Politics › Re: Nigeria May Go Bankrupt As Crude Oil Price Falls by 4Play(m): 8:06pm On May 14, 2010 |
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Politics › Re: Nigeria May Go Bankrupt As Crude Oil Price Falls by 4Play(m): 7:57pm On May 14, 2010 |
tkb417: all you indicated are not enuff to drive oil prices below 60
for crude prices to hit 50ish, then somethn drastic would have happened a la what we experienced during the melt down. This is just a 'temporary glitch' and is not uncommon in the global oil trade space The sovereign debt crisis in Euroland, a $6 trillion economy, coupled monetary tightening in China can't pull oil prices 15% lower? You are just engaging in wishful thinking, there is nothing 'temporary' about this debt crisis. |
Politics › Re: Nigeria May Go Bankrupt As Crude Oil Price Falls by 4Play(m): 7:33pm On May 14, 2010 |
tkb417: crude price to go below 60 this year? how? and what would cause that? Currently, there is an inverse relationship between the dollar/gold and risk assets(commodities and Western stocks). Any time there is a whiff of bad news, there is a 'flight to safety' as people dump the latter for the former. What is driving it at present is fears about Europe's economic prospects. To the extent that those fears about Europe, IMHO, will continue to grow, I can easily see crude going below $60. Also, China is tightening monetary policy and that is driving prices lower. -$60.00 beckons but I can't say it will stay that way for long. |
Politics › Re: Nigeria May Go Bankrupt As Crude Oil Price Falls by 4Play(m): 7:22pm On May 14, 2010 |
This is NYMEX we are talking of, I don't know how much Bonny Light Crude(or whatever oil we sell) is selling for. Brent closed today at 77.9 http://www.shareprice.co.uk/ID:16102115/BRENT-OIL. They are all falling though and will likely go below $60.00 this year. Whether it will stay there for long, I can't tell. |
Politics › Re: Nigeria May Go Bankrupt As Crude Oil Price Falls by 4Play(m): 7:12pm On May 14, 2010 |
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Foreign Affairs › Re: Will The European Union Go Belly Up And Will The Euro Flop? by 4Play(m): 7:09pm On May 14, 2010 |
Kay 17: that's a lame point, the health care would change millions of lives. the society heads to a safer future. Or else another Chile or prerevolutionary France and Russia. I support free healthcare in principle but the fact is that the US's financial situation is in serious peril and it cannot afford a major entitlement programme for now. There are many spending programmes that will change lives but if a society can't afford it, all it is doing storing huge economic problems for the future. It will be nice if the Govt can banish hunger, provide free housing for all, free education to university level,e.tc. It will, however, be stupid to seek to provide these things when you are barely solvent. |
Politics › Re: Nigeria May Go Bankrupt As Crude Oil Price Falls by 4Play(m): 7:02pm On May 14, 2010 |
Isn't that the reason we save the excess. We've had an excess of almost $15 the whole year now. If the price goes down just $10 below to $57 and stays so for the rest of the year, we wouldn't have any real problems as the excess would serve as a comfortable buffer. If the price stays low for a sustained period of time, Nigeria will struggle. At the moment, it's a low probability but you can't rule that out. Judging from what happened when prices tumbled in '08, we depleted our foreign reserves from $61bn to $40bn, a low price for a couple of years might wipe out our reserves. If there are sovereign defaults in Europe, you can wave bye to our reserves. |
Politics › Re: Ibori Escapes To Venezuela by 4Play(m): 3:30pm On May 08, 2010 |
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Foreign Affairs › Re: Will The European Union Go Belly Up And Will The Euro Flop? by 4Play(m): 7:26pm On May 06, 2010 |
Is no one following the mayhem in Europe? This forum is useless! I hope Obama is taking note. Massive deficits + massive debts = mayhem. If you don't have a credible deficit reduction plan, the market will give you a heavy slap. |
Politics › Sultan Seeks Ban On BBC Over Negative Lagos Documentary by 4Play(op): 12:00am On May 06, 2010 |
From Simeon Nwakaudu, Makurdi
THE Sultan of Sokoto, Muhammad Sa'ad Abubakar III, has urged the Nigerian Broadcasting Commission, (NBC) to immediately remove the British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) from the nation's airwaves over the broadcast of a negative documentary on the nation's commercial headquarters, Lagos State.
The Sultan stated that the portrayal of Lagos State in the documentary was not a true reflection of what was happening in the state, stating that the state government had made marked improvements in different sectors of the state.
In an interactive session with the Nigerian Governors' Forum peer review team, the Sultan noted: "If I were the Federal Government, of course am not, I would have ordered the NBC to yank off the BBC from the airwaves pending when it redresses the situation or presents a balanced documentary on the situation in Lagos, the nation's commercial capital".
"I felt bad when I watched the documentary on Lagos State because I know that so many good things are happening in that state, which the BBC as a reputable organisation ought to have highlighted", he said.
He stated that as a leading international medium, it was incumbent on the BBC when presenting the report of a community to ensure that both the negatives and the positives were highlighted. He said the series being broadcast by the BBC dwelt totally on the negatives, which fell below the principle of fairness.
"We have good and bad sides. If you show the bad side, then it is incumbent on you to show the good side as well. If we are to show the bad side of America, so many people will not visit that country", he said.
According to him, Nigeria is the only nation of the world with about 50 per cent Christian population and 50 per cent Moslem population that enjoys relative peace for the better part of the year, which is never promoted by news organisations like the BBC.
He said: "The BBC would never promote such positives where peace is enjoyed almost throughout the year. Once there is a problem in the nation where peace is disturbed with a few killings, that would be the focus of the BBC rather than the over 300 days of peaceful co-existence within the years". http://odili.net/news/source/2010/may/5/21.html |
Politics › Re: President Umaru Yar'adua Is Dead by 4Play(m): 11:43pm On May 05, 2010 |
Was he ever alive? |
Politics › Re: Is Nigeria Broke? Why Are We Borrowing $179million To Fund The 2010 Budget? by 4Play(m): 9:17pm On May 05, 2010 |
Katsumoto: If the IMF is cheaper, why don't all countries go to the IMF? The IMF will not lend a country money unless the country was facing an emergency with its finances. Think of the IMF as the Financial Fire Service. Nigeria cannot today approach the IMF for a loan as we do not have a debt crisis. The IMF is a stop gap where a country can only access, if at all, loans at exorbitant rates from the markets. |
Politics › Re: Is Nigeria Broke? Why Are We Borrowing $179million To Fund The 2010 Budget? by 4Play(m): 8:04pm On May 05, 2010 |
@Katsumoto
IMF/World Bank lending rates are far cheaper than market rates. The World Bank is cheaper as it is designed to provide developing countries with access to loans at below market rates.
The IMF is a lender of last resort which provides loans where a country can no longer afford to borrow at market rates.
Nigeria accessing loans from the World Bank is not a bad thing as long the money is properly utilized. The size of the loan is not particularly big. You should be more worried about Nigeria's domestic borrowing which is stealthily getting out of control. |
Politics › Re: Ojukwu Backs Babangida For 2011 Polls by 4Play(m): 1:01pm On May 03, 2010 |
It won't surprise me. Senility is not an excuse as I can remember he supported the Abacha for President campaign. Was he senile then too? |
Foreign Affairs › Re: Will The European Union Go Belly Up And Will The Euro Flop? by 4Play(m): 12:39pm On May 03, 2010 |
Meeting in Brussels, finance ministers from the 16 countries that use the single currency accepted the need to stump up more than €110 billion ($146 billion) over the next three years. In effect, the rescue funds (€80 billion from the eurozone buttressed by €30 billion from the International Monetary Fund) will replace commercial borrowing from the financial markets between now and 2012. The hope is that will buy Greece time to bring its deficit under control through savage cuts in public spending: Greece has agreed to austerity measures worth 13% of national income over the next four years.
So is this a big leap forward: the start of an economic union willing to transfer vast sums from rich regions to ropier members of the club, in the interests of all? For the moment, scepticism is in order. http://www.economist.com/blogs/charlemagne/2010/05/eu_rescue_greeceThis will give Europe some breathing space for now. The real danger is the risk of contagion to Portugal and Spain as the bailout costs for those 2 will be massive. If the market reacts positively by not demanding higher rates to lend to Spain and Portugal, Europe will have ample room to continue to bring deficits under control without killing economic growth. |
Politics › Re: Jonathan Decrees : Minimum Wage Now N18,000 by 4Play(m): 12:36pm On May 03, 2010 |
This works out at $1440 per year. It's obviously a wage structure that the Govt can't afford. What a stupid nation. |
Business › Re: Fashola Shops For N73.3b For Airport by 4Play(m): 12:31pm On May 03, 2010 |
ziga: I don't think you deserve any more responses from me or anybody else.
An Uncultured, ignorant Bush M.oron with computer and internet access is just like a monkey with a shotgun in hand. Who needs a response from a bunch of morons, no wonder that country is a cesspit of ignorance and poverty. It's the 70s all over again, building white elephant projects that have little economic value whilst the sheep fooled by the aesthetics and grandeur of the projects applaud like a bunch of benighted airheads. |
Business › Re: Fashola Shops For N73.3b For Airport by 4Play(m): 12:26pm On May 03, 2010 |
blaksmith: I guess I do not need to respond to your comment 4play. as Ziga has pointed out the ineptitude of you argument and recommendation. Lagos should build another runway in MM, please tell me when Lagos and Federal Govt become one and the same. As to you comments on local private investors, it does not hold water. the need is obvious and apparent but Nigerian banks are not financially capable of handling such capital intensive projects, most of what they do is open lines of credit with foreign banks and fund local projects, so excuse you, if you really don't have any cogent response on this issue. Don't talk for the sake of talking. You are a slowpoke. There is no point building a new airport merely because the owner of the current one does not allow you to improve on it. At least people are now tacitly admitting that it is Lagos state government that wants to build a new one, not private investors. Good luck in finding the money. If the project was commercially viable, you can easily find international funding for it. How else are they funding the other major projects in Lagos? |
Business › Re: Fashola Shops For N73.3b For Airport by 4Play(m): 12:22pm On May 03, 2010 |
ziga: I think you are the one who is delusional.
Last time i checked MMIA is FG property, and they prevented the LASG from even upgrading the Airport road when they tried to. I hope you read about that in the news!!!
Well at the current capacity, MMIA is grossly over-utilized!!!
Please check your facts!!! Idi-ot, it wouldn't matter to private investors who are supposed to fund a new airport whether the current airport is owned by the FG or LASG. Only a slowpoke would want to build a brand new airport from scratch when the current airport is effectively one brand new runway away from undermining the commercial rationale for a new airport. The last time you flew into Lagos, did your plane spend an hour circling the airport because it was waiting for room to land? The traffic in Lagos is unbelievably light compared to some airports in Africa. Improve and maintain what you have, it seems it's new delusional fad for state govts to want to own airports. Bunch of morons. |
Business › Re: Fashola Shops For N73.3b For Airport by 4Play(m): 11:59am On May 03, 2010 |
blaksmith: Under utilized?!!! MM int'l was over utilized and still is, before MM2 was built. Local Airport is even over utilized. MM2 is the only airport that can come close to some level of int'l standard. And it is not under utilized. Before I 'attack' your comments, i will point out that you have aired an opinion without giving a factual basis for your comments. Lagos is the most viable and profitable int'l route in West Africa!!! and it suffers from having only one int'l runway, how then can it be under utilized. I remember a few years ago both British Airways and Virgin Atlantic were almost begging the Federal Govt for an increased number of slots into Lagos, Before you make comments on this issue scroll through some of the posts which aptly counter your comments. I suggest you read my first comment on page 7!!! sheez! If MM has only one runway, you then build another airport? Lagos is not afraid of demolishing houses, why not demolish the properties near the current airport and expand the runway? Another delusional Nigerian. I'm not against most of the projects in Lekki, I'm against the airport in particular and it's no surprise you can't find private investors who are willing to take the commercial risk for a new airport when there is a barely used one already. |
Foreign Affairs › Re: Will The European Union Go Belly Up And Will The Euro Flop? by 4Play(m): 1:34am On May 03, 2010 |
May 3 (Bloomberg) -- Euro-region ministers agreed to a 110 billion-euro ($146 billion) rescue package for Greece to prevent a default and stop the worst crisis in the currency’s 11-year history from spreading through the rest of the bloc.
The first payment will be made before Greece’s next bond redemption on May 19, said Jean-Claude Juncker after chairing a meeting of euro-region finance ministers in Brussels yesterday. The 16-nation bloc will pay 80 billion euros at a rate of around 5 percent and the International Monetary Fund contributes the rest. Greece agreed to budget measures worth 13 percent of gross domestic product.
“It’s an ambitious program, it’s austere but it’s absolutely necessary,” Juncker told reporters. European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet, speaking at the same press conference, said Greece’s plan will “help to restore confidence and safeguard financial stability in the euro area.”
Policy makers agreed to the unprecedented bailout after investors’ concerns about a potential Greek default sparked a rout in Portuguese and Spanish bonds last week and sent stock markets tumbling. At stake is the future of the euro 11 years after its creators left control of fiscal policy in national capitals. http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=alJWdKeR1TDU&pos=1This will give Europe some breathing space for now. The real danger is the risk of contagion to Portugal and Spain as the bailout costs for those 2 will be massive. If the market reacts positively by not demanding higher rates to lend to Spain and Portugal, Europe will have ample room to continue to bring deficits under control without killing economic growth. |
Politics › Re: BBC Says 11 Million Lagosians Live In Slums - Rubbish Journalism by 4Play(m): 8:15pm On May 01, 2010 |
@Liedetect
Those pictures are all of mud huts, are they?
What kind of i-diot posts a picture of a 2 storey building and calls it a hut because the building material is made of mud? I've no preference for any particular type of building material but any notion that we can go back to mud huts is stupid. Let me break it down for you - Mud okay, mud hut bad. If you disagree, please show us pictures of the mud hut you are building for yourself. |
Business › Re: Fashola Shops For N73.3b For Airport by 4Play(m): 8:05pm On May 01, 2010 |
Sky Blue: Here is the thing that is a tad annoying though, you came on the thread and said that PPP by definition means public money is also spent and therefroe Lagos government would foot a part of the bill. I told you that was not the case, there are different types of PPP and that neither you nor I had seen the contract, I even gave examples of PPP projects in Nigeria which have been funded by the private sector, so what is all this really about? You keep saying I should provide evidence of the private sector investors when I have just told you its about neither of us knowing and you jumping to conclusions as if you have been given exclusive acess to some high profile documents.
The Lekki Free Trade zone actually surfaced before 2008 since I was aware of it in 2007 and work is actually being done on it right now; I became aware of the airport proposal in 2008. Mentioning that the proposal has been on the table since seems a tad petty considering the state government was also looking for investors and trying to convince them to invest in the rail project for quite a while and guess what? Investors were finally found and work is ongoing on the project as we speak. The proposal for the rail project was already there before investors from the private sector signed unto the project meaning the scale or design was not necessarily dictated by them. Getting the private sector involved does not mean they have to dictate the scale of the project, getting investors a lot of the time is also about being able to sell them an economic and profitable opportunity which can range from vague ideas to full out concrete plans and proposals.
I seem to be the one doing the "copy and paste" which is beginning to make this exchange look like petty point scoring, so genuinely no offence if I don't oblige anymore and just ignore your future posts if I would have to be the one obtaining info we can all obtain.
Exerpt from an article to consider with regards to the private sector funding of the Lekki Free Trade Zone, so stop making it sound like private sector funding in a PPP is a new and alien concept.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 35 foreign and local firms commit to Lekki FTZ - http://allafrica.com/stories/200910130117.html
Thirty five foreign and local investors have signed Memoranda of Understanding (MOUs) with Lagos State Government to invest $1.496 billion in the Lekki Free Trade Zone, according to a recent Growth and Employment Report (GER) on Nigeria by World Bank Country Office, Abuja.
Five companies account for 64 percent or $955 million of the planned investment. These are Telsy Energy Consulting & Investment Limited that plan to build a power generating plant on a 20-hectare piece of land at a cost of $480 million and Giorgio Dredging Limited which is to build a petroleum products storage facility at a cost of $200 million on a 10-hectare expanse of land. SkyBlue, in all your blithering drivel and copy and paste, there is still no evidence of the private sector prepared to fund a new major airport in Lekki. Not one iota of evidence. As for there being examples of PPPs not having public financing, Lekki is surely not one of them: In line with efforts to attract foreign investment into Lagos State, the government has allocated N40.5 billion for the development of the Lekki Free Trade Zone into a world-class trade centre.
To that effect, a land use and infrastructure master plan for the 16,500 hectares has been approved by the government, which is expected to be equipped with modern facilities, including seaport, light rail, goad road network and telecommunications. http://allafrica.com/stories/200904061035.htmlIf the private sector is to fund an airport, the private sector alone will determine the size of the airport taking into consideration its commercial viability if they are supposed to bear the financial risk alone. Not yet seen any of these private investors, have you seen them? |
Foreign Affairs › Re: Obama Cheating Scandal – Affair Claims With Vera Baker by 4Play(op): 1:43pm On May 01, 2010 |
http://www.zimbio.com/Barack+Obama/articles/2293/McCain+Camp+Loves+Scandal+Obama+Cheated+MichelleThe story first broke in '08 when Hillary Clinton was struggling against Obama. Barack Obama is the target of a shadowy smear campaign designed to derail his bid for the US Presidency by falsely claiming he had a close friendship with an attractive African-American female employee.
The whispers focus on a young woman who in 2004 was hired to work on his team for his bid to become a senator.
The woman was purportedly sidelined from her duties after Senator Obama’s wife, Michelle, became convinced that he had developed a personal friendship with her.
The allegations were initially circulated in August, just two weeks before the convention at which Obama finally beat his opponent for the Democratic Party nomination, Hillary Clinton.
The woman, now 33, vigorously denies the vicious and unsubstantiated gossip.
And some Washington insiders suggested that she was the victim of an 11th-hour attempt to smear Obama by die-hard Hillary supporters. |
Politics › Re: BBC Says 11 Million Lagosians Live In Slums - Rubbish Journalism by 4Play(m): 1:41pm On May 01, 2010 |
Liedetect: Whats wrong with mud huts except size of the old types?
Mud huts simply require redesigning. Mud is a versatile and relevant material. If we hadn’t been so brainwashed using mud could have saved us billions’. A hut is by definition small and even Westerners used to live in hut. No redesigning of a hut will make it conducive for modern living. If mud huts are alright, when next you visit Nigeria, feel free to build a mud hut for yourself in the village. I hope you don't live in one of those 'Western' cement houses? |
Foreign Affairs › Re: Obama Cheating Scandal – Affair Claims With Vera Baker by 4Play(op): 1:35pm On May 01, 2010 |
I think the story is untrue but if it is true, it clearly has an impact on UK lives. |
Politics › Re: BBC Says 11 Million Lagosians Live In Slums - Rubbish Journalism by 4Play(m): 1:24pm On May 01, 2010 |
ziga: Abeg tell dem ooo. Oyinbo man talk dis oyinbo man no dey do am so. . .
Oyinbo talk say all of us be slum
Lets do what works for us, and not just follow blindly.
Surely, one day we'll be set free. Is it shanty slums that work for us? May be we should go back to mud huts. |
Foreign Affairs › Re: Gordon Brown Has Blown It, Calls Woman Bigoted After Interview. by 4Play(m): 1:22pm On May 01, 2010 |
ElRazur: Not really, it is an example to show that resources are limited. A very obvious one to be honest. It's a typical throwing the baby away with the bath water example. It's a bit like saying that the Govt should end the NHS because of lack of money. Soicial housing is not a good case to limit migration given the overall benefits derived from immigration. There is an argument to be made that migration is insufficient, whilst social benefits are surfeit relative to the demands of the economy. If resources are finite, surely the optimal economic policy is to boot out, as the BNP suggests, all non-indigenes(let's assume we can identify them) and the rest of Britain will be richer as there will be fewer people using the limited resources so there will be more to go round. Yes, the UK population is an ageing one, however one do not cut one's nose to spite one's face. While I am not opposing infux of immigrant, what I am saying here is that it should be controlled with a balance between the number of those going out and number of those coming in and on the basis of what it can be done for the UK economy. I.e A controlled form of immigration that benefits the UK both in the short and long term. You are talking as if anyone can just walk into Britain. The numbers I keep hearing don't seem to me to suggest that immigration has been uncontrolled. It's immigration that has kept the UK's population from shrinking which will be an absolute disaster for the UK economy as the ratio of those of working age to those of pension age shrinks. I think the point she was raising was more to do as what is perceived as lax immigration rules and some how porous borders when it comes to issue of immigration. Again, I have no problem with her asking, and as I have stated, her actions do not make her a bigot. You gathered all the above from the few words she uttered? |
Foreign Affairs › Re: Gordon Brown Has Blown It, Calls Woman Bigoted After Interview. by 4Play(m): 12:44pm On May 01, 2010 |
ElRazur: Is this an economist view or something?
I don't know about you, but allow me to give you a real life application. In practical terms, resources are limited. Be it houses, be it any form of social consumable, there is just a limited amount that can come in here. Like I have stated in other threads, there should be a balance and the way it stand we are yet to find the balance here. Hence one of the reasons I think there should be controlled immigration.  The examples you give are odd. Housing stock keeps increasing year on year as new houses are built. If you are talking of social housing, the Govt can solve that by simply prioritising Brits and not making social housing available to non-UK nationals. That's an entirely different thing from saying that people should not come in as they will deplete 'resources'. Migration keeps wage inflation in check and UK bizs competitive against the Far East. Ignore the obligatory pandering to the public's prejudices, why do you think Govt takes a fairly lax view of it? There are no votes to be won by allowing more migrants. The Govt only does it because they clearly understand that with an ageing population which poses a demographic time bomb, the UK needs an influx of young workers who are hardworking and can keep Britain competitive. |
Foreign Affairs › Re: Obama Cheating Scandal – Affair Claims With Vera Baker by 4Play(op): 12:27pm On May 01, 2010 |
ElRazur: This guy, I like your resilient. You do not give up, I like people like that.
The point is that the whole story takes nothing or add anything to me as a person. I then gave you an example where a sexual scandal of a former US president made no change to my life at all. 
Just like I have posted mine, you have posted yours - views and opinion. 2012 election in the US do not impact me in the UK. And as it stand, this is just an allegation. For all we know it may not hold water. When Obama is docked in court and in front of the congression or senate to testify, perhaps you may have a point. [That is a BIG PERHAPS] until then, this story as it stand mean nothing to mean and my life.  Since you are the only person in the UK the 2012 election won't affect, enough said. |
Foreign Affairs › Re: Gordon Brown Has Blown It, Calls Woman Bigoted After Interview. by 4Play(m): 12:25pm On May 01, 2010 |
ElRazur: 4play you are missing the point and now we are going into areas that are not even related to the original issue. The point before we lose it is that talking about controlled immigration and getting rid of illegal immigration do make one a bigot. I think that is the point and to be honest, debating the same thing from yesterday and other places I frequent can get tiresome. If we are to stay on point, why are you bringing up illegal immigration when Ms Duffy's comments relate to migration by Eastern Europeans which can hardly be described as illegal? On a side note, resources is limited and as such, it is necessary to introduce schemes like point based system etc. I have no problem with this if plenty of immigrant uses as an avenue to come here. Resources are not limited, only your understanding is. Wealth creation or economic growth is not a zero sum game. Resources are not taken by Eastern Europeans who add nothing in return. The free movement of labour increases net resources and doesn't reduce it. If more restrictions on migration is good for the economy, someone should be able to point to empirical studies showing the link between restrictions and economic growth. |
Foreign Affairs › Re: Obama Cheating Scandal – Affair Claims With Vera Baker by 4Play(op): 12:18pm On May 01, 2010 |
ElRazur: The problem here is that, it is your opinion. As it stand, Obama allegedly sleeping-with some woman I don't know up in the US, means shiittt to me to be brutally honest. And nope, it do not affect my life. 
How did Bill Clinton having intimacy with monica had an impact on my life? None. And this was even a proven issue, talk less of this one that is nothing but allegations. Nah wah o. Clinton was already a very popular president in the midst of a booming economy when he admitted to his affairs. He wasn't about to stand for re-election. How is it merely my opinion that anything that might affect the 2012 election will have an impact on you? What's the alternative viewpoint, that a scandal which can affect the elections won't have an impact on you? |