4Play's Posts
Nairaland Forum › 4Play's Profile › 4Play's Posts
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (of 278 pages)
Nigeria is an interesting country. We are told that non-oil exports reached a "historic" $6bn in 2025. Yet, in 2016, here is an article referring to the CBN's policy speech on the decline of non-oil export from $10bn in 2014 to $4bn in 2015 https://www.vanguardngr.com/2016/01/cbn-blames-declining-non-oil-revenue-on-low-export-loans/ Represented by the Director, Development Finance of the CBN, Dr Mudashiru Olaitan, Emefiele blamed the decline of non oil revenue on the low level of loans to exporters which invariably contributed to the decline in non oil export revenue receipts from $10.53 billion in 2014 to $4.39billion in 2015.The only proper explanation I can see is the differing data source, CBN vs NEPC. |
Okoroawusa:Always reasoning like a mentally impaired brute. The reason why these stories make it to a Nigerian forum is that they involve a person of Nigerian origin. There is no conspiracy here so no need to get into defensive mode. In most rape cases, the identity of the victim is kept secret so how you can assert confidently that the victims are always a white woman defies belief. |
He is likely Nigerian. The name he is using is an alias and all part of his descent into madness. |
A Roman Catholic priest with links to Texas and Louisiana who is facing criminal charges for allegedly abusing his position of authority within the church to pursue sex with vulnerable women fathered at least two children with them, authorities have alleged. The stunning information about Anthony Odiong surfaced at a bail hearing on Tuesday in Waco, Texas, where prosecutors have charged him with several counts of sexually assaulting women to whom he ministered. Odiong requested a reduction of the $5.5m bail on which he is being held in custody. But a judge denied that request after prosecutors established Odiong had communicated plans to flee to his native Nigeria if he were released – while simultaneously airing the most complete account yet about the alleged double life he had built. Authorities are not interested in Odiong’s status as a father in the biological sense because Catholic clergymen are required to abstain from sexual activity. Instead, they perceive the children as proof that Odiong had a pattern of pursuing women he met in his role as a priest, which is a felony in Texas. DNA evidence presented at the hearing concluded there was a more than 99.99% chance that Odiong was the “father of offspring who was created as a direct result of [a] sexual assault … committed against a known survivor” in the US. Prosecutors on Tuesday asked Waco police detective Bradley DeLange – who has been investigating Odiong for months – at the hearing whether the clergyman and the alleged victim who birthed one of his children had engaged in sexual intercourse within the last calendar year. “Yes,” DeLange said. “They shared a pregnancy scare in June.” Officials also made reference to a second child fathered by Odiong – a minor the Guardian has reason to believe is living in Nigeria. Both children, younger than 18, were born during Odiong’s career in the priesthood, which began in the 1990s and saw lengthy stretches under the command of Catholic church officials in Texas’s capital, Austin, and adjacent Louisiana’s best-known city, New Orleans. Odiong, 55, is facing a total of five charges of sexual assault in the first degree and two more such counts in the second degree in connection with three separate women. DeLange testified that he had confirmed nine alleged victims of Odiong’s across the US and abroad – and had two others that he had identified as recently as Tuesday morning. There is no indication that any of the three women at the center of the charges against Odiong are the mothers of his children. Yet prosecutors and police believe Odiong’s progeny was relevant because the mother of at least one of the children gave birth during the period of time that he allegedly committed his charged crimes. He could face life imprisonment if convicted of any of the first-degree charges. Plans to flee While some of Tuesday’s hearing focused on Odiong’s children, other parts dealt with his ability to flee to Nigeria – and therefore beyond Waco authorities’ reach – if given the chance. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/26/catholic-priest-anthony-odiong-sexual-assault-bail-hearing
|
These old threads remind me of how deeply ingrained misinformation is in Nigeria and of the desperation Nigerians have for good news. On the first page, those celebrating the "news", whether GEJ or Buhari supporters, got the most likes. Those expressing skepticism, and who turned out to be right, received the fewest likes. |
BREAKING: Kenyan president William Ruto removes budgets for offices of First Lady, Second Lady and dissolves 47 state agencies after 3 weeks of anti-government protests.https://gazettengr.com/just-in-ruto-scraps-budget-for-first-ladys-office-dissolves-40-agencies-amid-protests/ Makes a lot of sense. If you are asking your countrymen to make sacrifices, that you demonstrate that you are prepared to cut the cost of governance. |
Nigeria's debt to gasoline suppliers has surpassed $6 billion - doubling since early April - as state oil firm NNPC struggles to cover the gap between fixed pump prices and international fuel costs, six industry sources said.https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/nigerias-gasoline-debt-hits-6-billion-some-traders-back-out-say-sources-2024-07-04/
|
To foster the false narrative of progress, news is circulated which is portrayed as unprecedented positive developments but which are in fact a replay of the past: Here is an article from 2017 LAGOS, Feb 1 (Reuters) - Nigeria's central bank has sold $660 million in three- and five- month currency forwards at an auction aimed at clearing a backlog of dollar demand, traders said on Wednesday.https://www.reuters.com/article/world/africa/nigeria-sells-660-mln-forwards-to-clear-backlog-of-dollar-demand-traders-idUSL5N1FM3B8/ Here is another from 2018: The International Air Transport Association on Tuesday announced that Nigeria had cleared the backlog of $600m trapped funds belonging to foreign airlines operating in the country.https://stocksng.com/nigeria-clears-foreign-airlines-600m-trapped-funds/ In summary, Nigeria is always clearing FX backlogs and will continue doing so if the naira/inflation problem is not arrested. |
Realtruth2023:FG budgeted spending was N5 trillion in 2015, N21 trillion in Buhari's last budget and N28 trillion in Tinubu's first budget. Absolutely, the growth in naira spending is a major fuel of inflation. This is why CBN money printing ("ways and means" took off under Emefiele to enable FG to continue spending.When you combine an injection of naira supply into an economy already witnessing a reduction in dollar inflow from oil exports, you have a recipe for naira collapse and further inflation. Stabilising inflation requires monetary tightening through raising rates otherwise it becomes lucrative to borrow in naira to buy dollars. Of course, all this would be futile if government spending isn't reined in. But a combined fiscal and monetary tightening is needed in Nigeria. https://www.dataphyte.com/latest-reports/economy/chartoftheday-proposed-vs-approved-budgets-of-nigeria/ |
grandstar:Total deregulation of petrol is fine in the long run but doing that now will fuel inflation in the short run and can introduce an unstable inflation dynamic that will negate any positives. If you combine that with increasing minimum wage - which is a direct transmission of cash to people's pockets - you have all the ingredients to further fuel inflation. They need to focus on stabilising government spending (outside of fuel subsidy). I think Tinubu's first budget called for N28 trn, a rise of N7 trn from Buhari's last budget. This budget, if I understand it, doesn't include the fuel subsidy budget. Any major increase in naira spending is likely to add to inflation. With fuel subsidy, one way of smoothing the transition to zero subsidy and offseting the inflationary effects could be to introduce a cap on spending which can be lowered each subsequent year. Say N2 trillion in year 1, N1 trillion in year 2, and zero in year 3. The main shortfall I see in this, though, is the possibility of fuel scarcity at the end of each year if people know they can sell at higher prices the next year. But the aggregate effect is likely to make the transition to total deregulation less inflationary. They need, and this is unavoidable, to get a large forex loan. Best source would be the IMF. This will alleviate the CBN's forex scarcity problem. $10bn will be the minimum needed, possibly more. This should have been one of the first things to do, if not the first. On inflation, I think they have done well with increasing CBN's interest rates. It's difficult to guage what the inflation rate actually is as the official estimates might be underestimating it but you should not have interest rates below the rate of inflation. That is just a recipe for more inflation. If they could also sell all those government assets as a recent Punch editorial called for, that will be a good debt-free source of forex. These would include sea and air ports, their NNPC assets (including refineries), TCN and PHCN etc. Whether they can pull these off without selling them at firesale prices to cronies/themselves is a major question though. Ultimately, I don't think this government has the integrity and nous to address the key economic challenges facing the country unless they are forced to. With subsidy and naira exchange rate partial deregulation, I think they had no choice so had to do something. Where they don't feel compelled, they will carry on business as usual, concentrating on acquiring resources to stay in power. |
They need to sell those government owned assets through a fair and transparent process. Whether Tinubu and the thieves he sorrounds himself with are capable of doing this is a major question. By selling the assets, the government will signal to international investors that it is committed to reforms. It will also enable Nigeria obtain an injection of forex which will further assist in stabilising naira. Additionally, I don't see how they can get away without getting a large forex loan to stabilise the naira. |
This convicted man was able to claim asylum in the UK in 2002 by claiming he was a child, being under 18, at the time. 2. The appellant was born on 29 November 1984 or so he asserts. The Secretary of State did not believe that this was the appellant's true date of birth. He treated the appellant as an adult and he was interviewed about his claim on 21 March 2002. The respondent did not believe the account given by the appellant and for the reasons set out fully in the decision letter dated 27 March 2002 he refused his claim on both asylum and human rights grounds.https://tribunalsdecisions.service.gov.uk/utiac/38776 |
A man has been jailed for four years and three months in a rare conviction for “stealthing” – taking a condom off during sex without consent.https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/13/london-man-jailed-stealthing-removing-condom-without-consent
|
VeeVeeMyLuv:This is an uninformed take. To cause inflation, you need to inject trillions of naira. So something like a new much higher minimum wage can add to inflation but not giving out N10 million. |
With Nigerian news,you always need to put it in context. $1.4bn does not give you a proper perspective without considering surpluses and deficits run recently. Nigeria’s current account balance rose to a 9-year high of $7.7 billion in the first half of 2022, five times higher than the $1.13 billion recorded in the second half of last year.https://nairametrics.com/2022/10/05/nigerias-current-account-balance-rises-to-9-year-high-of-7-7-billion-in-h1-2022/ |
People don't understand that part of why Nigeria is in this mess are the relentless rises in minimum wages which government can't sustain. To pay for them, they rely on CBN printing money to lend to the government which results in further naira depreciation and an increase in inflation. Over the long run, Nigerians end up worse off. |
FreeStuffsNG:You just wanted to mock Nigerians abroad because you are stuck with the hellhole government you have been supporting. Are millions of Nigerians not suffering from the rapid currency depreciation your government has overseen? Depreciation has helped fuel inflation as the country is import-dependent. |
Nigerian students at a UK university say they are devastated after some were thrown off their course and ordered to leave the UK when they got behind on their fees because of a currency crash.https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/22/nigerian-students-teesside-university-ordered-to-leave-uk-naira-currency-crash |
An abusive husband beat his wife to death with their son's skateboard while police outside waited for permission to enter from superiors.https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13349449/Abusive-husband-beat-wife-death-skateboard.html
|
There were at least 2 comments on that first page speaking highly of Venezuela. This was in 2012. Look what happened to Venezuela shortly after and what is happening to Nigeria now: Venezuela is introducing economic reforms including new banknotes that lop five zeros off its fast-depreciating currency as the country battles hyperinflation.https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/aug/20/venezuela-bolivars-hyperinflation-banknotes |
Binance is banned in those countries to protect customers from excessive losses due to crypto volatility and scams. Nigeria is taking action against Binance to use it as excuse in a blame game regarding naira's collapse. |
DevilsEqual:This argument, that Nigeria is exceptional and so standard or "textbook" economic theories don't work in Nigeria is an often trotted out claim that has only served to justify some of the most bone-headed policies you will ever see. Nigeria is not exceptional when it comes to the understanding that if central bank interest rates are way below the rate of inflation, the rate of inflation cannot be curtailed. If these people disagree, please give us examples of where significant and protracted high inflation was resolved without raising rates. Of course, businesses need low interest rates. But if consumers are suffering from inflation and the currency is losing value, businesses are not going to invest. Where were the business investments when rates were lower? In this environment, if I run a business and you lend me money at low interest rates, the best returns I can make would be gained by finding a way to convert my money into dollars and waiting a few years for naira to lose value to the dollar and I can pay back the naira denominated loan. The reality is that low interest rates makes it very profitable to swap naira for dollars. If you are a saver in naira, your savings lose value and is not offset by the interest rates you get on your savings. You cannot stimulate your economy out of an inflation crisis. I also agree that increasing rates is not enough as you need to curtail government spending growth which I think is a key driver of inflation in Nigeria. The thinking, as with low interest rates, that you can stimulate growth through government spending which we have seen implemented since 2015 has always been flawed. The late economist, Rudi Dornbusch, touched on this in relation to Latin America: Again and again, Latin America has seen the populist scenario played to an unfortunate end. Upon gaining power, populist governments attempt to revive the economy through massive spending. After an initial recovery, inflation reemerges and the government responds with wage an price controls. Shortages, overvaluation, burgeoning deficits, and capital flight soon precipitate economic crisis, with a subsequent collapse of the populist regime.https://www.nber.org/books-and-chapters/macroeconomics-populism-latin-america Don't claim that Nigeria is exceptional. |
Very disappointingly ignorant comments from Peter Obi. Maybe he wants to oppose everything the government does for the sake of it. Expansionary monetary policy including rapid increases in the money supply and negative real rates (the difference between inflation rate and MPR) is one of the main drivers of inflation and currency depreciation in Nigeria. |
Collaborating with CBN by increasing interest rates to attract FPI. I find this to be short-sighted if attracting hot money is the perceived benefit of raising interest rates and not the reduction of inflation, & FDI. Also, our real interest rates are still negative, so how will this work? ❌Increasing interest rates is vital as a way to cool inflation as you can't fight inflation with interest rates which are below the rate of inflation. Attracting portfolio inflows would be an added bonus. In addition, they need to curb government spending and money supply growth as this is fueling inflation and Naira depreciation. Increasing the supply of naira leads to increased demand for dollars. So it's not so much about directing spending to the poor (if they can do that, great) but curbing the growth in government spending. PS: Ultimately, they need a quick and sizeable injection of forex which they can source from the IMF. |
IamAtikulate:If they wanted to know what are the key drivers of inflation and Naira depreciation, this money supply growth is one of the major causes. Here is what an article on hyperinflation has to say about a characteristic of this phenomenon: By and large, these episodes all occurred because of a rapid (or accelerating) increase in the supply of money that wasn't matched by a corresponding increase in goods and services.https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2012/08/21/great-hyperinflation-episodes-in-history-and-what-they-tell-us-about-the-fed/ Production of goods and services, nor the availability of the dollar, hasn't suddenly increased in Nigeria so this money supply growth has to be "accommodated" through higher prices for the same goods and services and for the dollar (lower naira value). |
Who remembers this thread? https://www.nairaland.com/7842393/bua-moves-crash-cement-price Apparently, the cement price rise problem was resolved in September 2023: Those Igbos brains is fvcked up. |
AntiZikist:So in your mind you are a winner? This sort of imbecility should be studied by PhD students in the future. You are bragging online when many of your relatives are struggling to make ends meet. |
NHS nurses being investigated for ‘industrial-scale’ qualifications fraudhttps://www.theguardian.com/society/2024/feb/14/nhs-nurses-being-investigated-for-industrial-scale-qualifications
|
The average figure for 2014 was 8.1 percent. The inflation figure was 8 percent in January and ended with 8 percent. While in 2015, the average inflation rate was 9.01 percent with 8.2 percent recorded in January and ended in December with 9.55 percent.I remember posting multiple times in 2015 and 2016 about this. The crazy expansion in government spending from 2015 onwards in the mistaken belief that it will stimulate the economy was very wrong-headed. You can't stimulate your way out of a forex scarcity which Nigeria began to experience from the 2nd half of 2014. To make matters worse, they put in place a fixed exchange rate system which deterred forex inflows and distorted the market even more. |
christejames:See below: Catapault: |
took off under Emefiele to enable FG to continue spending.