₦airaland Forum

Seun:
Effect Of Temperature On COVID-19: An Unscientific Investigation.

In the early days of the Coronavirus scourge, many Nigerians believed that we wouldn't be affected because of our hot weather. Now that we're testing people, we have seen a sharp increase in the number of confirmed cases, to about 210, which is still quite low for a country with 190 million residents. However many people suspect that the virus has penetrated our society far more deeply than the NCDC statistics suggest. We've noticed that people who travelled to colder countries recently or spend most of their time in air-conditioned spaces, or their direct contacts, are massively over-represented among the confirmed cases. Is this because they are the only ones being tested, or is heat a factor?

Here is the list of the 10 countries that have the highest number of active COVID-19 cases, and their forecasted temperatures for the day:
* USA has 257,790 active cases. The temperature forecast for New York is 8°C - 15°C.
* Italy has 85,388 active cases. The temperature forecast for Rome is 7°C - 25°C.
* Spain has 77,488 active cases. The temperature forecast for Madrid is 6°C - 19°C
* Germany has 65,309 active cases. The temperature forecast for Berlin is 1°C - 12°C
* France has 61,650 active cases. The temperature forecast for Paris is 6°C - 17°C
* UK has 34,428 active cases. The temperature forecast for London is 4°C - 16°C
* Iran has 31,954 active cases. The temperature forecast for Tehran is 8°C - 19°C
* Turkey has 20,012 active cases. The temperature forecast for Istanbul is 8°C - 11°C
* Switzerland has 14,169 active cases. The temperature forecast for Geneva is 3°C - 17°C
* Netherlands has 13,986 active cases. The temperature forecast for Amsterdam is 4°C - 14°C

On average, the top ten countries with Coronavirus have a temperature forecast of 5.5 - 16.5°C. The temperature forecast for Lagos is 26°C - 34°C, and for Abuja, it's 24°C - 36°C. This is a massive, massive difference! The maximum temperature of nine of the countries above is lower than the minimum temperature of Lagos. The maximum temperature of 7 of those countries is lower than the minimum thermostat setting of most Nigerian air-conditioners (18°C).

The countries mentioned above are in Africa, Asia or Europe. What about Africa? Here's our top 5:
* South Africa has 1,401 active cases. The temperature forecast for Johannesburg is 9°C - 15°C.
* Algeria has 1,004 active cases. The temperature forecast for Algiers is 9°C - 17°C.
* Egypt has 703 active cases. The temperature forecast for Cairo is 24°C - 34°C.¹
* Tunisia has 472 active cases. The temperature forecast for Tunis is 8°C - 17°C.
* Burkina Faso has 236 active cases. The temperature forecast for Ouagadougou is 28°C - 43°C. ^1
1 The Egypt data is misleading because the their average temperature last month was 11.6°C to 26°C, but Burkina Faso is a legitimate outlier; the country is much hotter than Nigeria.

The above data, in spite of the outlier, is enough to convince me that the Coronavirus likes cold weather and probably spreads faster in cold places, such as air-conditioned cars, offices, and homes. This, apart from the lack of testing, may explain why we are yet to see any significant evidence of transmission outside the circles of travellers and the rich and powerful in Nigeria. It is consistent with what we know about other respiratory illnesses, and why countries like the US expect the disease to slow down in their summer season (starting from June).

When I see videos of Lagos officials spraying open areas e.g. roads & sidewalks in Lagos, I have to laugh, because I strongly suspect that, if they actually bothered to test for the presence of the virus on those surfaces, they'd find nothing at all because the sun already sterilized them.

Knowing that the virus hates our hot temperature gives me hope. If a cold country like South Korea (0°C -13°C forecast for today) could beat the virus without destroying their economy by imposing a total lockdown, a constantly hot country like Nigeria could do much better if we used the same tactics. We need to start testing people who have had close contact with confirmed cases before they show symptoms. We also need to enforce universal wearing of face-masks and social distancing everywhere, which in itself may even be sufficient to end the virus.

May your days be bright and hot. May your air-conditioners be off and your windows wide open (to get rid of aerosolized droplets). Cheers.

PS: I always make a lot of mistakes when I post long articles, so if you spot any errors, omissions, or false statements, please correct me.

Scientifically, a cold weather aids the activeness of organisms, whereby a very hot weather will most likely kill or reduce the activeness.
Lets take the droplet from an infected person for example. It will dry off quickly with a high temperature, as well as increased wind velocity.

The theory of hot weather not favouring the covid19 virus is not ascertained, but a hot weather will definitely help reduce the activeness and spread of the virus.
Person nofit compare fire and heaven na

mvem:
vaccine will he ready by next year

Yes, just teasing on their statement of testing a vaccine on Africans

Thought they have a vaccine already!!!
They should try that and leave face mask for now

Let's call a spade, a spade.
This is outright stupidity!!!

Kanymann:
It will be extended, not becos they didn't behave themselves but becos the virus won't be contained after the two weeks. Be truthful for once, Mr Lie Moh.....

And the truth is, it may not be truly contained even after a month.

Even if its true
The way we just like to dey add up problem self

White, you will never stand with us
Still pains me till today








Lolz, like I remember anything hurtful now
All the best to hurtful words

I weep for my country
We have a long way to go

Whatever!!!
Na today

mazimee:
I thought they claimed that old people immune system can't fight the virus as it has grown weak?

Shout to the real soldiers at the war front all over the world defending humanity.

Probably weak to fight the virus on it own, yes. But, with medical assistance, they can over come it.
As someone said, it depends on how they used the youthful days
Nothing is 100%, I have seen someone that has the heart in the right side of the thoracic cavity, SS that lived more than 80yrs etc
Anything is possible

wirinet:
It has antiviral effects and we are just finding out about it? It has antiviral effects and millions of people had died of HIV /AIDS over the decades? It has antiviral effects and people spend millions on HIV anti retroviral drugs?

It just doesn't make sense.

Bro, hope you know not all antiviral drug will inhibit or kill all virus. These viruses are quite different from each other. The mechanism an antiviral drug may be using to inhibit a virus, may be absent in some viruses, making it ineffective to some.
Also viruses mutate quickly. Its a complex biology
Viruses are quite hard to get a drug or vaccine for.

wirinet:
Chloroquine is not an antiviral drug, it's an anti parasite drug.

No one applied for FDA approval except Trump. There was never application nor clinical trials for the use of chloroquine as a cure for coronavirus in the US. Trump just railroaded the FDA to grant approvals without tests.

It does have antiviral effect

I practically don't like when a matter is over stressed.
Its just annoying

Naso

As truthful as this may sound
It will be pour foolishness to not protect one self.

Maku was killed because he thought he couldn't die, and he held a life wire

Chloroquine is an antiviral drug alright but I still think FDA has a reason for withholding their approval.



But we can't wait

For those asking why they are being cured since their is no drug or vaccine for it, the covid19 virus isn't a death sentence. You can get infected and get cured without you even knowing. It all depends on the immunity of the individual.
The treatment is to suppress the virus while boosting the immune, thereby favouring the eradication of the virus by the immune.
But as most infection, there can be a relapse, so I believe even after the discharge, you are put on a immune boosting supplement/diet.
Also one may still get infected by a heavy load of the virus from the environment.





Note: This is a theory with no medical backup. Even NCDC advise taking garlic(tho no ideal backings to it)
Boost ur immune and stay away from immune compromising acts/behavior s

LordAzubuike:
Ok Mr theory predictor
https://www.nairaland.com/5759712/covid-19-davidos-baby-mama-chioma

Davido that must definitely have had sex with her in the last 5 days and their baby that has been suckling breast milk all tested negative.

Hope you know testing negative today doesn't mean you can't test positive tomorrow??
Go and educate yourself on pathogenesis and immunology

Thought he said it was Audio!!!
Now he is donating his residence to clear off his flaw.

He thought it was Audio because that's what he can do

This is carelessness. Some people are just reckless. Imagine, some people gave false information on some flights record.
I am just speechless

Hope they don't cause a panic and rough situation with this

LordAzubuike:
Unfortunately, your claims hasn't been confirmed by WHO and the first world nations. So keep your assumptions and shallow knowledge to yourself.

Mr deep knowledge, since your knowledge is so indept, you shouldn't be blind to see I never said its a confirmed theory. Scientists make theories and carry out experiments to confirm them, there isn't a crime in science to predict theories from observations.
Any virus that is spread by body fluid will most likely be found in all body fliuds




Funny thing is you may not even have any clue of what I am saying
Naso una go dey put mouth for matter wey no consign una

Are they just telling us this!!!
A virus that spreads by body fluid will definitely spread by sex, even kissing and breast feeding could be contagious.
The person's sweat too could be contagious


A deadly infection doesn't put its patient down quickly so as to have the tendency and ability to spread(Mad mechanism)

Seeing some comments makes you wonder!!!!
Stay home!!!!!

@Op, that snake is quite easily infuriated, its OK you killed it. In a garden, it will most likely bite someone eventually(but it could also have been taken out to a place it won't hurt anyone easily)
kpele

Well, if there is life, there is hope
Since you are determined, and don't play around things that can cut your hope and life short. You should excel, Hopefully!!!
Be curious, and enjoy the stages and growth(easier said than done tho)

Which dilemma!!!!
They beta suspend everything

Microbiology
Now in Agriculture and Tutoring

Op already knows the answer to his question. he just want trouble us ni



But e no sabi say we are already troubled by covid 19 Do whatever you feel and bear the consequences

panicking won't take us anywhere
following safety precautions is the only way out now.
And better still, stay at home
hopefully, the side effect will be minimal or none

Lolz, maybe the whole eleko and lekki go get rest of mind now.
The rumor this morning no be here.

I knew it was a fake news.
I love my UBN account.

The rate at which they are moving to knew branches and building their bank team shows they are still very much in business.
Nysc opened UBN for me, and I have fallen in love ever since.
Their banking app is light and swift.
Even Gtb dey learn for their side.
UBN
GTB
UBA

My best 3 banks

Op, nobody has the right answer
Just believe and strive to have it
Hopefully, you will


Zero ur mind on marriage for now

Note: if you really wanted to serve, you will
There are ways to it, and you can save up through it