which means votes will be divided which is good for tinubu

Donsheddy:



Did buhari contest under a strong party when he won.

APC GETTING 30% FROM THE REGION WILL BE EXEGERATING.
YOU HAVE A CORE FULANI IN NNPP
AND YOU HAVE A HOUSEHOLD ATIKU HUTSLING FOR VOTE....


SEEMS YOU'VE FORGOTTEN KWANKWANSO GOAL FOR 2023 IS TO CLAIM A STAKE IN 2027 ELECTION

AND HE CANT DO THAT IF HE DOESN'T SHOW HE CAN INHERIT ATLEAST 45% of BUHARIS VOTE

garfield1:


Thats why I said kwankwaso winning nw will favour tinubu as far as he stays close.
Anpp was very strong in core north.CPC was made of half of anpp.buhari was madly popular.atiku and kwankwaso are not so popular

garfield1:


Thats why I said kwankwaso winning nw will favour tinubu as far as he stays close.
Anpp was very strong in core north.CPC was made of half of anpp.buhari was madly popular.atiku and kwankwaso are not so popular

Donsheddy:


How will it favour tinubu.
Losing the n.w is as good as losing the election.
Cus his strong hold is a battle ground.
And he has no road in the south south and southeast.?

Donsheddy:


So tinubu is more popular.
Is tinubu more popular than atiku ND kwankwanso.....

Saying atiku is not popular my God.
Someone that was the flagbearer of pdp in the last election.

And have contested several times even pulled about 2 million when he contested in 2007.

Kwankwanso that has cult followership...
Former governor of the most populated state in northwest isn't popular...

Guy na be calming down

garfield1:


Your not getting it.as far as he loses nw and atiku doesnt win it,its ok.he wins sw and nc,obi wins se,ss.atiku wins only ne,kwankwaso wins nw.it will come down to spread bw him and obi

garfield1:


It is like you dont know what popularity is.popularity is being widely loved,known for good things not just being known.contesting severally or being known doesn't translate to popularity.atiku is known but most hate him.kwankwaso is the one popular but his influence is mainly in kano and maybe jigawa.the three will share votes

Donsheddy:


I don't know much about the north central but follow there voting pattern..
Winning the N.C and S.W wont do him much.

Those two regions don't vote in block..

I doubt if he can win n.c but even if he does the gap won't he more than 5% from his next opponent.
So that won't change much.

And the n.w we talking about.
Atiku will definitely do better than tinubu in that region.
Tho there difference might not be much.

If you go to the s.w tinubu can't win that region with more than 55%.

Donsheddy:



So tinubu is loved.
Tinubu isn't popular and is Also not loved.

Take a stroll to BBC Hausa and legit.ng Hausa or any Hausa platform to get a glimpse

garfield1:



I agree that the election will be won in the north but atiku can only win the north narrowly.the north dont just follow any northerner but a fulani from the north west,a fanatic,a radical Muslim.atiku is not, kwankwaso is close to that so votes will be shared and with tinubu winning nc and sw,he wins overall.
Tinubu camp suspects that yari might work for atiku that is why they made sen marafa state coordinator to checkmate yari.tinubu plays better politics than atiku overall.look at how he won the primaries,appointed lalong from amechi camp DG, how he accommodated all interests in the PCC, how he waited before picking shettima,how he silenced grievances in Adamawa apc,how he is carrying adamu and the govs along.compare to how atiku carelessly chose okowa,how he treats g 5,how he appointed tambuwal who caused disaffection in the party as campaign DG, how he is sidelining several factions in several states and some nwc members,how he isn't releasing money,how he is only concentrating in the core north.he will ultimately fail

garfield1:


Which sons? Politics have gone beyond such sentiments.the votes they gave buhari,where did it lead them?