₦airaland Forum

WhizdomXX:
Stop eet he can't boast of it in South south.

I predicted obi to win SS in 2023 narrowly. I am now predicting a loss

Atlantis585:
That is so true.

Hopefully, the opposition will come to realize that there is more that holds them together than what divides them.

That is Mr. Tinubu.

But I just want us to understand that Tinubu will not have any block vote anywhere - even in his own SW.

His own people are going through so much difficulties like every other region that they want him gone asap.

You still do not understand Nigeria. Before SW and others voted Tinubu 2023, there was a lot of hardship. There's too much tribalism in Nigeria. The SW will likely give Tinubu bloc, they may not like Tinubu but Obi and Atiku are no go areas. He doesn't even need to win bloc but keep picking wins or significant votes everywhere.
Tinubu can boast of at least 35% in all other regions outside SW except SE. Atiku and obi can't boast of that. This is the winning factor

WhizdomXX:
Tinubu knows, he his playing the long game, making sure there is voter apathy, my vote does not count yen yen yen, killing political parties, ensuring turnout is low, voter suppression tactics etc. All of these is before the games he will play on election day and night. Nigerians should be ready. Jagaban is not a child's name.

You know this and you wager Tinubu to lose

Atlantis585:
Do you even understand the meaning of dividing?

Who won Kano State in the last election?

If Makinde wins Oyo State and Obi wins Lagos (as is likely to be the case again) and all of SE, then Kwankwaso brings in Kano again, can’t you see that Tinubu is in one heck of a problem?

Naija people dey vex ooo.

He is in a lot of problems across the entire North.

NC will likely be split amongst OK team, Atiku, and Mr. Tinubu.

SS will overwhelmingly go for Team OK.

Wahala dey for Mr. Tinubu anyhow you wan see am my brother.

APC can hope on rigging as that is the only way they know, but believe me, people are angry and ready.

Atiku won osun, obi won Lagos so it means nothing. If makinde wins Oyo, it is fine because tinubu will come close second. Nothing for Atiku and obi NC will not be split, Tinubu will still win with obi following. Atiku will take a distant third. Tinubu will take ss, obi will closely follow behind, nothing for Atiku . Kwankwaso can only win Kano as the candidate not running mate. Kano is 50 .50 NW and NE will be shared by Tinubu Atiku with Atiku winning narrowly

WhizdomXX:
You can compare. In Oyo he has a lot of goodwill, just like RMK in Kano

In Oyo, he has goodwill but kwankwaso control Kano. You can't compare

geoworldedu:
Tinubu will not win, but he will be declared winner. I know that for sure oga.

He will win sir. Tell us how Atiku or obi can win

Atlantis585:
Very good development.

I heard paid online APC miscreants talking about how Tinubu will have a smooth ride.

Now SW votes will be divided 50/50.

No block votes for the crooked one.

Good job, Seyi Makinde.

Did kwankwaso divide the north? Obi and atiku will still fail in the SW

Kanwulia:
You wanno play with the MASTER-STRATEGIC-RIGGER? Nothing else to offer o.😀 I am dashing him Lagos this time . In fact, ALL Obidients should boycott voting in Lagos, so the APC miscreants will be by themselves on the street. Obi does not need Lagos.

Obi actually needs Lagos

geoworldedu:
Tinubu didn't win Lagos in the last election and he won't still win it now, except by heavy rigging, which is not the fault of the citizens. Seyi Makinde should work hand in hand with the oppositions like NDC and ADC to pepper APC and teach Tinubu more of what he started himself

Las las, Tinubu will heavily rig the election and most likely declare himself the winner.

This isn't arsenal or EPL. There's nothing Makinde can do to pepper Tinubu. Politics is not sport. Deep inside you, you know Tinubu will win and makinde will be buried.yoi can see El rufai treatment

ottersberger:
Na lie!

It's 50 50 but Atiku and obi gains nothing

opes:
Yes, the majority of those who would have voted for the NDC or ADC in Oyo and Bauchi (where his deputy will likely come from) will waste their votes on him. The opposition will split its votes, and Atiku should forget about getting 25% in any Southern state.
Apart from Oyo, where else will the votes come from in the SW? Olusegun Mimiko just joined APC in Ondo State, good addition

They do not understand. Splitting votes is only good if you are strong in that state. Most of the people that will vote Makinde are those that would vote against Tinubu nornally. It is better if Makinde was running with Atiku

opes:
Aforesaid, being on the ballot favors the APC more than being Atiku’s running mate. The votes he would have given to Atiku will not be wasted.

The main reason he is contesting is to win the governorship and assembly seats for his candidates.

Exactly. Let's say Seyi 400k, Tinubu 400k, Atiku 30k obi 40k

Aiel123:
Seyi playing RMK politics of 23
Being on the presidential election will help his succession plan.

It will only during the presidential/ nass assembly polls not Guber. Besides, Seyi isn't as popular as kwankwaso, you just can't compare

Blessedkingg:
Atiku is the next President of Nigeria

Where will Atiku get the votes

Lokoyen:
He is not declaring to win. It is strategic to make BAT lost SW votes!

Did kwankwaso divide northern votes

IronCondemned:
Otilo for Emilokan druggie. Oyo state votes must be divided between all the contestants. A big win for the opposition parties.

Tinubu home base is gradually falling into pieces, more tears for the databoys.

Atiku will still lose scandalously here

bedah:
D plan is not to win but to split votes

Votes is not being splitted. Obi and atiku will still lose woefully in oyo

franchasng:
Nigerians are very funny people.....they keep relying on this recklessly rigged 2023 Presidential election result fabricated to demoralize Peter Obi even when the people under Buhari that did the election result fabrication wonders have confessed, make una continue to de deceive unaselves with fake statistics


Tinubu did not secure any 25% in any Southsouth state, they were all rigged. Rivers state was too obvious....others were ignored....Bayelsa, Akwa Ibom, Delta......


Tinubu did not get 25% in Benue and Plateau.

Tinubu did not get it in Adamawa.

Did Atiku tell you Tinubu didn't get it in Adamawa? You see how you people are disgracing yourself

Kanwulia:
Did federal might not work in Edo state?
Tinubu needs the whole SW. 8 Northern states are off limits.

Which 8 northern states

onatisi:
he cant , he will definitely lose the presidential , but the game is not to win but to consolidate his power and political structure in the state , same thing tinubu did then in 2003 . no mater what seyi will win 45/50 percent of votes in oyo state both pressidential and governorship . he is positioning himself as a political godfather in oyo state politicos. this is what peter obi should have done

True

onatisi:
this means that oyo state is out of apc hands in 2027 presidential election ,this is the best political move . now he will contest for presidential , he knows he will lose bbut he will wn his state , his party will win senatorial and others , that will secure his political future . tinubu did the same thing in 2003



,

What if he loses all

dalongjnr:
One of the best lawmaker plateau state have ever had.
Pankshin, kanam, kanke is well represented with the presence of yusuf babayo gagdi.
The best lawmaker in plateau state state, so far, so good.

But he has overstayed his welcome., him and Hon Wase. He usually wins because of Kanam bloc votes

MEGA4BILLION:
Yari that he ditched to make Akpabio senate president

He never ditched Yari, Akpabio has always been his choice

Aiel123:
Atiku winning 3 SS is a pointer that Tinubu can even win the SS
There's still a good fraction of PDP structure up north,Kwara,Jigawa, Kaduna, Katsina,Taraba mostly aligned with Wike group. The realization just hit now apart from Makinde himself there's no heavyweight in his group, except for Jang
The results will still go regionally
Only Tinubu would get substantial votes in all region (except SE)

True Saraki has left atiku in kwara, Lamido has also abandoned him but ADC has been bolstered by the entrance of senator Nakudu. Atiku will narrowly win kaduna...most of the former pdp in Katsina from Shema, majigiri, mangal have all joined APC except baba kaita. All the who is who in Taraba except Darius isyaku are in APC. Atiku is only sure of Adamawa and Gombe. But even that Adamawa, his votes will reduce via Binani and Fintiri

Sugarboyy:
I never said it was held same day
Was only saying most of these emergency lovers of Tinubu, including Hope secretly worked against Tinubu or didn't just enough for him in the last election

Tinubu had 60k votes in Imo the highest in any SE.

RoxyBrownAutos:
I think Hope Uzodinma tenure will expire in 2028,why is he picking senatorial nomination form.May be he may resign as IMO state governor before 2027.

He will resign may 2027

Sugarboyy:
Don't mind them, with all the praises on hope by them, hope couldn't give Tinubu 25% votes in Imo state in the last election but when it got to his own election, he won convincingly. They think Tinubu doesn't know them and they are only flocking round him because he is the president. Let Obi or Atiku win 2027 election and let's see if within 6 months hope won't defect to the newest party in power. But Oshiomhole can never defect

The elections where held on different days

Wickedtruths:
Hope knows how to use power.
The President will not allow someone like that control the Senate.
That's the mistake them Buhari and Oyegun made with Saraki.

Exactly. He won't be a lame duck SP

Hedonisco:
Man is extremely dangerous. I'm not a fan of his or anything APC, but I know enough to know how dangerous this Hopeless man is.

Someone like Wike has more money to throw around, but in the real scheme of things, in the entire Southern Nigeria, Hopeless has no match - apart from the Satan-in-Chief himself currently occupying Aso Rock - as far as this demonic kind of power politics is concerned.

Only God will deliver Nigeria from these people.

The most ruthless politicians are in APC. Opposition are just wasting their time

LegendHero:
Then why he no canvass for Asiwaju to even have ordinary 25% votes in the 2023 presidential election in Imo state?

A politician value is the votes he brings. If they can win for themselves and not even guarantee 25% for the center, then their use of sagacity is useless to the party.

It is easier for a governor or politician to churn votes for the president if he is on the ballot same day with president. Rochas in 2015 couldn't secure 25% but he did that for buhari in 2023 when he contested for senate

fergie001:
Then, you will explain why Uzodinma will forfeit Governorship seat to go to Senate.

It is a gamble plus his tenure will soon finish

Aiel123:
Weren't Obi and Tinubu on the ballot when Atiku polled those votes in the south
PDP faction under Turaki aren't in support of Tinubu, and Adc seems like an offshoot from PDP faction aligned with Makinde in the south
While I have reservations with your analysis,you did good
Adc is structureless in Bayelsea
Akwa Ibom,Sen. John can't really pull much
I think he was the sole reason why Kwankwanso got 7k votes in 2023,his highest in the SS
Only Amaechi can deliver maybe 15-20%
SE,I think you underated ADC showing in Abia and inflated it too much in Enugu
As things stand now, there's no pathway for the opposition

You are right. Without Obi, ADC is dead in SE. The makinde faction won't do much as Bala has defected and they don't have that push and force Wike faction has. Is Amechi is running mate, they can get 25% in rivers and nothing more...
Atiku won three southern states in 2023 and these was because they had PDP governors. ADC is far weaker than pdp of 2024