4Play's Posts
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kenonze:I think Igbo self-esteem can withstand online bashing. It's those who can't laugh at themselves who need worry. |
The guy has history. See below: A doctor has been allowed to carry on practising despite being found guilty of professional misconduct for making lewd comments to two 'very vulnerable' women patients.https://www.theguardian.com/uk/2000/apr/09/anthonybrowne.theobserver1 |
Double post |
A doctor was caught with a stash of 'extreme' pornography, including a video of a man having sex with a snake, a court heard.http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3765412/Norfolk-doctor-caught-extreme-pornography-mobile-phone-including-video-man-having-sex-SNAKE.html |
piagetskinner:Unlike today: By Michael Eboh The Minister of Finance, Mrs. Kemi Adeosun, Thursday, said the ministry cannot afford to pay the N1.2 billion requested by its workers, while she confirmed that the Federal Government was already borrowing funds to be able to pay the N165 billion a month needed to cover civil service salaries.Read more at: http://www.vanguardngr.com/2016/06/fg-borrowing-pay-n165bn-civil-service-salaries-adeosun/ Seriki Adinoyi in Joshttp://www.thisdaylive.com/index.php/2016/04/12/fg-we-borrow-n600-billion-monthly-to-augment-salaries/ |
Lula was riding a commodities-induced economic boom which, at the time, many on the left thought was a well grounded riposte to neoliberalism. Once the commodities boom stopped, it became apparent that Brazil had structural economic weaknesses. The new government, though not representative, will implement sensible reforms which will allow Brazil to recover. |
OkoNDOoBo:Dishonesty is second nature to Nigerians. NOI was appointed minister in July 2011 when foreign reserves stood at $31.7b - Nigeria's external reserves which fell on Monday to $31.784 billion Thursday further depleted due to leakages in the country's Joint Venture cash calls.[url]http://allafrica.com/stories/201107010445.html [/url] Nigeria has been borrowing to pay salaries ever since Yar'Adua and GEJ's jumbo pay increases (increasing minimum wage from N5k to N18k without a commensurate increase in FG revenues). Nigeria is still borrowing to pay salary as even your beloved Adeosun admits: By Michael Eboh The Minister of Finance, Mrs. Kemi Adeosun, Thursday, said the ministry cannot afford to pay the N1.2 billion requested by its workers, while she confirmed that the Federal Government was already borrowing funds to be able to pay the N165 billion a month needed to cover civil service salaries.Read more at: http://www.vanguardngr.com/2016/06/fg-borrowing-pay-n165bn-civil-service-salaries-adeosun/ Here is Babachir Lawal in April 2016: Seriki Adinoyi in Joshttp://www.thisdaylive.com/index.php/2016/04/12/fg-we-borrow-n600-billion-monthly-to-augment-salaries/ In fact, Nigeria's borrowing binge to fund recurrent expenditure predates NOI as this analysis by Atiku in March 2011 points out: “Mr. President, you plan to borrow 33% of the entire budget, or 3.62% of GDP which is higher than the 3% stipulated in the Fiscal Responsibility Act. Your totalhttps://newafricanpress.com/2011/01/03/2011-budget-atiku-cries-out-again-nigeria-is-going-broke/ The funny thing is that those expressing outrage about NOI's management of the FG's finances whilst at the same time praising Adeosun's management of Ogun state's finances inconveniently forget that Ogun state, by the time Adeosun was done with its finances, needed the FG to bail it out. The Director, Corporate Communications, Central Bank of Nigeria, Mr. Ibrahim Mu’azu, confirmed to our correspondent on Thursday that the three states’ accounts with commercial banks had been credited with the combined sum of N56.2bn.http://ijebunewsxtra.com/news-around/ekiti-oyo-ogun-get-n56bn-bailout/ |
Sant1m:Sanusi has been making the same criticism for months. For instance, see here in February 2016: Nigeria’s respected former central bank chief has said that exchange rate policies backed by President Muhammadu Buahri are doomed to fail, the UK-based Financial Times newspaper reports.http://theeagleonline.com.ng/sanusi-attacks-buharis-exchange-rate-policies/ |
abokibuhari:Jonathan cleared malaria, or are you talking of polio? The economic hardship in Nigeria must be interfering with you guys memory. |
Passing Shot: 4Play:It's funny looking back at some of the old debates (also a good opportunity for self-congratulation), to think that some members of the National Assembly criticised NOI for not borrowing in dollars! Imagine the carnage this would have done given present dollar scarcity. |
The more accurate way of putting it is that GEJ's government was a lesser evil. Between GEJ and Buhari, they kind of remind me of the movie Dumb and Dumber - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dumb_and_Dumber |
Quakertellicus1:The problem with your post which I took issue with is this: if you have been on Nairaland long enough you will notice that the PDP/APC propagandists who litter this forum seem to get circulated talking points (themes/stories) which they spout relentlessly for a period until the next set of talking points. The most recent talking point from the APC side is that the Nigerian government should be congratulated for its economic management since, despite being as oil dependent as Venezuela, Nigeria has not suffered the economic collapse that Venezuela has. This is, of course, nonsense as I pointed out as Venezuela's problems are deeper and predate the current oil collapse. Despite your slight backtracking on this thread, I can see you subscribe to this disingenous analogy to Venezuela. I will make a few other points. Yes, Nigeria has a certain oil dependency which arises in 2 respects - oil is the main source of government revenues and, more importantly, the main source of forex. However, the oil price slump alone does not explain the scale of the naira's and the economy's collapse. Look at the naira's performance in 2016 alone - at a time when other commodity-dependent emerging market currencies have rallied against the dollar. In reality, what we are seeing is the result of major policy missteps or inaction (the main culprit being the decision to maintain a fixed exchange rate which has now, thankfully, been largely reversed). My main bugbear is that people who beat this oil drum relentlessly are either uninformed or being disingenous - they are trying to mask what has been at heart an exemplar of economic mismanagement. By doing this, they inhibit the capacity of Nigerians to learn valuable lessons for the future. This brings me to the issue of the Dutch disease. The essence of it is the tendency for an oil/commodity boom to cause an appreciation in real exchange rates (i.e., inflation-adjusted)rendering the non-oil/commodity export sector largely uncompetitive. I will use a simplified illustration: I set up a cocoa farm to export cocoa. At inception, the naira exchanges for 197 naira to $1. If the costs (fuel, labour, fertiliser, e.t.c) of running the farm is circa N180 million and I sell $1 million worth of cocoa in the first period, I should get N197 million for a profit margin of N17 million before tax. Supposing the government decides to fix the exchange rate at N197 to $1 whilst inflation is running rampant. If my costs increase due to inflation from N180 million to N198 million (assuming just 10% inflation), my margin will be squeezed to the point where, unless I find a way of cutting costs, my business is no longer viable. Though not strictly speaking how the Dutch disease works, what the above illustration shows is that a policy decision to fix the exchange rate, as the present government did, increases the problem of oil dependency by making diversification to non-oil exports challenging. The Dutch disease was a major problem in the 1970s as we maintained a fixed exchange regime for years, but not really much of an issue since the post-Abacha period. In contrast, the period from 1999 had witnessed substantial growth in non-oil exports. See excerpts below: Represented by the Director, Development Finance of the CBN, Dr Mudashiru Olaitan, Emefiele blamed the decline of non oil revenue on the low level of loans to exporters which invariably contributed to the decline in non oil export revenue receipts from $10.53billion in 2014 to $4.39billion in 2015.Source: http://www.vanguardngr.com/2016/01/cbn-blames-declining-non-oil-revenue-on-low-export-loans/ Non-oil exports recorded improvements with aggregate export value increasing continuously from N23,327.5million (US$287million) in 1996 to N29, 163.3 million (US$357.2 million) in 1997; and further to N34, 070.2 million (US$406.5 million) in1998. The CBN (1998) attributed the sustained increase in non-oil export to the liberalization of the foreign exchange policy environment by the federal government, and better operating conditions for Nigeria’s semi-manufacturing sector.[url] http://thejournalofbusiness.org/index.php/site/article/viewFile/434/337[/url] An increase from circa $400m to circa $10bn in non-oil exports in the midst of an oil boom is not reconciliable with the notion of a Dutch disease plaguing Nigeria. In the 1970s by contrast, non-oil exports contracted and with it our groundnut pyramids. Another factor to be weighed is that diversification of forex revenues may also come from capital inflow (like FDI and portfolio inflow) which grew significantly in the post-Abacha period. This declined following the present government's hamfisted attempts to fix the exchange rate making us even more reliant on oil exports as a source of forex. In reality, what we are experiencing in Nigeria is that policy ineptitude has made what would have been a difficult but manageable growth slowdown, arising from the oil slump, into a painful economic rout. Even if Nigeria was not an oil producing state, an attempt to fight a currency adjustment via a fixed exchange regime would have still produced an economic rout (arguably more so as we would likely have had a larger stock of foreign capital). By simply mouthing off about oil dependency, you are helping mask the government's culpability and doing a disservice to Nigerians for whom economic hardship can be a matter of life and death. |
12Monkeys:You hinted at something which is very true, increased spending by the FG may actually worsen our economic problems. This is because the release of more Naira in the midst of a currency crisis provides more Naira to buy dollars. The main problem Nigerians face is inflation (largely down to currency depreciation). Until this is addressed, increasing the money supply is like a dog chasing its tail. Unfortunately, this is why fiscal consolidation and interest rate increases become necessary in a currency crisis. |
See the actual figure here for July: http://thenationonlineng.net/july-faac-allocation-drops-n444-6b/ |
LORDOFTHEOSU:Forfeiture proceedings are public proceedings. Can you name the court in which these proceedings to seize Diezani's proceedings are being conducted? Diezani is a thieving oaf who represents some of the worst of the Nigerian political class but these newspaper articles in Nigeria are often aimed at the gullible. |
blueto:This has nothing to do with APC. The Nigerian military has been telling lies since time immemorial. |
Quakertellicus1:This is hogwash. Venezuela was in economic crisis long before Nigeria - this article dates back to 2013. The attempt to excuse the shambolic policy ineptitude that has worsened our economic problems by comparing us to Venezuela is a sorry display of boneheaded propaganda. A cursory look on the internet will show that Venezuela's recession predate the recent collapse in oil prices: If there were an award for the messiest year in Latin America, Venezuela would win it by a landslide. Currency problems, drastic shortages and political wars marked a 2013 that began with the death of Comandante Hugo Chávez in early March. Since then, successor and current President Nicolás Maduro has been trying to carry on his legacy at any cost -- and many fear that is bringing the country close to collapse.[url] http://www.ibtimes.com/venezuelas-economy-will-continue-suffer-2014-analysts-predict-further-recession-1535334[/url] |
This Venezuela comparison is the sort of argument aimed at exploiting Nigerians ignorance. The reality is that Venezuela has deeper economic problems and that Nigeria has been doing better than Venezuela since at least the GEJ era. Here is my previous post on this: 4Play: If there were an award for the messiest year in Latin America, Venezuela would win it by a landslide. Currency problems, drastic shortages and political wars marked a 2013 that began with the death of Comandante Hugo Chávez in early March. Since then, successor and current President Nicolás Maduro has been trying to carry on his legacy at any cost -- and many fear that is bringing the country close to collapse.[url] http://www.ibtimes.com/venezuelas-economy-will-continue-suffer-2014-analysts-predict-further-recession-1535334[/url] |
By Hilary Matfesshttps://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/nigeria/2016-08-17/wives-boko-haram |
Buhari's appeal was based on 2 key factors - GEJ's utter incompetence and motivated reasoning. GEJ's incompetence is well documented. If you live in a country where your leaders are grotesquely inept, you are tempted to try something different without scrutinising the alternatives. In an intellectually incurious country where 85% of citizens are under the age of 35, even the more inept leaders from the distant past like Buhari suddenly start looking appealling. In 30 years time, GEJ will be viewed as a great leader by comparison to whoever is in power at that time (much to the consternation of our generation who will be the elderly population by then). As for motivated reasoning, what I mean by this is the way ethnic/religous loyalties mould or shape how we reason. What Buhari offered was a way for two political blocs - North East/West and South West political elites - to regain power at the federal level. If GEJ was remotely competent, most people from both regions won't mind, but faced with GEJ's utter buffoonery, the tendency is to revert back to habituated modes of thinking (these people from the other tribes/regions are no good, my tribes/region people will definitely be better). By the same token, most persons who claim that GEJ is a hero or was a great president are either cognitively impaired or motivated by religion/ethnicity. I think these two factors are interlinked - due to GEJ's incompetence, people rationalised to themselves that Buhari was a better option (fuelled by a mixture of desperation and ethnic/regional calculations). What would happen is that in the long run, support for Buhari would erode and the core support, like GEJ's fan boys, would be made up of ethno-religious supporters (the type that scream IPOB at any critic of Buhari). |
francoray:This is plumbing new levels of desperation. So when the political class stole money, much of it shipped out of the country, it was the bit that they spent in Nigeria that was keeping the econoomy afloat. Whereas today that the money is no longer being stolen and it is now available for the government to invest in the country (instead of being shipped out), this is causing the economy to crash? They better be paying you well to post this nonsense. |
NextGovernor:Nigerians and their faux outrage. Even Femi Gbajabiamila indeed, the chap barred from practising law due to his poor grasp of ethical standards. See here: Femi Gbaja as he was known in the case file accepted payment of $25,000 as a personal injury claims and deposited those funds in his attorney trust account in January 2003. He failed to disburse the funds to his client; instead he withdrew the funds, closed his practice and left for Nigeria where he ran for elections to represent Surulere I Federal Constituency in the Federal House of Representative under the banner of Alliance for Democracy (AD) in 2003. Upon arrival in Nigeria, curiously, Mr. Femi Gbaja added another name tohttp://saharareporters.com/2007/09/16/lagos-rep-house-representative-fraud-scandal |
dondo83:You have to remember that militants were blowing up pipelines during OBJ's tenure and this wasn't used as an excuse for the economy. Even more importantly, we were given the impression the previous GEJ regime was stealing oil revenue with reckless abandon. Now that the new sheriff is in town, the reduction in theft should offset the revenue loss from increased pipeline attacks particularly where oil prices are above the budget benchmark. |
bjdon:The IMF and World Bank do not compel any nation to borrow. It is countries like Nigeria that solicit loans from these organisations. See below: Nigeria’s government is in talks for concessionary loans worth $3.5 billion from the World Bank and African Development Bank to help finance a planned record budget this year, Finance Minister Kemi Adeosun said.[url]http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-31/nigeria-seeks-3-5-billion-of-loans-to-buoy-spending-in-oil-rout [/url] In reality, Nigeria is already following prescriptions from the IMF. This is why subsidy was removed, electricity prices were jacked up and the Naira was allowed to fall from 197 to the dollar. The things our government say and what they do are different. |
Sibrah:Her comments would have made sense when she was in opposition (or rather doing a "masterful" job on Ogun state's finances). But when you are now part of the government, it makes no sense. The minimum you would expect is for the stone exporters to be named and shamed. Instead, like the N3 trillion TSA funds "recovered" (from who?), this is an example of governing by press release - making vacuous statements in public aimed at conveying the impression that you are hard at work. |
lifezone247: Saturday, 5 December 2015http://abujacitynews..co.uk/2015/12/military-begins-final-assault-on.html?m=1 If you do a Google search of final assault on Sambisa, you will realise the military has been launching final assaults on Sambisa since at least February 2015. |
This was the official position of the APC before, with the benefit of hindsight, it became fashionable to assert that Nigeria should save money: Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) -- Nigeria’s main opposition party said it will scrap the country’s sovereign wealth fund and a separate excess crude account if it wins elections in February.[url] http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2014-09-30/nigeria-s-opposition-wants-to-scrap-sovereign-oil-funds[/url] What is remarkable is that the present finance minister and succesor to NOI whilst the finance commissioner for Ogun state did the opposite of saving in her 4 year stint - she went on a borrowing spree leaving Ogun state in a dire financial state and necessitating a bailout. The new found adulation for the virtues of financial prudence is an audacious display of hypocrisy. Go through most of these posters Nairaland posts prior to the oil collapse and you will not see one mention - not even an inkling - of the need to preserve a rainy day fund. |
obailala:Do you know why this argument does not wash with Nigerians? Because the state of the economy today is significantly worse than it was in say the first 5 months of 2015 when GEJ was in power. It's that rapid deterioration in living standards that Nigerians are bemoaning. Oil prices today are not significantly different from oil prices in the first quarter of 2015, yet we have seen a substantial currency collapse since then. Another thing to bear in mind is that the government is a victim of the expectations it helped create. People were told that the previous government was composed of Olympian thieves (purportedly stealing $49bn or $20bn within an 18 month period). Now that those thieves have been kicked out, and presumably the theft has stopped, the reduction in the theft of oil revenues should offset some, if not all, of the reduction in oil revenues arising from lower oil prices and disruption in oil production. |
PS: There is a facility on google that allows you to do a comparative analysis between Venezuela's GDP growth and Nigeria's - https://www.google.co.uk/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&idim=country:NGA:DZA:GHA&hl=en&dl=en#!ctype=l&strail=false&bcs=d&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=region&idim=country:NGA:VEN&ifdim=region&hl=en_US&dl=en&ind=false |
These online propagandists get emailed talking points which they promote endlessly - for APC propagandists, their recent talking points include the misleading comparison to Venezuela. At the heart of the talking point is that the present government deserves praise as Nigeria's present economic performance is not as bad as Venezuela's, a fellow oil producer. The problem with this line of argument is that it masks a major piece of irony: if Nigeria's relative outperformance vis-a-vis Venezuala constitutes a basis for praising the present government, it is also a basis for praising the PDP government. This is because Nigeria has been outperforming Venezuala for a while. Here is an extract from a January 2014 article about the Venezuelan economy: If there were an award for the messiest year in Latin America, Venezuela would win it by a landslide. Currency problems, drastic shortages and political wars marked a 2013 that began with the death of Comandante Hugo Chávez in early March. Since then, successor and current President Nicolás Maduro has been trying to carry on his legacy at any cost -- and many fear that is bringing the country close to collapse.http://www.ibtimes.com/venezuelas-economy-will-continue-suffer-2014-analysts-predict-further-recession-1535334 You can see from the above that Venezuela has been in the economic doldrums for years dating back to at least the GEJ government era. Now are the APC propagandists going to praise the GEJ government - as they are doing with the Buhari governemnt - on the basis that Nigeria outperformed Venezuela during the GEJ era? |
Israeljones:What makes you confident you can vote out Buhari? |
The first thing I would suggest they do is to commit to running a budget surplus within 2 years. To do this, they should implement fiscal austerity (cut spending and increase taxes). Nigerians will squeal but the government needs to demonstrate fiscal responsibility to investors as the Naira plunges and inflation escalates. Injecting money into the economy has the perverse effect of supporting Naira depreciation. Inflation is what is killing our economy and this needs to be tackled urgently. Ideally, you would want a way of providing palliative financial support to low income households - like the Osun style school feeding programme - but I suspect in practice it would be impossible to implement on a nationwide scale in anything approaching and effective manner. Major structural reform is urgently required - privatisation and more deregulation of major sectors of the economy. Privatisation provides a financial windfall to the government whilst, as with deregulation, increasing the productive capacity of the economy. NNPC and the ports come to mind. The reality is that Buhari still has political capital. Support for politicians in Nigeria is predicated on perceived ethnic/religious interests so the coalition that voted for him in 2015 will still vote for him in 2019 come what may as there are no viable alternatives that allign with such interests. So Buhari has leeway to make bold economic reforms. My suspicion is that he won't seize the opportunity as he is wedded to outdated and discredited command economics. |
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