₦airaland Forum

richmond500:
Wike has lost both APC and PDP structure.

Rainbow coalition is now made of paperweight politicians.

2027 go long for wike

Which party now has strong politicians? Who is stronger than wike

emmabest2000:
APC has no ground in Rivers
Forget about all this garagara from Wike

Wike has all the grounds sir

tnerro1:
Tot the state chairman has to sign the forms also, that will render them invalid if signed by the wrong person

No he doesn't sire. Lol opposition

peleson1:
At least they are sacked and all the LGA chairmen remitting 200m naira to that wiked man are facing same sack fate .

The law has spoken .

They are all invalid .

APC will not profit candidates in Rivers state.

Chinda is a PDP member and can't be on APC ballot .

The assembly members defection remain illegal so they are not members of aoc .

Invalid

So quoting ur own APC constitution is not law or the law of the federal Republic and can not over ride the laws of the federal Republic

😂

Didn't you read where he said primaries are conducted by nwc and not state faction? It only affects the state chapter and not candidates. It has nothing to do with defections. The membership or defection of Chinda has nothing to do with the judgment

Svoboda:
The APC candidate is also a Christian. The only Christian is the PDP candidate. Likewise labour. Why didn't Fintiri give them what they wanted?

Binani will tread softly.

Politics isn't black and white o.

That is exactly why votes for Atiku will likely reduce. His support base is dwindling. Imagine losing notable northern christians like Babachir, bwala, Dogara, Fintiri, Abbo

Svoboda:
Binani doesn't have problems with Atiku. Her problems are with Babachir. Thankfully, he's gone. Beyond that, Binani was in APC working for Atiku in 2023. That said, if I were to weigh Babachirs politically, he doesn't go far.

Another thing is Adamawa politics isn't babasope politics. Even when he was VP, he had running battles with bamanga tukur and Nyako. It's expected. Adamawa is heterogenous.

Adamawa is 50% indigenous Christians. A lot of them are loyal to Fintiri. They are calling for an indigenous Christian governor and ADC picked a Muslim. Atiku irked them more by making his son senatorial candidate in Adamawa south dominated by Christians. Babachir speaks for many christians. Binani has no choice but to work for obi besides Atiku preferred Babachir over her and Abbo. Atiku will struggle in Adamawa

Penguin2:
He called Atiku an ethnic irredentist, a religious bigot and a Fulani hegemonist.

Stated that he would prefer Tinubu continues, however painful, than Atiku replacing Tinubu.

When some of us say Atiku is not an option, you think we are being emotional.

Rather Tinubu than Atiku.

But Obi will win again in 2027.

Tinubu is better than Atiku

AMINDA:
If true, then the moles are beginning to unveil themselves. Atiku will still win Adamawa come what may. It's just a shame that he allowed Babachir Lawal to sabotage him by driving Binani and Abbo out of the party.

It shows you how bad and useless Atiku is politically. Tinubu is superior to him politically. Atiku will struggle in Adamawa. Cc svoboda

HIGHESTPOPORI:
When did Jonathan and Tinubu contest election?

Is Dickson contesting election? Jonathan supported obi in 2023 yet obi lost Bayelsa woefully.

HIGHESTPOPORI:
They will leave Dickson and follow tinubu? Comedian

But they left Jonathan and voted Tinubu and atiku na. Your a bigger comedian

AMINDA:
In other words, Nafiu Bala's case is of no consequence and Goodluck Jonathan is the authentic candidate of the PDP. Not so?

Your comprehension level is suspect. The case and judgment is against rivers APC not APC national and the state party doesn't conduct Congress or primaries,it is the nwc. The courts have settled this severally. Nafiu Bala case concerns the national body

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Tinubu has lost Oyo,deal with it.Buhari is not there again to help him with Northern votes.

It makes no difference. Obi and Atiku will fail woefully in oyo

oyeraff:
Rainbow coalition is dead, No PDP in Rivers state due to earlier court orders on Wike's faction and no APC in Rivers state now on Wike's faction of APC, take note. APC and PDP may not have candidates.

APC will have candidates. The judgment affects only the party and not candidates

Fergie, go and upgrade those my posts oh

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Ijaw People see NDC as their party cos of its founder ,so NDC will clear SE and SS and do well in the North this time with kwankwanso

Ijaws are the last people to vote Obi

Svoboda:
Whatever Tinubu loses in the south, he won't be able to make up for in the north. I hope you know the NC is so heterogenous that even the Igbos and other southern tribes bar the Yoruba have formed a voting bloc?

Tinubu is not losing anything in the south against Atiku. No matter how heterogenous the NC is, Atiku is out of it. Just as obi won south narrowly in 2023 and lost scandalously in the north is how atiku will win the north narrowly and lose scandalously down South

Svoboda:
You're counting Shettimas influence as Tinubus if you're counting Borno and Yobe. In 2023, APC narrowly won Borno inspire of Shettima and lost Yobe for the first time since 1999. Same scenario might repeat itself.

When I mean Tinubu has no support base in the north, I mean it. He's relying on borrowed strength and not on organic support.

Strategically, Atiku doesn't need a very strong VP candidate from the south as such, as long as no single candidate gets an outright majority from the south, while he maintains numerical advantage in the north as its only candidate.

APC underated Atiku strength in Borno,Yobe. They also took things for granted in Lagos. Same scenario cannot repeat itself especially as rumours of shettima being dropped as running mate gained traction. You know he has 2031 ambition so he will deliver by any means.
The main reason of choosing a good running mate is to compliment you electorally, financially etc. shettima has done that and atiku cannot which is one of the reasons Atiku always comes short. Even buhari couldn't win everywhere, he needed help and borrowed strength. I told you already that tinubu covers his lack of organic support with several other advantages which atiku lacks. Tinubu is simply superior politically. I already told you that tinubu will win atiku outrightly in the south and get good votes up north. Atiku will score what obi scored in 2023

Svoboda:
I am not equating Atiku to Buhari in any way. I'm only saying that with the current dynamics, Atiku has the edge, simply because he has no other contender from the north and will harvest the discontent Tinubu is suffering in the north.

As far as he cannot get the votes buhari amassed, he cannot make any headway. He has no chance in Kano. You yourself has conceded Borno and the north central.

Royceey:
Southwest Votes will be Splited, even though Makinde will not Win, APC will not have the chance to Rig OYO 100%

Obi and Atiku won't see 5% in oyo

Svoboda:
Dynamics have changed. Atiku is largely unhurt. I've said this repeatedly. Atiku is beyond the pdp APC matrix. In fact, most of Atikus new voters from the north are from the APC.

You will soon see Atiku's real strength. Let me ask, are you equating Atiku now to late buhari in popularity and strength

Svoboda:
Tinubu winning borno was because of shettima. Let him drop shettima, he won't see 10%.

Niger is undecided. Tinubu can take kogi and Kwara. They're now largely inconsequential. Niger is 50/50. This is because aggrieved APC members in Nigeria are now in adc.

Niger is not undecided. Most Atiku fans I know have given it to Tinubu. There's no ADC presence in Niger. Whoever wins kogi and kwara usually wins eventually. You said Tinubu has no base in the north, so you lied as usual. At least shettima will bring Borno and Yobe to an extent. Which state can Atiku running mate win? Can you see that there's no pathway for Atiku?

Svoboda:
Tinubu doesn't have any stronghold in the north.

Does Atiku control north central? Who is 100% sure to win kogi, kwara, Niger, Borno

Svoboda:
Tinubus pathway gets slimmer by the day. He can only rig in places he has control. Not se, not in the north. Jonathan's emergence scatters his plans even further, because it crowds the south further.

A lone northern candidate just watches silently, taking every thing in.

Rigging is not only where you are popular. A large part of the north are his stronghold

Svoboda:
Jonathan hurts Tinubu so hard, not just in the south, but in the north also. Most northerners who'd have tolerated Tinubus next four years would automatically switch to Jonathan.

He hurts both Tinubu and atiku. Most people that will vote Atiku will be attracted to Gej not Tinubu

onatisi:
The reason why APC and tinubu were able to rigged successful are one , tinubu came in with some poplar votes ,like it or not , people in the south and even North votes for him based on the assumption that he did well in Lagos and secondly they used the power rotation excuse

Second reason is because the CPC in APC ,that is the buhari grou stood solidly behind him,people like el rufai so they were able to convince the Northerners to vote and rig massively for tinubu and APC
The third fact is the G5, they played a crucial role ,G5 opposition governors and they made sure they worked for him .
Another crucial reason is water obi ,like him or hate him ,he is a force to reckon with ,noone expected him to pul off such huge numbers and he did ,that alone broke a massive chunk of the opposition votes . If obi had gone kwankwanso as his vice in 2023 ,maybe we would have been talking another tihing tofay
Unfortunately now all these factors are no more , el rufai is in jail ,majority of the Northern support tinubu had in 2023 is gone ,secondly he has come and performed woefully so the idea that he has a magic wand and that he can deliver some magic is gone ,people have seen jo woeful he is . Come 2027 ,rigging will be very very difficult and it may even result in bloodbath sef because some wil not take cooly

Where exactly did tinubu rig? Who told you majority of northerners are against him? How do you think a divided opposition will prevail

onatisi:
Please read my cent very well and the subsequent ones . Thank you

For Kano, obi can only win Kano narrowly. So many kwankwasiyya don't like obi so expect a narrow obi win or loss

Redman44:
I have this feeling that Tinubu is going to lose the 2027 elections. No one should underestimate the NDC and ADC as political parties. There are also many disaffected APC chieftains, politicians and members who are seeking refuge in the NDC especially. These APC rejects will work against APC in 2027. Tinubu's scorecard is not good . He has not performed very well.

Is NDC and ADC strong enough to upstage Tinubu? Can they get the spread

onatisi:
what i meant is that apc wont win oyo state in the next presidential election as they did in 2023 ,
seyi makinde is also contesting the presidency , the presidential votes will not be massive for apc as it was the last time , seyi will take , ndc will take ,adc too will take even pdp too will have a little , apc will take the rest

Oga, 95% of the votes will go to both APC and Apm. ADC and NDC will share 5%

Validated:
Stop crying, Kano gone, Oyo gone, SS gone, SE, gone, NC gone, NW gone, NE gone, Lagos in comatose.
Where will Tinubu get 15% popular votes

Will obi win Oyo? Did obi win NC before? Who won NE before

ruzell86:
This formation na 4-4-2 against the APC. See 2 better strikers in front like Didier Drogba and Henry combined.
The APC survival hope is electoral fraud on this one

Do you even know Gwarzo

onatisi:
Oyo state and Kano state are both out of apc hands

This is a very terrible lie, you yourself know you are joking. Seyi choose an unknown guy, Alli will bury him. Seyi can win Tinubu in presidential but his candidate has no chance. For Kano, Gawuna has better chances than winning than this Gwarzo. APC will likely win both states