₦airaland Forum

AustineE1:
The entire south south and south east is under lock and key for Peter Obi,he will get 25% in the entire south west states,he will win Lagos,He will win 80% of North central states,with Kwankwaso,he will get the needed 25% in North west states and win Kano and Jigawa.
He will get 25% in some North East states.
Finally he will win Abuja.
Your comment on our unusual support for Kwankwaso,we learnt from you guys,when all of a sudden Buhari became an angel to you guys and no longer a Boko haram apologist or a former coupist.,ust for political exigencies.

Eba50:
its 1.01 odds actually for wike being lynched, while the odd for wile and apc. winning kano is 100 odds

AustineE1:
That was when he was running for presidency,now he is in a joint ticket with Obi who won Lagos in 2023,so do the addition and understand the game plan.
Las las Una eye go clear!

VoiceHenshaw27:
Mehn, the crowd was something else! I was there live, and honestly, the love was massive. This was bigger than religion or the Muslim faith. It was a clear expression of people who are fed up with the APC and the Tinubu-led government, frustrated by policies that have made life increasingly difficult for ordinary Nigerians.

When people come out in their numbers like this, you can’t simply dismiss it as religious support. Sometimes, the crowd is speaking, and politicians better start listening.

Anniemae:
Temi please go N sit down

thatigboman:
You are all watching rusted stones and sand dunes.
Neche was the only living human being holding together the hopeless walls of this nonsense season with her bare hands. And the moment she said to hell and dropped the whole the whole unalligned bricks of nonsensity, the whole whole show crumbled to a whole time low.
Just 3 weeks and gannered more than 100k followers while those in the house for 6 weeks are thanking God for 5k followership and begging for the 6th. Mad people

Svoboda:
You may be right, especially Binani.

Penguin2:
You forgot that Southern Bauchi is predominantly Christian?

I had a colleague from southern Bauchi who told me what happened in their region. So, I’m not just making conjectures.

Svoboda:
I doubt. He failed in APC, failed in PDP and then failed in adc. Atiku has sized him enough to know how much weight he has. Besides, Atikus street credibility in the north is growing too fast that Bindow is the least of his problems.

Penguin2:
Well, I said Zamfara because NDC has a strong candidate in the state.

I’ve not seen much activity from Kwara and Niger. That’s why I didn’t include them because I don’t speak when I don’t have sufficient information.

Then Bauchi, I feel Bauchi people will vote Atiku regardless of what happens. Also, governor Abdullahi is aligned with Makinde. So, I don’t know where they will pitch their tent.

But I must point out that Peter Obi recorded good votes from Bauchi in 2023 but they changed it because there was nobody on ground protect the votes.

Svoboda:
Yet, Bindow can hardly hurt Atiku that much in adamawa state.

Svoboda:
Atiku has gone beyond that. Why didn't he help himself in his failed 2nd term bid?

adeiza4u:
Yea, I personally appreciate that. Elrufai really messed up Kaduna by dividing its along religious and ethnic lines. But one thing you need to understand about the present northerners is that they sway to a side easily. It's cult-like kind of. And the current economic realities on ground has swayed the North from anything APC. I'll personally vote for Uba Sani, because he's cleaning up lots of mess. But Tinubu is realistically gone in the North. This I can say because I'm in the North.

Svoboda:
Bindow that Binani used to wipe floor more than once.

The campaign organisation of the All Progressives Congress governorship candidate in Oyo State, Senator Sharafadeen Alli, has explained why a student of The Polytechnic, Ibadan, was seen sitting on his lap in a viral video.

The campaign said the student and other students from the institution’s Department of Banking and Finance had visited Alli at his campaign office in Mokola, Ibadan, to invite him to their programme and interview him.

In a statement issued on Wednesday and uploaded on its website, the campaign team said the students arrived at a time when the available seats were insufficient for everyone, prompting Alli to ask one of the students to sit on his lap so the interview could proceed.

The explanation followed the circulation of the video online, which has attracted reactions over the interaction between Alli and the student. In the footage, Alli was also seen briefly caressing the student’s lap, a gesture that some social media users interpreted in different ways.

The campaign team, however, condemned attempts by some online platforms to sexualise the interaction, describing such interpretations as misleading and politically motivated.

According to the campaign team, “the number of people present exceeded the available seating capacity, leaving insufficient chairs for everyone.”

APC governorship candidate in Oyo State, Senator
It said Alli’s decision was “a spontaneous and fatherly gesture” and maintained that there was no inappropriate intention behind the action.

“It is deeply unfortunate that political desperation has descended to this level, where an ordinary interaction between a fatherly political leader and students who came to seek support for their programme is deliberately twisted into something sordid,” the campaign team said.

It urged the public to disregard what it described as misleading narratives surrounding the footage.

“Those who know Senator Sharafadeen Alli understand his disposition towards young people and his fatherly relationship with them. There is no basis whatsoever for the offensive insinuations being attached to this video,” it stated.

It also called on media organisations and social media users to exercise responsibility in reporting the incident, arguing that digital platforms should not be used to damage reputations through sensationalism and innuendo.

The campaign team urged the public to reject what it described as “cheap political blackmail”, saying the 2027 governorship election in Oyo State should focus on ideas, competence, development and the welfare of the people.

43Ronin:
North central that has 50% christans? Lol. Atiku will take taraba in a landslide. Peter obi will take Jos, Nasarawa, Benue. The only NC tinubu will win is Kogi & Kwara. SS is for Peter obi just like SE. Tinubu would have lost election by 12pm

Svoboda:
Count Niger out of Tinubus reach. Tinubu can't win Nasarawa as well. The only states sure for him are Kwara and kogi. Plateau is on a knifes edge. Benue is also dicey.

Svoboda:
In 2019, the chants of sai Atiku were drowned by sai Buhari, but not now that the APC is witnessing a series of acts of resistance against their campaigns in the north. What would they shout to counter SAI ATIKU, is it sai Tinubu? In 2023, Tinubu was an untested product, the northern voters gave him a benefit of the doubt, coupled with Buharis call for his people to support him. Now, there isn't any Buhari, while he's been tested and failed woefully.

Sheuns:
South will be shared by Tinubu and Obi. If Atiku grabs a large percentage of North West and East votes, be rest assured that he will be the president from 2027 May 29.

Remember from that South, Tinubu is only guaranteed South West. South South and East will largely vote Peter Obi just as they did the last time.

So who’s at loss?

ratcock:
With the way things are Tinubu’s new strategy will change from outright win to just grabbing 25% in the core northern states.
Even the 25% will be difficult for him except by rigging

Penguin2:
How many times has your Tinubu spoken publicly and not through proxies?

Svoboda:
He can't rig the north.

Cc Akpakomiza2
There will be a lot of skirt and blouse voting in the north.

Asmanthinket:
the question you guys should ask yourselves is that why did inec use manual result sheets against the early promise they gave us. Obi was leading at early stage when the results were being transmitted. We all know this. Infact the Norths gave obi overwhelming support, but inec decide to rig him out through the manual result sheets.

mrvitalis:
The only Hope of APC wining is rigging

But they don’t know what is in plan for them

If you think it’s nothing join INEC adhoc staff and attempt to rig

Ogabode:
IF Gawuna defects, it is not a big loss. Kwankwaso already has a replacement in mind for that NDC senatorial seat.
Hope NDC can still substitute candidates under the Electoral Act, as long as INEC’s deadline has not passed.

Asmanthinket:
they won almost all the states in Nigeria but the inec decided to rig the election through manual result sheets. We all saw what wike did in River state. Now that the manual result sheet is the last option with a very cogent reason for using it, let's see how it goes.

saintkel:
No o...dis is false...no one knows Obi....d agulu fraudster won't even see 100k votes....I just d laugh dis Tinubu supporters sha

duro4chang:
Promising Atiku south east votes is a joke taken too far.

Not even politicians who have the ability to deliver their polling units should say that.

It is same if anyone suggests that Tinubu will defeat Obi in south east.

They have mostly made it look like he is not the worst to have governed Anambra state whereas, by far, he is.

Obi remain the choice of the majority in SE.

The reason some people become so bitter after an election is because they don’t tell themselves truth going to the election.

Atiku will win some states in the north west and north east, Tinubu will win some (may be fewer than Atiku).

However, the margins will be minimal.

In north central, Tinubu will win more states than Atiku.

Obi may not win any.

The 2023 religious war slogan is no more potent.

For instance, he won 7 LGAs in southern kaduna but today, Tinubu will win majority if not all of those LGAs. They have two federal universities now and good federal government appointments. They see that they are no longer an outcast in the country.

They don’t have a governor whose son would tweet that their existence does not matter.

Now in the south, south east will vote for Obi but he won’t get as much as +80% that he got in 2023 when IhPOB terrorists did not allow APC members to vote.

Nonetheless, he will still win a lot of votes there while APC will come a very distant second.

The ruling party may not even get the 25% threshold in more than one or two of the five south east states. And that is if party leaders in the region truly work for the president.

If they don’t, the president may not get 25% in any of the SE states.

As an APC member, you may not like this but it’s the truth.

That Tinubu is constructing abandoned roads in the zone won’t make many voters change their mind.

Go ask Buhari who built the second Niger Bridge among some other infrastructures. The people even denied that he was constructing it (the second Niger Bridge).

However, as poor as APC would perform in the region, ADC would be worse.

I do not see Atiku getting 10% in any of the states in south east.

It is simply impossible.

He did not get it even when he had the PDP structure going to the 2023 elections.

South south will be a fight between APC and NDC and not even in Rivers state where Atiku’s running mate hails from that ADC will secure 25%

If the party gets 15% in the state then Amaechi has really done a lot.

South west will not be good for the opposition especially the ADC.

While NDC will get a good number of votes in Lagos state, Obi will not come close to winning the state this time.

The momentum has since escaped to the air.

No pastor is going to force his church members to take any oath as they did in 2023.

In all other SW states, it will be a devastating electoral loss.

ADC already know that when all votes in the six SW states are aggregated, Atiku will not got 5% of the total vote that will be cast.

Let me take Osun state as a specimen.

If Tinubu gets less than 700k votes in the state, then something is wrong whereas, Aregbesola and Dino will have to dance more for Atiku to have double of what the party got in the recent gubernatorial election (17k votes).

In Ogun, Ondo, Ekiti and Oyo states, ADC does not exist.

Anyone who therefore tells Atiku that he has the full backing of SE or that he stands any chance of winning the next presidential election is only deceiving the man.

By the time the results are out, they will say it was rigged.

That is their face saving consolatory slogan.

fergie001:
Today's SS is for Tinubu.
2031 started early.

OredoPikin:
i see the hand of Dapo Abiodun on this. since the druggie think he can impose anyone on the state, lets kuku scatter everything

ratcock:
North East and North West is a no go area for Tinubu.
25% will be an uphill battle for him in the core Northern Areas.
Their plan is simple.
Massively inflate figures in the South west and south south states thereby reducing any deficit in the north.