₦airaland Forum

yomi531:
Is it the Cross River I stay or the one in kuvukiland? Just dey play......

Tinubu can win cross river if he dominates the rural areas. Obi won cross river because of the massive votes from Calabar metropolis

seunmsg:
Obi will not win Benue, Cross River, Bayelsa, Akwa Ibom, Rivers, Taraba and Kano. Edo and Delta will be very close but Obi should win narrowly. Plateau is too close to call at this point. Atiku will win Bauchi no matter who Bala Mohammed and his APM supports while Tinubu will come a close second. Obi won't get 25% in Bauchi state.

Overall, Obi has no pathway to victory. He can't get 25% in more than 16-17 states. Atiku will not win Zamfara and Jigawa. Sokoto and Katsina are too close to call right now between Atiku and Tinubu. Tinubu will win Niger and not Atiku.

Atiku can win Niger and Jigawa

Penguin2:
You gave Oyo to Tinubu.

Tinubu won’t win Oyo.

Tinubu will win or lose Oyo narrowly. Most of the votes Atiku and obi would have gotten are gone to Makinde

greatiyk4u:
Always proofread your comments before posting because we are not in your mind to understand what you want to post.

Thanks. In addition, obi will lose benue and Taraba.

yomi531:
U f00ls like to underestimate Southern votes. Can anyone ever be President without votes from the 2 regions??

In the past three polls,votes from core north surpassed that of the south

greatiyk4u:
You mean I should accept your own conjecture as the Almighty that sees tomorrow?

Whatever tinubu scores in the north will surpass obi southern votes. Obi will win Kano narrowly. If Tinubu is winning Borno and you've, zamfara will follow.

Bluna:
As far as Ondo is concerned, Obi can't get 5% here.

But Atiku's ADC is really gaining ground. 25% is very sure for Atiku in Ondo.

I will agree with you. ADC is gaining ground in ondo mostly in ondo central and south due to the activities of their local candidates and the division of APC. Atiku won ondo in 2019. But I think where 25% is sure for Atiku is osun

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Osun that hates tinubu and Apc?

But the won't vote Obi

Sugarboyy:
Okpebholo will do whatever it takes to win Edo Central (Esan), Oshiomhole will always win Edo North (Apostle Suleiman declaring for Obi is inconsequential in Edo North) and in Edo South, Obi will still win but the margin will be minimal because Edo South leaders have seen that always supporting the opposition against the APC will always cost them and that's why they have always missed out from most federal appointments that comes to Edo State. The only way Tinubu won't win Edo State is if Okpebholo fails to win Edo Central for Tinubu. I can tell you that reality on ground, no other party exist in the whole of Irrua except the APC

Edo Central is a difficult place just like Edo south. Irrua isn't the only place in Edo central. Don't forget okpebholo lost Edo central to Asue

AMINDA:
Where's the evidence that Atiku is struggling to win the Adamawa that he won in 2023? Tinubu lost Osun in 2023 and recently lost it again this year before resorting to begging Adeleke for endorsement. Defections. Endorsements. Number of governors. That's all you pontificate about. Anyways, time is a gentleman.

Where's the evidence that tinubu is losing Oyo? Is it from Adelabu the loser? Did Tinubu contest in Osun? Going by that, Atiku lost two bye elections that held in Adamawa this year in his LGA. But you where just celebrating defection in Oyo against APC shamefully not knowing it will turn against you. Are you not using governor Makinde to gauge APC chances in Oyo forgetting that almost all governors are in APC? You and atiku are cornered

Sugarboyy:
Oshiomhole is the next senate President.
Didn't you noticed that despite his opposition and brutal speaking both to the senate President, Senate leader and even openly calling out the FG in some issues, Tinubu still appointed him to head the directorate of mobilisation?
Also, If he can deliver Edo to Tinubu in 2027, there would be no opposition to him becoming the senate President.
Lastly, Oshiomhole is the one Wike is secretly backing. They had an agreement for Oshiomhole to deliver Wike candidate in APC primary senatorial election and Wike would in turn support him as the next senate President and the Wike candidate, Ogbeide Ihama won the primary against the far more popular candidate, Ize Iyamu

I suspect this. Oshiomhole is Tinubu main man in SS /SE but I doubt oshiomhole can deliver Edo

AMINDA:
Let him first focus on winning Lagos and Osun "effortlessly" first. He lost both states in 2023 and even lost Osun again in 2026 before proceeding to beg Adeleke for endorsement. Osun is his state of origin, by the way.

Why do you like regurgitating same lyrics

AMINDA:
Atiku won Adamawa in 2023 and still won Osun, Tinubu's state of origin.

Atiku is struggling to win Adamawa and has lost osun 2027. If we want to talk about defections, APC has gained more from NDC and NDC. Just today,17 lawmakers dumped your NDC. Bindowo alone has more supporters than Adelabu. So atiku is going down

AMINDA:
Let him start by winning Oyo first. Then Lagos and then Osun. He lost those states in 2023. It was Elrufai that made him president by galvanising Northern support for him.

Let Atiku start by winning Adamawa first

Goo0dHardDick:
With massive rigging of course. Are you a kid not to know this?

Lol, any evidence of the rigging

AMINDA:
Oshiomole was in the APC in 2023 when Obi won Edo State. That didn't stop Akpakomiza from becoming governor. Tinubu is more unpopular than the APC.

Oshiomhole delivered his LGA and zone for Tinubu ensuring 25%. Your Atiku with an incumbent governor took third

WhizdomXX:
Obi will beat Tinubu here, it's that obvious. Even in 2023, when no one expected him to win here, he did so inspite of what happened at some collation centers. Let's only pray for good inec reporting and no change of pu results. The winner will be clear.

Obi is winning delta no doubt about that but it won't be like 2023 margin. Most politicians underrated him 2023

Goo0dHardDick:
What does he have to campaign with? Fuel price or what exactly?

SW people are seriously against Tinubu for disgracing and embarrassing them

Yet APC have been winning almost all elections

WhizdomXX:
Let's see what they get this time around

It's obvious na. Atiku is out

WhizdomXX:
Lol, Tinubu's votes that came from Ughelli north? or is it the ones that came from Ogidigben.

Tinubu had 90k, atiku had 160,000.

[quote author=WhizdomXX post=140703155][/quote]Tinubu will win Yobe this time

WhizdomXX:
Please remove Delta from your list. Okowa the governor struggled with everything to meet 25% as a VP candidate, what do you think will happen now?

They will still produce 25% or more. Add Tinubu and Atiku's votes together

Goo0dHardDick:
Tinubu and APC knows El rufai alone is a force in the North. Release and watch Tinubu lose the 2027. Even though he is going to lose

How will he lose

kaywon:
Tinubu is shooting himself on the shoot with this lopsided tactics on El Rufai. The North will never forgive him and that's good for the opposition.

Which one be my own sef; let him continue.

Does he represent the north

WhizdomXX:
So in 2023, what happened?

They delivered massively

I will say Oyo, osun, ondo, Ogun and Ekiti.


Nlfpmod
Fergie001
Seun
Seunmsg

pingpong1:
Winner is between, Temi, Flora, Ricky and Sheba. Other, TO YOUR TENT

Aikou is the winner

Bobloco:
The late Buhari played no role, I guess?

Hope you also know that the sentiment that power should return to the South in 2023, after Buhari, is no longer potent. That sentiment is dead and buried, coupled with Tinubu’s catastrophic and calamitous regime.

Nobody is talking about “it is the turn of the South” anymore, or that “the South must complete eight years.”

No need to engage you any further, Akpakomiza2

January will soon be here. Bitter lessons will be taught, and learned, like you folks usually say.

I hope Edo is shining...

So it is buhari and El rufai alone who played the role abi? Tinubu doesn't need to win the north but garner enough votes. I hope you saw the results of yesterday's polls

Bobloco:
Thank you for this obvious truth.

When we tell them that over 5 million Northern votes have gone up in flames, they tell us we don’t understand politics. They tell us we will be taught bitter lessons.

Ironically, they may be the ones receiving the bitter lessons.

When we tell them that the political structure that delivered those Northern votes in 2023 has been severely weakened, they tell us we don’t understand politics.

Today, Buhari is late, while El-Rufai is in Tinubu’s gulag, in the dungeon. When we tell them that those who delivered those over 5 million Northern votes in 2023 are no longer with Tinubu, they tell us, “The governors are there.”

When we tell them that Tinubu, as a sitting president seeking re-election, is Nigeria’s most unpopular president in history, with no goodwill and no mass appeal, they call us names.

Today, no region can simply be assumed to be solidly behind him, not even his own Southwest.

What we are increasingly seeing instead is threats, intimidation and violent rhetoric, alongside the labelling of anyone in the Southwest who does not support Tinubu as an “ingrate.”

Nothing more. Nothing less.

The irony is almost too perfect: those who promised us bitter lessons may eventually discover that political lessons have a way of being taught to everyone.

So the entire 5 mil votes including the one in north central is gone to Atiku? El rufai that lost kaduna is the one that delivered that 5 mil votes alone? Apart from him who else has left APC?

Eriokanmi:
Like I've always said, a lot of them will use Tinubu's funds to campaign for their preferred candidates

You disgraced yourself again. So someone clownish like Isaac will be in that meeting? Which reasonable governor do you see supporting Obi

Svoboda:
I am surprised that you are excited over shoa by-elections results when you know they're just a hairs breath away from lga elections governors largely control. How much more when they're off cycle. Does it now mean that if apga wins a hoa by-election in Anambra, that Obi will automatically lose Anambra?

The only elections that cannot be used as a gauge is LGA elections except the ones that are conducted with electronic system like El rufai and lalong did. But apart from that, LGA elections are fully controlled by governors. No inec conducted election is totally controlled by the governor. Thank goodness you said largely controlled not fully.
We are talking about 2027 elections and only elections are the best barometers to gauge the directions not social media noise, defections or any happening that cannot be correlated to polls....
Now we where not talking about obi or anambra. Anambra is peculiar, they have a unique voting pattern which we all know. Obi will sweep anambra, it is a give .but you also know that Each state and region have different voting patterns. South east voters esp in presidential polls are not influenced by the governors except Imo to a partial extent. But in most northern states including Kano, Bauchi, Gombe and many southern states like Delta, a governor and some top political bigwigs have a large influence in the presidential elections. Even if they can't get victory for their candidates, they can still influence significant votes.
Two elections held in Bauchi. The governor's party won one and APC won the next. For APC to defeat the governor party clearly shows they are formidable going by your words. The reality is very glaring. This is a Bauchi that APC is supposedly divided and hit by defections. I don't know what stopped ADC or NDC from winning or taking second at least. Any state that tinubu loses, he will definitely compete well

FarahAideed:
Well if you know Nigerian politicians everyone for himself, it would be delusion to think any of these Northern politicians will put their neck on the line for a 80 year old Tinubu

They did in 2023. None of them will do so for Atiku or obi