₦airaland Forum

Kalulu44:
Number 1 wey I dey suspect among all na Fubara. I'm having a gut feeling that Fubara has a big surprise for Wike and Tinubu. This one he's silent and meek like a dove of recent

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Hope you are not adding Obi Abuja, Plateau,Nasarawa to the North central

AMINDA:
What's the evidence that he has those two regions on lockdown? He only won 4 states out of 6 in the Southwest and Seyi Makinde is no longer with him today. The Northcentral was also split between all 3 candidates in 2023 and the same will happen in 2027. The difference for Tinubu was the 5.6m votes he got in the North. If he bleeds votes in the North to Atiku, where does he intend to replace those figures from? From Peter Obi's Southsouth and Southeast? Or from the Northcentral that is general market for all candidates?

Tenses:
I what to ask you a direct question but be sincere with your answer.

If you slash tinubu's northern votes in 2023 into 1n to two will he still have won the election?

AMINDA:
Where then will Tinubu's votes come from? Don't forget that he got 5.6m (70%) of his total votes from the North. Will Tinubu now defeat Obi in the South? The jokes write themselves.

seunmsg:
El-Rufai's political career is over. His numerous sins are finally catching up with him.

Tenses:
These people as you posit might not vote PO but majority of them will vote for Atiku.

tinubu 5.6 northern votes will be divided between Kwankwaso, Atiku and tinubu.

You know the king of the South, don't you?

PO is the biggest winner 🏆 any which way.

tinubu can not dare rig 2027. Dem no born am well to try am.

AMINDA:
It's not the APC candidates who are openly campaigning for Atiku that you should be worried about. It's the many more who are doing so behind the scenes. APC governors are campaigning for Atiku in order to win their own elections while Tinubu is begging Makinde and Adeleke for endorsement in order to win in his own state of origin. We all learn this politics together.

Penguin2:
Lol!

This one na the people wey dey talk o.

There are thousands of of Na’allahs that will not talk until Election Day to unleash their anti party.

Tinubu will cry

His supporters will cry more.

AMINDA:
But you were in the other thread throwing a party and celebrating the "defection" of Elrufai's former allies to APC. Even though it was through coercion. Elrufai's allies are relevant to the APC, but Senator Bala Na'Allah and many like him are not. Continue to bury your head in the sand. Omisore was also dismissed as irrelevant until he handed Ambo and the APC's behind to them on a plate despite all the begging. We've been here before.

P.S: This is the APC gubernatorial candidate in Gombe state openly campaigning for Atiku. We will all learn politics together.

Cc: Akpakomiza2

Ko APC kake @atiku kawai zakayi inji Jamilu Gwamna Dan takarar Gwamna na Jahar Gombe.

English translation: even if you're in APC it's only Atiku you will do -Hon. Jamilu Gwamna Gombe State APC Governorship Candidate.

They all know the right person. pic.twitter.com/Pq1mYvnsJ8

— Abdullahi {ATIKULATED SOLDIER} (@abdullahiisha25) September 15, 2026

Some political associates and former allies of immediate past Kaduna State Governor, Nasiru El-Rufai, have returned to the All Progressives Congress (APC) and declared support for the incumbent governor, Senator Uba Sani, ahead of the 2027 general elections.

Among those reportedly aligning with the Uba Sani-led political camp are Bashir Saidu, a former Chief of Staff to El-Rufai, and Abdu Kwari, a former commissioner in the state and former senator.

Others include Nasir Abdullahi Maikano, a former chairman of the Social Democratic Party (SDP) in Kaduna State and three-term member of the Kaduna State House of Assembly, who represented Ungwan Sanusi Constituency.

Also listed is Moukhtar Isa Hazo, a former Deputy Speaker of the Kaduna State House of Assembly, alongside other grassroots politicians across the state.

The development comes amid ongoing political realignments in Kaduna ahead of the 2027 elections and could strengthen Governor Uba Sani’s position within the APC.

The politicians had, at various times, been associated with El-Rufai’s political camp, making their reported decision to align with the incumbent governor notable in the context of the emerging 2027 political landscape.

A former commissioner in Kaduna State, Jafaru Ibrahim Sani, who confirmed the development to our correspondent, said the politicians had decided to move together.

“It’s true, we are going together with them,” he said.

The latest realignment is expected to fuel further political discussions in Kaduna as political actors position themselves ahead of the 2027 elections

Penguin2:
The fear of Wike is the beginning of wisdom.🤓

One thing that is certain about life is that what goes around, comes around.

You see that thing that APC supported just because it favoured them, it will soon be APC’s turn.

If you look around, you will realize that they have handed Wike so much structure, the entire PDP for example, that if he decides to go rogue against APC, he will definitely cause some significant damage.

I will be here to enjoy the show sha.

AMINDA:
Hardly any uniform and customised caps in sight. That's what you call organic support. Unlike those of APC we've been seeing in the North.

Tifay:
Like I called it since week 2, the winner has already been chosen. The only person who has a remote chance is possibly Aikou.

And for some reason, it might happen. Cos with the constant switch of bottom 3, I think people may do a lot of group/gang voting in the last week to choose a winner they are all comfortable with

scondy:
Can temi nkem also be muted...Cos whars with the noise ?

Geez I am surprised u dint ve a problem with her noise ...she is same as those u detest ..

Hazardfan1:
She'll still win regardless

thatigboman:
neche fans are angry with blue for becoming friends with shiba. It's even isoko local fowl that they are supporting

echoxyz:
Please remove kogi, I strongly disagree.

Eriokanmi:
Just rent a crowd for 5k, give them jersey and food, then do a drone shot to make it seem the people are really in support of a fake leader, just to intimidate their likes

Tinubu will stilllose kaduna imce againand it will be massivethis time..

AMINDA:
Now, compare and contrast with this one done by the ADC in Kaduna South today. This is the difference between organic and sponsored. Following the deployment of policemen who teargassed and arrested ADC members who came out for a walk yesterday, the men, women, and youth of Kaduna South came out in a show of force for the ADC. Just like in Benue, Tinubu and his NADECO democrats should realise that attempts to intimidate and stifle all opposition across the country is ill-advised and will be counterproductive.

Again, ADC is out in Kaduna, and again this time without seeking anyone’s clearance.

If they think intimidation and force will stop us, let them try again. We are not afraid, and we are fully prepared for whatever APC chooses to throw at us.

If you want peace, we give you…

— Abdullahi {ATIKULATED SOLDIER} (@abdullahiisha25) September 12, 2026

AMINDA:
No, we aren't but you will agree with me that it is tiring to come on nairaland and see several mentions from troll accounts that seem to have been created for that sole purpose. Surely, a Forum like nairaland should be for debating positions and ideas, not for cultivating troll farms and bots.

@ topic, There will be several defections to the APC in the coming days due to the funds for inducement that is being released by the party. It changes nothing at the end of the day. Save for a few, many Nigerians already know who they will be voting for by now except something drastic happens to change the polity.

Ikengawo:
Who are the people who believe Tinubu is more popular in the North than Obi? You're in for a surprise

gammarays:
Till then we'll see
Kaduna south and Kaduna as a whole doesn't have any issues with Obi. Kaduna south loathes El rufai.
Let's wait till results. This coming election will shock APC more than the previous one

givedemwotowoto:
I am expecting Tinubu's votes to reduce in the NW, NE, and some NC states.

Reason is that Tinubu doesn't have Buhari again so his NW and NE votes will mostly go to Atiku.

Atiku won Katsina even when Tinubu had Buhari, I expect Atiku's margin of win to go up in the NW and NE because they will prefer a Northerner as President to a Southerner, especially a Northerner promising to bring back subsidy.

So Tinubu will still have 25% but much lower votes than 2023.

I expect Kwankwaso's Kano and environs votes to increase because with the ticket, non-indigenes especially in kano and Kaduna don't need to travel back to their states anymore where they didn't register to vote (fear of post election violence), they will stay back to vote because Obi is in alliance with a strong Northern candidate and Kwankwasiyya is a strong protective force.

In the South, the hardship is hitting hard, these people are not built to see suffering as a way of life so the anger will drive votes against Tinubu. Note, I said Tinubu, not APC. APC can win state elections even in the SE, but Presidential election is different.

Tinubu will definitely fight back with money which will help to stabilize his votes mostly in the SW and possibly some parts of SS and SE, but the number of people with PVCs this time who are ready to vote him out will increase.

In 2023, people weren't ready. Many didn't register to vote or get their PVCs, so by the time Obi campaign took off and became popular, it was late to register to vote. But after 2023, they have seen that the ticket is serious and can win with huge voter turnout. 2027 will be different for them.

ogascomax:
You should be saying that to Tinubu.

Addme:
Most of the north central that you listed.
He will score higher in Kano due to Kwakwanso's influence then he will have a massive show in Lagos. He may not win this time but he will compete with PBAT

gammarays:
Benue
Nasarawa
Plateau
Kano
Taraba
FCT
Bauchi
Kaduna

Kaduna will vote Peter Obi as President and return Una Sani as Governor

Obi will get big votes in Kogi state this time. Obi has agreed on 4 year tenure. Other politicians will join him on this.

APC will rely on their power, money, military and connections to their detriment. In fact their warlords will help their downfall. This is what will usher in a new dispensation. We pray they don't disappoint us!

A breeze will sweep across the national assembly. If some of these popular legislators return, they'll floor members.

givedemwotowoto:
Your math is HIGHLY INCORRECT. Tinubu can have the highest spread and still come second or third:

Peter Obi:
Wins 13 states (12 + FCT), gets 25% in 16 states, wins highest number of votes

Atiku:
Wins 13 states, gets 25% in 21 states, wins second highest or highest no of votes

Tinubu:
Wins 11 states, gets 25% in 29 states, wins third or second highest no of votes

givedemwotowoto:
Realistically, nobody is supposed to win the Presidential election on first ballot.

Tinubu is expected to have the highest 25% coverage among the 3, but he's also expected to come second or third depending on what happens in the NW

ExudeLoveToAll:
were you not in Nigeria when the courts said irev results not admissible in court? You are feigning ignorance?

FSBoperator:
Zero chance in Kaduna courtesy of his obidient mob insulting Southern Kaduna people , Bishop Kukah and the current minister of Defense.

Remove Benue, Taraba, Kogi from your list

Kano? You must be joking.

He could get 25% in Plateau and FCT but I don't see him getting any meaningful votes in Nasarawa.

IGBOSON1:
Hehehehehe

Talk about blatant...in-your-face rigging! They took the bull by the horns and went for broke with the 2023 elections in Lagos state!

Regarding your last sentence, they may be able to get away with it in their own south-west home-turf....minus Lagos owing to its multi-ethnic/cosmopolitan demographics! But the key to whether they can get away with it nationally and steal the next election, like they stole the last one, lies with the core north! I mention the core north as the key in all this because Tinubu and his gang can't try it in the south-east, south-south and large parts of the middle-belt! If the core north wants to stand for the truth and ensure A FREE, FAIR AND TRANSPARENT ELECTION, then it's curtains for Tinubu....no matter the malfeasance he gets away with in his own region! Something tells me next time around the core north will not tolerate being taken for a ride, and will demand votes count! If validly cast votes in their region favor Tinubu, then so be it, but no rigging should be tolerated as no one is anyone else's slave!