₦airaland Forum

Goo0dHardDick:
With massive rigging of course. Are you a kid not to know this?

Lol, any evidence of the rigging

AMINDA:
Oshiomole was in the APC in 2023 when Obi won Edo State. That didn't stop Akpakomiza from becoming governor. Tinubu is more unpopular than the APC.

Oshiomhole delivered his LGA and zone for Tinubu ensuring 25%. Your Atiku with an incumbent governor took third

WhizdomXX:
Obi will beat Tinubu here, it's that obvious. Even in 2023, when no one expected him to win here, he did so inspite of what happened at some collation centers. Let's only pray for good inec reporting and no change of pu results. The winner will be clear.

Obi is winning delta no doubt about that but it won't be like 2023 margin. Most politicians underrated him 2023

Goo0dHardDick:
What does he have to campaign with? Fuel price or what exactly?

SW people are seriously against Tinubu for disgracing and embarrassing them

Yet APC have been winning almost all elections

WhizdomXX:
Let's see what they get this time around

It's obvious na. Atiku is out

WhizdomXX:
Lol, Tinubu's votes that came from Ughelli north? or is it the ones that came from Ogidigben.

Tinubu had 90k, atiku had 160,000.

[quote author=WhizdomXX post=140703155][/quote]Tinubu will win Yobe this time

WhizdomXX:
Please remove Delta from your list. Okowa the governor struggled with everything to meet 25% as a VP candidate, what do you think will happen now?

They will still produce 25% or more. Add Tinubu and Atiku's votes together

Goo0dHardDick:
Tinubu and APC knows El rufai alone is a force in the North. Release and watch Tinubu lose the 2027. Even though he is going to lose

How will he lose

kaywon:
Tinubu is shooting himself on the shoot with this lopsided tactics on El Rufai. The North will never forgive him and that's good for the opposition.

Which one be my own sef; let him continue.

Does he represent the north

WhizdomXX:
So in 2023, what happened?

They delivered massively

I will say Oyo, osun, ondo, Ogun and Ekiti.


Nlfpmod
Fergie001
Seun
Seunmsg

pingpong1:
Winner is between, Temi, Flora, Ricky and Sheba. Other, TO YOUR TENT

Aikou is the winner

Bobloco:
The late Buhari played no role, I guess?

Hope you also know that the sentiment that power should return to the South in 2023, after Buhari, is no longer potent. That sentiment is dead and buried, coupled with Tinubu’s catastrophic and calamitous regime.

Nobody is talking about “it is the turn of the South” anymore, or that “the South must complete eight years.”

No need to engage you any further, Akpakomiza2

January will soon be here. Bitter lessons will be taught, and learned, like you folks usually say.

I hope Edo is shining...

So it is buhari and El rufai alone who played the role abi? Tinubu doesn't need to win the north but garner enough votes. I hope you saw the results of yesterday's polls

Bobloco:
Thank you for this obvious truth.

When we tell them that over 5 million Northern votes have gone up in flames, they tell us we don’t understand politics. They tell us we will be taught bitter lessons.

Ironically, they may be the ones receiving the bitter lessons.

When we tell them that the political structure that delivered those Northern votes in 2023 has been severely weakened, they tell us we don’t understand politics.

Today, Buhari is late, while El-Rufai is in Tinubu’s gulag, in the dungeon. When we tell them that those who delivered those over 5 million Northern votes in 2023 are no longer with Tinubu, they tell us, “The governors are there.”

When we tell them that Tinubu, as a sitting president seeking re-election, is Nigeria’s most unpopular president in history, with no goodwill and no mass appeal, they call us names.

Today, no region can simply be assumed to be solidly behind him, not even his own Southwest.

What we are increasingly seeing instead is threats, intimidation and violent rhetoric, alongside the labelling of anyone in the Southwest who does not support Tinubu as an “ingrate.”

Nothing more. Nothing less.

The irony is almost too perfect: those who promised us bitter lessons may eventually discover that political lessons have a way of being taught to everyone.

So the entire 5 mil votes including the one in north central is gone to Atiku? El rufai that lost kaduna is the one that delivered that 5 mil votes alone? Apart from him who else has left APC?

Eriokanmi:
Like I've always said, a lot of them will use Tinubu's funds to campaign for their preferred candidates

You disgraced yourself again. So someone clownish like Isaac will be in that meeting? Which reasonable governor do you see supporting Obi

Svoboda:
I am surprised that you are excited over shoa by-elections results when you know they're just a hairs breath away from lga elections governors largely control. How much more when they're off cycle. Does it now mean that if apga wins a hoa by-election in Anambra, that Obi will automatically lose Anambra?

The only elections that cannot be used as a gauge is LGA elections except the ones that are conducted with electronic system like El rufai and lalong did. But apart from that, LGA elections are fully controlled by governors. No inec conducted election is totally controlled by the governor. Thank goodness you said largely controlled not fully.
We are talking about 2027 elections and only elections are the best barometers to gauge the directions not social media noise, defections or any happening that cannot be correlated to polls....
Now we where not talking about obi or anambra. Anambra is peculiar, they have a unique voting pattern which we all know. Obi will sweep anambra, it is a give .but you also know that Each state and region have different voting patterns. South east voters esp in presidential polls are not influenced by the governors except Imo to a partial extent. But in most northern states including Kano, Bauchi, Gombe and many southern states like Delta, a governor and some top political bigwigs have a large influence in the presidential elections. Even if they can't get victory for their candidates, they can still influence significant votes.
Two elections held in Bauchi. The governor's party won one and APC won the next. For APC to defeat the governor party clearly shows they are formidable going by your words. The reality is very glaring. This is a Bauchi that APC is supposedly divided and hit by defections. I don't know what stopped ADC or NDC from winning or taking second at least. Any state that tinubu loses, he will definitely compete well

FarahAideed:
Well if you know Nigerian politicians everyone for himself, it would be delusion to think any of these Northern politicians will put their neck on the line for a 80 year old Tinubu

They did in 2023. None of them will do so for Atiku or obi

Svoboda:
I should bet to impress you or what? Let Tinubu first go and settle Wike and the APC governors.

That one isca given. Has Atiku ever settled any issues in his camp?

Svoboda:
I've said severally that you don't use this as a yardstick. This is an election adc largely boycotted and does not necessarily imply an acceptance of Tinubu and rejection of Atiku.

Lol, what did ADC score in osun? Would you have said this if ADC won? Can't you see that APM even won one election? You can only deceive yourself so far

dalongjnr:
Lies from a pit of hell.
You think it's a coin that can just be flipped.
Plateau is for obi and atiku,Tinubu can get his 25% and go.
With the rate of killing of innocent people on the plateau, plateau people can't decent so low to willing submit themselves to state torture.

Just like in 2023 atiku won't get anything un plateau. The killings in plateau is reduced compared to Buhari period

AMINDA:
Maybe some still do because politics is local, but it's a whole different kettle of fish with Tinubu on the ballot. Nigerians are determined to vote for anyone but Tinubu. Tinubu is more unpopular than the APC as of today. He doesn't seem to realise it. That's why he blames Hope, Umahi, Sanwo-olu, Orji Uzor Kalu, etc, for winning their own elections without delivering him. The same will happen in 2027, but at a worse scale.

You obviously do not understand elections. Is it not same Nigerians that voted against APC in osun polls? Better keep silent and accept your L

Cc svoboda and aminda. Nigerians still prefer APC

Penguin2:
Ohhh!

You people are no longer rejoicing that she would support Atiku instead of Obi?

She supporting obi is a plus for Tinubu as it will reduce Atiku winning margin

Penguin2:
First, if Atiku is the institution you’re saying he is in Adamawa, how come both Tinubu and Peter Obi scored over 100k votes in Adamawa in 2023?

Second, the only northern Christian votes that Tinubu will likely share with Obi is the votes of Southern Kaduna Christians. Apart from that, Tinubu has not made considerable inroads anywhere else.

Look at even Yakubu Dogara that was supporting him in hope that he’d be substituted with Shettima, when last did you hear him talk about Tinubu since Tinubu retained Shettima?

And lastly, Binani will not play anti-party in 2027 because her umbilical cord is tired to Peter Obi’s success.

Tinubu has flipped a large number of Christians in plateau nasarawa, benue etc

AMINDA:
And that's something to celebrate in Tinubu's own state of origin? He is begging Adeleke for endorsement in order to win his own hometown! No be juju be that? If he can't win Osun, where else will he now win? Meanwhile, Seyi Makinde will cause a major upset for Tinubu in the Southwest.

Did kwankwaso cause a major upset outside kano? Keep embarrassing yourself. Tinubu lost osun and now he is winning. Politics is about how you do to get votes something your useless Atiku isn't versed in

AMINDA:
The people of Osun who turned down 50k to vote against the APC are also on Facebook. Same as the Okada riders and artisans in Osogbo who are beating people up for campaigning for Tinubu.

They gave APC 40% and ADC 2%

AMINDA:
Contrary to what Bola's lackeys postulate, Southern Kaduna will largely not vote for Tinubu. Uba Sani has flipped a little section of that bloc but their support for him does not extend to Tinubu. They will still largely vote Obi in the presidential elections. Meanwhile, Tinubu has lost a huge chunk of the Northern Kaduna bloc to Atiku. From a strategic point of view, Tinubu should have picked a Christian as Vice as he initially indicated through his body language. His feet-dragging has cost him political capital from the Muslim and Christian blocs.

You are a comedian. Can't you see from the pics here that the attendees are mostly Muslims from kaduna north? Which indicators show that Atiku has won kaduna north or obi will win kaduna south

HIGHESTPOPORI:
You mean the one lapping his fellow man? Adekanbi has won Oyo already with Makinde Backing.

That can only be possible if Makinde wins oyo

fergie001:
Are we yet in 2027?

He publicly backed Folarin in 2023, they lost.
He backed Ajimobi in 2011 for obvious reasons, he had no choice but to spite his former Deputy, they won.
He also publicly backed the same Ajimobi in 2007, yet they lost.

Adekanbi is no match for Alli

fergie001:
He lost in 2015
Supported Seyi in 2019
Opposed Seyi in 2023

Leave 2015, I am talking of 2011,2019 and 2027. In 2023 he opposed but didn't support someone else

fergie001:
That means Ladoja who contested against Ajimobi and lost in 2015 still did not support himself!

I obviously meant people he supports apart from himself