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Politics / Re: Williams and Associates Predicts Buhari’s 2019 Defeat And Atiku's Victory by akinadesun: 8:37am On Feb 06, 2019 |
khingTony: Everyone minus me |
Politics / Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by akinadesun: 11:52am On Jan 13, 2019 |
[quote author=PassingShot post=74714276]It's only a matter of five weeks to the general election of 2019 which is a straight contest between PMB of APC and Atiku of PDP. In 2015, I did this thread and was successful to a very high degree (more than 90% success, you may want to read it here https://www.nairaland.com/2059493/2015-presidential-election-more-objective). In this year's prediction and analysis, I have considered political developments that we have witnessed till this moment in arriving at my prediction for each state. Notwithstanding, anyone who feels he/she has better information to change the outlook is free to say so and we will see what impact such can have on the overall result. The prediction/projection is based on some assumptions and calculations stated below: 1. I have considered each party's strength and performance of 2015 general election in predicting their 2019 performance. I have actually put up the result of 2015 in this analysis. 2. Average voters turnout in 2015 was about 43% throughout the country. Each state's voters turnout for 2019 has been projected in line with that of 2015 except in cases where the turnout was lower than 43% national average that I have used the national average figure (43%). 3. 5% of the projected total votes have been allocated to other candidates including Sowore, Moghalu, Oby Ezekwesili, Durotoye, Olawepo Hashim and co. I don't think they will get more than that combined. 4. No party is projected to score anything close to 90% or 95% in any state as we witnessed in 2015. Most of the factors responsible for that anomaly are no longer in the mix in 2019. 5. Toss-up states aka battleground states have been given to the party I think will eventually win the state but with small margin (not more than 5% win margin). Note: This prediction/analysis may be updated as we approach the election if there are major developments that can have significant effects on the election. This is a very objective prediction. The assumptions are very close to reality. Thumps Up. Thanks 2 Likes 1 Share |
Politics / Re: Sanwo-olu, Agbaje Clash On Economy, Education At LCCI Debate by akinadesun: 10:26pm On Jan 11, 2019 |
1 Like |
Politics / Re: Nasarawa State PDP Presidential Campaign Rally Today by akinadesun: 3:27pm On Jan 10, 2019 |
Asshurbanipal: Can it be 50/50. I doubt Please expect 80/20 from the North as Buhari enjoys cult-like followership from the North. You like to visit Northern states to confirm this. |
Politics / Re: Osun Election: Tribunal orders substituted service on INEC, Oyetola by akinadesun: 9:09pm On Oct 23, 2018 |
DonCortino: Because he does not have a valid case to present. 1 Like |
Culture / Re: Queen Aanu Gives Birth To Twins, Alaafin Of Oyo's 3rd Set Of Twins In 8 Months by akinadesun: 8:41am On Oct 23, 2018 |
tee59: Dont say that. Some people are just gifted with this thing. Please forget IVF. You need to survey old men living in rural areas not Lagos to see how some of them are firing women right, left and centre and scoring goals. You need to see some of the herbs these old men use, then you will appreciate that khaki no be leather! Everything depends on the lifestyle. If you are the type working in Lagos where you wake at 3.30 am, hit the road at 4.30 am, get to office at 8.00 am, work and work till 6.30 pm, hit (return) the road at 7.00 pm, reach iyana paja at 11.00 pm, eat roasted potato and akara between 11.15 pm and 11.30 pm, enter your room at 11.45 and sleep at 11.50 pm and then wake up 4.00 am again, you may not enjoy this type of strength Alaafin is displaying at old age o. 3 Likes |
Politics / Re: 2019:atiku And Peter Obi Visit Obi Of Onitsha by akinadesun: 1:49pm On Oct 14, 2018 |
Raptureminded: Your next VP in South East[color=#006600][/color] 3 Likes |
Politics / Re: Peter Obi: Lauretta Onochie Mocks PDP Over Atiku’s Running Mate by akinadesun: 12:20pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
iLoveAnambra: [/size][size=8pt] [size=8pt][/size][font=Lucida Sans Unicode][/font] How I wish presidential election come up tomorrow, Sunday, 14th October 2018 so that we can stop hearing this atikulation nonsense when Etiku gets 32% of the total votes, Baba Buhari 58% of the total votes, Donald Duke 0.005% Sowore 0.0005% of the total votes, Oby 0.00001% of the total votes, Sina Byron 0.0005% of the total votes, Fela Durotoye 0.00000007% of the total votes, like that ,like that 1 Like 1 Share |
Politics / Re: APC Appoints Lanre Issa-Oniku As New Spokesperson by akinadesun: 10:45am On Oct 13, 2018 |
kaluxy007: You sabi the liers from face. |
Politics / Re: APC Appoints Lanre Issa-Oniku As New Spokesperson by akinadesun: 10:43am On Oct 13, 2018 |
Racoon: Guy, you dey write english. |
Politics / Re: APC Appoints Lanre Issa-Oniku As New Spokesperson by akinadesun: 10:41am On Oct 13, 2018 |
coolcharm: It is a lie rather he would fly Buhari to Aso Rock. You people are just too funny. |
Celebrities / Re: Davido Escapes Being Shot During PDP Rally In Osun? See His Tweet by akinadesun: 3:26pm On Sep 16, 2018 |
PDP is just making noise. PDP is not on ground in Osun State. SDP is even more stronger PDP in Osun |
Politics / Re: APC Governorship Rally In Gbongan, Osun State (Photos) by akinadesun: 9:34am On Sep 11, 2018 |
Bibidear: Olodo ni boboyi. Adeleke is not even in this race. Omisore has gone with with a lot supporters from PDP. Adeleke is just on his own. 2 Likes |
Politics / Re: PDP Mocks Osinbajo Over N10,000 Empowerment Of ‘agbo Jedi’ by akinadesun: 3:10pm On Sep 06, 2018 |
Transparent: |
Politics / Re: Aregbesola Climbs On Top Of A Bus At APC Osun Governorship Mega Rally (Photos) by akinadesun: 12:33pm On Sep 05, 2018 |
Mintayo: While not exonerating him for not be able to make full obligations of workers' salaries, I think the man did fantastic jobs in Osun. |
Celebrities / Re: Davido Mobbed By Corpers At Lagos NYSC Camp During His Arrival (Photos) by akinadesun: 1:38pm On Aug 30, 2018 |
another sets of baby mama loading.............................................[color=#006600][/color] |
Politics / Re: Mustapha Akanbi Dies (Ex ICPC Chairman) by akinadesun: 10:25am On Jun 03, 2018 |
gidjah: You guys, please don't forget that a public officer is not allowed to act outside the law that establishes it. That is issue about ICPC. The law that set up ICPC gives it a very limited scope to work within. To be candid, ICPC is a just duplication of EFCC, hence there was no need for Obj to have set up the ICPC. What has been record of ICPC from when it was set up till date? May the gentle soul rest in peace. |
Business / Re: Items You Feel Embarrassed About When Buying. Share by akinadesun: 6:29am On May 13, 2018 |
boxers by the road side |
Politics / Re: Prince Olagunsoye Oyinlola Resigns From APC, Dumps Party by akinadesun: 11:18am On May 10, 2018 |
It is certain that neither APC or PDP can take Nigeria to the Promise land. This is the season of alignment and re-alignment in the political scene. It is only a fool that would marvel at the cross-carpeting of Nigerian politicians. Prince Oyinlola did not leave APC because of the APC crisis. He left so that we would have opportunity to work close with his father and master. Chief Obj in developing the OBJ's coalition - another scan in the waiting. 3 Likes |
Education / Re: Sex For Marks: What We Have Done To Professor Akindele - OAU by akinadesun: 10:16am On Apr 13, 2018 |
I am interested. can you please call so we negotiate. Thanks. |
Romance / Re: 'It Was Our Choice To Fall In Love' - Young Couple Who Are Set To Get Married by akinadesun: 3:26pm On Apr 03, 2018 |
Good luck |
Politics / Re: FG Releases Second List Of Looters Under Jonathan And Amount Looted by akinadesun: 10:14pm On Apr 01, 2018 |
I hope my name is not on the list please. Everyone should check theirs. |
Culture / Re: Oluwo Of Iwo, Akanbi, Becomes Emir, Drops Title by akinadesun: 12:28am On Apr 01, 2018 |
God bless the new Emir.I like the Emir die because of his swags and unusual actions. [color=#006600][/color] |
Romance / Re: Does Age Really Matter When It Comes To Marriage? by akinadesun: 12:16am On Apr 01, 2018 |
good |
Business / Re: Meram Indimi, Soon To Wed Billionaire's Daughter Stuns In New Photos by akinadesun: 4:08pm On Mar 28, 2018 |
rich marries the rich poor marries the poor when would there be end to the chain of poverty in the developing world? |
Education / Re: "English That Only Makes Sense In Nigeria" Trends On Twitter, Ah Naija Self by akinadesun: 4:00pm On Mar 28, 2018 |
really? |
Politics / Re: Lack Of Electricity Has Helped In Creating Jobs(pics) by akinadesun: 4:55pm On Apr 05, 2016 |
Is this how they will create their 1 million jobs they promised |
Politics / Re: Top Benefits Of Buhari's Foreign Trips Thus Far by akinadesun: 3:42pm On Apr 04, 2016 |
To be honest, those listed achievements are not substantial. |
Family / Re: Can I Get Married With This Income In Abeokuta, Ogun State? by akinadesun: 5:55pm On Feb 25, 2016 |
My guy, what are you waiting? You make 100k in a month in Abeokuta. Thank God for you. I don't see anything stopping for getting married with your level of income. What majority of us don't know is that only God provide. |
Politics / Re: Olisa Metuh Goes On Hunger Strike by akinadesun: 12:08pm On Jan 11, 2016 |
I want to start growing my beard. I love it |
Sports / Re: Sanusi Daughter Shahida Sanusi's Wedding "Fathiha" (Photos) by akinadesun: 9:25pm On Jan 02, 2016 |
How would there be income redistribution is ladies from the wealthy family continue to marry guys from wealthy family?[color=#000099][/color] |
Celebrities / Re: Mercy Johnson Delivered Of A Baby Girl In The USA(photos) by akinadesun: 7:58am On Dec 12, 2015 |
Demigods: wetin be your own self. shey na u go carry the burden ni? Let them produce as much as they can . Four children dey too small. Sky is the limit for them.That is the advantage of having a productive and strong woman as wife. I am proud of Mercy Johnson. This is an indication that she spent her school days well. Had it been she had carried out 2 to 5 abortions, she would have been having problems pushing. That is a lesson for our naija ladies. Guys zip up. Ladies, say no abortion. Thank you. |
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